- Lead
- 24,689
- Total
- 177,412
- vs nation
- D+15.4
- Turnout
- 74.7%
Somerset County, NJ
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.7% of 240,836 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 39,177
- Total
- 184,810
- vs nation
- D+16.7
- Turnout
- 82.8%
- Lead
- 20,184
- Total
- 157,092
- vs nation
- D+10.8
- Turnout
- 71.6%
- Lead
- 7,989
- Total
- 143,180
- vs nation
- D+1.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,236
- Total
- 151,078
- vs nation
- R+1.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,032
- Total
- 140,279
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,493
- Total
- 120,377
- vs nation
- R+3.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,196
- Total
- 112,929
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+13.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 349,8462024 5-year
- Median household income
- $140,3742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.2 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.4 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Morris County, NJ · twin score 95.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.7%179,794 participants ÷ 240,836 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +33.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.5%–52.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 160,545 | 224,071 | 71.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 138,293 | 225,865 | 61.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 189,233 | 228,462 | 82.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 118,909 | 239,216 | 49.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 179,794 | 240,836 | 74.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
267 precincts · 178,343 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Franklin W 2 D 11Franklin W 2 D 11 | 1,284 | 684 | 45 | 2,013 | 63.8% | 34.0% | D+29.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 9Hillsborough D 9 | 635 | 440 | 40 | 1,115 | 57.0% | 39.5% | D+17.5 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 27Hillsborough D 27 | 627 | 449 | 30 | 1,106 | 56.7% | 40.6% | D+16.1 |
| Precinct -Somerville D 8Somerville D 8 | 764 | 308 | 33 | 1,105 | 69.1% | 27.9% | D+41.3 |
| Precinct -Raritan D 2Raritan D 2 | 485 | 561 | 17 | 1,063 | 45.6% | 52.8% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 18Montgomery D 18 | 726 | 277 | 29 | 1,032 | 70.3% | 26.8% | D+43.5 |
| Precinct -Warren D 12Warren D 12 | 526 | 485 | 15 | 1,026 | 51.3% | 47.3% | D+4.0 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 4Hillsborough D 4 | 540 | 452 | 32 | 1,024 | 52.7% | 44.1% | D+8.6 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 7Montgomery D 7 | 596 | 371 | 29 | 996 | 59.8% | 37.2% | D+22.6 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 7Hillsborough D 7 | 415 | 535 | 21 | 971 | 42.7% | 55.1% | R+12.4 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 35Hillsborough D 35 | 589 | 351 | 28 | 968 | 60.8% | 36.3% | D+24.6 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 1Bridgewater D 1 | 516 | 391 | 30 | 937 | 55.1% | 41.7% | D+13.3 |
| Precinct -Warren D 7Warren D 7 | 444 | 468 | 13 | 925 | 48.0% | 50.6% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 35Bridgewater D 35 | 571 | 317 | 20 | 908 | 62.9% | 34.9% | D+28.0 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 10Bridgewater D 10 | 446 | 430 | 16 | 892 | 50.0% | 48.2% | D+1.8 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 2Bridgewater D 2 | 329 | 531 | 20 | 880 | 37.4% | 60.3% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 5Bridgewater D 5 | 548 | 301 | 31 | 880 | 62.3% | 34.2% | D+28.1 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 6Branchburg D 6 | 398 | 460 | 19 | 877 | 45.4% | 52.5% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 8Branchburg D 8 | 388 | 464 | 25 | 877 | 44.2% | 52.9% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -Raritan D 1Raritan D 1 | 455 | 398 | 18 | 871 | 52.2% | 45.7% | D+6.5 |
| Precinct -Peapack-Gladstone D 1Peapack-Gladstone D 1 | 411 | 415 | 23 | 849 | 48.4% | 48.9% | R+0.5 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 19Bernards D 19 | 427 | 407 | 14 | 848 | 50.4% | 48.0% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 10Bernards D 10 | 455 | 357 | 26 | 838 | 54.3% | 42.6% | D+11.7 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 1 D 3Franklin W 1 D 3 | 482 | 251 | 104 | 837 | 57.6% | 30.0% | D+27.6 |
