Of the 100 counties most defined by bachelor’s+, 21 voted Republican and 79 Democratic in 2024 — a median of D+25.8, and as a group they shifted −2.8 points toward Republicans from 2020 to 2024.

Median 2024 margin

D+25.8

top 100 counties

2024 split

21 R · 79 D

of the top counties

Shift since 2020

−2.8 pts

toward R

Link to the vote

r = +0.59

moderate · D

Median income

$109,855

55% college

Does bachelor’s+ move the vote?

Every U.S. county, plotted by how much of the community lives there against its 2024 presidential margin — the demographic dial on one axis, the political one on the other.

how bachelor’s+ tracks the vote

Across every county, the more bachelor’s+ a county is, the more Democratic it votes — a moderate relationship (r = +0.59).

Median 2024 presidential margin by Bachelor’s+ share, across every county.
Bachelor’s+ range	Counties	Median margin
10.9% – 13.6%	224	R+55.0
13.6% – 16.3%	339	R+54.7
16.3% – 19.0%	395	R+52.9
19.0% – 21.8%	413	R+45.2
21.8% – 24.5%	318	R+42.3
24.5% – 27.2%	234	R+36.8
27.2% – 29.9%	180	R+30.4
29.9% – 32.6%	157	R+22.2
32.6% – 35.3%	134	R+21.0
35.3% – 38.0%	99	R+7.7
38.0% – 40.7%	82	R+2.3
40.7% – 43.4%	62	R+0.4
43.4% – 46.2%	43	D+10.4
46.2% – 48.9%	30	D+20.4
48.9% – 51.6%	36	D+6.5
51.6% – 54.3%	79	D+33.9

Where bachelor’s+ concentrates

Every county shaded by bachelor’s+ — deep where the community clusters, pale at the other end. Counties below 5,000 population are suppressed.

10.9%Bachelor’s+54.3%+

The leaderboard

Ranked most to least by bachelor’s+. Filter by region or state, switch the column lens, cap the list, and sort on any figure.

