akashic
1876–2024
Middle Atlantic·United States

Middle Atlantic has voted Democratic in nine straight presidential elections — D+6.0 in 2024.

20082024·5 elections
Middle Atlantic
HarrisD+6.0
2024 presidential margin by county for Middle AtlanticA map of the constituent counties of Middle Atlantic, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Beaver County, PA · R+20.6Steuben County, NY · R+31.5Forest County, PA · R+44.3Tioga County, PA · R+51.6Dauphin County, PA · D+5.9Sussex County, NJ · R+24.9Wayne County, PA · R+37.0Saratoga County, NY · D+1.8Allegany County, NY · R+42.7Oswego County, NY · R+24.1Ulster County, NY · D+18.4Camden County, NJ · D+27.3Greene County, PA · R+44.8St. Lawrence County, NY · R+17.9Jefferson County, PA · R+58.4Schuyler County, NY · R+20.8Snyder County, PA · R+46.9Clarion County, PA · R+52.9Essex County, NY · TiedSuffolk County, NY · R+9.9Clearfield County, PA · R+51.4Union County, NJ · D+24.1Indiana County, PA · R+39.0Perry County, PA · R+49.1Hamilton County, NY · R+29.4Dutchess County, NY · D+5.4Otsego County, NY · R+7.8Cameron County, PA · R+50.1Butler County, PA · R+32.1Philadelphia County, PA · D+58.6Tompkins County, NY · D+49.6Albany County, NY · D+25.4Fulton County, PA · R+72.6Cayuga County, NY · R+12.9Greene County, NY · R+16.8Herkimer County, NY · R+36.2Bradford County, PA · R+47.9Huntingdon County, PA · R+52.8Bedford County, PA · R+68.5Lawrence County, PA · R+33.7Cape May County, NJ · R+19.2Warren County, NY · R+4.2Clinton County, PA · R+40.8Columbia County, PA · R+30.9Burlington County, NJ · D+16.6Jefferson County, NY · R+23.6Clinton County, NY · R+2.1Berks County, PA · R+12.1Mercer County, PA · R+30.1Nassau County, NY · R+4.1Middlesex County, NJ · D+8.0Schuylkill County, PA · R+42.0Madison County, NY · R+12.9Washington County, NY · R+21.0Westchester County, NY · D+26.1Sullivan County, PA · R+46.8Northumberland County, PA · R+39.8Cambria County, PA · R+39.6Lackawanna County, PA · D+2.8Lewis County, NY · R+44.1Wyoming County, PA · R+36.7Ontario County, NY · R+1.2Cortland County, NY · R+6.4Hudson County, NJ · D+27.9Chester County, PA · D+14.4Monroe County, PA · R+0.8Richmond County, NY · R+29.3York County, PA · R+25.2Erie County, NY · D+9.5Elk County, PA · R+46.8Putnam County, NY · R+13.6Monmouth County, NJ · R+11.3Carbon County, PA · R+34.7Blair County, PA · R+43.3Somerset County, PA · R+57.1Somerset County, NJ · D+13.8Erie County, PA · R+1.0Montgomery County, NY · R+28.5Ocean County, NJ · R+35.9Sullivan County, NY · R+16.6Fayette County, PA · R+37.9Juniata County, PA · R+61.2McKean County, PA · R+47.0Orleans County, NY · R+40.4Oneida County, NY · R+21.1Cattaraugus County, NY · R+32.7Yates County, NY · R+16.0Tioga County, NY · R+22.8Monroe County, NY · D+18.9Gloucester County, NJ · R+2.8Mifflin County, PA · R+56.3Schoharie County, NY · R+30.3Broome County, NY · TiedCumberland County, NJ · R+3.7Rensselaer County, NY · D+1.3Montgomery County, PA · D+22.7Morris County, NJ · R+2.7Seneca County, NY · R+11.7Essex County, NJ · D+44.9Warren County, PA · R+39.1Montour County, PA · R+20.9Genesee County, NY · R+33.9Wayne County, NY · R+22.9Delaware County, PA · D+23.7Niagara County, NY · R+14.8Bergen County, NJ · D+3.4Adams County, PA · R+33.5Lehigh County, PA · D+2.7Chemung County, NY · R+16.7Wyoming County, NY · R+47.9Northampton County, PA · R+1.8New York County, NY · D+63.6Warren County, NJ · R+20.6Columbia County, NY · D+14.6Cumberland County, PA · R+9.4Franklin County, PA · R+42.8Luzerne County, PA · R+19.1Chautauqua County, NY · R+21.8Franklin County, NY · R+9.0Onondaga County, NY · D+17.1Potter County, PA · R+62.1Chenango County, NY · R+27.0Allegheny County, PA · D+20.2Bucks County, PA · TiedLycoming County, PA · R+41.3Lebanon County, PA · R+31.8Passaic County, NJ · R+2.9Fulton County, NY · R+35.6Centre County, PA · D+2.8Salem County, NJ · R+19.2Rockland County, NY · R+11.7Hunterdon County, NJ · R+6.6Livingston County, NY · R+21.4Pike County, PA · R+24.0Susquehanna County, PA · R+44.6Washington County, PA · R+25.4Delaware County, NY · R+19.6Union County, PA · R+23.3Crawford County, PA · R+39.1Venango County, PA · R+42.0Lancaster County, PA · R+15.9Orange County, NY · R+8.4Schenectady County, NY · D+10.7Armstrong County, PA · R+53.1Atlantic County, NJ · R+3.0Mercer County, NJ · D+33.8Westmoreland County, PA · R+28.3Queens County, NY · D+24.1Kings County, NY · D+43.0Bronx County, NY · D+44.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic52.2%10,262,950
Donald TrumpRepublican46.3%9,090,422
OtherAll other candidates1.5%293,179
D+60
R+60
150 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: +6.0% in 2024.flipped D · 1992+6.0%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−0.1%
1896−21.8%
1900−15.7%
1904−23.1%
1908−17.3%
1912+12.7%
1916−10.3%
1920−38.2%
1924−34.5%
1928−15.4%
1932+5.1%
1936+18.5%
1940+4.7%
1944+3.7%
1948−2.5%