| Precinct -Warren D 5Warren D 5 | 343 | 472 | 18 | 833 | 41.2% | 56.7% | R+15.5 |
| Precinct -Watchung D 2Watchung D 2 | 415 | 379 | 39 | 833 | 49.8% | 45.5% | D+4.3 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 28Hillsborough D 28 | 447 | 359 | 25 | 831 | 53.8% | 43.2% | D+10.6 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 2 D 18Franklin W 2 D 18 | 514 | 293 | 22 | 829 | 62.0% | 35.3% | D+26.7 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 3Hillsborough D 3 | 407 | 402 | 20 | 829 | 49.1% | 48.5% | D+0.6 |
| Precinct -Green Brook D 3Green Brook D 3 | 393 | 412 | 18 | 823 | 47.8% | 50.1% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 1 D 4Franklin W 1 D 4 | 533 | 237 | 51 | 821 | 64.9% | 28.9% | D+36.1 |
| Precinct -Warren D 3Warren D 3 | 412 | 377 | 25 | 814 | 50.6% | 46.3% | D+4.3 |
| Precinct -Green Brook D 1Green Brook D 1 | 383 | 398 | 28 | 809 | 47.3% | 49.2% | R+1.9 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 5Hillsborough D 5 | 397 | 388 | 23 | 808 | 49.1% | 48.0% | D+1.1 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 16Bridgewater D 16 | 346 | 446 | 15 | 807 | 42.9% | 55.3% | R+12.4 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 36Bridgewater D 36 | 502 | 287 | 18 | 807 | 62.2% | 35.6% | D+26.6 |
| Precinct -Bedminster D 5Bedminster D 5 | 412 | 377 | 16 | 805 | 51.2% | 46.8% | D+4.3 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 4Bridgewater D 4 | 421 | 368 | 16 | 805 | 52.3% | 45.7% | D+6.6 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 20Bridgewater D 20 | 408 | 371 | 20 | 799 | 51.1% | 46.4% | D+4.6 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 34Bridgewater D 34 | 407 | 368 | 24 | 799 | 50.9% | 46.1% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 1 D 2Franklin W 1 D 2 | 476 | 278 | 45 | 799 | 59.6% | 34.8% | D+24.8 |
| Precinct -Watchung D 4Watchung D 4 | 353 | 418 | 26 | 797 | 44.3% | 52.4% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 9Bernards D 9 | 407 | 347 | 30 | 784 | 51.9% | 44.3% | D+7.7 |
| Precinct -Warren D 10Warren D 10 | 338 | 409 | 29 | 776 | 43.6% | 52.7% | R+9.1 |
| Precinct -Warren D 13Warren D 13 | 332 | 399 | 39 | 770 | 43.1% | 51.8% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 2Branchburg D 2 | 316 | 430 | 23 | 769 | 41.1% | 55.9% | R+14.8 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 12Bernards D 12 | 370 | 362 | 34 | 766 | 48.3% | 47.3% | D+1.0 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 14Hillsborough D 14 | 411 | 327 | 26 | 764 | 53.8% | 42.8% | D+11.0 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 3Bridgewater D 3 | 379 | 369 | 12 | 760 | 49.9% | 48.6% | D+1.3 |
| Precinct -Watchung D 1Watchung D 1 | 344 | 393 | 23 | 760 | 45.3% | 51.7% | R+6.4 |
| Precinct -Warren D 11Warren D 11 | 385 | 359 | 13 | 757 | 50.9% | 47.4% | D+3.4 |
| Precinct -Somerville D 3Somerville D 3 | 507 | 217 | 30 | 754 | 67.2% | 28.8% | D+38.5 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 17Montgomery D 17 | 495 | 216 | 42 | 753 | 65.7% | 28.7% | D+37.1 |
| Precinct -Manville D 5Manville D 5 | 301 | 430 | 21 | 752 | 40.0% | 57.2% | R+17.2 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 2 D 22Franklin W 2 D 22 | 521 | 207 | 23 | 751 | 69.4% | 27.6% | D+41.8 |
| Precinct -Warren D 4Warren D 4 | 336 | 394 | 20 | 750 | 44.8% | 52.5% | R+7.7 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 13Bernards D 13 | 382 | 348 | 19 | 749 | 51.0% | 46.5% | D+4.5 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 5Bernards D 5 | 361 | 369 | 19 | 749 | 48.2% | 49.3% | R+1.1 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 7Branchburg D 7 | 340 | 390 | 19 | 749 | 45.4% | 52.1% | R+6.7 |
| Precinct -Bernardsville D 1Bernardsville D 1 | 399 | 317 | 30 | 746 | 53.5% | 42.5% | D+11.0 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 31Bridgewater D 31 | 386 | 341 | 19 | 746 | 51.7% | 45.7% | D+6.0 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 11Montgomery D 11 | 428 | 304 | 14 | 746 | 57.4% | 40.8% | D+16.6 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 8Montgomery D 8 | 474 | 245 | 27 | 746 | 63.5% | 32.8% | D+30.7 |
