Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
TexasTrumpR+13.7
2024StatewideR+13.7

254 counties · presidential margin · 2024

County254 areas · 2024 presidential vote
Travis398,981170,787D+39.3581,276Presidio1,289686D+30.21,994Dallas511,118322,569D+22.2849,872El Paso143,156105,124D+15.1251,569Zavala1,9841,482D+14.43,492Bexar411,389337,545D+9.7758,323Brooks1,3081,077D+9.62,402Jim Hogg856725D+8.31,585Hays65,52858,438D+5.6125,827Harris808,771722,695D+5.51,557,484Dimmit1,7651,653D+3.33,427Fort Bend179,310173,592D+1.6362,524Webb31,95233,384R+2.265,865Williamson147,766155,310R+2.4308,469Hidalgo104,517110,760R+2.9217,265Willacy2,6732,856R+3.35,563Tarrant384,501426,626R+5.1823,312Cameron54,25860,991R+5.8116,153Jefferson38,93646,596R+8.986,314Duval2,0032,439R+9.84,461Collin222,115279,534R+11.1515,585Nueces53,24867,201R+11.5121,678Brewster1,9692,545R+12.64,578Kleberg4,3385,612R+12.710,014Denton191,503250,521R+13.1449,188Caldwell6,6188,880R+14.415,693Jim Wells5,5777,636R+15.513,268Starr6,8629,487R+16.016,421Bell53,97375,161R+16.2130,662Culberson319451R+16.9781Bastrop15,98923,301R+18.439,806Maverick6,3739,285R+18.515,745Brazoria63,97695,867R+19.7162,046La Salle9331,417R+20.52,360Jeff Davis450699R+21.31,169Zapata1,8772,970R+22.44,871Frio1,8483,060R+24.54,945Brazos33,84456,671R+24.891,961Waller10,18317,077R+25.027,561Val Verde5,2829,162R+26.614,588Galveston56,732100,295R+27.4158,996Kaufman24,72644,063R+27.969,406Guadalupe29,57354,691R+29.585,136McLennan33,86364,606R+30.899,672Ellis33,85064,763R+31.199,557Uvalde3,2186,482R+33.49,772San Patricio8,02517,337R+36.425,579Reeves1,0702,340R+36.93,439Nacogdoches7,69017,575R+38.825,486Lubbock37,14886,547R+39.5125,038Refugio9192,134R+39.53,075Bee2,6066,111R+39.98,790Walker7,46117,515R+39.925,175Coryell6,95916,688R+40.723,926Rockwall18,09243,542R+40.962,269Gregg13,29433,026R+42.246,738Victoria9,99825,010R+42.535,315Medina6,95017,464R+42.724,617Atascosa5,15313,142R+43.318,444Wichita12,23731,818R+44.044,530Potter8,74823,007R+44.432,121Falls1,7134,520R+44.76,277Pecos1,1443,042R+44.84,233Smith28,04174,862R+45.1103,879Montgomery82,277221,964R+45.5307,258Comal27,68074,756R+45.5103,491Hudspeth275759R+46.61,038Kenedy41115R+46.8158Tom Green11,58533,399R+48.045,460Bowie9,28227,122R+48.736,644Taylor13,62441,198R+49.855,417Matagorda3,2319,957R+50.513,312Kinney3461,063R+50.51,419Harrison7,36922,658R+50.630,243Morris1,3124,092R+51.25,434Crosby4511,416R+51.31,880Johnson19,24760,752R+51.480,721Deaf Smith1,0193,233R+51.74,286Navarro4,70814,983R+51.819,831Wharton3,91012,439R+51.816,453Angelina8,14626,049R+52.034,422Robertson1,9266,177R+52.18,158Calhoun1,8535,939R+52.27,832Blanco1,9736,447R+52.58,523Marion1,1013,577R+52.54,714Ector9,88132,429R+52.942,615Camp1,2014,011R+53.65,242Wilson6,24720,894R+53.727,275Crockett3231,087R+53.91,417Grayson14,80050,556R+54.265,915Kerr6,31521,615R+54.328,170Washington4,05814,020R+54.718,217Titus2,2757,861R+54.710,214Gonzales1,7295,981R+54.87,755Terrell91314R+55.1405Houston2,0657,247R+55.39,365Hunt10,21236,137R+55.546,733Kendall6,35522,668R+55.629,315Burnet6,11421,795R+55.728,153Aransas2,83110,090R+55.713,031San Augustine8092,917R+56.33,747Limestone1,9217,081R+56.99,075Colorado2,1087,824R+57.29,994Milam2,3318,691R+57.311,098Hale1,9037,283R+57.99,285Karnes1,0514,001R+58.15,075Castro4181,594R+58.12,023Polk4,91019,216R+58.924,292Nolan1,0204,048R+59.25,115Rusk4,33717,234R+59.421,706Lampasas2,2328,961R+59.511,301Goliad7783,178R+60.23,987Grimes2,73411,197R+60.214,051Randall12,93553,314R+60.466,901Lee1,6406,724R+60.48,415Midland11,35146,944R+60.558,808Wilbarger8603,566R+60.64,467Llano2,61310,902R+60.813,629Gillespie3,16013,202R+60.916,492Lamar4,07917,044R+60.921,285Dawson6672,810R+61.03,513Bailey3321,395R+61.11,741Fayette2,51510,699R+61.413,331Liberty5,95225,241R+61.631,323Red