- Lead
- 1,814
- Total
- 13,626
- vs nation
- D+14.8
- Turnout
- 66.6%
Staunton city, VA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 66.6% of 20,546 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,286
- Total
- 12,990
- vs nation
- D+5.4
- Turnout
- 67.0%
- Lead
- 200
- Total
- 11,255
- vs nation
- R+0.3
- Turnout
- 58.2%
- Lead
- 456
- Total
- 11,210
- vs nation
- D+0.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 239
- Total
- 11,015
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,049
- Total
- 9,629
- vs nation
- R+18.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,554
- Total
- 8,514
- vs nation
- R+18.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,364
- Total
- 8,435
- vs nation
- R+24.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+13.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,9482024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,5812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+57.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Waynesboro city, VA · twin score 88.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 66.6%13,674 participants ÷ 20,546 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 45.6%–52.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 11,270 | 19,359 | 58.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,695 | 19,310 | 50.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 13,072 | 19,508 | 67.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,333 | 20,269 | 46.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 13,674 | 20,546 | 66.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
10 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -101 - WARD 1101 - WARD 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -201 - WARD 2201 - WARD 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -301 - WARD 3301 - WARD 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -401 - WARD 4401 - WARD 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -501 - WARD 5501 - WARD 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ward No 151790000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ward No 251790000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ward No 351790000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ward No 451790000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ward No 551790000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +23.7% |
| 1896 | +11.2% |
| 1900 | +22.4% |
| 1904 | +45.5% |
| 1908 | +18.2% |
| 1912 | +57.6% |
| 1916 | +24.0% |
| 1920 | +13.7% |
| 1924 | +29.4% |
| 1928 | −16.7% |
| 1932 | +28.1% |
| 1936 | +31.4% |
| 1940 | +20.4% |
| 1944 | +15.5% |
| 1948 | −15.3% |
| 1952 | −46.3% |
| 1956 | −53.2% |
| 1960 | −38.6% |
| 1964 | −4.6% |
| 1968 | −37.5% |
| 1972 | −58.2% |
| 1976 | −22.0% |
| 1980 | −27.3% |
| 1984 | −50.3% |
| 1988 | −39.8% |
| 1992 | −23.2% |
| 1996 | −16.2% |
| 2000 | −18.3% |
| 2004 | −21.3% |
| 2008 | +2.2% |
| 2012 | +4.1% |
| 2016 | +1.8% |
| 2020 | +9.9% |
| 2024 | +13.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 60.8%5,393 | 39.2%3,470 | 8,863 |
| 2018 | D | 56.5%5,422 | 43.5%4,182 | 9,604 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 16,382 |
| 2018 | 16,446 |
| 2020 | 17,589 |
| 2022 | 18,121 |
| 2024 | 19,144 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+534 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,320 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,697 in average income, against $71,501 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+25.9 on average — 39 points more Republican-leaning than Staunton city, VA itself (D+13.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Augusta County, VA398R+47.3
- Waynesboro city, VA91R+5.7
- Harrisonburg city, VA65D+25.2
- Rockingham County, VA55R+36.8
- Albemarle County, VA39D+33.9
- Rockbridge County, VA28R+33.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Augusta County, VA445
- Waynesboro city, VA100
- Harrisonburg city, VA46
- Rockingham County, VA41
- Albemarle County, VA21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +277 |
| 2012 | −164 |
| 2013 | +368 |
| 2014 | +184 |
| 2015 | −49 |
| 2016 | −8 |
| 2017 | +184 |
| 2018 | +241 |
| 2019 | +356 |
| 2021 | −127 |
| 2022 | +219 |
| 2023 | −56 |
| 2024 | +361 |
| 2025 | +534 |
Staunton, one of Virginia's 38 independent cities, delivered a 13-point Democratic margin in 2024 — a significant swing from its more competitive posture a decade ago, reflecting broader realignment among small urban centers in the Shenandoah Valley.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 57.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.3 points.
A population of 25,948, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,581 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Waynesboro city and Sangamon County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Staunton city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51790/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.