| Precinct -Somerville D 5Somerville D 5 | 457 | 254 | 35 | 746 | 61.3% | 34.0% | D+27.2 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 3 D 31Franklin W 3 D 31 | 535 | 170 | 38 | 743 | 72.0% | 22.9% | D+49.1 |
| Precinct -Bedminster D 6Bedminster D 6 | 364 | 371 | 7 | 742 | 49.1% | 50.0% | R+0.9 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 2 D 12Franklin W 2 D 12 | 443 | 287 | 11 | 741 | 59.8% | 38.7% | D+21.1 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 15Montgomery D 15 | 441 | 263 | 36 | 740 | 59.6% | 35.5% | D+24.1 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 12Bridgewater D 12 | 340 | 377 | 22 | 739 | 46.0% | 51.0% | R+5.0 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 22Bridgewater D 22 | 386 | 339 | 14 | 739 | 52.2% | 45.9% | D+6.4 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 8Bernards D 8 | 394 | 324 | 20 | 738 | 53.4% | 43.9% | D+9.5 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 24Bridgewater D 24 | 348 | 371 | 17 | 736 | 47.3% | 50.4% | R+3.1 |
| Precinct -Bound Brook D 1Bound Brook D 1 | 408 | 294 | 33 | 735 | 55.5% | 40.0% | D+15.5 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 23Bridgewater D 23 | 397 | 325 | 13 | 735 | 54.0% | 44.2% | D+9.8 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 1Branchburg D 1 | 366 | 347 | 21 | 734 | 49.9% | 47.3% | D+2.6 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 1 D 10Franklin W 1 D 10 | 426 | 232 | 75 | 733 | 58.1% | 31.7% | D+26.5 |
| Precinct -Warren D 6Warren D 6 | 358 | 356 | 19 | 733 | 48.8% | 48.6% | D+0.3 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 15Bridgewater D 15 | 344 | 367 | 19 | 730 | 47.1% | 50.3% | R+3.2 |
| Precinct -North Plainfield D 11North Plainfield D 11 | 506 | 200 | 24 | 730 | 69.3% | 27.4% | D+41.9 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 4 D 39Franklin W 4 D 39 | 527 | 183 | 19 | 729 | 72.3% | 25.1% | D+47.2 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 2Montgomery D 2 | 480 | 215 | 33 | 728 | 65.9% | 29.5% | D+36.4 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 11Bernards D 11 | 372 | 322 | 30 | 724 | 51.4% | 44.5% | D+6.9 |
| Precinct -North Plainfield D 7North Plainfield D 7 | 462 | 251 | 9 | 722 | 64.0% | 34.8% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 5 D 23Franklin W 5 D 23 | 467 | 229 | 25 | 721 | 64.8% | 31.8% | D+33.0 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 13Branchburg D 13 | 257 | 448 | 15 | 720 | 35.7% | 62.2% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 9Branchburg D 9 | 375 | 327 | 18 | 720 | 52.1% | 45.4% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 18Bernards D 18 | 373 | 330 | 13 | 716 | 52.1% | 46.1% | D+6.0 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 11Branchburg D 11 | 329 | 371 | 15 | 715 | 46.0% | 51.9% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -Somerville D 7Somerville D 7 | 456 | 236 | 22 | 714 | 63.9% | 33.1% | D+30.8 |
| Precinct -Bernardsville D 2Bernardsville D 2 | 362 | 328 | 23 | 713 | 50.8% | 46.0% | D+4.8 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 26Bridgewater D 26 | 371 | 322 | 19 | 712 | 52.1% | 45.2% | D+6.9 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 3 D 17Franklin W 3 D 17 | 451 | 250 | 10 | 711 | 63.4% | 35.2% | D+28.3 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 5 D 44Franklin W 5 D 44 | 498 | 196 | 17 | 711 | 70.0% | 27.6% | D+42.5 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 25Hillsborough D 25 | 401 | 293 | 17 | 711 | 56.4% | 41.2% | D+15.2 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 33Hillsborough D 33 | 380 | 300 | 31 | 711 | 53.4% | 42.2% | D+11.3 |
| Precinct -Warren D 9Warren D 9 | 267 | 415 | 27 | 709 | 37.7% | 58.5% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -North Plainfield D 10North Plainfield D 10 | 443 | 241 | 24 | 708 | 62.6% | 34.0% | D+28.5 |
| Precinct -Somerville D 4Somerville D 4 | 389 | 305 | 14 | 708 | 54.9% | 43.1% | D+11.9 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 17Hillsborough D 17 | 375 | 300 | 31 | 706 | 53.1% | 42.5% | D+10.6 |
| Precinct -Watchung D 5Watchung D 5 | 408 | 281 | 16 | 705 | 57.9% | 39.9% | D+18.0 |
