- Lead
- 22,766
- Total
- 67,224
- vs nation
- D+35.3
- Turnout
- 77.4%
Albemarle County, VA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.4% of 86,730 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 21,662
- Total
- 64,657
- vs nation
- D+29.1
- Turnout
- 80.1%
- Lead
- 14,086
- Total
- 56,726
- vs nation
- D+22.7
- Turnout
- 73.9%
- Lead
- 6,460
- Total
- 53,907
- vs nation
- D+8.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,153
- Total
- 50,921
- vs nation
- D+10.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 899
- Total
- 43,726
- vs nation
- D+4.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,036
- Total
- 36,846
- vs nation
- R+6.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,154
- Total
- 31,228
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+33.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 114,9192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $104,3922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72.1 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+32.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jefferson County, CO · twin score 94.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.4%67,139 participants ÷ 86,730 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.4%–64.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 57,199 | 77,382 | 73.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 53,745 | 78,975 | 68.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 65,266 | 81,482 | 80.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 51,055 | 84,939 | 60.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 67,139 | 86,730 | 77.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
60 precincts · 67,224 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -506 - BAKER-BUTLER506 - BAKER-BUTLER | 2,591 | 1,404 | 88 | 4,083 | 63.5% | 34.4% | D+29.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -405 - MOUNTAIN VIEW405 - MOUNTAIN VIEW | 2,688 | 752 | 68 | 3,508 | 76.6% | 21.4% | D+55.2 |
| Precinct -301 - IVY301 - IVY | 2,467 | 945 | 66 | 3,478 | 70.9% | 27.2% | D+43.8 |
| Precinct -606 - MECHUMS RIVER606 - MECHUMS RIVER | 2,326 | 983 | 91 | 3,400 | 68.4% | 28.9% | D+39.5 |
| Precinct -601 - CROZET601 - CROZET | 2,030 | 1,187 | 58 | 3,275 | 62.0% | 36.2% | D+25.7 |
| Precinct -105 - DUNLORA105 - DUNLORA | 2,403 | 638 | 74 | 3,115 | 77.1% | 20.5% | D+56.7 |
| Precinct -406 - STONE ROBINSON406 - STONE ROBINSON | 1,690 | 1,257 | 77 | 3,024 | 55.9% | 41.6% | D+14.3 |
| Precinct -201 - JACK JOUETT201 - JACK JOUETT | 1,968 | 961 | 45 | 2,974 | 66.2% | 32.3% | D+33.9 |
| Precinct -603 - EARLYSVILLE603 - EARLYSVILLE | 1,647 | 1,183 | 50 | 2,880 | 57.2% | 41.1% | D+16.1 |
| Precinct -604 - BROWNSVILLE604 - BROWNSVILLE | 1,835 | 938 | 58 | 2,831 | 64.8% | 33.1% | D+31.7 |
| Precinct -302 - RED HILL302 - RED HILL | 1,637 | 972 | 54 | 2,663 | 61.5% | 36.5% | D+25.0 |
| Precinct -305 - COUNTRY GREEN305 - COUNTRY GREEN | 1,832 | 665 | 64 | 2,561 | 71.5% | 26.0% | D+45.6 |
| Precinct -503 - HOLLYMEAD503 - HOLLYMEAD | 1,752 | 730 | 64 | 2,546 | 68.8% | 28.7% | D+40.1 |
| Precinct -106 - NORTHSIDE106 - NORTHSIDE | 1,439 | 934 | 46 | 2,419 | 59.5% | 38.6% | D+20.9 |
| Precinct -101 - WOODBROOK101 - WOODBROOK | 1,618 | 726 | 61 | 2,405 | 67.3% | 30.2% | D+37.1 |
| Precinct -203 - GEORGETOWN203 - GEORGETOWN | 1,749 | 493 | 58 | 2,300 | 76.0% | 21.4% | D+54.6 |
| Precinct -507 - PANTOPS507 - PANTOPS | 1,319 | 518 | 56 | 1,893 | 69.7% | 27.4% | D+42.3 |
| Precinct -104 - AGNOR HURT104 - AGNOR HURT | 1,361 | 460 | 61 | 1,882 | 72.3% | 24.4% | D+47.9 |
| Precinct -504 - FREE BRIDGE504 - FREE BRIDGE | 1,357 | 453 | 42 | 1,852 | 73.3% | 24.5% | D+48.8 |
| Precinct -407 - BISCUIT RUN407 - BISCUIT RUN | 1,214 | 379 | 37 | 1,630 | 74.5% | 23.3% | D+51.2 |
| Precinct -202 - UNIVERSITY202 - UNIVERSITY | 1,222 | 264 | 22 | 1,508 | 81.0% | 17.5% | D+63.5 |
| Precinct -401 - SCOTTSVILLE401 - SCOTTSVILLE | 668 | 789 | 23 | 1,480 | 45.1% | 53.3% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct -502 - STONY POINT502 - STONY POINT | 785 | 594 | 22 | 1,401 | 56.0% | 42.4% | D+13.6 |
| Precinct -306 - PORTERS306 - PORTERS | 774 | 548 | 20 | 1,342 | 57.7% | 40.8% | D+16.8 |
| Precinct -501 - KESWICK501 - KESWICK | 745 | 535 | 15 | 1,295 | 57.5% | 41.3% | D+16.2 |
| Precinct -402 - MONTICELLO402 - MONTICELLO | 576 | 688 | 19 | 1,283 | 44.9% | 53.6% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -602 - FREE UNION602 - FREE UNION | 661 | 571 | 23 | 1,255 | 52.7% | 45.5% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct -307 - YELLOW MOUNTAIN307 - YELLOW MOUNTAIN | 659 | 425 | 20 | 1,104 | 59.7% | 38.5% | D+21.2 |
| Precinct -304 - EAST IVY304 - EAST IVY | 629 | 282 | 27 | 938 | 67.1% | 30.1% | D+37.0 |