1952−10.4%
1956−20.8%
1960+3.5%
1964+33.9%
1968+3.3%
1972−19.7%
1976+2.4%
1980−6.5%
1984−10.6%
1988−1.9%
1992+10.7%
1996+20.1%
2000+16.2%
2004+10.4%
2008+18.7%
2012+17.9%
2016+12.6%
2020+14.0%
2024+6.0%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+6.0%
10,262,9509,090,42219,646,551
D
+14.0%
11,311,5158,512,98420,055,534
D
+12.6%
9,630,8787,392,23217,795,456
D
+17.9%
9,602,7616,649,67916,488,296
D
+18.7%
10,296,4867,021,82017,504,014
D
+10.4%
9,163,8057,426,41716,770,211
D
+16.2%
8,388,6085,970,97614,931,431
D
+20.1%
7,624,3254,837,73913,893,243
D
+10.7%
7,119,8205,495,35515,230,329
R
−1.9%
6,863,1787,125,15014,121,487
R
−10.6%
6,609,0638,182,71614,869,575
R
−6.5%
5,813,2766,702,26013,738,858
D
+2.4%
7,162,8886,816,08314,169,679
R
−19.7%
5,850,2468,752,80114,751,165
D
+3.3%
6,902,0816,423,41614,413,389
D
+33.9%
9,911,7814,881,05914,835,475
D
+3.5%
7,771,7827,249,69915,070,731
R
−20.8%
5,582,8758,532,53414,151,924
R
−10.4%
6,266,7727,742,21714,127,764
R
−2.5%
5,428,0855,724,48411,863,405
D
+3.7%
6,232,5915,784,03612,075,371
D
+4.7%
6,439,3575,862,20212,366,826
D
+18.5%
6,730,7584,590,29111,553,956
D
+5.1%
4,637,3014,166,9099,177,238
R
−15.4%
3,773,6115,174,0119,104,433
R
−34.5%
1,657,7313,896,7016,494,737
R
−38.2%
1,541,9683,700,8345,654,973
R
−10.3%
1,492,2281,852,0433,498,039
D
+12.7%
1,229,848817,9133,239,714
R
−17.3%
1,298,7721,881,1473,372,911
R
−23.1%
1,186,5451,945,6463,284,370
R
−15.7%
1,267,5021,756,3853,122,303
R
−21.8%
1,118,2721,769,5052,989,245
R
−0.1%
1,278,1981,281,4632,677,426
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorMiddle AtlanticCensus divisionUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White60.9%61.0%
Black12.9%12.2%
Asian7.7%6.0%
Two or more races9.8%12.6%
Other race8.8%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino17.0%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$90,891$84,427
Poverty rate12.4%12.5%
Median age40.439.1
Age 18–248.8%9.2%
Age 65 and older18.3%17.2%
Education & Language
Speaks a non-English language at home25.7%22.3%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryGerman 12.6%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryIrish 12.2%English 9.5%
3rd-largest ancestryItalian 11.4%Irish 9.4%
Religion
Catholic28.3%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant6.4%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed49.9%51.5%
Mainline Protestant5.9%5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.6%
Irish
12.2%
Italian
11.4%
English
6.2%
Polish
4.5%
American
4.1%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
74.3%
speak English only
Spanish12.5%
Other Indo-European7.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.2%
Other languages1.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
28.3%
Evangelical Protestant
6.4%
Mainline Protestant
5.9%
Muslim
2.8%
Jewish
2.4%
Black Protestant
1.4%
Hindu
0.8%
Other Christian
0.8%
Orthodox Christian
0.6%
Latter-day Saints
0.4%
Buddhist
0.3%
Other faiths
0.1%
Unaffiliated or not counted49.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Middle Atlantic sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Democratic.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 38.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the division moved 8.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.0 points.

A population of 42,214,814, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,891 describe the division.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Middle Atlantic, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/division/middle-atlantic/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Middle Atlantic, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, Middle Atlantic, United States voted Democratic by 6.0 points (D+6.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 19,646,551 votes cast, 10,262,950 went Democratic and 9,090,422 went Republican.
What is Middle Atlantic, United States's political typology?
Akashic places Middle Atlantic, United States in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the division has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did Middle Atlantic, United States last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Middle Atlantic, United States voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Middle Atlantic, United States?
Middle Atlantic, United States has a population of 42,214,814 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Middle Atlantic, United States?
Median household income in Middle Atlantic, United States is $90,891 — above the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Middle Atlantic, United States?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Middle Atlantic, United States from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The division's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.