Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
census regionSouth

presidential margin

2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican

2004R+12.9
2008R+4.9
2012R+7.2
2016R+7.8
2020R+5.4
2024R+11.0
full record · 1892 → 2024

presidential returns

2024 turnout 63.0% of 92,596,031 citizens 18+

YearDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalCVAPTurnout
202425,509,12531,947,311857,22258,313,65892,596,03163.0%
202027,143,64330,281,948902,05558,327,64688,970,54365.6%
201621,967,37325,867,4012,076,88049,911,65484,552,75159.0%
201221,405,90224,758,924638,92746,803,75380,168,48658.4%
200821,970,57824,254,499473,40646,698,48376,664,72960.9%
200418,182,98123,612,198321,05342,116,23273,160,972†57.6%

† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.

2024 presidential margin for SouthSouth: an interactive map of its constituent counties, each colored by its Democratic-vs-Republican presidential margin from deep red through neutral to deep blue. County labels carry each county's own margin. Overall: R+11.0 in 2024.
1,422 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English10.1%9.5%
German8.9%12.5%
Irish8.0%9.4%
American7.4%5.3%
Italian3.2%4.8%
Scottish1.6%1.3%
French1.6%1.6%
Polish1.1%2.2%
Mexican10.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.7%1.8%
Cuban1.5%0.7%
Salvadoran0.8%0.7%
Honduran0.6%0.3%
Colombian0.6%0.4%
Guatemalan0.5%0.5%
Venezuelan0.4%—
African American†15.7%9.9%
African0.7%0.5%
Haitian0.5%0.3%
Jamaican0.4%0.4%
Nigerian0.3%0.2%
Asian Indian1.1%1.4%
Chinese0.5%1.3%
Vietnamese0.5%0.6%
Filipino0.4%0.9%
Korean0.3%0.4%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

MeasureSouthUnited States
Median age3939.1
Age 18–249.2%9.2%
Age 65 and older17.1%17.2%

Household economy

MeasureSouthUnited States
Median household income$77,534$84,427
Poverty rate13.6%12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)33.8%35.6%

Languages at home

MeasureSouthUnited States
Speaks a non-English language at home20.7%22.3%
Spanish14.5%13.6%
Other Indo-European1.4%2.0%

Religious landscape

MeasureSouthUnited States
Catholic13.5%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant25.3%16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted47.9%51.5%
Mainline Protestant5.8%5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

South, United States

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −11.0% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−11.0%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+24.4%
1896+14.1%
1900+14.8%
1904+27.1%
1908+18.1%
1912+43.8%
1916+29.3%
1920+10.4%
1924+18.9%
1928−6.9%
1932+45.0%
1936+45.0%
1940+39.2%
1944+31.7%
1948+20.1%
1952+1.2%
1956−4.4%
1960+2.3%
1964+7.9%
1968−3.0%
1972−37.8%
1976+9.2%
1980−6.1%
1984−23.2%
1988−15.1%
1992+0.3%
1996+1.6%
2000−9.0%
2004−12.9%
2008−4.9%
2012−7.2%
2016−7.8%
2020−5.4%
2024−11.0%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginSwingvs U.S.Total
R
43.7%Harris25,509,125
54.8%Trump31,947,311
1.5%
R+11.0R+5.7R+9.658,313,658
R
46.5%Biden27,143,643
51.9%Trump30,281,948
1.5%
R+5.4D+2.4R+9.858,327,646
R
44.0%Clinton21,967,373
51.8%Trump25,867,401
4.2%
R+7.8R+0.6R+9.949,911,654
R
45.7%Obama21,405,902
52.9%Romney24,758,924
1.4%
R+7.2R+2.3R+11.046,803,753
R
47.0%Obama21,970,578
51.9%McCain24,254,499
1.0%
R+4.9D+8.0R+12.246,698,483
R
43.2%Kerry18,182,981
56.1%Bush23,612,198
0.8%
R+12.9R+3.9R+10.442,116,232
R
44.4%Gore15,705,146
53.3%Bush18,888,207
2.3%
R+9.0R+10.6R+9.535,410,674
D
46.8%Clinton14,846,977
45.2%Dole14,345,705
8.1%
D+1.6D+1.3R+6.931,752,109
D
42.0%Clinton14,115,832
41.7%Bush14,011,867
16.3%
D+0.3D+15.4R+5.333,619,949
R
42.0%Dukakis12,003,844
57.2%Bush16,326,996
0.8%
R+15.1D+8.1R+7.428,557,046
R
38.1%Mondale10,997,557
61.4%Reagan17,700,239
0.5%
R+23.2R+17.2R+5.028,832,384
R
44.8%Carter11,550,330
50.8%Reagan13,116,937
4.4%
R+6.1R+15.2D+3.725,807,657
D
54.0%Carter12,521,250
44.8%Ford10,394,996
1.2%
D+9.2D+47.0D+7.123,185,669
R
30.4%McGovern6,091,363
68.2%Nixon13,672,193
1.5%
R+37.8R+34.8R+14.620,056,022
R
33.5%Humphrey6,418,681
36.4%Nixon6,988,041
30.1%
R+3.0R+10.9R+2.319,176,874
D
53.3%Johnson8,850,814
45.3%Goldwater7,530,488
1.4%
D+7.9D+5.6R+14.616,608,232
D
49.9%Kennedy7,177,676
47.6%Nixon6,840,109
2.5%
D+2.3D+6.8D+2.214,379,684
R
46.6%Stevenson5,809,556
51.1%Eisenhower6,363,766
2.3%
R+4.4R+5.7D+11.012,461,025
D
50.5%Stevenson6,287,061
49.3%Eisenhower6,136,062
0.2%
D+1.2R+18.9D+12.012,445,148
D
52.6%Truman4,333,997
32.4%Dewey2,673,649
15.0%
D+20.1R+11.6D+15.78,241,558
D
64.9%Roosevelt5,046,791
33.2%Dewey2,579,685
2.0%
D+31.7R+7.5D+24.27,781,414
D
69.5%Roosevelt5,708,948
30.3%Willkie2,488,614
0.2%
D+39.2R+5.8D+29.28,217,895
D
72.3%Roosevelt5,377,518
27.2%Landon2,026,103
0.5%
D+45.0±0.0D+20.87,441,648
D
72.1%Roosevelt4,932,248
27.1%Hoover1,853,001
0.9%
D+45.0D+51.9D+27.26,843,735
R
46.4%Smith2,880,347
53.2%Hoover3,307,818
0.4%
R+6.9R+25.8D+10.66,212,249
D
56.3%Davis2,772,440
37.4%Coolidge1,840,373
6.3%
D+18.9D+8.5D+44.14,922,660
D
53.6%Cox2,738,646
43.2%Harding2,206,347
3.2%
D+10.4R+18.9D+36.65,107,555
D
62.6%Wilson2,050,854
33.3%Hughes1,090,991
4.1%
D+29.3R+14.5D+26.13,277,466
D
62.6%Wilson1,746,467
18.8%Taft524,677
18.5%
D+43.8D+25.7D+24.32,788,056
D
64.3%Bryan1,470,860
46.3%Taft1,057,517
0.0%
D+18.1R+9.0D+27.62,285,918
D
72.0%Parker1,279,465
44.9%Roosevelt798,426
0.0%
D+27.1D+12.3D+46.71,777,992
D
62.5%Bryan1,340,228
47.7%McKinley1,023,006
0.0%
D+14.8D+0.7D+22.32,143,216
D
56.0%Bryan1,472,328
41.8%McKinley1,101,109
2.2%
D+14.1R+10.3D+20.22,631,268
D
56.2%Cleveland1,369,562
31.8%Harrison774,607
12.1%
D+24.4—D+22.72,438,243
voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026D+9.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+11.0

South registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 20-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.

Voter registration in SouthRegistered voters by party of registration, 2008–2026. Latest total 9,214,990 in 2026.3.6M7.1M10.7M9.2M20082026
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in South
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2008 (partial)6,080,1032,784,8961,945,5801,345,6693,958
2012 (partial)6,655,3022,872,8412,053,8811,709,20719,373
2017 (partial)12,876,3814,815,7494,550,1463,447,81162,675
2019 (partial)13,508,3174,977,6124,750,4023,635,437144,866
2021 (partial)14,284,9205,095,0085,120,0763,816,816253,020
2023 (partial)13,540,1354,460,8315,158,7533,607,279313,272
2026 (partial)9,214,9903,859,4763,034,3762,134,942186,196
Source: State election authorities
domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net domestic migration over time

+357,790 net domestic migration · 2025

Net domestic migration in South, 2011–2025Yearly net domestic migration (arrivals minus departures). Cumulative +6,352,118 over the window. Sage = net gain, amber = net loss.
20112025

Net +6,352,118 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Domestic migration in South in South: net domestic migration by year
YearNet domestic migration
2011+312,610
2012+344,278
2013+300,008
2014+374,593
2015+453,543
2016+441,519
2017+366,143
2018+348,608
2019+407,913
2021+732,442
2022+836,925
2023+677,221
2024+398,525
2025+357,790
Source: Census Population Estimates (net) · IRS SOI (flows)

South sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 37.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.0 points.

A population of 129,288,316, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,534 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Midwest and West.

Political twins — regions

The census regions whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Midwest
16.1twin score
2016–2020 trajectorymedian incomecollege share≠ elasticity
West
0.0twin score
Irish ancestryItalian ancestry% White≠ 2024 margin
Northeast
0.0twin score
German ancestry≠ 2004 margin

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
South, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/region/south/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within South

census divisions3
South AtlanticEast South CentralWest South Central
states17
AlabamaArkansasDelawareDistrict of ColumbiaFloridaGeorgiaKentuckyLouisianaMarylandMississippiNorth CarolinaOklahomaSouth CarolinaTennesseeTexasVirginiaWest Virginia

Frequently asked questions

How did South, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, South, United States voted Republican by 11.0 points (R+11.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 58,313,658 votes cast, 25,509,125 went Democratic and 31,947,311 went Republican.
When did South, United States last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South, United States voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in South, United States?
South, United States has a population of 129,288,316 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South, United States?
Median household income in South, United States is $77,534 — below the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of South, United States?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in South, United States from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.