River1,1034,682R+61.75,796Anderson3,63515,597R+61.819,358Bandera2,53210,939R+61.813,600Cherokee3,74416,593R+62.720,507Austin2,81612,457R+62.715,383Burleson1,7057,590R+62.89,369Howard1,7597,817R+62.89,641Fisher3301,487R+63.21,830Swisher4031,840R+63.42,265Henderson6,91931,379R+63.538,540Lamb7293,398R+64.34,151Hill2,91913,669R+64.316,706Madison9644,498R+64.45,489Schleicher192906R+64.41,108Shelby1,7418,164R+64.69,948Hopkins2,91713,754R+64.616,778Floyd3581,715R+64.92,090Mason4342,076R+65.02,527Terry5872,815R+65.13,420San Jacinto2,17510,524R+65.312,789Foard92448R+65.3545Chambers4,19220,567R+65.624,973Cass2,40611,693R+65.714,143Cochran148735R+65.7893Hood6,07030,174R+65.936,553Ward6273,115R+66.13,765Hockley1,3236,616R+66.37,988Freestone1,4997,500R+66.39,045Parker14,87275,168R+66.490,840Panola1,9059,500R+66.411,439Menard170861R+66.41,040Jasper2,61513,162R+66.615,841Newton9524,781R+66.65,749Orange5,94530,191R+66.736,338Cooke3,31016,975R+66.820,447Real3151,625R+66.91,958Trinity1,1956,136R+67.07,374DeWitt1,2706,515R+67.07,825Sutton2281,167R+67.11,400Moore8604,458R+67.15,362Palo Pinto2,14311,093R+67.113,336Bosque1,5247,969R+67.39,576Fannin2,60713,648R+67.316,395Erath2,87115,349R+68.018,351Knox2141,156R+68.51,376Franklin8134,473R+68.95,311Stonewall110604R+69.0716Reagan141800R+69.4949Live Oak7614,307R+69.65,093Delta3972,250R+69.72,658Wood3,61820,621R+69.724,386Wise5,60532,385R+70.038,243Parmer3682,123R+70.12,504Lynn3712,175R+70.32,567Dickens146844R+70.3993Winkler2831,646R+70.51,933Somervell7514,493R+70.75,294Jackson9075,386R+70.86,329Yoakum3422,039R+70.92,393Upshur2,82016,939R+71.019,887Mitchell3522,144R+71.32,513Hamilton6253,809R+71.34,465Haskell3131,918R+71.42,247Cottle89565R+72.5657Andrews8065,205R+72.66,060Garza2131,374R+72.61,599Crane1861,195R+72.61,389Hardeman1881,210R+72.71,405Rains8695,649R+72.96,556Jones9075,988R+73.16,947Edwards133869R+73.21,005Hall149992R+73.41,149McCulloch4553,033R+73.43,513Tyler1,2498,286R+73.59,578Scurry7344,945R+73.65,721Concho1531,038R+73.91,198Brown2,13214,593R+73.916,853Comanche8345,679R+74.06,544Van Zandt3,45024,351R+74.827,950Irion105761R+75.6868Martin2471,825R+75.82,083Hardin3,34724,691R+75.828,157Hemphill1901,412R+75.81,612Childress2631,991R+76.12,272Lavaca1,2359,215R+76.110,491Young9627,298R+76.28,314Kent50390R+76.4445Leon1,0337,982R+76.79,064Baylor1841,471R+76.81,675Mills3102,418R+76.92,742Upton1461,149R+77.01,303Runnels4523,580R+77.14,056Gray8456,691R+77.17,580Hutchinson9137,273R+77.18,244Eastland9187,397R+77.58,364Collingsworth1351,066R+77.51,201Callahan7616,180R+77.56,988Kimble2612,126R+77.62,404Montague1,2089,825R+77.611,101Donley1741,512R+78.21,712Dallam1521,285R+78.31,447Loving1086R+78.497Sabine5904,972R+78.55,581San Saba2762,412R+78.82,709Coleman4283,712R+79.04,156Stephens3843,368R+79.33,761Archer5204,592R+79.35,132Lipscomb1231,125R+79.61,259Coke1791,623R+79.61,814Clay5845,288R+79.65,908Briscoe72666R+79.7745Carson2902,866R+81.13,177Ochiltree2692,723R+81.53,010Shackelford1461,565R+82.11,728Jack3633,819R+82.34,201Gaines5385,840R+82.66,416Hartley1631,843R+83.32,016Throckmorton73823R+83.3900Oldham74895R+84.3974McMullen37448R+84.4487Wheeler1692,093R+84.62,274Hansford1461,842R+84.81,999Armstrong771,029R+85.81,109Sterling43583R+85.9629Sherman48817R+88.1873Glasscock38623R+88.2663Motley35612R+88.8650King6129R+91.1135Borden16370R+91.5387Roberts20547R+92.1572

