HarrisDemocratic52.0%2,220,713TrumpRepublican46.1%1,968,215SteinGreen Party0.9%39,041
D+5.9- Lead
- 252,498
- Total
- 4,272,725
- vs nation
- D+7.4
- Turnout
- 67.2%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,343,8092024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,270 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7,355 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $103,5562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 50.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- New York, NY · twin score 90.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.2%4,321,921 participants ÷ 6,433,714 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +32.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 34.4%–44.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,957,303 | 6,087,275 | 65.0% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,248,642 | 6,117,615 | 53.1% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,564,234 | 6,156,380 | 74.1% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,658,149 | 6,420,959 | 41.4% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,321,921 | 6,433,714 | 67.2% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 151/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
New Jersey · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
65.6%
1,867,671 votes · D+31.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 59.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
67.7%
611,451 votes · R+39.2
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 64.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,608,400votes
57.3% of the vote · D+15.9
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,220,713 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,968,215votes
46.1% of the vote · D+5.9
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 1,933,630 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+15.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+15.8 · U.S. D+0.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +13.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+17.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+23.6 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +15.9 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
U.S. Senate
Cory BookernomineeJustin Murphynominee
Sen. Cory Booker (D) seeking a third full term; Republican Justin Murphy won the June 2 primary (33.3%).
U.S. House elections · 329 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 9 · R 3 | 52.4% | 45.3% | 4,037,126 | |
| D 9 · R 3 | 54.3% | 44.5% | 2,609,716 | |
| D 10 · R 2 | 57.3% | 41.6% | 4,432,923 | |
| D 11 · R 1 | 59.9% | 38.7% | 3,098,743 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+13.2
Presidential vote · 2024D+5.9
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 7.3 points more Republican than the rolls.
6,697,965 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−37,428 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −693,564 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −41,078 |
| 2012 | −46,100 |
| 2013 | −47,391 |
| 2014 | −55,253 |
| 2015 | −68,366 |
| 2016 | −67,547 |
| 2017 | −56,601 |
| 2018 | −51,151 |
| 2019 | −48,946 |
| 2021 | −34,314 |
| 2022 | −62,174 |
| 2023 | −41,714 |
| 2024 | −35,501 |
| 2025 | −37,428 |
The state went Democratic by 16 points in 2020 and by 6 in 2024 — a 10-point move in a single cycle, behind only New York.
- One of the largest blue-state swings
- D+16.0 (2020) → D+5.9 (2024) — a 10.1-pt move to Trump, 2nd-largest of any state · MIT Election Lab
- A county flips
- Passaic (44% Hispanic): D+16.7 (2020) → R+2.9 (2024), a 19.6-pt reversal · MIT Election Lab; ACS 2024 5-year
- The cities narrowed
- Hudson, the densest county (~15,500/sq mi): D+46.6 (2020) → D+28.1 (2024), an 18.5-pt move · MIT Election Lab; ACS 2024 5-year
- Bluest and reddest
- Essex (Newark) D+44.9; Ocean R+36.0 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The densest state
- 9.3M residents, about 1,270 per square mile — 1st of 50 · ACS 2024 5-year
- Senate race in 2026
- Sen. Cory Booker (D) seeks a 3rd full term vs Justin Murphy (R), who won the June 2 primary · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
New York
New York
90.7twin score
% Catholic2000 margin% Evangelical≠ median income
Massachusetts
Massachusetts
74.7twin score
% Catholicmedian income2000–2012 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Illinois
Illinois
74.4twin score
2000–2020 trajectory≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/NJ/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within New Jersey
Frequently asked questions
How did New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Jersey voted Democratic by 5.9 points (D+5.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,272,725 votes cast, 2,220,713 went Democratic and 1,968,215 went Republican.
When did New Jersey last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New Jersey voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in New Jersey?
New Jersey has a population of 9,343,809 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Jersey?
Median household income in New Jersey is $103,556 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in New Jersey from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.