HarrisDemocratic42.5%4,835,250TrumpRepublican56.1%6,393,597SteinGreen0.7%82,701
R+13.7- Lead
- 1,558,347
- Total
- 11,388,674
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- 57.8%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,188,4242024 5-year
- Population density
- 116 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 261,259 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,4762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 39.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 39.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Arizona, AZ · twin score 65.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 57.8%11,488,820 participants ÷ 19,865,981 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.7%–44.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,993,855 | 17,177,623 | 52.4% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,976,548 | 17,859,496 | 44.7% | E/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 11,449,044 | 18,578,831 | 61.6% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,151,590 | 19,161,407 | 42.5% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,488,820 | 19,865,981 | 57.8% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 147/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 278/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Texas · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
88.2%
771,109 votes · D+77.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 87.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
66.2%
2,298,896 votes · R+33.0
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 63.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
5,259,126votes
46.5% of the vote · R+5.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 4,835,250 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
6,393,597votes
56.1% of the vote · R+13.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,890,347 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+77.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+52.6 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +69.2 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+21.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+21.3 · U.S. D+0.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +20.4 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governor
Greg AbbottnomineeGina HinojosanomineePat Dixonnominee
Not an open seat: Texas has no term limits; incumbent Gov. Greg Abbott (R) is seeking a 4th term and won the GOP primary (~82%). State Rep. Gina Hinojosa won the 9-way Democratic primary outright on March 3 (~59%) - no runoff was needed. Beto O'Rourke, James Talarico, and Colin Allred did NOT run for governor. Pat Dixon is the Libertarian nominee.
U.S. Senate
James TalariconomineeKen PaxtonnomineeTed Brownnominee
Incumbent John Cornyn (R) LOST renomination to Ken Paxton (May 26 runoff, Paxton 63.8%). Talarico (D) beat Crockett 52.4% (NOT Allred/Crockett). Cornyn NOT on ballot.
U.S. House elections · 756 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 13 · R 25 | 40.4% | 58.4% | 10,673,912 | |
| D 13 · R 25 | 38.7% | 58.8% | 7,751,761 | |
| D 13 · R 23 | 44.1% | 53.4% | 11,093,626 | |
| D 13 · R 23 | 47.0% | 50.4% | 8,202,708 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 (partial) | 14,382,387 |
| 2018 (partial) | 15,615,925 |
| 2020 | 16,955,519 |
| 2022 | 17,672,143 |
| 2024 | 18,623,931 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+67,299 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,877,765 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +120,672 |
| 2012 | +141,740 |
| 2013 | +107,657 |
| 2014 | +160,260 |
| 2015 | +172,048 |
| 2016 | +120,910 |
| 2017 | +84,790 |
| 2018 | +83,795 |
| 2019 | +125,660 |
| 2021 | +199,360 |
| 2022 | +218,840 |
| 2023 | +188,667 |
| 2024 | +86,067 |
| 2025 | +67,299 |
Starr County voted Democratic by 73 points in 2012 and Republican by 16 in 2024 — a flip of nearly ninety points across twelve years.
- Republican, and widening
- R+5.6 (2020) → R+13.7 (2024) — an 8.1-pt shift toward Trump · MIT Election Lab
- The metros held Democratic
- Travis D+39.3 (bluest in Texas), Dallas D+22.2, El Paso D+15.1, Bexar D+9.7, Harris D+5.5 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Starr County flipped
- D+73.3 (2012) → D+60.2 (2016) → D+5.0 (2020) → R+16.0 (2024), after a century Democratic · MIT Election Lab
- The Rio Grande Valley swung right
- Hidalgo D+41.7→R+2.9, Webb D+53.9→R+2.2, Cameron D+31.1→R+5.8, Maverick D+58.1→R+18.5 (2012→2024) · MIT Election Lab
- Hispanic or Latino
- 39.7% of residents (32.1% Mexican origin); Starr County 97.2% · ACS 2024 5-year (B03002)
- A language other than English
- 2nd of 50 states; 28.2% speak Spanish at home · ACS 2024 5-year
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Arizona
Arizona
65.8twin score
12-yr trend% Latino2008 margin≠ elasticity
New Mexico
New Mexico
50.0twin score
% Latino% WhiteMexican ancestry≠ population scale
Georgia
Georgia
48.1twin score
12-yr trend% White2004 margin≠ % Latino
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/TX/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Texas voted Republican by 13.7 points (R+13.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,388,674 votes cast, 4,835,250 went Democratic and 6,393,597 went Republican.
When did Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Texas?
Texas has a population of 30,188,424 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Texas?
Median household income in Texas is $78,476 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.