- Lead
- 7,988
- Total
- 16,581
- vs nation
- R+46.7
- Turnout
- 58.4%
Montgomery County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.4% of 28,791 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 8,446
- Total
- 17,198
- vs nation
- R+53.6
- Turnout
- 60.3%
- Lead
- 7,689
- Total
- 15,264
- vs nation
- R+52.5
- Turnout
- 54.5%
- Lead
- 5,553
- Total
- 14,440
- vs nation
- R+42.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,047
- Total
- 15,285
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,365
- Total
- 14,548
- vs nation
- R+48.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,992
- Total
- 13,101
- vs nation
- R+38.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,880
- Total
- 13,397
- vs nation
- R+37.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,3122024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,4792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shelby County, IN · twin score 95.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.4%16,800 participants ÷ 28,791 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 33.0%–50.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 15,534 | 28,492 | 54.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,620 | 28,741 | 64.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,482 | 28,987 | 60.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,956 | 28,497 | 34.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,800 | 28,791 | 58.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
54 precincts · 16,581 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -UNION 06UNION 06 | 205 | 806 | 20 | 1,031 | 19.9% | 78.2% | R+58.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CRAWFORDSVILLE 04CRAWFORDSVILLE 04 | 278 | 611 | 10 | 899 | 30.9% | 68.0% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -FRANKLINFRANKLIN | 165 | 696 | 27 | 888 | 18.6% | 78.4% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -CLARKCLARK | 167 | 625 | 12 | 804 | 20.8% | 77.7% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -BROWNBROWN | 112 | 669 | 13 | 794 | 14.1% | 84.3% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -UNION 03UNION 03 | 164 | 584 | 17 | 765 | 21.4% | 76.3% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -CRAWFORDSVILLE 01CRAWFORDSVILLE 01 | 343 | 379 | 16 | 738 | 46.5% | 51.4% | R+4.9 |
| Precinct -WAYNEWAYNE | 128 | 590 | 20 | 738 | 17.3% | 79.9% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -COAL CREEKCOAL CREEK | 142 | 585 | 10 | 737 | 19.3% | 79.4% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -UNION 05UNION 05 | 114 | 580 | 12 | 706 | 16.1% | 82.2% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -UNION 07UNION 07 | 188 | 505 | 13 | 706 | 26.6% | 71.5% | R+44.9 |
| Precinct -CRAWFORDSVILLE 02CRAWFORDSVILLE 02 | 182 | 468 | 21 | 671 | 27.1% | 69.7% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -WALNUTWALNUT | 149 | 509 | 13 | 671 | 22.2% | 75.9% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -UNION 01UNION 01 | 152 | 441 | 10 | 603 | 25.2% | 73.1% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -CRAWFORDSVILLE 07CRAWFORDSVILLE 07 | 197 | 384 | 12 | 593 | 33.2% | 64.8% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -MADISONMADISON | 126 | 413 | 10 | 549 | 23.0% | 75.2% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -CRAWFORDSVILLE 03CRAWFORDSVILLE 03 | 180 | 352 | 8 | 540 | 33.3% | 65.2% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -CRAWFORDSVILLE 05CRAWFORDSVILLE 05 | 158 | 360 | 17 | 535 | 29.5% | 67.3% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -CRAWFORDSVILLE 08CRAWFORDSVILLE 08 | 182 | 304 | 7 | 493 | 36.9% | 61.7% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct -UNION 04UNION 04 | 98 | 362 | 10 | 470 | 20.9% | 77.0% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -RIPLEYRIPLEY | 72 | 365 | 8 | 445 | 16.2% | 82.0% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -CRAWFORDSVILLE 10CRAWFORDSVILLE 10 | 158 | 239 | 10 | 407 | 38.8% | 58.7% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct -UNION 02UNION 02 | 95 | 308 | 4 | 407 | 23.3% | 75.7% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -SCOTTSCOTT | 63 | 331 | 7 | 401 | 15.7% | 82.5% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -CRAWFORDSVILLE 06CRAWFORDSVILLE 06 | 122 | 254 | 9 | 385 | 31.7% | 66.0% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -CRAWFORDSVILLE 09CRAWFORDSVILLE 09 | 153 | 209 | 8 | 370 | 41.4% | 56.5% | R+15.1 |
| Precinct -SUGAR CREEKSUGAR CREEK | 41 | 193 | 1 | 235 | 17.4% | 82.1% | R+64.7 |
| BROWN18_1810700010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLARK18_1810700020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COAL CREEK18_1810700030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN18_1810700040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MADISON18_1810700050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIPLEY18_1810700060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SCOTT18_1810700070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUGAR CREEK18_1810700080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 0118_1810700090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 0218_1810700100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 0318_1810700110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 0418_1810700120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 0518_1810700130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 0618_1810700140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 0718_1810700150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 0018018_1810700180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 0020018_1810700200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 0021018_1810700210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 0023018_1810700230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 0025018_1810700250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALNUT18_1810700160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARD 1-118_1810700170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARD 2-118_1810700190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARD 3-218_1810700220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARD 4-218_1810700240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARD 5-218_1810700260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAYNE18_1810700270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +0.1% |
| 1896 | −2.0% |
| 1900 | −4.6% |
| 1904 | −10.3% |
| 1908 | −2.2% |
| 1912 | +13.1% |
| 1916 | −2.2% |
| 1920 | −10.1% |
| 1924 | −18.6% |
| 1928 | −28.0% |
| 1932 | +11.3% |
| 1936 | +4.4% |
| 1940 | −10.0% |
| 1944 | −19.3% |
| 1948 | −17.7% |
| 1952 | −32.3% |
| 1956 | −31.2% |
| 1960 | −33.2% |
| 1964 | +1.4% |
| 1968 | −28.6% |
| 1972 | −52.3% |
| 1976 | −27.8% |
| 1980 | −38.7% |
| 1984 | −50.5% |
| 1988 | −49.5% |
| 1992 | −29.1% |
| 1996 | −29.0% |
| 2000 | −38.1% |
| 2004 | −50.6% |
| 2008 | −19.9% |
| 2012 | −38.5% |
| 2016 | −50.4% |
| 2020 | −49.1% |
| 2024 | −48.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 26.4%3,287 | 73.6%9,145 | 12,432 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 24,186 |
| 2018 | 22,914 |
| 2020 | 24,626 |
| 2022 | 25,651 |
| 2024 | 25,092 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−5 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +293 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,837 in average income, against $67,683 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+15.1 on average — 33 points more Democratic-leaning than Montgomery County, IN itself (R+48.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Tippecanoe County, IN128R+0.1
- Hendricks County, IN90R+21.5
- Marion County, IN83D+27.6
- Boone County, IN65R+16.0
- Fountain County, IN49R+59.9
- Putnam County, IN46R+52.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Tippecanoe County, IN107
- Marion County, IN80
- Fountain County, IN68
- Hendricks County, IN49
- Boone County, IN44
- Putnam County, IN36
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +136 |
| 2012 | −178 |
| 2013 | −165 |
| 2014 | −57 |
| 2015 | +32 |
| 2016 | −112 |
| 2017 | +63 |
| 2018 | −153 |
| 2019 | −15 |
| 2021 | +146 |
| 2022 | +296 |
| 2023 | +250 |
| 2024 | +55 |
| 2025 | −5 |
Montgomery County delivered an R+48.2 margin in the 2024 presidential race, reflecting a rural west-central Indiana electorate that has shifted decisively toward Republican candidates over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 52.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.2 points.
A population of 38,312, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,479 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shelby County and Rush County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Montgomery County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18107/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.