| Precinct -South Bound Brook D 1South Bound Brook D 1 | 372 | 307 | 25 | 704 | 52.8% | 43.6% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 25Bridgewater D 25 | 355 | 331 | 17 | 703 | 50.5% | 47.1% | D+3.4 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 17Bernards D 17 | 375 | 311 | 16 | 702 | 53.4% | 44.3% | D+9.1 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 32Bridgewater D 32 | 357 | 316 | 28 | 701 | 50.9% | 45.1% | D+5.8 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 5Montgomery D 5 | 443 | 221 | 37 | 701 | 63.2% | 31.5% | D+31.7 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 9Montgomery D 9 | 423 | 242 | 36 | 701 | 60.3% | 34.5% | D+25.8 |
| Precinct -Peapack-Gladstone D 2Peapack-Gladstone D 2 | 345 | 335 | 21 | 701 | 49.2% | 47.8% | D+1.4 |
| Precinct -South Bound Brook D 2South Bound Brook D 2 | 405 | 259 | 36 | 700 | 57.9% | 37.0% | D+20.9 |
| Precinct -Bernardsville D 4Bernardsville D 4 | 364 | 320 | 15 | 699 | 52.1% | 45.8% | D+6.3 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 7Bridgewater D 7 | 353 | 319 | 26 | 698 | 50.6% | 45.7% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 5 D 51Franklin W 5 D 51 | 433 | 234 | 28 | 695 | 62.3% | 33.7% | D+28.6 |
| Precinct -North Plainfield D 2North Plainfield D 2 | 491 | 190 | 14 | 695 | 70.6% | 27.3% | D+43.3 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 2 D 16Franklin W 2 D 16 | 469 | 211 | 14 | 694 | 67.6% | 30.4% | D+37.2 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 2 D 15Franklin W 2 D 15 | 454 | 216 | 23 | 693 | 65.5% | 31.2% | D+34.3 |
| Precinct -Bernardsville D 6Bernardsville D 6 | 305 | 374 | 12 | 691 | 44.1% | 54.1% | R+10.0 |
| Precinct -Manville D 4Manville D 4 | 267 | 404 | 20 | 691 | 38.6% | 58.5% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 2Bernards D 2 | 395 | 275 | 20 | 690 | 57.2% | 39.9% | D+17.4 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 18Bridgewater D 18 | 344 | 318 | 23 | 685 | 50.2% | 46.4% | D+3.8 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 19Bridgewater D 19 | 318 | 354 | 11 | 683 | 46.6% | 51.8% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 15Bernards D 15 | 356 | 298 | 27 | 681 | 52.3% | 43.8% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 7Bernards D 7 | 368 | 291 | 20 | 679 | 54.2% | 42.9% | D+11.3 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 3 D 26Franklin W 3 D 26 | 370 | 271 | 37 | 678 | 54.6% | 40.0% | D+14.6 |
| Precinct -Green Brook D 4Green Brook D 4 | 331 | 323 | 22 | 676 | 49.0% | 47.8% | D+1.2 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 13Montgomery D 13 | 431 | 212 | 31 | 674 | 63.9% | 31.5% | D+32.5 |
| Precinct -Manville D 1Manville D 1 | 248 | 411 | 9 | 668 | 37.1% | 61.5% | R+24.4 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 19Hillsborough D 19 | 388 | 261 | 18 | 667 | 58.2% | 39.1% | D+19.0 |
| Precinct -Bedminster D 7Bedminster D 7 | 316 | 326 | 23 | 665 | 47.5% | 49.0% | R+1.5 |
| Precinct -Raritan D 4Raritan D 4 | 313 | 338 | 13 | 664 | 47.1% | 50.9% | R+3.8 |
| Precinct -Raritan D 5Raritan D 5 | 308 | 340 | 11 | 659 | 46.7% | 51.6% | R+4.9 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 26Hillsborough D 26 | 349 | 286 | 22 | 657 | 53.1% | 43.5% | D+9.6 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 11Bridgewater D 11 | 319 | 314 | 23 | 656 | 48.6% | 47.9% | D+0.8 |
| Precinct -Green Brook D 5Green Brook D 5 | 339 | 286 | 31 | 656 | 51.7% | 43.6% | D+8.1 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 15Hillsborough D 15 | 370 | 270 | 15 | 655 | 56.5% | 41.2% | D+15.3 |
| Precinct -Watchung D 3Watchung D 3 | 299 | 332 | 22 | 653 | 45.8% | 50.8% | R+5.1 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 6Bridgewater D 6 | 320 | 315 | 17 | 652 | 49.1% | 48.3% | D+0.8 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 1 D 7Franklin W 1 D 7 | 442 | 190 | 18 | 650 | 68.0% | 29.2% | D+38.8 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 4 D 38Franklin W 4 D 38 | 455 | 184 | 11 | 650 | 70.0% | 28.3% | D+41.7 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 3 D 28Franklin W 3 D 28 | 368 | 259 | 22 | 649 | 56.7% | 39.9% | D+16.8 |
