- Lead
- 8,571
- Total
- 23,953
- vs nation
- R+34.3
- Turnout
- 58.0%
Fulton County, NY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.0% of 41,557 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,447
- Total
- 23,718
- vs nation
- R+35.8
- Turnout
- 56.5%
- Lead
- 6,966
- Total
- 21,214
- vs nation
- R+34.9
- Turnout
- 50.3%
- Lead
- 2,207
- Total
- 19,799
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,014
- Total
- 21,824
- vs nation
- R+16.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,368
- Total
- 22,215
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,120
- Total
- 21,675
- vs nation
- R+10.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,898
- Total
- 21,130
- vs nation
- D+0.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 52,4872024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,5332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Herkimer County, NY · twin score 95.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.0%24,089 participants ÷ 41,557 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -10.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.5%–47.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 21,464 | 42,661 | 50.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 17,629 | 42,521 | 41.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,014 | 42,474 | 56.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 19,075 | 42,326 | 45.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 24,089 | 41,557 | 58.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
32 precincts · 24,053 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0800001360350800001 | 278 | 882 | 9 | 1,169 | 23.8% | 75.4% | R+51.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0700002360350700002 | 342 | 670 | 4 | 1,016 | 33.7% | 65.9% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct 0604001360350604001 | 430 | 542 | 13 | 985 | 43.7% | 55.0% | R+11.4 |
| Precinct 0503001360350503001 | 441 | 511 | 13 | 965 | 45.7% | 53.0% | R+7.3 |
| Precinct 0505001360350505001 | 368 | 562 | 6 | 936 | 39.3% | 60.0% | R+20.7 |
| Precinct 1100002360351100002 | 314 | 622 | 0 | 936 | 33.5% | 66.5% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct 0601001360350601001 | 333 | 583 | 2 | 918 | 36.3% | 63.5% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct 0700003360350700003 | 248 | 649 | 5 | 902 | 27.5% | 72.0% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct 1100001360351100001 | 268 | 611 | 5 | 884 | 30.3% | 69.1% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct 0800003360350800003 | 261 | 607 | 10 | 878 | 29.7% | 69.1% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct 0900001360350900001 | 248 | 613 | 8 | 869 | 28.5% | 70.5% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct 0602001360350602001 | 313 | 549 | 4 | 866 | 36.1% | 63.4% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct 0200002360350200002 | 236 | 621 | 5 | 862 | 27.4% | 72.0% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct 0603001360350603001 | 326 | 524 | 5 | 855 | 38.1% | 61.3% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct 1000001360351000001 | 150 | 697 | 3 | 850 | 17.6% | 82.0% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct 0800002360350800002 | 206 | 570 | 5 | 781 | 26.4% | 73.0% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct 0400001360350400001 | 129 | 644 | 4 | 777 | 16.6% | 82.9% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct 0300001360350300001 | 246 | 516 | 3 | 765 | 32.2% | 67.5% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct 0506001360350506001 | 293 | 457 | 4 | 754 | 38.9% | 60.6% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct 0501001360350501001 | 293 | 458 | 2 | 753 | 38.9% | 60.8% | R+21.9 |
| Precinct 0700004360350700004 | 177 | 566 | 4 | 747 | 23.7% | 75.8% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct 0700001360350700001 | 196 | 530 | 5 | 731 | 26.8% | 72.5% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct 0200001360350200001 | 230 | 434 | 5 | 669 | 34.4% | 64.9% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct 0504001360350504001 | 246 | 393 | 2 | 641 | 38.4% | 61.3% | R+22.9 |
| Precinct 0200004360350200004 | 180 | 448 | 8 | 636 | 28.3% | 70.4% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct 0502001360350502001 | 206 | 398 | 2 | 606 | 34.0% | 65.7% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct 0200003360350200003 | 171 | 426 | 6 | 603 | 28.4% | 70.6% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct 0900003360350900003 | 196 | 373 | 4 | 573 | 34.2% | 65.1% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct 0800004360350800004 | 121 | 255 | 1 | 377 | 32.1% | 67.6% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct 0100001360350100001 | 120 | 240 | 2 | 362 | 33.1% | 66.3% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct 1200001360351200001 | 85 | 241 | 1 | 327 | 26.0% | 73.7% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct 0900002360350900002 | 15 | 45 | 0 | 60 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −10.4% |
| 1896 | −31.8% |
| 1900 | −30.4% |
| 1904 | −23.0% |
| 1908 | −27.0% |
| 1912 | −12.1% |
| 1916 | −15.8% |
| 1920 | −49.9% |
| 1924 | −53.3% |
| 1928 | −44.1% |
| 1932 | −44.3% |
| 1936 | −22.2% |
| 1940 | −24.4% |
| 1944 | −19.9% |
| 1948 | −24.2% |
| 1952 | −40.8% |
| 1956 | −48.3% |
| 1960 | −16.3% |
| 1964 | +37.0% |
| 1968 | −13.9% |
| 1972 | −35.0% |
| 1976 | −13.1% |
| 1980 | −15.5% |
| 1984 | −32.0% |
| 1988 | −13.1% |
| 1992 | −3.2% |
| 1996 | +9.0% |
| 2000 | −9.8% |
| 2004 | −15.2% |
| 2008 | −9.2% |
| 2012 | −11.1% |
| 2016 | −32.8% |
| 2020 | −31.4% |
| 2024 | −35.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 30.6%6,457 | 69.4%14,676 | 21,133 |
| 2020 | R | 32.1%7,470 | 67.9%15,810 | 23,280 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.3 points more Democratic.
35,941 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+290 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,141 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,421 in average income, against $67,450 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+11.7 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Fulton County, NY itself (R+35.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Montgomery County, NY303R+28.6
- Saratoga County, NY152D+1.8
- Schenectady County, NY97D+10.8
- Albany County, NY61D+25.6
- Herkimer County, NY55R+36.4
- Rensselaer County, NY30D+1.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Montgomery County, NY289
- Saratoga County, NY134
- Herkimer County, NY67
- Schenectady County, NY54
- Albany County, NY51
- Rensselaer County, NY32
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −319 |
| 2012 | −207 |
| 2013 | −401 |
| 2014 | −387 |
| 2015 | −117 |
| 2016 | −104 |
| 2017 | +264 |
| 2018 | −104 |
| 2019 | −203 |
| 2021 | +26 |
| 2022 | −119 |
| 2023 | +289 |
| 2024 | −49 |
| 2025 | +290 |
Fulton County sits at the southern edge of the Adirondacks, and its small-city and rural mix has delivered some of the widest Republican presidential margins in upstate New York over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 53.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.8 points.
A population of 52,487, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,533 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Herkimer County and Schoharie County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Fulton County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.