Texas, Texas

presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1904 to 2024. Most recent: −13.7% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−13.7%DR19042024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1904+49.6%
1908+51.6%
1912+63.2%
1916+59.6%
1920+36.6%
1924+52.6%
1928−3.9%
1932+77.0%
1936+74.8%
1940+62.0%
1944+54.8%
1948+41.7%
1952−6.4%
1956−11.3%
1960+2.0%
1964+26.8%
1968+1.3%
1972−33.0%
1976+3.2%
1980−13.9%
1984−27.5%
1988−12.6%
1992−3.5%
1996−4.9%
2000−21.3%
2004−22.9%
2008−11.8%
2012−15.8%
2016−9.0%
2020−5.6%
2024−13.7%
DemocraticRepublican
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
42.5%Harris4,835,250
56.1%Trump6,393,597
0.7%Stein82,701
−13.7%
11,388,674
R
46.4%Biden5,259,215
52.0%Trump5,890,428
1.1%Jorgensen126,243
−5.6%
11,326,874
R
43.1%Clinton3,877,868
52.1%Trump4,685,047
3.2%Johnson283,492
−9.0%
8,993,855
R
41.4%Obama3,308,124
57.1%Romney4,569,843
1.1%Johnson88,580
−15.8%
7,999,657
R
43.7%Obama3,528,633
55.5%McCain4,479,328
0.7%Barr56,116
−11.8%
8,077,795
R
38.2%Kerry2,832,704
61.1%Bush4,526,917
0.5%Badnarik38,787
−22.9%
7,410,765
R
38.0%Gore2,433,746
59.3%Bush3,799,639
2.2%Nader137,994
−21.3%
6,407,637
R
43.8%Clinton2,459,683
48.8%Dole2,736,167
6.7%Perot378,537
−4.9%
5,611,644
R
37.1%Clinton2,281,815
40.6%Bush2,496,071
22.0%Perot1,354,781
−3.5%
6,154,018
R
43.3%Dukakis2,352,748
56.0%Bush3,036,829
0.6%Paul30,355
−12.6%
5,427,410
R
36.1%Mondale1,949,276
63.6%Reagan3,433,428
0.3%Larouche14,613
−27.5%
5,397,571
R
41.4%Carter1,881,147
55.3%Reagan2,510,705
2.5%Anderson111,613
−13.9%
4,541,637
D
51.1%Carter2,082,319
48.0%Ford1,953,300
0.5%McCarthy20,118
+3.2%
4,071,884
R
33.2%McGovern1,154,291
66.2%Nixon2,298,896
0.6%Schmitz19,527
−33.0%
3,472,714
D
41.1%Humphrey1,266,804
39.9%Nixon1,227,844
19.0%Wallace584,568
+1.3%
3,079,216
D
63.3%Johnson1,663,185
36.5%Goldwater958,566
0.2%Hass5,060
+26.8%
2,626,811
D
50.5%Kennedy1,167,567
48.5%Nixon1,121,310
1.0%Byrd22,207
+2.0%
2,311,084
R
44.0%Stevenson859,958
55.3%Eisenhower1,080,619
0.7%Andrews14,591
−11.3%
1,955,168
R
46.7%Stevenson969,228
53.1%Eisenhower1,102,878
0.2%Hallinan3,840
−6.4%
2,075,946
D
66.0%Truman824,235
24.3%Dewey303,467
9.7%Thurmond121,730
+41.7%
1,249,432
D
71.4%Roosevelt821,605
16.6%Dewey191,423
11.9%Thomas137,306
+54.8%
1,150,334
D
80.9%Roosevelt909,974
18.9%Willkie212,692
0.2%Thomas1,771
+62.0%
1,124,437
D
87.1%Roosevelt739,952
12.3%Landon104,661
0.5%Lemke4,566
+74.8%
849,179
D
88.2%Roosevelt771,109
11.2%Hoover98,218
0.6%Thomas4,864
+77.0%
874,191
R
48.0%Smith344,542
51.9%Hoover372,324
0.1%Thomas867
−3.9%
717,733
D
73.1%Davis493,694
20.4%Coolidge138,073
6.5%La Follette44,059
+52.6%
675,826
D
59.9%Cox291,627
23.3%Harding113,646
16.8%Debs81,554
+36.6%
486,827
D
77.1%Wilson286,415
17.5%Hughes64,999
5.4%Benson19,892
+59.6%
371,306
D
72.7%Wilson219,185
9.5%Taft28,514
17.8%Roosevelt53,799
+63.2%
301,498
D
74.0%Bryan216,676
22.4%Taft65,605
3.6%
+51.6%
292,913
D
71.5%Parker167,088
22.0%Roosevelt51,307
6.5%
+49.6%
233,609
No data
No data
No data
2026 election
On the ballot
Governor
Greg AbbottnomineeGina HinojosanomineePat Dixonnominee

