Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
census divisionMiddle Atlantic

presidential margin

2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican

2004D+10.4
2008D+18.7
2012D+17.9
2016D+12.6
2020D+14.0
2024D+6.0
full record · 1892 → 2024

presidential returns

2024 turnout 64.2% of 30,500,223 citizens 18+

YearDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalCVAPTurnout
202410,262,9509,090,422240,58019,593,95230,500,22364.2%
202011,311,5158,512,984231,03520,055,53429,700,07867.5%
20169,630,8787,392,232772,34617,795,45629,418,97660.5%
20129,602,7616,649,679235,85616,488,29628,714,03657.4%
200810,296,4867,021,820185,70817,504,01428,329,94861.8%
20049,163,8057,426,417179,98916,770,21127,945,860†60.0%

† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.

2024 presidential margin for Middle AtlanticMiddle Atlantic: an interactive map of its constituent counties, each colored by its Democratic-vs-Republican presidential margin from deep red through neutral to deep blue. County labels carry each county's own margin. Overall: D+6.0 in 2024.
150 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German12.6%12.5%
Irish12.2%9.4%
Italian11.4%4.8%
English6.3%9.5%
Polish4.5%2.2%
American4.1%5.3%
Russian1.0%—
French0.8%1.6%
Puerto Rican4.6%1.8%
Dominican3.5%0.7%
Mexican2.2%11.3%
Ecuadorian1.1%—
Colombian0.9%0.4%
Salvadoran0.6%0.7%
Cuban0.4%0.7%
Guatemalan0.4%0.5%
African American†8.4%9.9%
Jamaican1.0%0.4%
Haitian0.7%0.3%
African0.5%0.5%
Guyanese0.4%—
Nigerian0.2%0.2%
Trinidadian and Tobagonian0.2%—
West Indian0.2%—
Asian Indian2.3%1.4%
Chinese2.3%1.3%
Filipino0.6%0.9%
Korean0.6%0.4%
Bangladeshi0.3%—
Pakistani0.3%—
Vietnamese0.2%0.6%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

MeasureMiddle AtlanticUnited States
Median age40.439.1
Age 18–248.8%9.2%
Age 65 and older18.3%17.2%

Household economy

MeasureMiddle AtlanticUnited States
Median household income$90,891$84,427
Poverty rate12.4%12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)39.3%35.6%

Languages at home

MeasureMiddle AtlanticUnited States
Speaks a non-English language at home25.7%22.3%
Spanish12.5%13.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic1.6%0.7%
Other Indo-European3.7%2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)2.1%1.1%

Religious landscape

MeasureMiddle AtlanticUnited States
Catholic28.3%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant6.4%16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted49.9%51.5%
Mainline Protestant5.9%5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