| Precinct -Bernardsville D 3Bernardsville D 3 | 358 | 271 | 18 | 647 | 55.3% | 41.9% | D+13.4 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 30Bridgewater D 30 | 320 | 313 | 13 | 646 | 49.5% | 48.5% | D+1.1 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 33Bridgewater D 33 | 345 | 282 | 19 | 646 | 53.4% | 43.7% | D+9.8 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 34Hillsborough D 34 | 317 | 317 | 12 | 646 | 49.1% | 49.1% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -Franklin W 3 D 19Franklin W 3 D 19 | 448 | 190 | 7 | 645 | 69.5% | 29.5% | D+40.0 |
| Precinct -North Plainfield D 6North Plainfield D 6 | 455 | 177 | 13 | 645 | 70.5% | 27.4% | D+43.1 |
| Precinct -Warren D 8Warren D 8 | 283 | 355 | 6 | 644 | 43.9% | 55.1% | R+11.2 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 3 D 27Franklin W 3 D 27 | 376 | 233 | 33 | 642 | 58.6% | 36.3% | D+22.3 |
| Precinct -North Plainfield D 5North Plainfield D 5 | 418 | 211 | 13 | 642 | 65.1% | 32.9% | D+32.2 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 24Hillsborough D 24 | 369 | 255 | 17 | 641 | 57.6% | 39.8% | D+17.8 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 6Bernards D 6 | 305 | 317 | 17 | 639 | 47.7% | 49.6% | R+1.9 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 29Hillsborough D 29 | 340 | 274 | 24 | 638 | 53.3% | 42.9% | D+10.3 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 12Montgomery D 12 | 371 | 225 | 41 | 637 | 58.2% | 35.3% | D+22.9 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 28Bridgewater D 28 | 372 | 243 | 21 | 636 | 58.5% | 38.2% | D+20.3 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 2 D 21Franklin W 2 D 21 | 443 | 172 | 21 | 636 | 69.7% | 27.0% | D+42.6 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 5 D 50Franklin W 5 D 50 | 441 | 175 | 20 | 636 | 69.3% | 27.5% | D+41.8 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 5 D 46Franklin W 5 D 46 | 457 | 157 | 20 | 634 | 72.1% | 24.8% | D+47.3 |
| Precinct -North Plainfield D 8North Plainfield D 8 | 387 | 221 | 26 | 634 | 61.0% | 34.9% | D+26.2 |
| Precinct -North Plainfield D 9North Plainfield D 9 | 408 | 206 | 20 | 634 | 64.4% | 32.5% | D+31.9 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 14Bernards D 14 | 359 | 253 | 21 | 633 | 56.7% | 40.0% | D+16.7 |
| Precinct -Somerville D 2Somerville D 2 | 403 | 216 | 13 | 632 | 63.8% | 34.2% | D+29.6 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 13Hillsborough D 13 | 351 | 250 | 25 | 626 | 56.1% | 39.9% | D+16.1 |
| Precinct -Manville D 6Manville D 6 | 237 | 380 | 9 | 626 | 37.9% | 60.7% | R+22.8 |
| Precinct -Bernardsville D 7Bernardsville D 7 | 307 | 300 | 15 | 622 | 49.4% | 48.2% | D+1.1 |
| Precinct -Manville D 2Manville D 2 | 274 | 332 | 16 | 622 | 44.1% | 53.4% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 21Hillsborough D 21 | 357 | 245 | 17 | 619 | 57.7% | 39.6% | D+18.1 |
| Precinct -Bound Brook D 3Bound Brook D 3 | 369 | 229 | 20 | 618 | 59.7% | 37.1% | D+22.7 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 32Hillsborough D 32 | 357 | 250 | 11 | 618 | 57.8% | 40.5% | D+17.3 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 2 D 13Franklin W 2 D 13 | 323 | 276 | 14 | 613 | 52.7% | 45.0% | D+7.7 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 5Branchburg D 5 | 270 | 335 | 7 | 612 | 44.1% | 54.7% | R+10.6 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 4 D 40Franklin W 4 D 40 | 517 | 87 | 8 | 612 | 84.5% | 14.2% | D+70.3 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 20Bernards D 20 | 318 | 277 | 16 | 611 | 52.0% | 45.3% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct -Bernardsville D 5Bernardsville D 5 | 276 | 321 | 14 | 611 | 45.2% | 52.5% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 3Bernards D 3 | 346 | 256 | 8 | 610 | 56.7% | 42.0% | D+14.8 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 9Bridgewater D 9 | 295 | 295 | 19 | 609 | 48.4% | 48.4% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 18Hillsborough D 18 | 314 | 273 | 20 | 607 | 51.7% | 45.0% | D+6.8 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 22Hillsborough D 22 | 329 | 266 | 12 | 607 | 54.2% | 43.8% | D+10.4 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 23Hillsborough D 23 | 327 | 272 | 8 | 607 | 53.9% | 44.8% | D+9.1 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 8Bridgewater D 8 | 295 | 299 | 11 | 605 | 48.8% | 49.4% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -Far Hills D 1Far Hills D 1 | 237 | 349 | 19 | 605 | 39.2% | 57.7% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 13Bridgewater D 13 | 348 | 236 | 20 | 604 | 57.6% | 39.1% | D+18.5 |
