HarrisDemocratic55.9%4,619,195TrumpRepublican43.3%3,578,899OtherAll other candidates0.8%64,401
D+12.6- Lead
- 1,040,296
- Total
- 8,262,495
- vs nation
- D+14.1
- Turnout
- 59.5%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+12.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 19,852,3662024 5-year
- Population density
- 421 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 47,124 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $85,9742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 52.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- New Jersey, NJ · twin score 90.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.5%8,389,626 participants ÷ 14,104,696 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 37.8%–43.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,793,078 | 13,605,854 | 57.3% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,356,896 | 13,686,685 | 46.4% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,701,749 | 13,764,741 | 63.2% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,886,371 | 14,187,231 | 41.5% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,389,626 | 14,104,696 | 59.5% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
New York · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
68.6%
4,913,156 votes · D+37.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 63.3%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
64.6%
1,871,167 votes · R+37.6
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 61.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
5,244,886votes
60.9% of the vote · D+23.1
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 4,913,156 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
4,340,340votes
61.2% of the vote · R+22.4
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 4,192,778 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+24.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.0 · U.S. D+0.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +24.3 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+12.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+18.9 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +11.4 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governor
Kathy HochulnomineeBruce Blakemannominee
Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) is running for a second full term and was unopposed in the June 23 2026 Democratic primary (Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado suspended his challenge in Feb 2026). Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman won the Republican nomination uncontested after Rep. Elise Stefanik withdrew (Dec 2025) and Rep. Mike Lawler opted to run for the House; Blakeman is Trump-endorsed and also holds the Conservative Party line.
U.S. House elections · 774 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 19 · R 7 | 57.1% | 42.3% | 7,932,857 | |
| D 15 · R 11 | 55.5% | 43.8% | 5,762,257 | |
| D 19 · R 8 | 62.0% | 36.3% | 8,227,116 | |
| D 21 · R 6 | 67.1% | 31.3% | 5,948,673 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+25.7
Presidential vote · 2024D+12.6
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 13 points more Republican than the rolls.
13,408,058 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−137,586 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,402,363 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −80,582 |
| 2012 | −108,406 |
| 2013 | −112,483 |
| 2014 | −145,432 |
| 2015 | −165,857 |
| 2016 | −194,013 |
| 2017 | −187,910 |
| 2018 | −181,262 |
| 2019 | −180,649 |
| 2021 | −326,190 |
| 2022 | −284,910 |
| 2023 | −177,852 |
| 2024 | −119,231 |
| 2025 | −137,586 |
The Bronx, the most Democratic of the five boroughs, swung 22.4 points toward Trump — the sharpest move of any county in the state.
- One of the largest blue-state swings
- D+23.1 (2020) → D+12.6 (2024) — a 10.5-point shift toward Trump · MIT Election Lab
- The Bronx moved most
- D+67.5 (2020) → D+45.1 (2024), a 22.4-point swing — the sharpest of any New York county · MIT Election Lab
- Long Island flipped
- Nassau County D+9.5 (2020) → R+4.2 (2024); Suffolk widened to R+9.9 · MIT Election Lab
- Bluest and reddest
- Manhattan D+64.2 against Wyoming County R+48.2 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- An immigrant electorate
- 19.8% Hispanic or Latino, 9% Asian; non-English-at-home households rank 5th of 50 · ACS 2024 5-year
- Governor in 2026
- Kathy Hochul (D) vs Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman (R) — who runs the county that flipped · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
New Jersey
New Jersey
90.7twin score
% Catholic2000 margin% Evangelical≠ median income
Illinois
Illinois
83.3twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Rhode Island
Rhode Island
75.1twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/NY/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within New York
Frequently asked questions
How did New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York voted Democratic by 12.6 points (D+12.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 8,262,495 votes cast, 4,619,195 went Democratic and 3,578,899 went Republican.
When did New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New York voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in New York?
New York has a population of 19,852,366 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York?
Median household income in New York is $85,974 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in New York from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.