Virginia — Elections 1892–2024

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+17.5%
1896	+6.6%
1900	+11.5%
1904	+24.8%
1908	+22.2%
1912	+48.9%
1916	+34.7%
1920	+23.5%
1924	+29.7%
1928	−8.0%
1932	+38.4%
1936	+40.8%
1940	+36.5%
1944	+25.0%
1948	+6.8%
1952	−13.0%
1956	−17.0%
1960	−5.4%
1964	+7.1%
1968	−10.9%
1972	−37.7%
1976	−1.3%
1980	−12.7%
1984	−25.2%
1988	−20.5%
1992	−4.4%
1996	−2.0%
2000	−8.1%
2004	−8.2%
2008	+6.3%
2012	+3.9%
2016	+5.3%
2020	+10.1%
2024	+5.8%

DemocraticRepublican

34 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Total
2024	D	51.8%Harris2,335,395	46.1%Trump2,075,085	0.8%Stein34,880	+5.8%	4,505,941
2020	D	54.1%Biden2,413,495	44.0%Trump1,962,428	1.5%Jorgensen64,761	+10.1%	4,460,479
2016	D	49.8%Clinton1,981,473	44.4%Trump1,769,443	3.0%Johnson118,274	+5.3%	3,982,752
2012	D	51.2%Obama1,970,595	47.3%Romney1,820,995	0.8%Johnson31,216	+3.9%	3,851,684
2008	D	52.6%Obama1,958,261	46.3%McCain1,723,508	0.3%Nader11,483	+6.3%	3,720,463
2004	R	45.5%Kerry1,454,742	53.7%Bush1,716,959	0.3%Badnarik11,032	−8.2%	3,198,367
2000	R	44.4%Gore1,215,344	52.5%Bush1,435,608	2.2%Nader59,398	−8.1%	2,735,474
1996	R	45.1%Clinton1,089,021	47.1%Dole1,136,874	6.6%Perot159,861	−2.0%	2,412,690
1992	R	40.6%Clinton1,036,729	45.0%Bush1,148,794	13.6%Perot348,639	−4.4%	2,554,383
1988	R	39.2%Dukakis859,799	59.7%Bush1,309,162	0.7%Fulani14,312	−20.5%	2,191,609
1984	R	37.1%Mondale796,250	62.3%Reagan1,337,078	0.6%Larouche13,307	−25.2%	2,146,635
1980	R	40.3%Carter752,174	53.0%Reagan989,609	5.1%Anderson95,418	−12.7%	1,866,032
1976	R	48.0%Carter813,896	49.3%Ford836,554	1.0%Camejo17,802	−1.3%	1,697,094
1972	R	30.1%McGovern441,980	67.9%Nixon995,827	2.0%Schmitz29,776	−37.7%	1,467,583
1968	R	32.5%Humphrey442,387	43.4%Nixon590,319	24.1%Wallace328,785	−10.9%	1,361,491
1964	D	53.4%Johnson560,872	46.3%Goldwater486,468	0.3%Hass2,914	+7.1%	1,050,254
1960	R	47.0%Kennedy361,850	52.4%Nixon403,714	0.6%Byrd4,598	−5.4%	770,162
1956	R	38.4%Stevenson266,571	55.4%Eisenhower384,820	6.3%Andrews43,678	−17.0%	695,069
1952	R	43.4%Stevenson268,677	56.3%Eisenhower349,037	0.3%Hallinan1,975	−13.0%	619,689
1948	D	47.9%Truman200,786	41.0%Dewey172,070	11.1%Thurmond46,400	+6.8%	419,256
1944	D	62.4%Roosevelt242,276	37.4%Dewey145,243	0.2%Thomas966	+25.0%	388,485
1940	D	68.1%Roosevelt235,961	31.6%Willkie109,363	0.4%Thomas1,284	+36.5%	346,608
1936	D	70.2%Roosevelt234,980	29.4%Landon98,336	0.4%Lemke1,274	+40.8%	334,590
1932	D	68.5%Roosevelt203,979	30.1%Hoover89,637	1.5%Thomas4,326	+38.4%	297,942
1928	R	46.0%Smith140,146	54.0%Hoover164,609	0.0%	−8.0%	304,755
1924	D	62.5%Davis139,714	32.8%Coolidge73,312	4.7%La Follette10,576	+29.7%	223,602
1920	D	61.3%Cox141,670	37.9%Harding87,456	0.8%Debs1,874	+23.5%	231,000
1916	D	66.8%Wilson102,825	32.1%Hughes49,358	1.2%Benson1,801	+34.7%	153,984
1912	D	65.9%Wilson90,380	17.0%Taft23,327	17.1%Roosevelt23,482	+48.9%	137,189
1908	D	60.5%Bryan82,936	38.4%Taft52,568	1.1%Debs1,475	+22.2%	136,979
1904	D	61.6%Parker80,649	36.8%Roosevelt48,180	1.5%Debs2,013	+24.8%	130,842
1900	D	55.3%Bryan146,079	43.8%McKinley115,769	0.9%Woolley2,509	+11.5%	264,357
1896	D	52.6%Bryan154,978	45.9%McKinley135,379	1.5%Palmer4,480	+6.6%	294,837
1892	D	56.2%Cleveland164,136	38.7%Harrison113,098	5.1%Weaver15,004	+17.5%	292,238

