Every election, year by year
Every federal election since 1892 as a first-class page — president county-deep, US Senate, US House, and governors — real returns, named sources, nothing estimated.
All 51 results, 2024
| State | presidential margin | Electoral votes |
|---|---|---|
| District of Columbia | D+83.8 | 3 |
| Vermont | D+31.5 | 3 |
| Maryland | D+28.5 | 10 |
| Massachusetts | D+25.2 | 11 |
| Hawaii | D+23.1 | 4 |
| California | D+20.1 | 54 |
| Washington | D+18.2 | 12 |
| Delaware | D+14.7 | 3 |
| Connecticut | D+14.5 | 7 |
| Oregon | D+14.3 | 8 |
| Rhode Island | D+13.8 | 4 |
| New York | D+12.6 | 28 |
| Colorado | D+11.0 | 10 |
| Illinois | D+10.9 | 19 |
| Maine | D+6.9 | 4 |
| New Mexico | D+6.0 | 5 |
| New Jersey | D+5.9 | 14 |
| Virginia | D+5.8 | 13 |
| Minnesota | D+4.2 | 10 |
| New Hampshire | D+2.8 | 4 |
| Wisconsin | R+0.9 | 10 |
| Michigan | R+1.4 | 15 |
| Pennsylvania | R+1.7 | 19 |
| Georgia | R+2.2 | 16 |
| Nevada | R+3.1 | 6 |
| North Carolina | R+3.2 | 16 |
| Arizona | R+5.5 | 11 |
| Ohio | R+11.2 | 17 |
| Florida | R+13.1 | 30 |
| Alaska | R+13.1 | 3 |
| Iowa | R+13.2 | 6 |
| Texas | R+13.7 | 40 |
| Kansas | R+16.1 | 6 |
| South Carolina | R+17.9 | 9 |
| Missouri | R+18.4 | 10 |
| Indiana | R+19.0 | 11 |
| Montana | R+19.9 | 4 |
| Nebraska | R+20.5 | 5 |
| Utah | R+21.6 | 6 |
| Louisiana | R+22.0 | 8 |
| Mississippi | R+22.9 | 6 |
| South Dakota | R+29.2 | 3 |
| Tennessee | R+29.7 | 11 |
| Alabama | R+30.5 | 9 |
| Kentucky | R+30.5 | 8 |
| Arkansas | R+30.6 | 6 |
| Oklahoma | R+34.3 | 7 |
| North Dakota | R+36.4 | 3 |
| Idaho | R+36.5 | 4 |
| West Virginia | R+41.9 | 4 |
| Wyoming | R+45.8 | 3 |
The popular vote in the long run
National Democratic-minus-Republican margin, 1892–2024. Blue above the line is a Democratic margin, red below Republican.
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +1.7% |
| 1896 | −6.1% |
| 1900 | −7.5% |
| 1904 | −19.7% |
| 1908 | −9.6% |
| 1912 | +19.5% |
| 1916 | +3.1% |
| 1920 | −26.2% |
| 1924 | −25.2% |
| 1928 | −17.5% |
| 1932 | +17.8% |
| 1936 | +24.3% |
| 1940 | +9.9% |
| 1944 | +7.5% |
| 1948 | +4.5% |
| 1952 | −10.8% |
| 1956 | −15.4% |
| 1960 | +0.2% |
| 1964 | +22.6% |
| 1968 | −0.7% |
| 1972 | −23.2% |
| 1976 | +2.1% |
| 1980 | −9.7% |
| 1984 | −18.2% |
| 1988 | −7.7% |
| 1992 | +5.6% |
| 1996 | +8.5% |
| 2000 | +0.5% |
| 2004 | −2.5% |
| 2008 | +7.3% |
| 2012 | +3.9% |
| 2016 | +2.1% |
| 2020 | +4.5% |
| 2024 | −1.5% |
- 1932The New Deal coalition forms — Roosevelt turns the Depression into a 42-state landslide.
- 1948Truman holds the White House as four Deep South states break away over civil rights.
- 1964Johnson wins in a landslide as five Deep South states vote Republican for the first time.
- 1980Reagan's victory begins a Republican realignment across the South and the Mountain West.
- 1992Clinton reassembles a Democratic majority; Perot draws the largest third-party vote in eighty years.
- 2016The popular vote and the electoral college split — the industrial North decides the presidency.
The sharpest realignments
The biggest one-cycle shifts in a state's presidential margin since 1892 — the New Deal turning the South out in 1932, the Deep South breaking for Goldwater in 1964, the Carter home-state swing in 1976. (1912 is set aside — the Roosevelt–Taft split distorts that year's two-party margin.)
- Georgia1972 → 1976D+84.4R+50.6D+33.9
- Alabama1960 → 1964R+83.7D+14.3R+69.5
- Texas1928 → 1932D+80.8R+3.9D+77.0
- Oklahoma1928 → 1932D+74.9R+28.3D+46.6
- Arkansas1972 → 1976D+68.1R+38.1D+30.0
- Utah1896 → 1900R+67.7D+65.4R+2.3
- Florida1928 → 1932D+66.5R+16.7D+49.8
- Montana1892 → 1896D+63.0R+2.9D+60.2
The record, cycle by cycle
Sources. Federal returns from the MIT Election Lab (president, US Senate, and US House, 1976–2024); pre-1976 presidential results and county-level detail from compiled historical records; governors and presidential primaries from official statewide canvasses. Real returns — nothing estimated.