Show

Region

State

Columns

Top

100 of 150 counties shown. Sorted by metric. Sources: U.S. Census ACS 2024 5-year · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) · MIT Election Lab.
#
1	Falls Church city, VA	80.5%	D D+61.6	−2.6	9,062
2	Arlington County, VA	77.1%	D D+58.1	−5.5	129,561
3	Los Alamos County, NM	69.7%	D D+30.2	+3.5	12,187
4	Alexandria city, VA	66.2%	D D+57.1	−5.5	80,904
5	Fairfax County, VA	65.0%	D D+34.7	−7.2	589,427
6	San Miguel County, CO	64.9%	D D+49.4	−4.7	4,804
7	Gunnison County, CO	64.7%	D D+29.2	−1.8	10,942
8	Loudoun County, VA	64.6%	D D+16.2	−8.8	229,692
9	Howard County, MD	64.5%	D D+41.3	−2.9	182,291
10	Boulder County, CO	64.2%	D D+55.7	−0.8	196,304
11	District of Columbia, DC	64.2%	D D+83.8	−2.9	325,869
12	New York County, NY	64.2%	D D+64.2	−10.3	654,372
13	Pitkin County, CO	62.8%	D D+44.2	−7.7	11,169
14	Williamson County, TN	62.7%	R R+32.4	−6.3	144,668
15	Charlottesville city, VA	62.5%	D D+68.3	−4.4	23,434
16	Fairfax city, VA	62.4%	D D+33.1	−5.2	13,567
17	Douglas County, CO	62.0%	R R+7.0	+0.2	243,892
18	Hamilton County, IN	61.9%	R R+6.1	+0.7	196,727
19	Orange County, NC	61.8%	D D+50.8	−0.2	87,807
20	Marin County, CA	61.1%	D D+63.9	−2.6	144,113
21	Albemarle County, VA	61.1%	D D+33.9	+0.4	67,224
22	Teton County, WY	61.1%	D D+34.7	−2.8	13,286
23	Montgomery County, MD	60.6%	D D+52.8	−6.9	519,221
24	San Francisco County, CA	60.3%	D D+64.8	−7.7	402,964
25	Broomfield County, CO	60.3%	D D+28.5	+1.1	46,848
26	Summit County, UT	59.8%	D D+14.8	−4.2	25,876
27	Middlesex County, MA	59.5%	D D+39.2	−5.7	814,832
28	Delaware County, OH	59.4%	R R+6.6	+0.2	133,392
29	Norfolk County, MA	58.8%	D D+28.5	−7.5	386,447
30	Tompkins County, NY	58.8%	D D+50.0	+0.8	46,532
31	Washtenaw County, MI	58.7%	D D+44.4	−2.2	221,542
32	Fulton County, GA	58.5%	D D+44.9	−1.6	535,238
33	Morris County, NJ	57.8%	R R+2.7	−7.0	284,666
34	Somerset County, NJ	57.8%	D D+13.9	−7.3	177,412
35	Johnson County, KS	57.6%	D D+8.5	+0.2	343,780
36	Clear Creek County, CO	57.5%	D D+16.6	+3.6	6,102
37	Hunterdon County, NJ	57.4%	R R+6.7	−2.2	80,925
38	Wake County, NC	57.2%	D D+25.4	−1.0	653,580
39	Forsyth County, GA	57.1%	R R+33.1	+0.1	138,249
40	Chester County, PA	57.1%	D D+14.5	−2.7	324,964
41	Chittenden County, VT	56.8%	D D+53.1	−1.4	97,329
42	King County, WA	56.7%	D D+51.3	−1.4	1,130,502
43	Travis County, TX	56.6%	D D+39.3	−5.7	581,276
44	Santa Clara County, CA	56.5%	D D+40.0	−7.5	750,433
45	Denver County, CO	56.5%	D D+56.1	−5.3	363,519
46	Ouray County, CO	56.5%	D D+21.2	+1.6	4,098
47	Nantucket County, MA	56.3%	D D+36.7	−8.6	7,118
48	Collin County, TX	56.2%	R R+11.1	−6.8	515,585
49	Oconee County, GA	55.9%	R R+35.9	−2.4	27,287
50	Western Connecticut Planning Region, CT	55.5%	D D+18.0	−7.3	295,927
51	Dane County, WI	55.3%	D D+51.5	−1.1	365,929
52	Johnson County, IA	55.2%	D D+37.8	−5.4	86,644
53	Durham County, NC	55.2%	D D+61.7	−0.7	180,912
54	Summit County, CO	55.0%	D D+37.2	−2.4	17,545
55	Albany County, WY	55.0%	R R+3.1	−5.9	17,877
56	Story County, IA	54.8%	D D+10.3	−7.0	49,526
57	Gallatin County, MT	54.3%	D D+3.2	−4.3	69,897
58	Routt County, CO	54.2%	D D+27.7	+0.1	16,335
59	Benton County, OR	54.2%	D D+39.3	−0.4	50,232
60	Hennepin County, MN	54.1%	D D+42.4	−0.8	720,166
61	Newport County, RI	54.1%	D D+25.5	−4.3	44,349
62	San Juan County, WA	53.9%	D D+51.1	+0.6	13,006
63	San Mateo County, CA	53.7%	D D+50.3	−7.4	330,510
64	Douglas County, KS	53.2%	D D+38.0	−1.5	58,041
65	Bergen County, NJ	53.1%	D D+3.4	−13.1	459,077
66	Westchester County, NY	53.1%	D D+26.1	−10.1	457,838
67	Larimer County, CO	53.0%	D D+17.6	+2.2	225,654
68	Cumberland County, ME	53.0%	D D+35.3	−0.0	192,656
69	Montgomery County, PA	53.0%	D D+22.8	−3.5	520,906
70	Bristol County, RI	53.0%	D D+26.4	−2.9	28,117
71	Gilpin County, CO	52.8%	D D+12.7	+3.4	4,130
72	Washington County, RI	52.4%	D D+15.0	−4.4	75,556
73	Alameda County, CA	52.2%	D D+53.6	−8.6	669,800
74	Jefferson County, CO	52.0%	D D+19.5	+0.9	361,716
75	Dukes County, MA	51.9%	D D+52.4	−4.2	12,209
76	DuPage County, IL	51.8%	D D+13.1	−4.8	456,882
77	Leelanau County, MI	51.8%	D D+7.8	+2.6	17,685
78	Boone County, IN	51.7%	R R+16.0	+2.5	40,109
79	Hampshire County, MA	51.6%	D D+41.7	−4.8	84,720
80	Dallas County, IA	51.5%	R R+4.7	−2.7	62,961
81	Boone County, MO	51.5%	D D+9.7	−2.8	90,110
82	Monmouth County, NJ	51.3%	R R+11.4	−8.6	360,143
83	Wasatch County, UT	51.3%	R R+27.4	−1.5	18,354
84	Ozaukee County, WI	51.2%	R R+10.4	+1.6	63,472
85	Oakland County, MI	51.0%	D D+10.6	−3.5	772,145
86	James City County, VA	51.0%	D D+6.2	+1.3	51,274
87	Eagle County, CO	50.9%	D D+24.4	−5.4	27,805
88	St. Johns County, FL	50.9%	R R+31.3	−4.7	197,457
89	Cobb County, GA	50.8%	D D+14.9	+0.6	401,369
90	Lexington city, VA	50.7%	D D+26.4	−5.6	2,895
91	Suffolk County, MA	50.6%	D D+52.1	−10.8	299,193
92	Carver County, MN	50.4%	R R+5.4	−0.5	69,160
93	Charleston County, SC	50.3%	D D+5.7	−7.2	214,521
94	Fort Bend County, TX	50.2%	D D+1.6	−9.0	362,524
95	York County, VA	50.0%	R R+6.1	+0.5	39,749
96	Fayette County, GA	49.9%	R R+3.2	+3.6	74,633
97	Teton County, ID	49.9%	D D+6.8	−0.4	6,698
98	Whitman County, WA	49.8%	D D+8.9	−1.1	20,027
99	Nassau County, NY	49.7%	R R+4.2	−13.7	712,299
100	Madison County, MS	49.6%	R R+17.3	−5.5	55,710

Source. Demographics — U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year (ancestry B04006, language C16001, income B19013/B19001, education S1501, poverty S1701); adherence — 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB); density — Census TIGER land area · counties and cities ≥ 5,000 population, ranked by bachelor’s+; the medians are taken across the 100 top counties; the correlation is over all 2,825 eligible counties. Presidential results are two-party margins (MIT Election Lab); city results are precinct-derived for 2008–2024. A place can be demographically homogeneous and politically split — which is exactly what these tables are built to show. Real returns — nothing estimated.