HarrisDemocratic36.3%8,177TrumpRepublican63.4%14,294SteinIndependent0.2%35
R+27.1- Lead
- 6,117
- Total
- 22,540
- vs nation
- R+25.7
- Turnout
- 63.0%
Akashiccounty
Chenango County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.0% of 36,209 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic37.2%8,300TrumpRepublican60.5%13,496JorgensenLibertarian1.4%316
R+23.3- Lead
- 5,196
- Total
- 22,306
- vs nation
- R+27.7
- Turnout
- 59.8%
ClintonDemocratic33.6%6,775TrumpRepublican59.1%11,921JohnsonLibertarian4.5%916
R+25.5- Lead
- 5,146
- Total
- 20,160
- vs nation
- R+27.6
- Turnout
- 52.9%
ObamaDemocratic47.2%9,116RomneyRepublican50.3%9,713JohnsonLibertarian1.1%218
R+3.1- Lead
- 597
- Total
- 19,314
- vs nation
- R+6.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.4%10,100McCainRepublican49.6%10,337OtherAll other candidates2.0%410
R+1.1- Lead
- 237
- Total
- 20,847
- vs nation
- R+8.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.5%9,277BushRepublican54.3%11,582OtherAll other candidates2.3%482
R+10.8- Lead
- 2,305
- Total
- 21,341
- vs nation
- R+8.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic45.0%9,112BushRepublican49.5%10,033NaderGreen4.3%869
R+4.5- Lead
- 921
- Total
- 20,250
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic45.6%8,797DoleRepublican38.0%7,319PerotReform14.6%2,822
D+7.7- Lead
- 1,478
- Total
- 19,279
- vs nation
- R+0.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+27.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 46,3212024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,9482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Oswego County, NY · twin score 89.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.0%22,828 participants ÷ 36,209 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 49.2%–52.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 20,317 | 38,378 | 52.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 17,296 | 37,924 | 45.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 22,282 | 37,270 | 59.8% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 16,984 | 36,964 | 45.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 22,828 | 36,209 | 63.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
31 precincts · 22,659 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0200001360170200001 | 534 | 974 | 13 | 1,521 | 35.1% | 64.0% | R+28.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0600001360170600001 | 557 | 889 | 9 | 1,455 | 38.3% | 61.1% | R+22.8 |
| Precinct 0700001360170700001 | 454 | 940 | 22 | 1,416 | 32.1% | 66.4% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct 0100001360170100001 | 465 | 886 | 8 | 1,359 | 34.2% | 65.2% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct 0600002360170600002 | 471 | 871 | 11 | 1,353 | 34.8% | 64.4% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct 1000001360171000001 | 423 | 716 | 17 | 1,156 | 36.6% | 61.9% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct 1500001360171500001 | 388 | 649 | 8 | 1,045 | 37.1% | 62.1% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct 2000002360172000002 | 330 | 629 | 6 | 965 | 34.2% | 65.2% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct 2000001360172000001 | 327 | 579 | 3 | 909 | 36.0% | 63.7% | R+27.7 |
| Precinct 1300001360171300001 | 324 | 570 | 8 | 902 | 35.9% | 63.2% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct 1800001360171800001 | 219 | 603 | 5 | 827 | 26.5% | 72.9% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct 1100001360171100001 | 275 | 520 | 7 | 802 | 34.3% | 64.8% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct 1300002360171300002 | 331 | 457 | 7 | 795 | 41.6% | 57.5% | R+15.8 |
| Precinct 0400001360170400001 | 195 | 551 | 6 | 752 | 25.9% | 73.3% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct 1500002360171500002 | 289 | 428 | 6 | 723 | 40.0% | 59.2% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct 2100001360172100001 | 193 | 457 | 4 | 654 | 29.5% | 69.9% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct 2200001360172200001 | 144 | 423 | 9 | 576 | 25.0% | 73.4% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct 1203001360171203001 | 311 | 239 | 5 | 555 | 56.0% | 43.1% | D+13.0 |
| Precinct 1201001360171201001 | 302 | 230 | 6 | 538 | 56.1% | 42.8% | D+13.4 |
| Precinct 1202001360171202001 | 240 | 247 | 2 | 489 | 49.1% | 50.5% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct 1900001360171900001 | 181 | 304 | 4 | 489 | 37.0% | 62.2% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct 1205001360171205001 | 210 | 217 | 5 | 432 | 48.6% | 50.2% | R+1.6 |
