- Lead
- 7,090
- Total
- 13,961
- vs nation
- R+49.3
- Turnout
- 58.3%
Wabash County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.3% of 24,168 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,268
- Total
- 14,573
- vs nation
- R+54.3
- Turnout
- 60.7%
- Lead
- 6,801
- Total
- 13,550
- vs nation
- R+52.3
- Turnout
- 55.3%
- Lead
- 4,671
- Total
- 12,895
- vs nation
- R+40.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,782
- Total
- 13,871
- vs nation
- R+27.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,687
- Total
- 13,602
- vs nation
- R+39.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,044
- Total
- 12,883
- vs nation
- R+31.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,413
- Total
- 12,996
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,8442024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,8062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rush County, IN · twin score 95.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.3%14,088 participants ÷ 24,168 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.8%–52.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,841 | 25,013 | 55.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,815 | 24,747 | 63.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,884 | 24,534 | 60.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,071 | 24,438 | 41.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,088 | 24,168 | 58.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
52 precincts · 13,980 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -NOBLE 06NOBLE 06 | 236 | 573 | 14 | 823 | 28.7% | 69.6% | R+40.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PAW PAWPAW PAW | 130 | 659 | 10 | 799 | 16.3% | 82.5% | R+66.2 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 10NOBLE 10 | 130 | 593 | 6 | 729 | 17.8% | 81.3% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -LAGRO 02LAGRO 02 | 117 | 563 | 7 | 687 | 17.0% | 82.0% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -WALTZWALTZ | 103 | 547 | 12 | 662 | 15.6% | 82.6% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 07NOBLE 07 | 168 | 469 | 5 | 642 | 26.2% | 73.1% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 02PLEASANT 02 | 119 | 504 | 6 | 629 | 18.9% | 80.1% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 03CHESTER 03 | 203 | 386 | 20 | 609 | 33.3% | 63.4% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 08NOBLE 08 | 154 | 429 | 10 | 593 | 26.0% | 72.3% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 11NOBLE 11 | 98 | 472 | 10 | 580 | 16.9% | 81.4% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 06CHESTER 06 | 157 | 374 | 9 | 540 | 29.1% | 69.3% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -LIBERTY 02LIBERTY 02 | 94 | 434 | 10 | 538 | 17.5% | 80.7% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 05CHESTER 05 | 247 | 275 | 10 | 532 | 46.4% | 51.7% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 03NOBLE 03 | 135 | 375 | 11 | 521 | 25.9% | 72.0% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 05NOBLE 05 | 141 | 369 | 9 | 519 | 27.2% | 71.1% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -LIBERTY 01LIBERTY 01 | 101 | 406 | 4 | 511 | 19.8% | 79.5% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 09NOBLE 09 | 82 | 423 | 6 | 511 | 16.0% | 82.8% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -LAGRO 01LAGRO 01 | 72 | 426 | 4 | 502 | 14.3% | 84.9% | R+70.5 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 01CHESTER 01 | 109 | 351 | 9 | 469 | 23.2% | 74.8% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 04NOBLE 04 | 159 | 294 | 7 | 460 | 34.6% | 63.9% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 04CHESTER 04 | 198 | 219 | 9 | 426 | 46.5% | 51.4% | R+4.9 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT 01PLEASANT 01 | 81 | 306 | 9 | 396 | 20.5% | 77.3% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 02CHESTER 02 | 81 | 290 | 7 | 378 | 21.4% | 76.7% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 02NOBLE 02 | 119 | 201 | 9 | 329 | 36.2% | 61.1% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 01NOBLE 01 | 60 | 249 | 6 | 315 | 19.0% | 79.0% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -LAGRO 03LAGRO 03 | 41 | 238 | 1 | 280 | 14.6% | 85.0% | R+70.4 |
| CHESTER 0118_1816900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER 0218_1816900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER 0318_1816900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER 0418_1816900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER 0518_1816900050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER 0618_1816900060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAGRO 0118_1816900070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAGRO 0218_1816900080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAGRO 0318_1816900090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY 0118_1816900100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY 0218_1816900110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 0118_1816900120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 0218_1816900130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 0318_1816900140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 0418_1816900150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 0518_1816900160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 0618_1816900170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 0718_1816900180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 0818_1816900190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 0918_1816900200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 1018_1816900210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 1118_1816900220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PAW PAW18_1816900230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0118_1816900240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT 0218_1816900245 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALTZ18_1816900250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −19.1% |
| 1896 | −19.5% |
| 1900 | −20.5% |
| 1904 | −28.1% |
| 1908 | −12.8% |
| 1912 | +14.8% |
| 1916 | −8.9% |
| 1920 | −24.0% |
| 1924 | −26.8% |
| 1928 | −37.3% |
| 1932 | −0.7% |
| 1936 | −7.5% |
| 1940 | −23.2% |
| 1944 | −27.5% |
| 1948 | −26.1% |
| 1952 | −38.0% |
| 1956 | −43.0% |
| 1960 | −36.8% |
| 1964 | +4.0% |
| 1968 | −28.5% |
| 1972 | −36.9% |
| 1976 | −19.7% |
| 1980 | −28.7% |
| 1984 | −41.2% |
| 1988 | −37.2% |
| 1992 | −16.8% |
| 1996 | −18.6% |
| 2000 | −31.4% |
| 2004 | −41.8% |
| 2008 | −20.1% |
| 2012 | −36.2% |
| 2016 | −50.2% |
| 2020 | −49.9% |
| 2024 | −50.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 28.3%3,168 | 71.7%8,031 | 11,199 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 22,798 |
| 2018 | 20,450 |
| 2020 | 21,088 |
| 2022 | 20,966 |
| 2024 | 20,840 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+92 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −644 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,451 in average income, against $72,223 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.9 on average — 5.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Wabash County, IN itself (R+50.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Kosciusko County, IN90R+52.2
- Miami County, IN72R+54.5
- Huntington County, IN54R+48.3
- Grant County, IN48R+41.7
- Allen County, IN38R+12.5
- Howard County, IN28R+35.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Kosciusko County, IN79
- Grant County, IN78
- Huntington County, IN69
- Miami County, IN63
- Allen County, IN56
- Howard County, IN29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −240 |
| 2012 | −134 |
| 2013 | −18 |
| 2014 | −89 |
| 2015 | −149 |
| 2016 | −278 |
| 2017 | −32 |
| 2018 | −69 |
| 2019 | −113 |
| 2021 | +171 |
| 2022 | +123 |
| 2023 | −30 |
| 2024 | +122 |
| 2025 | +92 |
Wabash County, anchored by the small industrial city of Wabash, delivered a 50-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the deep partisan consolidation that has reshaped small-town manufacturing counties across the Midwest over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 50.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.8 points.
A population of 30,844, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,806 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rush County and Tipton County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wabash County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18169/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.