Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
census division

Middle Atlantic

Contests in this Place (45 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · all mapped

precinct · counties · no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

18922024 · D minus R
Full record · 18922024
2024 presidential vote for Middle AtlanticMiddle Atlantic: an interactive county map of the presidential vote, each county colored by the Democratic-versus-Republican margin from red through neutral to blue. Counties with no votes use a faint neutral wash; exact ties use a solid warm neutral. County labels carry each county's own margin. Overall: D+6.0 in 2024.
150 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab

President results by year

Vote totals, margins, and source status

HarrisDemocratic52.4%10,262,950TrumpRepublican46.4%9,090,422OtherAll other candidates1.2%240,580
D+6.0
Lead
1,172,528
Total
19,593,952
vs nation
D+7.5
BidenDemocratic56.4%11,311,515TrumpRepublican42.4%8,512,984OtherAll other candidates1.2%231,035
D+14.0
Lead
2,798,531
Total
20,055,534
vs nation
D+9.5
ClintonDemocratic54.1%9,630,878TrumpRepublican41.5%7,392,232OtherAll other candidates4.3%772,346
D+12.6
Lead
2,238,646
Total
17,795,456
vs nation
D+10.5
ObamaDemocratic58.2%9,602,761RomneyRepublican40.3%6,649,679OtherAll other candidates1.4%235,856
D+17.9
Lead
2,953,082
Total
16,488,296
vs nation
D+14.1
ObamaDemocratic58.8%10,296,486McCainRepublican40.1%7,021,820OtherAll other candidates1.1%185,708
D+18.7
Lead
3,274,666
Total
17,504,014
vs nation
D+11.4
KerryDemocratic54.6%9,163,805BushRepublican44.3%7,426,417OtherAll other candidates1.1%179,989
D+10.4
Lead
1,737,388
Total
16,770,211
vs nation
D+12.8
GoreDemocratic56.2%8,388,608BushRepublican40.0%5,970,976OtherAll other candidates3.8%571,847
D+16.2
Lead
2,417,632
Total
14,931,431
vs nation
D+15.7
ClintonDemocratic54.9%7,624,325DoleRepublican34.8%4,837,739OtherAll other candidates10.3%1,431,179
D+20.1
Lead
2,786,586
Total
13,893,243
vs nation
D+11.5
Certified or directly reported presidential returnsRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+6.0MIT Election Lab
Population
42,214,8142024 5-year
Population density
425 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
99,221 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$90,8912024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.6%2024 5-year
Black
12.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
17.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+33.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+38.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar
New England · twin score 61.4

presidential history

Party record book

Middle Atlantic · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

66.8%

9,911,781 votes · D+33.9

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 58.8%

Republican

Warren G. Harding1920

65.4%

3,700,834 votes · R+38.2

Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 60.3%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

11,311,515votes

56.4% of the vote · D+14.0

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 10,296,486 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

9,090,422votes

46.4% of the vote · D+6.0

Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 8,752,801 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Al Gore2000

+15.7pts D vs U.S.

Place D+16.2 · U.S. D+0.5

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +14.1 pts

Republican

William McKinley1896

+15.7pts R vs U.S.

Place R+21.8 · U.S. R+6.1

Runner-up · Charles E. Hughes, 1916 · +13.4 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Middle Atlantic, 1892–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
YearVote leadDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
53.9%9,215,742
46.1%7,880,340
17,096,082
2020D
50.8%4,350,863
49.2%4,205,698
8,556,561
2018D
59.8%4,180,224
40.2%2,805,960
6,986,184

presidential primaries

Nominating contests

Middle Atlantic · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.

Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.

Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.

Presidential nominating contests in Middle Atlantic, by party and cycle.
Party20082012201620202024
Democratic
Clinton137Obama135,345,032 votes · 150 of 150 countiesprimary
no contest record
Sanders81Clinton694,531,884 votes · 150 of 150 countiesprimary
Biden1504,220,439 votes · 150 of 150 countiesprimary
no contest record
Republicannot ingested
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record

no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.

Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.

Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.

County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.

Source · official statewide canvasses for each party's presidential nominating contest, aggregated from county returns.Each cell is one party in one cycle. A cell with a result shows the leader and the lead over the runner-up; every other cell shows that Akashic holds no record, which is a statement about this archive rather than about the contest.Presidential nominating contests only. Down-ballot primaries — Senate, governor, U.S. House, state legislative — are not yet ingested, and neither is the nominating-contest calendar that would let an empty cell say which of cancelled, uncontested, or not-yet-ingested it is.
voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026D+15.6
Presidential vote · 2024D+6.0

Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 9.6 points more Republican than the rolls.

29,076,045 registered voters · 2026

Democratic44.2%Republican28.6%Unaffiliated23.9%Other3.3%
Source: State election authorities
domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net domestic migration over time

−177,950 net domestic migration · 2025

Net domestic migration in Middle Atlantic, 2011–2025Yearly net domestic migration (arrivals minus departures). Cumulative −3,401,727 over the window. Sage = net gain, amber = net loss.
20112025

Net −3,401,727 over 20112025 · gain loss

Domestic migration in Middle Atlantic in Middle Atlantic: net domestic migration by year
YearNet domestic migration
2011−129,182
2012−173,481
2013−190,002
2014−237,299
2015−277,891
2016−311,982
2017−271,917
2018−253,144
2019−249,183
2021−331,906
2022−387,670
2023−244,136
2024−165,984
2025−177,950
Source: Census Population Estimates (net) · IRS SOI (flows)

Middle Atlantic sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Democratic.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 38.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the division moved 8.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.0 points.

A population of 42,214,814, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,891 describe the division. The division's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of New England and Pacific.

The census divisions whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Middle Atlantic, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/division/middle-atlantic/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
U.S. electionsAll elections →

Places within Middle Atlantic

Frequently asked questions

How did Middle Atlantic, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, Middle Atlantic, United States voted Democratic by 6.0 points (D+6.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 19,593,952 votes cast, 10,262,950 went Democratic and 9,090,422 went Republican.
When did Middle Atlantic, United States last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Middle Atlantic, United States voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Middle Atlantic, United States?
Middle Atlantic, United States has a population of 42,214,814 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Middle Atlantic, United States?
Median household income in Middle Atlantic, United States is $90,891 — above the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Middle Atlantic, United States?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Middle Atlantic, United States from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.