HarrisDemocratic33.6%46,271TrumpRepublican66.2%91,078OtherAll other candidates0.2%256
R+32.6- Lead
- 44,807
- Total
- 137,605
- vs nation
- R+31.1
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Akashicstate senate district
New York 49th State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic35.2%48,714TrumpRepublican62.9%87,085OtherAll other candidates1.9%2,637
R+27.7- Lead
- 38,371
- Total
- 138,436
- vs nation
- R+32.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic32.5%39,927TrumpRepublican61.1%74,993OtherAll other candidates6.4%7,888
R+28.6- Lead
- 35,066
- Total
- 122,808
- vs nation
- R+30.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic45.9%52,498RomneyRepublican52.3%59,773OtherAll other candidates1.8%2,010
R+6.4- Lead
- 7,275
- Total
- 114,281
- vs nation
- R+10.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic45.5%56,817McCainRepublican53.0%66,204OtherAll other candidates1.6%1,985
R+7.5- Lead
- 9,387
- Total
- 125,006
- vs nation
- R+14.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic42.0%53,623BushRepublican56.0%71,477OtherAll other candidates2.0%2,515
R+14.0- Lead
- 17,854
- Total
- 127,615
- vs nation
- R+11.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic43.6%53,298BushRepublican52.0%63,639OtherAll other candidates4.4%5,393
R+8.5- Lead
- 10,341
- Total
- 122,330
- vs nation
- R+9.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic45.9%53,415DoleRepublican37.8%43,994OtherAll other candidates16.3%18,959
D+8.1- Lead
- 9,421
- Total
- 116,368
- vs nation
- R+0.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 321,1602024 5-year
- Population density
- 42 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7,644 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,3092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 30, OH · twin score 89.6
presidential history
Party record book
New York 49th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.1%
81,123 votes · D+34.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 45.9%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
75.1%
97,461 votes · R+50.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 70.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
81,123votes
67.1% of the vote · D+34.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 56,817 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
97,461votes
75.1% of the vote · R+50.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 93,524 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+11.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+34.3 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −0.4 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+52.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.2 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +45.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMark WalczykState Senate · 49
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.1%40,672 | 66.9%82,021 | 122,693 |
New York 49th State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.6 points.
A population of 321,160, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,309 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 30 and State Senate District 58.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 30
Ohio
89.6twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic
State Senate District 58
New York
88.6twin score
2016–2020 trajectorypopulation scale% White≠ French ancestry
State Senate District 57
New York
88.6twin score
2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 49th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/36049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within New York 49th State Senate District
Frequently asked questions
How did New York 49th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 49th State Senate District voted Republican by 32.6 points (R+32.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 137,605 votes cast, 46,271 went Democratic and 91,078 went Republican.
When did New York 49th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 49th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in New York 49th State Senate District?
New York 49th State Senate District has a population of 321,160 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 49th State Senate District?
Median household income in New York 49th State Senate District is $66,309 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 49th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New York 49th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 36 went Republican.