Virginia, Virginia: Tossup state. In 2024, voted D+6%. Democratic peak: D+49 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+6MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 8,705,1702024 5-year
- Median household income
- $93,1702024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+49 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Browse all of Virginia
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 2,334,867 | 2,074,901 | 4,504,539 | ||
| D | 2,413,495 | 1,962,428 | 4,460,479 | ||
| D | 1,981,473 | 1,769,443 | 3,982,752 | ||
| D | 1,970,595 | 1,820,995 | 3,851,684 | ||
| D | 1,958,261 | 1,723,508 | 3,720,463 | ||
| R | 1,454,742 | 1,716,959 | 3,198,367 | ||
| R | 1,215,344 | 1,435,608 | 2,735,474 | ||
| R | 1,089,021 | 1,136,874 | 2,412,690 | ||
| R | 1,036,729 | 1,148,794 | 2,554,383 | ||
| R | 859,799 | 1,309,162 | 2,191,609 | ||
| R | 796,250 | 1,337,078 | 2,146,635 | ||
| R | 752,174 | 989,609 | 1,866,032 | ||
| R | 813,896 | 836,554 | 1,697,094 | ||
| R | 441,980 | 995,827 | 1,467,583 | ||
| R | 442,387 | 590,319 | 1,361,491 | ||
| D | 560,872 | 486,468 | 1,050,254 | ||
| R | 361,850 | 403,714 | 770,162 | ||
| R | 266,571 | 384,820 | 695,069 | ||
| R | 268,677 | 349,037 | 619,689 | ||
| D | 200,786 | 172,070 | 419,256 | ||
| D | 242,276 | 145,243 | 388,485 | ||
| D | 235,961 | 109,363 | 346,608 | ||
| D | 234,980 | 98,336 | 334,590 | ||
| D | 203,979 | 89,637 | 297,942 | ||
| R | 140,146 | 164,609 | 304,755 | ||
| D | 139,714 | 73,312 | 223,602 | ||
| D | 141,670 | 87,456 | 231,000 | ||
| D | 102,825 | 49,358 | 153,984 | ||
| D | 90,380 | 23,327 | 137,189 | ||
| D | 82,936 | 52,568 | 136,979 | ||
| D | 80,649 | 48,180 | 130,842 | ||
| D | 146,079 | 115,769 | 264,357 | ||
| D | 154,978 | 135,379 | 294,837 | ||
| D | 164,136 | 113,098 | 292,238 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 54.4% | 45.4% | 4,445,535 |
| 2020 | D | 56.0% | 43.9% | 4,405,087 |
| 2018 | D | 57.0% | 41.0% | 3,351,373 |
| 2014 | D | 49.1% | 48.3% | 2,184,473 |
| 2012 | D | 52.9% | 47.0% | 3,802,196 |
| 2008 | D | 65.0% | 33.7% | 3,643,294 |
| 2006 | D | 49.6% | 49.2% | 2,370,445 |
| 2002 | R | 0.0% | 82.6% | 1,489,422 |
| 2000 | R | 47.7% | 52.3% | 2,718,301 |
| 1996 | R | 47.4% | 52.5% | 2,354,715 |
| 1994 | D | 45.6% | 42.9% | 2,057,463 |
| 1990 | R | 0.0% | 80.9% | 1,083,690 |
| 1988 | D | 71.2% | 28.7% | 2,068,897 |
| 1984 | R | 29.9% | 70.0% | 2,007,487 |
| 1982 | R | 48.8% | 51.2% | 1,415,622 |
| 1978 | R | 49.8% | 50.2% | 1,222,256 |
| 1976 | O | 38.3% | 0.0% | 1,557,500 |
Demographics
Virginia in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia delivered a near-tie in 2024, with the Democratic candidate carrying the state by six points — well within the historical noise of how the state votes.
The state's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty-nine points in 1912; the Republican margin reached thirty-eight points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 8,705,170, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $93,170 — situate the state close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Virginia, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/VA/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.