Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
New JerseyHarrisD+5.9
2024StatewideD+5.9

21 counties · presidential margin · 2024

County21 areas · 2024 presidential vote
Essex224,59683,908D+44.9313,283Mercer107,55852,274D+33.9163,270Hudson144,76579,913D+28.1231,181Camden155,52287,767D+27.4246,954Union147,32789,063D+24.2240,632Burlington132,27594,116D+16.6229,466Somerset98,79074,101D+13.9177,412Middlesex191,802162,459D+8.0365,187Bergen232,660217,096D+3.4459,077Morris135,672143,439R+2.7284,666Gloucester78,70883,326R+2.8164,635Passaic95,156100,954R+2.9202,767Atlantic61,87965,817R+3.0129,759Cumberland26,57728,675R+3.855,885Hunterdon36,99542,391R+6.780,925Monmouth156,382197,409R+11.4360,143Salem12,27518,229R+19.231,001Cape May21,64832,151R+19.254,568Warren23,31835,772R+20.760,150Sussex31,01952,123R+24.984,629Ocean105,789227,232R+36.0337,135

New Jersey, New Jersey

presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +5.9% in 2024.flipped D · 1992+5.9%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+4.4%
1896−23.6%
1900−14.2%
1904−18.7%
1908−17.7%
1912+20.7%
1916−11.7%
1920−39.2%
1924−34.8%
1928−20.0%
1932+1.9%
1936+20.0%
1940+3.6%
1944+1.4%
1948−4.4%
1952−14.8%
1956−30.5%
1960+0.8%
1964+31.7%
1968−2.1%
1972−24.8%
1976−2.2%
1980−13.4%
1984−20.9%
1988−13.6%
1992+2.4%
1996+17.9%
2000+15.8%
2004+6.7%
2008+15.6%
2012+17.7%
2016+14.0%
2020+16.0%
2024+5.9%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
52.0%Harris2,220,713
46.1%Trump1,968,215
0.9%Stein39,041
+5.9%
4,272,725
D
57.7%Biden2,608,400
41.6%Trump1,883,313
0.7%Jorgensen31,677
+16.0%
4,523,390
D
55.0%Clinton2,148,278
41.0%Trump1,601,933
1.9%Johnson72,477
+14.0%
3,906,723
D
58.2%Obama2,126,610
40.5%Romney1,478,749
0.6%Johnson21,035
+17.7%
3,651,140
D
57.3%Obama2,215,422
41.7%McCain1,613,207
0.6%Nader21,298
+15.6%
3,868,237
D
52.9%Kerry1,911,430
46.2%Bush1,670,003
0.8%Other30,258
+6.7%
3,612,137
D
56.1%Gore1,788,850
40.3%Bush1,284,173
3.6%Nader114,203
+15.8%
3,187,226
D
53.7%Clinton1,652,329
35.9%Dole1,103,078
10.4%Perot320,400
+17.9%
3,075,807
D
43.0%Clinton1,436,206
40.6%Bush1,356,865
15.6%Perot521,829
+2.4%
3,343,594
R
42.6%Dukakis1,320,352
56.2%Bush1,743,192
0.3%G.9,953
−13.6%
3,099,553
R
39.2%Mondale1,261,323
60.1%Reagan1,933,630
0.3%Holmes8,404
−20.9%
3,217,862
R
38.6%Carter1,147,364
52.0%Reagan1,546,557
7.9%Anderson234,632
−13.4%
2,975,684
R
47.9%Carter1,444,653
50.1%Ford1,509,688
1.1%McCarthy32,717
−2.2%
3,014,472
R
36.8%McGovern1,102,211
61.6%Nixon1,845,502
1.7%Schmitz49,516
−24.8%
2,997,229
R
44.0%Humphrey1,264,206
46.1%Nixon1,325,467
9.9%Wallace285,722
−2.1%
2,875,395
D
65.6%Johnson1,867,671
33.9%Goldwater963,843
0.5%Hass15,256
+31.7%
2,846,770
D
50.0%Kennedy1,385,415
49.2%Nixon1,363,324
0.9%Byrd24,372
+0.8%
2,773,111
R
34.2%Stevenson850,337
64.7%Eisenhower1,606,942
1.1%Andrews27,033
−30.5%
2,484,312
R
42.0%Stevenson1,015,902
56.8%Eisenhower1,373,613
1.2%Hallinan29,039
−14.8%
2,418,554
R
45.9%Truman895,455
50.3%Dewey981,124
3.7%Thurmond72,976
−4.4%
1,949,555
D
50.3%Roosevelt987,874
49.0%Dewey961,335
0.7%Thomas14,552
+1.4%
1,963,761
D
51.5%Roosevelt1,016,404
47.9%Willkie944,876
0.7%Thomas12,935
+3.6%
1,974,215
D
59.6%Roosevelt1,083,549
39.5%Landon719,421
0.9%Lemke16,152
+20.0%
1,819,122
D
49.5%Roosevelt806,394
47.6%Hoover775,406
2.9%Thomas47,700
+1.9%
1,629,500
R
39.8%Smith616,162
59.8%Hoover925,285
0.4%Thomas6,748
−20.0%
1,548,195
R
27.4%Davis297,743
62.2%Coolidge675,162
10.4%La Follette113,174
−34.8%
1,086,079
R
28.4%Cox256,887
67.7%Harding611,451
3.9%Debs35,506
−39.2%
903,844
R
42.7%Wilson211,018
54.4%Hughes268,982
2.9%Benson14,442
−11.7%
494,442
D
41.2%Wilson178,638
20.5%Taft89,066
38.3%Roosevelt165,959
+20.7%
433,663
R
39.1%Bryan182,522
56.8%Taft265,298
4.1%Debs19,291
−17.7%
467,111
R
38.3%Parker164,566
57.0%Roosevelt245,164
4.7%Debs20,137
−18.7%
429,867
R
41.1%Bryan164,808
55.3%McKinley221,707
3.6%Woolley14,535
−14.2%
401,050
R
36.0%Bryan133,675
59.7%McKinley221,367
4.3%Palmer15,972
−23.6%
371,014
D
50.7%Cleveland171,066
46.2%Harrison156,102
3.1%Weaver10,455
+4.4%
337,623
2026 election
On the ballot
U.S. Senate
Cory BookernomineeJustin Murphynominee