Middle Atlantic, United States

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +6.0% in 2024.flipped D · 1992+6.0%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−0.1%
1896−21.8%
1900−15.7%
1904−23.1%
1908−17.3%
1912+12.7%
1916−10.3%
1920−38.2%
1924−34.5%
1928−15.4%
1932+5.1%
1936+18.5%
1940+4.7%
1944+3.7%
1948−2.5%
1952−10.4%
1956−20.8%
1960+3.5%
1964+33.9%
1968+3.3%
1972−19.7%
1976+2.4%
1980−6.5%
1984−10.6%
1988−1.9%
1992+10.7%
1996+20.1%
2000+16.2%
2004+10.4%
2008+18.7%
2012+17.9%
2016+12.6%
2020+14.0%
2024+6.0%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginSwingvs U.S.Total
D
52.4%Harris10,262,950
46.4%Trump9,090,422
1.2%
D+6.0R+8.0D+7.519,593,952
D
56.4%Biden11,311,515
42.4%Trump8,512,984
1.2%
D+14.0D+1.4D+9.520,055,534
D
54.1%Clinton9,630,878
41.5%Trump7,392,232
4.3%
D+12.6R+5.3D+10.517,795,456
D
58.2%Obama9,602,761
40.3%Romney6,649,679
1.4%
D+17.9R+0.8D+14.116,488,296
D
58.8%Obama10,296,486
40.1%McCain7,021,820
1.1%
D+18.7D+8.3D+11.417,504,014
D
54.6%Kerry9,163,805
44.3%Bush7,426,417
1.1%
D+10.4R+5.8D+12.816,770,211
D
56.2%Gore8,388,608
40.0%Bush5,970,976
3.8%
D+16.2R+3.9D+15.714,931,431
D
54.9%Clinton7,624,325
34.8%Dole4,837,739
10.3%
D+20.1D+9.4D+11.513,893,243
D
46.7%Clinton7,119,820
36.1%Bush5,495,355
17.2%
D+10.7D+12.5D+5.115,230,329
R
48.6%Dukakis6,863,178
50.5%Bush7,125,150
0.9%
R+1.9D+8.7D+5.914,121,487
R
44.4%Mondale6,609,063
55.0%Reagan8,182,716
0.5%
R+10.6R+4.1D+7.614,869,575
R
42.3%Carter5,813,276
48.8%Reagan6,702,260
8.9%
R+6.5R+8.9D+3.313,738,858
D
50.6%Carter7,162,888
48.1%Ford6,816,083
1.3%
D+2.4D+22.1D+0.414,169,679
R
39.7%McGovern5,850,246
59.3%Nixon8,752,801
1.0%
R+19.7R+23.0D+3.514,751,165
D
47.9%Humphrey6,902,081
44.6%Nixon6,423,416
7.5%
D+3.3R+30.6D+4.014,413,389
D
66.8%Johnson9,911,781
32.9%Goldwater4,881,059
0.3%
D+33.9D+30.4D+11.314,835,475
D
51.6%Kennedy7,771,782
48.1%Nixon7,249,699
0.3%
D+3.5D+24.3D+3.315,070,731
R
39.4%Stevenson5,582,875
60.3%Eisenhower8,532,534
0.3%
R+20.8R+10.4R+5.414,151,924
R
44.4%Stevenson6,266,772
54.8%Eisenhower7,742,217
0.8%
R+10.4R+7.9D+0.314,127,764
R
45.8%Truman5,428,085
48.3%Dewey5,724,484
6.0%
R+2.5R+6.2R+7.011,863,405
D
51.6%Roosevelt6,232,591
47.9%Dewey5,784,036
0.5%
D+3.7R+1.0R+3.812,075,371
D
52.1%Roosevelt6,439,357
47.4%Willkie5,862,202
0.5%
D+4.7R+13.9R+5.312,366,826
D
58.3%Roosevelt6,730,758
39.7%Landon4,590,291
2.0%
D+18.5D+13.4R+5.711,553,956
D
50.5%Roosevelt4,637,301
45.4%Hoover4,166,909
4.1%
D+5.1D+20.5R+12.79,177,238
R
41.4%Smith3,773,611
56.8%Hoover5,174,011
1.7%
R+15.4D+19.1D+2.19,104,433
R
25.5%Davis1,657,731
60.0%Coolidge3,896,701
14.5%
R+34.5D+3.7R+9.36,494,737
R
27.3%Cox1,541,968
65.4%Harding3,700,834
7.3%
R+38.2R+27.9R+12.05,654,973
R
42.7%Wilson1,492,228
52.9%Hughes1,852,043
4.4%
R+10.3R+23.0R+13.43,498,039
D
38.0%Wilson1,229,848
25.2%Taft817,913
36.8%
D+12.7D+30.0R+6.83,239,714
R
38.5%Bryan1,298,772
55.8%Taft1,881,147
5.7%
R+17.3D+5.8R+7.73,372,911
R
36.1%Parker1,186,545
59.2%Roosevelt1,945,646
4.6%
R+23.1R+7.5R+3.43,284,370
R
40.6%Bryan1,267,502
56.3%McKinley1,756,385
3.2%
R+15.7D+6.1R+8.13,122,303
R
37.4%Bryan1,118,272
59.2%McKinley1,769,505
3.4%
R+21.8R+21.7R+15.72,989,245
R
47.7%Cleveland1,278,198
47.9%Harrison1,281,463
4.4%
R+0.1—R+1.82,677,426
voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026D+15.6
Presidential vote · 2024D+6.0

Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 9.6 points more Democratic.

29,076,045 registered voters · 2026

Democratic44.2%Republican28.6%Unaffiliated23.9%Other3.3%
Source: State election authorities
domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net domestic migration over time

−177,950 net domestic migration · 2025

Net domestic migration in Middle Atlantic, 2011–2025Yearly net domestic migration (arrivals minus departures). Cumulative −3,401,727 over the window. Sage = net gain, amber = net loss.
20112025

Net −3,401,727 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Domestic migration in Middle Atlantic in Middle Atlantic: net domestic migration by year
YearNet domestic migration
2011−129,182
2012−173,481
2013−190,002
2014−237,299
2015−277,891
2016−311,982
2017−271,917
2018−253,144
2019−249,183
2021−331,906
2022−387,670
2023−244,136
2024−165,984
2025−177,950
Source: Census Population Estimates (net) · IRS SOI (flows)

Middle Atlantic sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Democratic.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 38.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the division moved 8.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.0 points.

A population of 42,214,814, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,891 describe the division. The division's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of New England and Pacific.

Political twins — divisions

The census divisions whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

New England
61.4twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Pacific
47.3twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
East North Central
33.5twin score
12-yr trend2008 marginPolish ancestry≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Middle Atlantic, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/division/middle-atlantic/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Middle Atlantic

states3
New JerseyNew YorkPennsylvania

Frequently asked questions

How did Middle Atlantic, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, Middle Atlantic, United States voted Democratic by 6.0 points (D+6.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 19,593,952 votes cast, 10,262,950 went Democratic and 9,090,422 went Republican.
When did Middle Atlantic, United States last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Middle Atlantic, United States voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Middle Atlantic, United States?
Middle Atlantic, United States has a population of 42,214,814 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Middle Atlantic, United States?
Median household income in Middle Atlantic, United States is $90,891 — above the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Middle Atlantic, United States?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Middle Atlantic, United States from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.