HarrisDemocratic37.8%20,483TrumpRepublican61.9%33,548OtherAll other candidates0.2%132
R+24.1- Lead
- 13,065
- Total
- 54,163
- vs nation
- R+22.7
- Turnout
- 59.0%
Akashiccounty
Oswego County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.0% of 92,960 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic38.8%21,145TrumpRepublican59.0%32,142JorgensenLibertarian1.3%698
R+20.2- Lead
- 10,997
- Total
- 54,498
- vs nation
- R+24.6
- Turnout
- 60.0%
ClintonDemocratic35.5%17,095TrumpRepublican57.5%27,688JohnsonLibertarian4.4%2,137
R+22.0- Lead
- 10,593
- Total
- 48,180
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Turnout
- 52.0%
ObamaDemocratic52.7%23,515RomneyRepublican44.8%19,980JohnsonLibertarian1.0%447
D+7.9- Lead
- 3,535
- Total
- 44,591
- vs nation
- D+4.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic50.2%24,777McCainRepublican47.8%23,571OtherAll other candidates2.0%1,001
D+2.4- Lead
- 1,206
- Total
- 49,349
- vs nation
- R+4.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic46.8%24,133BushRepublican51.0%26,325OtherAll other candidates2.2%1,149
R+4.2- Lead
- 2,192
- Total
- 51,607
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic47.1%22,857BushRepublican48.0%23,249NaderGreen3.5%1,699
R+0.8- Lead
- 392
- Total
- 48,479
- vs nation
- R+1.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.8%20,440DoleRepublican37.6%17,159PerotReform16.4%7,499
D+7.2- Lead
- 3,281
- Total
- 45,673
- vs nation
- R+1.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 117,9532024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,1832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.7 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cayuga County, NY · twin score 93.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.0%54,818 participants ÷ 92,960 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.5%–46.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 48,547 | 93,419 | 52.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 40,366 | 92,847 | 43.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 55,131 | 91,930 | 60.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 40,318 | 92,694 | 43.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 54,818 | 92,960 | 59.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
110 precincts · 54,163 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0400003360750400003 | 307 | 732 | 4 | 1,043 | 29.4% | 70.2% | R+40.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0900003360750900003 | 340 | 667 | 1 | 1,008 | 33.7% | 66.2% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct 2000001360752000001 | 438 | 565 | 5 | 1,008 | 43.5% | 56.1% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct 1900001360751900001 | 325 | 651 | 4 | 980 | 33.2% | 66.4% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct 2300002360752300002 | 296 | 669 | 3 | 968 | 30.6% | 69.1% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct 2000005360752000005 | 418 | 544 | 3 | 965 | 43.3% | 56.4% | R+13.1 |
| Precinct 0800003360750800003 | 310 | 649 | 1 | 960 | 32.3% | 67.6% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct 2000004360752000004 | 333 | 613 | 4 | 950 | 35.1% | 64.5% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct 2100003360752100003 | 416 | 503 | 2 | 921 | 45.2% | 54.6% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct 0800008360750800008 | 395 | 524 | 0 | 919 | 43.0% | 57.0% | R+14.0 |
| Precinct 1800004360751800004 | 256 | 631 | 3 | 890 | 28.8% | 70.9% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct 2200003360752200003 | 258 | 592 | 2 | 852 | 30.3% | 69.5% | R+39.2 |
| Precinct 1306001360751306001 | 456 | 374 | 2 | 832 | 54.8% | 45.0% | D+9.9 |
| Precinct 2200004360752200004 | 270 | 560 | 1 | 831 | 32.5% | 67.4% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct 2300003360752300003 | 234 | 564 | 1 | 799 | 29.3% | 70.6% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct 1000001360751000001 | 423 | 366 | 5 | 794 | 53.3% | 46.1% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct 1100001360751100001 | 251 | 535 | 1 | 787 | 31.9% | 68.0% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct 1600001360751600001 | 204 | 579 | 2 | 785 | 26.0% | 73.8% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct 0600005360750600005 | 292 | 491 | 1 | 784 | 37.2% | 62.6% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct 0600004360750600004 | 212 | 568 | 0 | 780 | 27.2% | 72.8% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct 0900002360750900002 | 264 | 499 | 1 | 764 | 34.6% | 65.3% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct 0400004360750400004 | 217 | 544 | 1 | 762 | 28.5% | 71.4% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct 1307002360751307002 | 423 | 280 | 5 | 708 | 59.7% | 39.5% | D+20.2 |