| Precinct -North Plainfield D 4North Plainfield D 4 | 397 | 193 | 11 | 601 | 66.1% | 32.1% | D+33.9 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 14Bridgewater D 14 | 299 | 292 | 9 | 600 | 49.8% | 48.7% | D+1.2 |
| Precinct -Warren D 1Warren D 1 | 300 | 270 | 30 | 600 | 50.0% | 45.0% | D+5.0 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 4 D 25Franklin W 4 D 25 | 395 | 182 | 22 | 599 | 65.9% | 30.4% | D+35.6 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 16Hillsborough D 16 | 324 | 237 | 36 | 597 | 54.3% | 39.7% | D+14.6 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 12Branchburg D 12 | 326 | 245 | 23 | 594 | 54.9% | 41.2% | D+13.6 |
| Precinct -Bound Brook D 4Bound Brook D 4 | 334 | 240 | 17 | 591 | 56.5% | 40.6% | D+15.9 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 3Branchburg D 3 | 261 | 311 | 18 | 590 | 44.2% | 52.7% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 5 D 47Franklin W 5 D 47 | 444 | 130 | 15 | 589 | 75.4% | 22.1% | D+53.3 |
| Precinct -South Bound Brook D 3South Bound Brook D 3 | 283 | 292 | 11 | 586 | 48.3% | 49.8% | R+1.5 |
| Precinct -North Plainfield D 1North Plainfield D 1 | 360 | 211 | 14 | 585 | 61.5% | 36.1% | D+25.5 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 4 D 36Franklin W 4 D 36 | 422 | 126 | 31 | 579 | 72.9% | 21.8% | D+51.1 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 10Montgomery D 10 | 387 | 174 | 18 | 579 | 66.8% | 30.1% | D+36.8 |
| Precinct -Bedminster D 8Bedminster D 8 | 309 | 256 | 12 | 577 | 53.6% | 44.4% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 4 D 42Franklin W 4 D 42 | 445 | 111 | 21 | 577 | 77.1% | 19.2% | D+57.9 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 16Montgomery D 16 | 357 | 189 | 30 | 576 | 62.0% | 32.8% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct -Warren D 2Warren D 2 | 267 | 293 | 16 | 576 | 46.4% | 50.9% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 3 D 33Franklin W 3 D 33 | 373 | 170 | 31 | 574 | 65.0% | 29.6% | D+35.4 |
| Precinct -Green Brook D 2Green Brook D 2 | 273 | 281 | 17 | 571 | 47.8% | 49.2% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 1 D 5Franklin W 1 D 5 | 374 | 174 | 22 | 570 | 65.6% | 30.5% | D+35.1 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 30Hillsborough D 30 | 226 | 321 | 21 | 568 | 39.8% | 56.5% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 19Montgomery D 19 | 388 | 165 | 15 | 568 | 68.3% | 29.0% | D+39.3 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 21Bernards D 21 | 355 | 178 | 33 | 566 | 62.7% | 31.4% | D+31.3 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 20Hillsborough D 20 | 329 | 221 | 16 | 566 | 58.1% | 39.0% | D+19.1 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 3 D 29Franklin W 3 D 29 | 341 | 182 | 42 | 565 | 60.4% | 32.2% | D+28.1 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 4Branchburg D 4 | 283 | 264 | 14 | 561 | 50.4% | 47.1% | D+3.4 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 29Bridgewater D 29 | 301 | 248 | 12 | 561 | 53.7% | 44.2% | D+9.4 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 1 D 8Franklin W 1 D 8 | 406 | 133 | 22 | 561 | 72.4% | 23.7% | D+48.7 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 1 D 9Franklin W 1 D 9 | 374 | 150 | 34 | 558 | 67.0% | 26.9% | D+40.1 |
| Precinct -Somerville D 1Somerville D 1 | 319 | 225 | 14 | 558 | 57.2% | 40.3% | D+16.8 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 5 D 49Franklin W 5 D 49 | 420 | 114 | 21 | 555 | 75.7% | 20.5% | D+55.1 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 1Hillsborough D 1 | 274 | 270 | 9 | 553 | 49.5% | 48.8% | D+0.7 |
| Precinct -Bedminster D 4Bedminster D 4 | 281 | 257 | 13 | 551 | 51.0% | 46.6% | D+4.4 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 24Bernards D 24 | 373 | 159 | 18 | 550 | 67.8% | 28.9% | D+38.9 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 1 D 6Franklin W 1 D 6 | 371 | 149 | 29 | 549 | 67.6% | 27.1% | D+40.4 |