| Precinct -103 - BRANCHLANDS103 - BRANCHLANDS | 637 | 239 | 23 | 899 | 70.9% | 26.6% | D+44.3 |
| Agnor-Hurt51003000104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Baker-Butler51003000506 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Biscuit Run51003000499 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Branchlands51003000103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brownsville51003000604 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Country Green51003000305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crozet51003000601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dunlora51003000105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Earlysville51003000603 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Ivy51003000304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Free Bridge51003000504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Free Union51003000602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Georgetown51003000203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hollymead51003000503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ivy51003000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jack Jouett51003000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Keswick51003000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mechums River51003000606 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Monticello51003000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mountain View51003000405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northside51003000106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pantops51003000599 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Porters51003000306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Red Hill51003000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Scottsville51003000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stone Robinson51003000406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stony Point51003000502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| University51003000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodbrook51003000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Yellow Mountain51003000307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +21.0% |
| 1896 | +15.4% |
| 1900 | +18.0% |
| 1904 | +54.6% |
| 1908 | +44.0% |
| 1912 | +71.3% |
| 1916 | +72.1% |
| 1920 | +49.2% |
| 1924 | +56.4% |
| 1928 | +30.0% |
| 1932 | +57.8% |
| 1936 | +48.2% |
| 1940 | +34.3% |
| 1944 | +28.2% |
| 1948 | +7.9% |
| 1952 | −21.1% |
| 1956 | −25.0% |
| 1960 | −19.6% |
| 1964 | −3.0% |
| 1968 | −26.7% |
| 1972 | −32.0% |
| 1976 | −10.7% |
| 1980 | −16.0% |
| 1984 | −28.7% |
| 1988 | −18.5% |
| 1992 | −0.0% |
| 1996 | −3.7% |
| 2000 | −5.5% |
| 2004 | +2.1% |
| 2008 | +18.0% |
| 2012 | +12.0% |
| 2016 | +24.8% |
| 2020 | +33.5% |
| 2024 | +33.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 77,191 |
| 2018 | 78,223 |
| 2020 | 81,669 |
| 2022 | 84,366 |
| 2024 | 88,740 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+623 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +7,973 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $100,648 in average income, against $164,083 for residents who stayed — 39% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+31.3 on average — 2.6 points more Republican-leaning than Albemarle County, VA itself (D+33.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Charlottesville city, VA871D+68.3
- Fluvanna County, VA186R+6.2
- Fairfax County, VA162D+34.7
- Greene County, VA119R+24.6
- Henrico County, VA81D+28.7
- Orange County, VA75R+24.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Charlottesville city, VA665
- Fluvanna County, VA218
- Greene County, VA181
- Richmond city, VA145
- Waynesboro city, VA135
- Fairfax County, VA118
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +392 |
| 2012 | +612 |
| 2013 | +239 |
| 2014 | +694 |
| 2015 | +664 |
| 2016 | +575 |
| 2017 | +741 |
| 2018 | +312 |
| 2019 | +656 |
| 2021 | +1,122 |
| 2022 | +384 |
| 2023 | +266 |
| 2024 | +693 |
| 2025 | +623 |
Albemarle wraps around Charlottesville and anchors its politics to the University of Virginia's academic workforce and student population, producing presidential margins that routinely exceed 30 points Democratic in a state that trends competitive statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.1 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 32.0 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 33.9 points.
A population of 114,919, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $104,392 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jefferson County and Larimer County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Albemarle County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.