Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
census divisionEast North Central

presidential margin

2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican

2004D+0.4
2008D+13.3
2012D+6.8
2016R+0.3
2020D+1.0
2024R+3.0
full record · 1892 → 2024

presidential returns

2024 turnout 66.5% of 35,240,863 citizens 18+

YearDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalCVAPTurnout
202411,164,92811,863,804396,14823,424,88035,240,86366.5%
202011,828,03911,591,277424,15923,843,47534,774,67668.6%
201610,168,22710,228,3611,365,47021,762,05834,284,08963.5%
201211,187,0509,742,749402,54321,332,34233,661,56763.4%
200812,282,7719,365,679331,52921,979,97933,387,62365.8%
200410,570,41510,477,018159,05821,206,49133,113,679†64.0%

† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.

2024 presidential margin for East North CentralEast North Central: an interactive map of its constituent counties, each colored by its Democratic-vs-Republican presidential margin from deep red through neutral to deep blue. County labels carry each county's own margin. Overall: R+3.0 in 2024.
437 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German20.9%12.5%
Irish10.8%9.4%
English9.3%9.5%
Polish5.3%2.2%
American4.6%5.3%
Italian4.5%4.8%
French1.6%1.6%
Scottish1.0%1.3%
African American†10.2%9.9%
African0.5%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%0.2%
Mexican6.7%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.1%1.8%
Guatemalan0.2%0.5%
Asian Indian1.2%1.4%
Chinese0.6%1.3%
Filipino0.4%0.9%
Korean0.2%0.4%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

MeasureEast North CentralUnited States
Median age39.639.1
Age 18–249.2%9.2%
Age 65 and older17.8%17.2%

Household economy

MeasureEast North CentralUnited States
Median household income$77,396$84,427
Poverty rate12.4%12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)33.5%35.6%

Languages at home

MeasureEast North CentralUnited States
Speaks a non-English language at home13.3%22.3%
Spanish6.5%13.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic1.0%0.7%
Other Indo-European1.6%2.0%

Religious landscape

MeasureEast North CentralUnited States
Catholic17.8%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant15.0%16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted53.9%51.5%
Mainline Protestant6.2%5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

