- Lead
- 6,940
- Total
- 68,556
- vs nation
- R+8.7
New York 131st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,322
- Total
- 69,244
- vs nation
- R+12.1
- Lead
- 6,453
- Total
- 62,453
- vs nation
- R+12.4
- Lead
- 1,223
- Total
- 57,873
- vs nation
- R+1.7
- Lead
- 1,079
- Total
- 62,849
- vs nation
- R+5.6
- Lead
- 6,474
- Total
- 63,985
- vs nation
- R+7.7
- Lead
- 2,931
- Total
- 59,283
- vs nation
- R+5.5
- Lead
- 3,847
- Total
- 55,107
- vs nation
- R+1.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 138,3052024 5-year
- Population density
- 85 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,622 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,1832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.8 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 130, NY · twin score 88.6
presidential history
Party record book
New York 131st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.1%
31,261 votes · D+28.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 50.1%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
75.9%
38,449 votes · R+51.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 72.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
31,471votes
50.1% of the vote · D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 31,261 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
38,449votes
75.9% of the vote · R+51.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 36,865 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+5.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+28.3 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −1.5 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+58.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.7 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +46.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 45.9%25,972 | 54.1%30,614 | 56,586 |
Assembly District 131 sits in New York's outer suburban belt, where a 10.1-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 reflects the broader rightward shift among working- and middle-class communities outside the state's major metros.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.8 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.1 points.
A population of 138,305, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,183 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 130 and Assembly District 122.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 131st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36131/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.