Sen. Cory Booker (D) seeking a third full term; Republican Justin Murphy won the June 2 primary (33.3%).

Full 2026 forecast →

Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.
Congressional elections · 329 House races · 17 Senate races

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0. Seat totals count district winners; vote shares aggregate every district.
YearSeats wonD %R %Total
D 9 · R 352.4%45.3%4,037,126
D 9 · R 354.3%44.5%2,609,716
D 10 · R 257.3%41.6%4,432,923
D 11 · R 159.9%38.7%3,098,743

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
53.6%2,161,491
44.0%1,773,589
4,031,795
2020D
57.2%2,541,178
40.9%1,817,052
4,440,440
2018D
54.0%1,711,654
42.8%1,357,355
3,169,310
2014D
55.8%1,043,866
42.3%791,297
1,869,535
2012D
58.9%1,987,680
39.4%1,329,534
3,376,649
2008D
56.0%1,951,218
42.0%1,461,025
3,482,445
2006D
53.4%1,200,843
44.3%997,775
2,250,070
2002D
53.9%1,138,193
43.9%928,439
2,112,604
2000D
50.1%1,511,237
47.1%1,420,267
3,015,662
1996D
52.7%1,519,154
42.6%1,227,351
2,883,466
1994D
50.3%1,033,487
47.0%966,244
2,054,887
1990D
50.4%977,810
47.4%918,874
1,938,454
1988D
53.6%1,599,905
45.2%1,349,937
2,987,634
1984D
64.2%1,986,644
34.9%1,080,100
3,096,456
1982D
50.9%1,117,549
47.8%1,047,626
2,193,945
1978D
55.3%1,082,960
43.1%844,200
1,957,515
1976D
60.7%1,681,140
38.0%1,054,508
2,771,390
The state went Democratic by 16 points in 2020 and by 6 in 2024 — a 10-point move in a single cycle, behind only New York.
One of the largest blue-state swings
D+16.0 (2020) → D+5.9 (2024) — a 10.1-pt move to Trump, 2nd-largest of any state · MIT Election Lab
A county flips
Passaic (44% Hispanic): D+16.7 (2020) → R+2.9 (2024), a 19.6-pt reversal · MIT Election Lab; ACS 2024 5-year
The cities narrowed
Hudson, the densest county (~15,500/sq mi): D+46.6 (2020) → D+28.1 (2024), an 18.5-pt move · MIT Election Lab; ACS 2024 5-year
Bluest and reddest
Essex (Newark) D+44.9; Ocean R+36.0 · MIT Election Lab 2024
The densest state
9.3M residents, about 1,270 per square mile — 1st of 50 · ACS 2024 5-year
Senate race in 2026
Sen. Cory Booker (D) seeks a 3rd full term vs Justin Murphy (R), who won the June 2 primary · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

New York
New York
90.7twin score
% Catholic2000 margin% Evangelical≠ median income
Massachusetts
Massachusetts
74.7twin score
% Catholicmedian income2000–2012 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Illinois
Illinois
74.4twin score
2000–2020 trajectory≠ median income

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/NJ/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Largest cities in New Jersey
Newark
310.2K residents
Jersey
294.1K residents
Paterson
158.7K residents
Elizabeth
137.3K residents
Toms River
95K residents
Trenton
90.3K residents
Clifton
89.4K residents
Bayonne
71.6K residents
Camden
71.5K residents
East Orange
70.1K residents
Passaic
70K residents
Lakewood
69.6K residents
New Jersey at the ballot boxAll elections →
Presidentcounty detail2024US Senatestatewide2024Governorstate + county2025US Houseall districts2024

Places within New Jersey

21counties4metro areas1combined areas1media markets12congressional districts40state senate districts40state house districts
More in New Jersey
Atlantic County
Bergen County
Burlington County
Camden County
Cape May County
Cumberland County

Frequently asked questions

How did New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Jersey voted Democratic by 5.9 points (D+5.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,272,725 votes cast, 2,220,713 went Democratic and 1,968,215 went Republican.
When did New Jersey last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New Jersey voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in New Jersey?
New Jersey has a population of 9,343,809 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Jersey?
Median household income in New Jersey is $103,556 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in New Jersey from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.