| Precinct -Green Brook D 6Green Brook D 6 | 312 | 212 | 16 | 540 | 57.8% | 39.3% | D+18.5 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 4Bernards D 4 | 295 | 229 | 15 | 539 | 54.7% | 42.5% | D+12.2 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 4 D 37Franklin W 4 D 37 | 397 | 131 | 11 | 539 | 73.7% | 24.3% | D+49.4 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 4 D 35Franklin W 4 D 35 | 402 | 110 | 24 | 536 | 75.0% | 20.5% | D+54.5 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 1 D 32Franklin W 1 D 32 | 341 | 167 | 24 | 532 | 64.1% | 31.4% | D+32.7 |
| Precinct -Somerville D 9Somerville D 9 | 290 | 217 | 24 | 531 | 54.6% | 40.9% | D+13.7 |
| Precinct -Bedminster D 2Bedminster D 2 | 214 | 302 | 13 | 529 | 40.5% | 57.1% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 22Bernards D 22 | 342 | 165 | 22 | 529 | 64.7% | 31.2% | D+33.5 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 3Montgomery D 3 | 316 | 190 | 22 | 528 | 59.8% | 36.0% | D+23.9 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 1Montgomery D 1 | 354 | 151 | 21 | 526 | 67.3% | 28.7% | D+38.6 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 4 D 41Franklin W 4 D 41 | 452 | 62 | 11 | 525 | 86.1% | 11.8% | D+74.3 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 4 D 43Franklin W 4 D 43 | 385 | 126 | 14 | 525 | 73.3% | 24.0% | D+49.3 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 12Hillsborough D 12 | 281 | 227 | 17 | 525 | 53.5% | 43.2% | D+10.3 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 23Bernards D 23 | 294 | 206 | 21 | 521 | 56.4% | 39.5% | D+16.9 |
| Precinct -North Plainfield D 3North Plainfield D 3 | 299 | 205 | 16 | 520 | 57.5% | 39.4% | D+18.1 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 3 D 30Franklin W 3 D 30 | 360 | 138 | 21 | 519 | 69.4% | 26.6% | D+42.8 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 6Montgomery D 6 | 323 | 180 | 16 | 519 | 62.2% | 34.7% | D+27.6 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 2 D 14Franklin W 2 D 14 | 318 | 179 | 21 | 518 | 61.4% | 34.6% | D+26.8 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 10Branchburg D 10 | 262 | 242 | 13 | 517 | 50.7% | 46.8% | D+3.9 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 27Bridgewater D 27 | 317 | 191 | 7 | 515 | 61.6% | 37.1% | D+24.5 |
| Precinct -Manville D 7Manville D 7 | 189 | 311 | 12 | 512 | 36.9% | 60.7% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -Raritan D 3Raritan D 3 | 274 | 228 | 10 | 512 | 53.5% | 44.5% | D+9.0 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 8Hillsborough D 8 | 192 | 298 | 16 | 506 | 37.9% | 58.9% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 5 D 45Franklin W 5 D 45 | 357 | 133 | 12 | 502 | 71.1% | 26.5% | D+44.6 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 2 D 20Franklin W 2 D 20 | 315 | 174 | 11 | 500 | 63.0% | 34.8% | D+28.2 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 3 D 24Franklin W 3 D 24 | 315 | 169 | 14 | 498 | 63.3% | 33.9% | D+29.3 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 17Bridgewater D 17 | 226 | 250 | 16 | 492 | 45.9% | 50.8% | R+4.9 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 6Hillsborough D 6 | 220 | 256 | 14 | 490 | 44.9% | 52.2% | R+7.3 |
| Precinct -Bound Brook D 6Bound Brook D 6 | 237 | 235 | 14 | 486 | 48.8% | 48.4% | D+0.4 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 31Hillsborough D 31 | 288 | 181 | 17 | 486 | 59.3% | 37.2% | D+22.0 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 2Hillsborough D 2 | 227 | 245 | 12 | 484 | 46.9% | 50.6% | R+3.7 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 4Montgomery D 4 | 322 | 148 | 14 | 484 | 66.5% | 30.6% | D+36.0 |
| Precinct -Branchburg D 14Branchburg D 14 | 219 | 254 | 5 | 478 | 45.8% | 53.1% | R+7.3 |
| Precinct -Somerville D 6Somerville D 6 | 257 | 209 | 11 | 477 | 53.9% | 43.8% | D+10.1 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 1Bernards D 1 | 233 | 225 | 16 | 474 | 49.2% | 47.5% | D+1.7 |
| Precinct -North Plainfield D 12North Plainfield D 12 | 333 | 135 | 6 | 474 | 70.3% | 28.5% | D+41.8 |