| Precinct 0800007360750800007 | 202 | 494 | 2 | 698 | 28.9% | 70.8% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct 0700004360750700004 | 195 | 498 | 2 | 695 | 28.1% | 71.7% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct 1302002360751302002 | 368 | 316 | 4 | 688 | 53.5% | 45.9% | D+7.6 |
| Precinct 1307001360751307001 | 422 | 248 | 1 | 671 | 62.9% | 37.0% | D+25.9 |
| Precinct 0503001360750503001 | 286 | 366 | 0 | 652 | 43.9% | 56.1% | R+12.3 |
| Precinct 1500001360751500001 | 186 | 454 | 1 | 641 | 29.0% | 70.8% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct 2100001360752100001 | 253 | 386 | 2 | 641 | 39.5% | 60.2% | R+20.7 |
| Precinct 0200001360750200001 | 152 | 482 | 0 | 634 | 24.0% | 76.0% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct 1900002360751900002 | 204 | 422 | 2 | 628 | 32.5% | 67.2% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct 1400007360751400007 | 293 | 325 | 3 | 621 | 47.2% | 52.3% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct 0800001360750800001 | 185 | 431 | 0 | 616 | 30.0% | 70.0% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct 0400002360750400002 | 196 | 411 | 3 | 610 | 32.1% | 67.4% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct 0900001360750900001 | 192 | 404 | 3 | 599 | 32.1% | 67.4% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct 1303001360751303001 | 356 | 236 | 3 | 595 | 59.8% | 39.7% | D+20.2 |
| Precinct 1301001360751301001 | 383 | 209 | 1 | 593 | 64.6% | 35.2% | D+29.3 |
| Precinct 2400001360752400001 | 116 | 468 | 1 | 585 | 19.8% | 80.0% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct 1400003360751400003 | 330 | 250 | 4 | 584 | 56.5% | 42.8% | D+13.7 |
| Precinct 2200002360752200002 | 164 | 405 | 0 | 569 | 28.8% | 71.2% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct 1600002360751600002 | 165 | 395 | 1 | 561 | 29.4% | 70.4% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct 2100004360752100004 | 206 | 355 | 0 | 561 | 36.7% | 63.3% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct 0600002360750600002 | 181 | 366 | 0 | 547 | 33.1% | 66.9% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct 1200001360751200001 | 143 | 396 | 4 | 543 | 26.3% | 72.9% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct 2000002360752000002 | 228 | 311 | 3 | 542 | 42.1% | 57.4% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct 0600001360750600001 | 217 | 319 | 0 | 536 | 40.5% | 59.5% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct 1304001360751304001 | 281 | 255 | 0 | 536 | 52.4% | 47.6% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct 1800001360751800001 | 233 | 300 | 1 | 534 | 43.6% | 56.2% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct 1305001360751305001 | 302 | 212 | 1 | 515 | 58.6% | 41.2% | D+17.5 |
| Precinct 0800005360750800005 | 191 | 322 | 1 | 514 | 37.2% | 62.6% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct 1800003360751800003 | 151 | 362 | 0 | 513 | 29.4% | 70.6% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct 0100002360750100002 | 133 | 373 | 2 | 508 | 26.2% | 73.4% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct 2000003360752000003 | 137 | 370 | 0 | 507 | 27.0% | 73.0% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct 0700002360750700002 | 170 | 335 | 1 | 506 | 33.6% | 66.2% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct 0700003360750700003 | 140 | 360 | 0 | 500 | 28.0% | 72.0% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct 1500002360751500002 | 123 | 366 | 0 | 489 | 25.2% | 74.8% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct 0501001360750501001 | 216 | 266 | 0 | 482 | 44.8% | 55.2% | R+10.4 |
| Precinct 1400004360751400004 | 251 | 224 | 3 | 478 | 52.5% | 46.9% | D+5.6 |
