Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
census division

East North Central

Contests in this Place (45 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · all mapped

precinct · counties · no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

18922024 · D minus R
Full record · 18922024
2024 presidential vote for East North CentralEast North Central: an interactive county map of the presidential vote, each county colored by the Democratic-versus-Republican margin from red through neutral to blue. Counties with no votes use a faint neutral wash; exact ties use a solid warm neutral. County labels carry each county's own margin. Overall: R+3.0 in 2024.
437 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab

President results by year

Vote totals, margins, and source status

HarrisDemocratic47.7%11,164,928TrumpRepublican50.6%11,863,804OtherAll other candidates1.7%396,148
R+3.0
Lead
698,876
Total
23,424,880
vs nation
R+1.5
BidenDemocratic49.6%11,828,039TrumpRepublican48.6%11,591,277OtherAll other candidates1.8%424,159
D+1.0
Lead
236,762
Total
23,843,475
vs nation
R+3.5
ClintonDemocratic46.7%10,168,227TrumpRepublican47.0%10,228,361OtherAll other candidates6.3%1,365,470
R+0.3
Lead
60,134
Total
21,762,058
vs nation
R+2.4
ObamaDemocratic52.4%11,187,050RomneyRepublican45.7%9,742,749OtherAll other candidates1.9%402,543
D+6.8
Lead
1,444,301
Total
21,332,342
vs nation
D+2.9
ObamaDemocratic55.9%12,282,771McCainRepublican42.6%9,365,679OtherAll other candidates1.5%331,529
D+13.3
Lead
2,917,092
Total
21,979,979
vs nation
D+6.0
KerryDemocratic49.8%10,570,415BushRepublican49.4%10,477,018OtherAll other candidates0.8%159,058
D+0.4
Lead
93,397
Total
21,206,491
vs nation
D+2.9
GoreDemocratic49.2%9,090,601BushRepublican47.7%8,806,884OtherAll other candidates3.1%580,718
D+1.5
Lead
283,717
Total
18,478,203
vs nation
D+1.0
ClintonDemocratic49.6%8,439,014DoleRepublican39.8%6,779,838OtherAll other candidates10.6%1,807,828
D+9.7
Lead
1,659,176
Total
17,026,680
vs nation
D+1.2
Certified or directly reported presidential returnsRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+3.0MIT Election Lab
Population
47,348,7972024 5-year
Population density
195 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
242,975 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$77,3962024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
70.6%2024 5-year
Black
11.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+23.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+35.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Middle Atlantic · twin score 33.5

presidential history

Party record book

East North Central · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

61.6%

9,653,051 votes · D+23.4

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 58.1%

Republican

Warren G. Harding1920

64.0%

4,553,489 votes · R+33.5

Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 61.0%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

12,282,771votes

55.9% of the vote · D+13.3

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 11,828,039 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

11,863,804votes

50.6% of the vote · R+3.0

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 11,591,277 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

+6.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+13.3 · U.S. D+7.3

Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +3.9 pts

Republican

Calvin Coolidge1924

+10.3pts R vs U.S.

Place R+35.5 · U.S. R+25.2

Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +8.2 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for East North Central, 1892–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
YearVote leadDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
48.0%10,236,873
52.0%11,077,268
21,314,141
2020R
45.3%7,851,494
54.7%9,494,077
17,345,571
2018D
52.0%1,273,419
48.0%1,177,102
2,450,521

presidential primaries

Nominating contests

East North Central · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.

Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.

Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.

Presidential nominating contests in East North Central, by party and cycle.
Party20082012201620202024
Democratic
Clinton267Obama164All others67,386,621 votes · 437 of 437 countiesprimary
no contest record
Sanders311Clinton1266,149,456 votes · 437 of 437 countiesprimary
Biden436Sanders15,586,096 votes · 437 of 437 countiesprimary
no contest record
Republicannot ingested
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record

no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.

Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.

Where a cell reads All others, no named candidate led — the source’s residual bucket did. That bucket holds every name past the ones the contest itemises, including candidates who had withdrawn but still drew votes. It is a total, not a person, so it carries no candidate colour.

Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.

County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.

Source · official statewide canvasses for each party's presidential nominating contest, aggregated from county returns.Each cell is one party in one cycle. A cell with a result shows the leader and the lead over the runner-up; every other cell shows that Akashic holds no record, which is a statement about this archive rather than about the contest.Presidential nominating contests only. Down-ballot primaries — Senate, governor, U.S. House, state legislative — are not yet ingested, and neither is the nominating-contest calendar that would let an empty cell say which of cancelled, uncontested, or not-yet-ingested it is.
domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net domestic migration over time

−7,114 net domestic migration · 2025

Net domestic migration in East North Central, 2011–2025Yearly net domestic migration (arrivals minus departures). Cumulative −1,893,035 over the window. Sage = net gain, amber = net loss.
20112025

Net −1,893,035 over 20112025 · gain loss

Domestic migration in East North Central in East North Central: net domestic migration by year
YearNet domestic migration
2011−158,431
2012−166,972
2013−123,675
2014−162,186
2015−203,599
2016−188,441
2017−141,521
2018−139,446
2019−139,013
2021−172,366
2022−154,584
2023−85,055
2024−50,632
2025−7,114
Source: Census Population Estimates (net) · IRS SOI (flows)

East North Central sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 35.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the division moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.0 points.

A population of 47,348,797, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,396 describe the division. The division's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Middle Atlantic and West North Central.

The census divisions whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
East North Central, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/division/east-north-central/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
U.S. electionsAll elections →

Places within East North Central

Frequently asked questions

How did East North Central, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, East North Central, United States voted Republican by 3.0 points (R+3.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,424,880 votes cast, 11,164,928 went Democratic and 11,863,804 went Republican.
When did East North Central, United States last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which East North Central, United States voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in East North Central, United States?
East North Central, United States has a population of 47,348,797 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in East North Central, United States?
Median household income in East North Central, United States is $77,396 — below the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of East North Central, United States?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in East North Central, United States from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.