- Lead
- 556,744
- Total
- 2,936,677
- vs nation
- R+17.5
- Turnout
- 59.4%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,851,0732024 5-year
- Population density
- 191 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 35,825 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,9572024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+32.8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Montana, MT · twin score 63.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.4%2,986,839 participants ÷ 5,030,939 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 34.3%–47.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,831,540 | 4,824,553 | 58.7% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,933,234 | 4,876,218 | 60.2% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,103,284 | 4,933,505 | 62.9% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,893,022 | 5,009,620 | 37.8% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,986,839 | 5,030,939 | 59.4% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Indiana · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
56.6%
934,974 votes · D+14.7
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 56.0%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
66.1%
1,405,154 votes · R+32.8
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 61.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,374,039votes
49.9% of the vote · D+1.0
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,242,498 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,729,857votes
57.0% of the vote · R+16.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,720,347 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+11.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+14.6 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +8.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+21.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+19.0 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +20.5 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 2 · R 7 | 38.5% | 58.2% | 2,868,107 | |
| D 2 · R 7 | 38.6% | 59.7% | 1,856,549 | |
| D 2 · R 7 | 39.9% | 58.0% | 2,996,444 | |
| D 2 · R 7 | 44.3% | 55.3% | 2,256,149 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 4,839,038 |
| 2018 | 4,500,196 |
| 2020 | 4,692,091 |
| 2022 | 4,767,111 |
| 2024 | 4,840,856 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+12,197 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −5,484 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −8,203 |
| 2012 | −13,567 |
| 2013 | +81 |
| 2014 | −7,644 |
| 2015 | −13,950 |
| 2016 | −8,698 |
| 2017 | −1,877 |
| 2018 | +4,044 |
| 2019 | +3,997 |
| 2021 | +15,069 |
| 2022 | +3,966 |
| 2023 | +3,077 |
| 2024 | +6,024 |
| 2025 | +12,197 |
Lake County gave Obama 34 points in 2008; sixteen years later it gave the Democrat fewer than six.
- Statewide margin, 2024
- R+19.0, up from R+16.1 in 2020; Republican every cycle since 1968 but Obama’s 2008 D+1.0 · MIT Election Lab
- Lake County’s five-cycle slide
- D+34.3 (2008) → D+30.9 → D+20.4 → D+15.1 → D+5.6 (2024) · MIT Election Lab / Akashic
- Largest vote shift in the state
- Lake County, about 34,600 net Democratic votes lost against its 2012–2020 baseline · MIT Election Lab / Akashic
- The blue island holds
- Marion County (Indianapolis) D+27.6 in 2024, near its D+28.4 of 2008; Hamilton suburbs R+22.2 (2008) → R+6.1 · MIT Election Lab
- College counties the other way
- Monroe (IU Bloomington) D+27.4; Tippecanoe (Purdue) R+0.1 — bluest is Marion, reddest Franklin at R+64.4 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Below the national line
- 38th in median household income ($71,957 vs U.S. $80,734); 42nd in bachelor’s degrees (29.7%) · ACS 2024 5-year
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/IN/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.