| Precinct -Manville D 3Manville D 3 | 215 | 243 | 12 | 470 | 45.7% | 51.7% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -Bedminster D 1Bedminster D 1 | 196 | 260 | 9 | 465 | 42.2% | 55.9% | R+13.8 |
| Precinct -Bedminster D 3Bedminster D 3 | 199 | 250 | 11 | 460 | 43.3% | 54.3% | R+11.1 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 3 D 34Franklin W 3 D 34 | 346 | 94 | 20 | 460 | 75.2% | 20.4% | D+54.8 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 1 D 1Franklin W 1 D 1 | 253 | 166 | 21 | 440 | 57.5% | 37.7% | D+19.8 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 11Hillsborough D 11 | 225 | 198 | 10 | 433 | 52.0% | 45.7% | D+6.2 |
| Precinct -Bridgewater D 21Bridgewater D 21 | 198 | 230 | 4 | 432 | 45.8% | 53.2% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct -Bedminster D 9Bedminster D 9 | 236 | 176 | 11 | 423 | 55.8% | 41.6% | D+14.2 |
| Precinct -Montgomery D 14Montgomery D 14 | 252 | 144 | 27 | 423 | 59.6% | 34.0% | D+25.5 |
| Precinct -Bernards D 16Bernards D 16 | 194 | 213 | 14 | 421 | 46.1% | 50.6% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -Rocky Hill D 1Rocky Hill D 1 | 313 | 98 | 9 | 420 | 74.5% | 23.3% | D+51.2 |
| Precinct -Franklin W 5 D 48Franklin W 5 D 48 | 310 | 92 | 17 | 419 | 74.0% | 22.0% | D+52.0 |
| Precinct -Bound Brook D 2Bound Brook D 2 | 188 | 213 | 14 | 415 | 45.3% | 51.3% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -Hillsborough D 10Hillsborough D 10 | 167 | 218 | 14 | 399 | 41.9% | 54.6% | R+12.8 |
| Precinct -Bound Brook D 7Bound Brook D 7 | 225 | 158 | 11 | 394 | 57.1% | 40.1% | D+17.0 |
| Precinct -Bound Brook D 5Bound Brook D 5 | 222 | 152 | 8 | 382 | 58.1% | 39.8% | D+18.3 |
| Precinct -Millstone D 1Millstone D 1 | 148 | 141 | 5 | 294 | 50.3% | 48.0% | D+2.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +0.9% |
| 1896 | −24.4% |
| 1900 | −15.9% |
| 1904 | −17.9% |
| 1908 | −20.9% |
| 1912 | +14.6% |
| 1916 | −12.5% |
| 1920 | −43.9% |
| 1924 | −48.4% |
| 1928 | −33.6% |
| 1932 | −10.5% |
| 1936 | +0.6% |
| 1940 | −10.0% |
| 1944 | −16.7% |
| 1948 | −21.5% |
| 1952 | −26.8% |
| 1956 | −44.3% |
| 1960 | −11.9% |
| 1964 | +21.1% |
| 1968 | −19.0% |
| 1972 | −35.0% |
| 1976 | −16.7% |
| 1980 | −25.2% |
| 1984 | −34.6% |
| 1988 | −28.5% |
| 1992 | −10.9% |
| 1996 | −1.1% |
| 2000 | −2.9% |
| 2004 | −4.3% |
| 2008 | +6.1% |
| 2012 | +5.6% |
| 2016 | +12.8% |
| 2020 | +21.2% |
| 2024 | +13.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 3.0 points.
261,639 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,362 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −15,292 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $114,037 in average income, against $172,915 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+15.0 on average — 1.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Somerset County, NJ itself (D+13.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Middlesex County, NJ2,662D+8.0
- Union County, NJ1,238D+24.2
- Morris County, NJ674R+2.7
- Hudson County, NJ515D+28.1
- Essex County, NJ483D+44.9
- Hunterdon County, NJ400R+6.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Middlesex County, NJ1,868
- Union County, NJ713
- Hunterdon County, NJ689
- Morris County, NJ538
- New York County, NY446
- Hudson County, NJ433
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −430 |
| 2012 | −894 |
| 2013 | −391 |
| 2014 | −1,605 |
| 2015 | −2,033 |
| 2016 | −1,812 |
| 2017 | −1,443 |
| 2018 | −1,523 |
| 2019 | −2,279 |
| 2021 | +269 |
| 2022 | −1,229 |
| 2023 | −596 |
| 2024 | +36 |
| 2025 | −1,362 |
Somerset County's transformation tracks a broader pattern in affluent suburban New Jersey: college-educated voters shifted the presidential margin to D+13.9 in 2024, a reversal from its Republican-leaning baseline of the early 2000s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.2 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 48.4 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.9 points.
A population of 349,846, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $140,374 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morris County and Bergen County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Somerset County, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/34035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.