| Precinct 0300001360170300001 | 107 | 322 | 1 | 430 | 24.9% | 74.9% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct 1206001360171206001 | 219 | 207 | 2 | 428 | 51.2% | 48.4% | D+2.8 |
| Precinct 0900001360170900001 | 141 | 275 | 4 | 420 | 33.6% | 65.5% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct 1400001360171400001 | 138 | 259 | 4 | 401 | 34.4% | 64.6% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct 1204001360171204001 | 137 | 199 | 2 | 338 | 40.5% | 58.9% | R+18.3 |
| Precinct 1700001360171700001 | 75 | 229 | 1 | 305 | 24.6% | 75.1% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct 1600001360171600001 | 83 | 172 | 1 | 256 | 32.4% | 67.2% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct 0500001360170500001 | 57 | 128 | 1 | 186 | 30.6% | 68.8% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct 0800001360170800001 | 57 | 124 | 1 | 182 | 31.3% | 68.1% | R+36.8 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −10.5% |
| 1896 | −22.0% |
| 1900 | −21.5% |
| 1904 | −24.1% |
| 1908 | −21.1% |
| 1912 | −7.4% |
| 1916 | −13.8% |
| 1920 | −44.9% |
| 1924 | −50.9% |
| 1928 | −55.2% |
| 1932 | −31.7% |
| 1936 | −45.4% |
| 1940 | −45.9% |
| 1944 | −43.6% |
| 1948 | −42.5% |
| 1952 | −59.4% |
| 1956 | −62.2% |
| 1960 | −43.9% |
| 1964 | +23.0% |
| 1968 | −32.9% |
| 1972 | −41.4% |
| 1976 | −25.3% |
| 1980 | −17.8% |
| 1984 | −38.3% |
| 1988 | −18.6% |
| 1992 | −0.4% |
| 1996 | +7.7% |
| 2000 | −4.5% |
| 2004 | −10.8% |
| 2008 | −1.1% |
| 2012 | −3.1% |
| 2016 | −25.5% |
| 2020 | −23.3% |
| 2024 | −27.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 28 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 36.5%7,321 | 63.5%12,712 | 20,033 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+23.1
Presidential vote · 2024R+27.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.0 points more Democratic.
32,375 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+123 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,113 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,839 in average income, against $63,084 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.1 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Chenango County, NY itself (R+27.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Broome County, NY160D+0.4
- Otsego County, NY123R+7.8
- Madison County, NY75R+13.0
- Delaware County, NY73R+19.7
- Cortland County, NY34R+6.4
- Onondaga County, NY28D+17.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Broome County, NY169
- Otsego County, NY108
- Delaware County, NY90
- Madison County, NY81
- Cortland County, NY41
- Oneida County, NY37
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −221 |
| 2012 | −267 |
| 2013 | −405 |
| 2014 | −171 |
| 2015 | −489 |
| 2016 | −405 |
| 2017 | −442 |
| 2018 | −244 |
| 2019 | −169 |
| 2021 | −284 |
| 2022 | +3 |
| 2023 | −227 |
| 2024 | +85 |
| 2025 | +123 |
Chenango's economy long anchored by dairy farming and small manufacturing, and its population has declined steadily for decades — a demographic pattern that correlates strongly with its growing Republican presidential margins in recent elections.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 62.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.1 points.
A population of 46,321, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,948 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oswego County and Herkimer County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Oswego County
New York
89.6twin score
% Evangelical2000 margin% White≠ Italian ancestry
Herkimer County
New York
88.0twin score
% Evangelical12-yr trend% White≠ Italian ancestry
Cayuga County
New York
87.6twin score
12-yr trend% Evangelical2008–2012 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Chenango County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Chenango County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Chenango County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Chenango County, New York voted Republican by 27.1 points (R+27.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,540 votes cast, 8,177 went Democratic and 14,294 went Republican.
When did Chenango County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Chenango County, New York voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Chenango County, New York?
Chenango County, New York has a population of 46,321 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Chenango County, New York?
Median household income in Chenango County, New York is $62,948 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Chenango County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Chenango County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.