| Precinct 1500003360751500003 | 129 | 343 | 1 | 473 | 27.3% | 72.5% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct 0800004360750800004 | 150 | 321 | 1 | 472 | 31.8% | 68.0% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct 2100005360752100005 | 172 | 300 | 0 | 472 | 36.4% | 63.6% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct 0502002360750502002 | 187 | 281 | 0 | 468 | 40.0% | 60.0% | R+20.1 |
| Precinct 0800002360750800002 | 128 | 338 | 2 | 468 | 27.4% | 72.2% | R+44.9 |
| Precinct 0506001360750506001 | 192 | 237 | 0 | 429 | 44.8% | 55.2% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct 1800002360751800002 | 158 | 267 | 1 | 426 | 37.1% | 62.7% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct 1400006360751400006 | 156 | 259 | 1 | 416 | 37.5% | 62.3% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct 2100002360752100002 | 129 | 286 | 1 | 416 | 31.0% | 68.8% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct 0503002360750503002 | 173 | 216 | 0 | 389 | 44.5% | 55.5% | R+11.1 |
| Precinct 1305002360751305002 | 222 | 159 | 1 | 382 | 58.1% | 41.6% | D+16.5 |
| Precinct 1100003360751100003 | 129 | 239 | 2 | 370 | 34.9% | 64.6% | R+29.7 |
| Precinct 0100001360750100001 | 98 | 268 | 1 | 367 | 26.7% | 73.0% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct 1100002360751100002 | 112 | 245 | 0 | 357 | 31.4% | 68.6% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct 2200001360752200001 | 168 | 179 | 1 | 348 | 48.3% | 51.4% | R+3.2 |
| Precinct 0501002360750501002 | 97 | 237 | 2 | 336 | 28.9% | 70.5% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct 1900003360751900003 | 114 | 220 | 2 | 336 | 33.9% | 65.5% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct 0505001360750505001 | 141 | 190 | 0 | 331 | 42.6% | 57.4% | R+14.8 |
| Precinct 0300001360750300001 | 60 | 266 | 1 | 327 | 18.3% | 81.3% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct 1400005360751400005 | 122 | 197 | 0 | 319 | 38.2% | 61.8% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct 0600003360750600003 | 95 | 214 | 0 | 309 | 30.7% | 69.3% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct 1304003360751304003 | 160 | 137 | 1 | 298 | 53.7% | 46.0% | D+7.7 |
| Precinct 0504002360750504002 | 128 | 150 | 0 | 278 | 46.0% | 54.0% | R+7.9 |
| Precinct 1700001360751700001 | 60 | 215 | 0 | 275 | 21.8% | 78.2% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct 0504001360750504001 | 112 | 152 | 2 | 266 | 42.1% | 57.1% | R+15.0 |
| Precinct 1301002360751301002 | 169 | 96 | 0 | 265 | 63.8% | 36.2% | D+27.5 |
| Precinct 2300001360752300001 | 70 | 193 | 1 | 264 | 26.5% | 73.1% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct 0505002360750505002 | 131 | 129 | 1 | 261 | 50.2% | 49.4% | D+0.8 |
| Precinct 0700001360750700001 | 80 | 172 | 0 | 252 | 31.7% | 68.3% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct 1302001360751302001 | 111 | 131 | 1 | 243 | 45.7% | 53.9% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct 1304002360751304002 | 125 | 87 | 0 | 212 | 59.0% | 41.0% | D+17.9 |
| Precinct 0506002360750506002 | 77 | 130 | 0 | 207 | 37.2% | 62.8% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct 1800005360751800005 | 79 | 125 | 0 | 204 | 38.7% | 61.3% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct 0900004360750900004 | 46 | 143 | 0 | 189 | 24.3% | 75.7% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct 1000002360751000002 | 108 | 81 | 0 | 189 | 57.1% | 42.9% | D+14.3 |
| Precinct 2200005360752200005 | 55 | 122 | 2 | 179 | 30.7% | 68.2% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct 2100006360752100006 | 84 | 85 | 1 | 170 | 49.4% | 50.0% | R+0.6 |
| Precinct 0400001360750400001 | 42 | 113 | 0 | 155 | 27.1% | 72.9% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct 1400002360751400002 | 120 | 34 | 1 | 155 | 77.4% | 21.9% | D+55.5 |
| Precinct 1303002360751303002 | 84 | 65 | 2 | 151 | 55.6% | 43.0% | D+12.6 |
| Precinct 0504003360750504003 | 59 | 86 | 0 | 145 | 40.7% | 59.3% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct 1306002360751306002 | 67 | 75 | 0 | 142 | 47.2% | 52.8% | R+5.6 |
| Precinct 1800006360751800006 | 41 | 90 | 0 | 131 | 31.3% | 68.7% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct 0502001360750502001 | 53 | 75 | 0 | 128 | 41.4% | 58.6% | R+17.2 |
| Precinct 1305003360751305003 | 65 | 58 | 1 | 124 | 52.4% | 46.8% | D+5.6 |