Not an open seat: Texas has no term limits; incumbent Gov. Greg Abbott (R) is seeking a 4th term and won the GOP primary (~82%). State Rep. Gina Hinojosa won the 9-way Democratic primary outright on March 3 (~59%) - no runoff was needed. Beto O'Rourke, James Talarico, and Colin Allred did NOT run for governor. Pat Dixon is the Libertarian nominee.

Full 2026 forecast →

U.S. Senate
James TalariconomineeKen PaxtonnomineeTed Brownnominee

Incumbent John Cornyn (R) LOST renomination to Ken Paxton (May 26 runoff, Paxton 63.8%). Talarico (D) beat Crockett 52.4% (NOT Allred/Crockett). Cornyn NOT on ballot.

Full 2026 forecast →

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0. Seat totals count district winners; vote shares aggregate every district.
YearSeats wonD %R %Total
D 13 · R 2540.4%58.4%10,673,912
D 13 · R 2538.7%58.8%7,751,761
D 13 · R 2344.1%53.4%11,093,626
D 13 · R 2347.0%50.4%8,202,708

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
44.6%5,031,249
53.1%5,990,741
11,291,854
2020R
43.9%4,888,764
53.5%5,962,983
11,144,040
2018R
48.3%4,045,632
50.9%4,260,553
8,371,655
2014R
34.4%1,597,387
61.6%2,861,531
4,647,370
2012R
40.6%3,194,927
56.5%4,440,137
7,864,822
2008R
42.8%3,389,365
54.8%4,337,469
7,912,075
2006R
36.0%1,555,202
61.7%2,661,789
4,314,663
2002R
43.3%1,955,758
55.3%2,496,243
4,512,590
2000R
32.3%2,025,024
65.1%4,078,954
6,267,964
1996R
43.9%2,428,776
54.8%3,027,680
5,527,441
1994R
38.3%1,639,615
60.8%2,604,218
4,279,940
1990R
37.4%1,429,986
60.2%2,302,357
3,821,432
1988D
59.2%3,149,806
40.0%2,129,228
5,323,023
1984R
41.4%2,202,557
58.5%3,111,348
5,314,178
1982D
58.6%1,818,223
40.5%1,256,759
3,103,040
1978R
49.3%1,139,149
49.8%1,151,376
2,312,540
1976D
56.8%2,199,956
42.2%1,636,370
3,874,230
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in TexasTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 18,623,931 in 2024.4.7M9.3M14M18.6M18.6M20162024
Registered voters

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in Texas
YearTotal registered
2016 (partial)14,382,387
2018 (partial)15,615,925
202016,955,519
202217,672,143
202418,623,931
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)
Starr County voted Democratic by 73 points in 2012 and Republican by 16 in 2024 — a flip of nearly ninety points across twelve years.
Republican, and widening
R+5.6 (2020) → R+13.7 (2024) — an 8.1-pt shift toward Trump · MIT Election Lab
The metros held Democratic
Travis D+39.3 (bluest in Texas), Dallas D+22.2, El Paso D+15.1, Bexar D+9.7, Harris D+5.5 · MIT Election Lab 2024
Starr County flipped
D+73.3 (2012) → D+60.2 (2016) → D+5.0 (2020) → R+16.0 (2024), after a century Democratic · MIT Election Lab
The Rio Grande Valley swung right
Hidalgo D+41.7→R+2.9, Webb D+53.9→R+2.2, Cameron D+31.1→R+5.8, Maverick D+58.1→R+18.5 (2012→2024) · MIT Election Lab
Hispanic or Latino
39.7% of residents (32.1% Mexican origin); Starr County 97.2% · ACS 2024 5-year (B03002)
A language other than English
2nd of 50 states; 28.2% speak Spanish at home · ACS 2024 5-year

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/TX/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Texas

Frequently asked questions

How did Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Texas voted Republican by 13.7 points (R+13.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,388,674 votes cast, 4,835,250 went Democratic and 6,393,597 went Republican.
When did Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Texas?
Texas has a population of 30,188,424 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Texas?
Median household income in Texas is $78,476 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.