East North Central, United States

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −3.0% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−3.0%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+0.6%
1896−9.8%
1900−10.5%
1904−27.9%
1908−12.5%
1912+12.2%
1916−3.9%
1920−33.5%
1924−35.5%
1928−23.0%
1932+11.6%
1936+19.8%
1940+1.9%
1944+0.3%
1948+0.4%
1952−13.5%
1956−19.0%
1960−3.0%
1964+23.4%
1968−2.1%
1972−19.3%
1976−2.5%
1980−9.2%
1984−16.7%
1988−7.2%
1992+5.7%
1996+9.7%
2000+1.5%
2004+0.4%
2008+13.3%
2012+6.8%
2016−0.3%
2020+1.0%
2024−3.0%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginSwingvs U.S.Total
R
47.7%Harris11,164,928
50.6%Trump11,863,804
1.7%
R+3.0R+4.0R+1.523,424,880
D
49.6%Biden11,828,039
48.6%Trump11,591,277
1.8%
D+1.0D+1.3R+3.523,843,475
R
46.7%Clinton10,168,227
47.0%Trump10,228,361
6.3%
R+0.3R+7.0R+2.421,762,058
D
52.4%Obama11,187,050
45.7%Romney9,742,749
1.9%
D+6.8R+6.5D+2.921,332,342
D
55.9%Obama12,282,771
42.6%McCain9,365,679
1.5%
D+13.3D+12.8D+6.021,979,979
D
49.8%Kerry10,570,415
49.4%Bush10,477,018
0.8%
D+0.4R+1.1D+2.921,206,491
D
49.2%Gore9,090,601
47.7%Bush8,806,884
3.1%
D+1.5R+8.2D+1.018,478,203
D
49.6%Clinton8,439,014
39.8%Dole6,779,838
10.6%
D+9.7D+4.0D+1.217,026,680
D
42.9%Clinton8,198,960
37.2%Bush7,103,576
19.9%
D+5.7D+12.9D+0.219,101,779
R
46.0%Dukakis7,818,789
53.2%Bush9,038,236
0.7%
R+7.2D+9.5D+0.516,979,938
R
41.3%Mondale7,278,901
58.0%Reagan10,214,048
0.7%
R+16.7R+7.5D+1.617,613,525
R
41.4%Carter7,221,140
50.5%Reagan8,824,320
8.1%
R+9.2R+6.7D+0.617,456,966
R
47.8%Carter8,034,576
50.3%Ford8,447,461
1.9%
R+2.5D+16.8R+4.516,806,154
R
39.6%McGovern6,450,538
58.9%Nixon9,586,311
1.5%
R+19.3R+17.2D+3.916,285,874
R
43.9%Humphrey6,888,945
46.0%Nixon7,214,335
10.2%
R+2.1R+25.5R+1.415,698,490
D
61.6%Johnson9,653,051
38.2%Goldwater5,986,576
0.1%
D+23.4D+26.4D+0.815,658,560
R
48.4%Kennedy7,792,526
51.4%Nixon8,277,322
0.2%
R+3.0D+16.0R+3.216,101,807
R
40.4%Stevenson5,945,911
59.4%Eisenhower8,737,239
0.2%
R+19.0R+5.5R+3.614,715,305
R
43.1%Stevenson6,268,649
56.6%Eisenhower8,225,250
0.3%
R+13.5R+13.9R+2.714,543,103
D
49.4%Truman5,906,095
49.0%Dewey5,857,420
1.7%
D+0.4D+0.1R+4.111,962,738
D
49.9%Roosevelt6,188,957
49.6%Dewey6,156,453
0.5%
D+0.3R+1.6R+7.212,405,403
D
50.7%Roosevelt6,494,948
48.8%Willkie6,252,602
0.5%
D+1.9R+17.9R+8.112,812,045
D
58.1%Roosevelt6,784,891
38.3%Landon4,470,379
3.7%
D+19.8D+8.2R+4.511,683,535
D
54.2%Roosevelt5,625,164
42.7%Hoover4,424,894
3.1%
D+11.6D+34.6R+6.210,374,118
R
38.1%Smith3,587,739
61.0%Hoover5,754,578
0.9%
R+23.0D+12.5R+5.59,426,062
R
22.8%Davis1,767,582
58.2%Coolidge4,518,738
19.0%
R+35.5R+2.0R+10.37,759,940
R
30.5%Cox2,170,260
64.0%Harding4,553,489
5.5%
R+33.5R+29.5R+7.37,118,699
R
45.7%Wilson2,364,009
49.7%Hughes2,567,080
4.6%
R+3.9R+16.1R+7.15,168,298
D
37.7%Wilson1,426,202
25.5%Taft965,058
36.8%
D+12.2D+24.7R+7.43,785,928
R
40.9%Bryan1,633,074
53.4%Taft2,132,294
5.6%
R+12.5D+15.4R+3.03,990,496
R
32.3%Parker1,205,004
60.2%Roosevelt2,243,507
7.5%
R+27.9R+17.4R+8.23,727,272
R
43.4%Bryan1,658,122
53.9%McKinley2,058,540
2.7%
R+10.5R+0.7R+2.93,821,155
R
44.2%Bryan1,651,380
54.0%McKinley2,018,345
1.8%
R+9.8R+10.4R+3.73,735,284
D
47.3%Cleveland1,471,211
46.7%Harrison1,453,399
6.1%
D+0.6—R+1.13,113,133
domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net domestic migration over time

−7,114 net domestic migration · 2025

Net domestic migration in East North Central, 2011–2025Yearly net domestic migration (arrivals minus departures). Cumulative −1,893,035 over the window. Sage = net gain, amber = net loss.
20112025

Net −1,893,035 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Domestic migration in East North Central in East North Central: net domestic migration by year
YearNet domestic migration
2011−158,431
2012−166,972
2013−123,675
2014−162,186
2015−203,599
2016−188,441
2017−141,521
2018−139,446
2019−139,013
2021−172,366
2022−154,584
2023−85,055
2024−50,632
2025−7,114
Source: Census Population Estimates (net) · IRS SOI (flows)

East North Central sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 35.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the division moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.0 points.

A population of 47,348,797, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,396 describe the division. The division's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Middle Atlantic and West North Central.

Political twins — divisions

The census divisions whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Middle Atlantic
33.5twin score
12-yr trend2008 marginPolish ancestry≠ elasticity
West North Central
30.8twin score
% Latino% Whitemedian income≠ elasticity
South Atlantic
13.4twin score
population scale% AsianChinese ancestry≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
East North Central, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/division/east-north-central/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within East North Central

states5
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Frequently asked questions

How did East North Central, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, East North Central, United States voted Republican by 3.0 points (R+3.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,424,880 votes cast, 11,164,928 went Democratic and 11,863,804 went Republican.
When did East North Central, United States last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which East North Central, United States voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in East North Central, United States?
East North Central, United States has a population of 47,348,797 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in East North Central, United States?
Median household income in East North Central, United States is $77,396 — below the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of East North Central, United States?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in East North Central, United States from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.