HarrisDemocratic22.4%6,315TrumpRepublican76.7%21,615OliverLibertarian0.6%161
R+54.3- Lead
- 15,300
- Total
- 28,170
- vs nation
- R+52.8
- Turnout
- 67.6%
Akashiccounty
Kerr County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.6% of 41,951 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic23.5%6,524TrumpRepublican75.3%20,879JorgensenLibertarian1.0%283
R+51.7- Lead
- 14,355
- Total
- 27,745
- vs nation
- R+56.2
- Turnout
- 70.3%
ClintonDemocratic20.1%4,681TrumpRepublican76.1%17,727JohnsonLibertarian2.8%657
R+56.0- Lead
- 13,046
- Total
- 23,297
- vs nation
- R+58.1
- Turnout
- 60.8%
ObamaDemocratic19.8%4,338RomneyRepublican79.0%17,274GrayLibertarian1.0%219
R+59.1- Lead
- 12,936
- Total
- 21,879
- vs nation
- R+63.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic24.7%5,570McCainRepublican74.3%16,752OtherAll other candidates1.0%234
R+49.6- Lead
- 11,182
- Total
- 22,556
- vs nation
- R+56.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic21.4%4,557BushRepublican77.8%16,538OtherAll other candidates0.7%151
R+56.4- Lead
- 11,981
- Total
- 21,246
- vs nation
- R+53.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic20.8%4,002BushRepublican76.1%14,637NaderGreen2.4%463
R+55.3- Lead
- 10,635
- Total
- 19,228
- vs nation
- R+55.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic25.0%4,192DoleRepublican66.6%11,173PerotReform7.4%1,236
R+41.6- Lead
- 6,981
- Total
- 16,775
- vs nation
- R+50.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 53,4892024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,3952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 26.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.1 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Burnet County, TX · twin score 94.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.6%28,348 participants ÷ 41,951 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 52.2%–57.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 23,499 | 38,633 | 60.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 22,205 | 39,159 | 56.7% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 28,153 | 40,048 | 70.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 22,604 | 41,146 | 54.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 28,348 | 41,951 | 67.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 28,170 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 539 | 1,949 | 20 | 2,508 | 21.5% | 77.7% | R+56.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 312Precinct 312 | 692 | 1,715 | 23 | 2,430 | 28.5% | 70.6% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 406Precinct 406 | 450 | 1,899 | 18 | 2,367 | 19.0% | 80.2% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 215Precinct 215 | 460 | 1,814 | 19 | 2,293 | 20.1% | 79.1% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 220Precinct 220 | 483 | 1,725 | 14 | 2,222 | 21.7% | 77.6% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 202Precinct 202 | 269 | 1,352 | 7 | 1,628 | 16.5% | 83.0% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 314Precinct 314 | 556 | 1,001 | 19 | 1,576 | 35.3% | 63.5% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 119Precinct 119 | 484 | 1,047 | 25 | 1,556 | 31.1% | 67.3% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 405Precinct 405 | 348 | 1,097 | 15 | 1,460 | 23.8% | 75.1% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 417Precinct 417 | 318 | 1,105 | 9 | 1,432 | 22.2% | 77.2% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 303Precinct 303 | 257 | 1,077 | 9 | 1,343 | 19.1% | 80.2% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 109Precinct 109 | 244 | 1,047 | 10 | 1,301 | 18.8% | 80.5% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 416Precinct 416 | 235 | 1,053 | 7 | 1,295 | 18.1% | 81.3% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 113Precinct 113 | 294 | 729 | 16 | 1,039 | 28.3% | 70.2% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 404Precinct 404 | 99 | 803 | 4 | 906 | 10.9% | 88.6% | R+77.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 107Precinct 107 | 171 | 673 | 6 | 850 | 20.1% | 79.2% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 211Precinct 211 | 170 | 521 | 10 | 701 | 24.3% | 74.3% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 308Precinct 308 | 138 | 523 | 2 | 663 | 20.8% | 78.9% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 118Precinct 118 | 81 | 249 | 5 | 335 | 24.2% | 74.3% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 410Precinct 410 | 27 | 236 | 2 | 265 | 10.2% | 89.1% | R+78.9 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +40.1% |
| 1908 | +15.1% |
| 1912 | +50.6% |
| 1916 | +37.6% |
| 1920 | +12.9% |
| 1924 | −8.7% |
| 1928 | −46.8% |
| 1932 | +55.0% |
| 1936 | +22.9% |
| 1940 | +18.9% |
| 1944 | +0.6% |
| 1948 | −0.5% |
| 1952 | −46.6% |
| 1956 | −55.1% |
| 1960 | −42.0% |
| 1964 | +3.4% |
| 1968 | −27.3% |
| 1972 | −58.4% |
| 1976 | −22.6% |
| 1980 | −44.4% |
| 1984 | −58.3% |
| 1988 | −51.0% |
| 1992 | −31.1% |
| 1996 | −41.6% |
| 2000 | −55.3% |
| 2004 | −56.4% |
| 2008 | −49.6% |
| 2012 | −59.1% |
| 2016 | −56.0% |
| 2020 | −51.7% |
| 2024 | −54.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 34,640 |
| 2018 | 32,954 |
| 2020 | 37,726 |
| 2022 | 39,036 |
| 2024 | 40,065 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+373 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +7,224 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $87,218 in average income, against $91,856 for residents who stayed — 5% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.2 on average — 40 points more Democratic-leaning than Kerr County, TX itself (R+54.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bexar County, TX197D+9.7
- Gillespie County, TX109R+60.9
- Kendall County, TX79R+55.6
- Harris County, TX77D+5.5
- Travis County, TX67D+39.3
- Bandera County, TX53R+61.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bexar County, TX201
- Gillespie County, TX122
- Kendall County, TX73
- Travis County, TX63
- Harris County, TX60
- Bandera County, TX51
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +175 |
| 2012 | +269 |
| 2013 | +319 |
| 2014 | +702 |
| 2015 | +676 |
| 2016 | +671 |
| 2017 | +561 |
| 2018 | +719 |
| 2019 | +374 |
| 2021 | +881 |
| 2022 | +877 |
| 2023 | +342 |
| 2024 | +285 |
| 2025 | +373 |
Kerr County's rugged Hill Country terrain and retirement-destination growth have reinforced a Republican lean that has deepened every presidential cycle, with the 2024 margin of R+54.3 ranking among the widest in the Texas midsize-county tier.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 59.1 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.3 points.
A population of 53,489, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,395 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Burnet County and Gillespie County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Burnet County
Texas
94.9twin score
2000–2012 trajectory
Gillespie County
Texas
92.3twin score
12-yr trend2000–2012 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Bandera County
Texas
92.3twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kerr County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48265/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Kerr County
Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Kerr County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kerr County, Texas voted Republican by 54.3 points (R+54.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 28,170 votes cast, 6,315 went Democratic and 21,615 went Republican.
When did Kerr County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kerr County, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Kerr County, Texas?
Kerr County, Texas has a population of 53,489 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kerr County, Texas?
Median household income in Kerr County, Texas is $69,395 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Kerr County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kerr County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.