2026 election

On the ballot

U.S. Senateno nominee yet

Mark Warnerpresumptive nominee

VA moved primary to Aug 4 2026 (HB29) — NOT yet held. Warner (D) sole filer, presumptive. GOP primary contested (Mizusawa/Farington/Williams). Mark Moran independent qualified.

Full 2026 forecast →

Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.

Congressional elections · 267 House races · 17 Senate races

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0. Seat totals count district winners; vote shares aggregate every district.
Seats won	D %	R %	Total
D 6 · R 5	51.4%	47.6%	4,425,762
D 6 · R 5	51.6%	48.0%	3,047,729
D 7 · R 4	52.0%	47.2%	4,335,436
D 7 · R 4	56.4%	42.5%	3,312,956

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	54.4%2,417,115	45.4%2,019,911	4,445,535
2020	D	56.0%2,466,500	44.0%1,934,199	4,400,699
2018	D	57.1%1,910,370	41.1%1,374,313	3,346,248
2014	D	49.2%1,073,667	48.4%1,055,940	2,182,709
2012	D	53.0%2,010,067	47.0%1,785,542	3,795,609
2008	D	65.1%2,369,327	33.8%1,228,830	3,640,116
2006	D	49.6%1,175,606	49.3%1,166,277	2,367,985
2002	R	0.0%0	83.0%1,229,894	1,481,051
2000	R	47.7%1,296,093	52.3%1,420,460	2,716,553
1996	R	47.5%1,115,982	52.5%1,235,744	2,351,726
1994	D	45.6%938,376	42.9%882,213	2,056,026
1990	R	0.0%0	81.7%876,782	1,073,537
1988	D	71.3%1,474,086	28.7%593,652	2,067,738
1984	R	29.9%601,142	70.0%1,406,194	2,007,487
1982	R	48.8%690,839	51.2%724,571	1,415,410
1978	R	49.8%608,511	50.2%613,232	1,221,743
1976	O	38.3%596,009	0.0%0	1,557,346

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Virginia
Year	Total registered
2016	5,604,106
2018	5,666,627
2020	5,975,561
2022	6,105,868
2024	6,380,686

Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Virginia last gave a Republican a presidential majority in 2004; Loudoun County voted Republican that year and Democratic by 16.2 points in 2024.

Reliably Democratic now: D+10.1 (2020) → D+5.8 (2024) — a 4.3-point move toward Trump; last Republican presidential win was 2004 (R+8.2) · MIT Election Lab
The Northern Virginia engine: Loudoun R+12.1 (2004) → D+16.2 (2024); Prince William R+6.4 (2004) → D+17.9; Fairfax R+1.4 (2000) → D+34.7 · MIT Election Lab
Affluent and educated: 11th of 50 in median household income ($93,170); 7th in bachelor’s-degree share (42.3%) — the Northern Virginia wealth · ACS 2024 5-year
The Richmond suburbs flipped: Henrico D+28.7; Chesterfield, R+28.2 in 2000, flipped Democratic in 2020 and ran D+8.9 in 2024 · MIT Election Lab
Independent cities, bluest unit: Virginia counts cities as county-equivalents — Petersburg is the bluest at D+72.5; Arlington D+58.1, Alexandria (city) D+57.1 · MIT Election Lab 2024
The Republican rural map: Lee County, in the southwest coalfields, is the reddest at R+72.0; the Shenandoah Valley runs Republican (Augusta R+47.3, Rockingham R+36.8) · MIT Election Lab 2024

Political twins — states

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Maryland

66.1twin score

12-yr trendcollege sharemedian income≠ 2000 margin

Georgia

62.4twin score

12-yr trendpopulation scale% Catholic≠ % Black

North Carolina

53.9twin score

% Blackpopulation scale% Catholic≠ median income

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/VA/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Largest cities in Virginia

Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Virginia

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Frequently asked questions

How did Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Virginia voted Democratic by 5.8 points (D+5.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,505,941 votes cast, 2,335,395 went Democratic and 2,075,085 went Republican.

When did Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Virginia voted Republican was 2004.

How many people live in Virginia?

Virginia has a population of 8,705,170 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Virginia?

Median household income in Virginia is $93,170 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Virginia?

Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.

Virginia, Virginia

U.S. House

U.S. Senate

Compare two places, side by side

Places within Virginia

Frequently asked questions