| Precinct 1500004360751500004 | 19 | 71 | 0 | 90 | 21.1% | 78.9% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct 1305004360751305004 | 29 | 22 | 0 | 51 | 56.9% | 43.1% | D+13.7 |
| Precinct 0505003360750505003 | 29 | 21 | 0 | 50 | 58.0% | 42.0% | D+16.0 |
| Precinct 1400001360751400001 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 42 | 81.0% | 16.7% | D+64.3 |
| Precinct 0800006360750800006 | 16 | 14 | 0 | 30 | 53.3% | 46.7% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct 1307003360751307003 | 9 | 15 | 0 | 24 | 37.5% | 62.5% | R+25.0 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −18.5% |
| 1896 | −27.6% |
| 1900 | −24.7% |
| 1904 | −27.2% |
| 1908 | −23.8% |
| 1912 | −4.6% |
| 1916 | −21.3% |
| 1920 | −36.5% |
| 1924 | −37.5% |
| 1928 | −30.1% |
| 1932 | −15.6% |
| 1936 | −34.1% |
| 1940 | −25.5% |
| 1944 | −22.1% |
| 1948 | −19.1% |
| 1952 | −41.4% |
| 1956 | −53.7% |
| 1960 | −21.4% |
| 1964 | +33.2% |
| 1968 | −14.7% |
| 1972 | −43.9% |
| 1976 | −18.8% |
| 1980 | −17.6% |
| 1984 | −37.2% |
| 1988 | −15.7% |
| 1992 | −3.0% |
| 1996 | +7.2% |
| 2000 | −0.8% |
| 2004 | −4.2% |
| 2008 | +2.4% |
| 2012 | +7.9% |
| 2016 | −22.0% |
| 2020 | −20.2% |
| 2024 | −24.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 28 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+23.7
Presidential vote · 2024R+24.1
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.5 points.
80,172 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+455 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −5,777 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,076 in average income, against $69,084 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+7.8 on average — 32 points more Democratic-leaning than Oswego County, NY itself (R+24.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Onondaga County, NY913D+17.2
- Cayuga County, NY92R+13.0
- Oneida County, NY88R+21.2
- Jefferson County, NY80R+23.6
- Madison County, NY49R+13.0
- Monroe County, NY38D+19.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Onondaga County, NY749
- Cayuga County, NY94
- Oneida County, NY81
- Jefferson County, NY79
- Monroe County, NY50
- Madison County, NY48
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −467 |
| 2012 | −930 |
| 2013 | −541 |
| 2014 | −885 |
| 2015 | −1,092 |
| 2016 | −1,159 |
| 2017 | −709 |
| 2018 | −1,076 |
| 2019 | −524 |
| 2021 | +617 |
| 2022 | +406 |
| 2023 | −155 |
| 2024 | +283 |
| 2025 | +455 |
Oswego County's R+24 presidential margin in 2024 reflects a broader realignment among rural and working-class communities in upstate New York, a shift of roughly 20 points from its more competitive standing a decade ago.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 53.7 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.1 points.
A population of 117,953, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,183 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cayuga County and Herkimer County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cayuga County
New York
93.5twin score
2004–2012 trajectory% EvangelicalItalian ancestry
Herkimer County
New York
90.5twin score
12-yr trend% EvangelicalItalian ancestry
Chenango County
New York
89.6twin score
% Evangelical2000 margin% White≠ Italian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Oswego County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36075/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Oswego County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Oswego County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Oswego County, New York voted Republican by 24.1 points (R+24.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 54,163 votes cast, 20,483 went Democratic and 33,548 went Republican.
When did Oswego County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Oswego County, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Oswego County, New York?
Oswego County, New York has a population of 117,953 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oswego County, New York?
Median household income in Oswego County, New York is $69,183 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Oswego County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Oswego County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.