Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
census region

Midwest

Contests in this Place (47 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · all mapped

▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 1892 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for MidwestMidwest: an interactive county map of the presidential vote, each county colored by the Democratic-versus-Republican margin from red through neutral to blue. Counties with no votes use a faint neutral wash; exact ties use a solid warm neutral. County labels carry each county's own margin. Overall: R+5.8 in 2024.
1,055 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab

President results by year

Vote totals, margins, and source status

HarrisDemocratic46.2%15,903,810TrumpRepublican52.0%17,904,033OtherAll other candidates1.8%606,606
R+5.8
Lead
2,000,223
Total
34,414,449
vs nation
R+4.3
BidenDemocratic48.0%16,768,123TrumpRepublican50.1%17,516,640OtherAll other candidates1.9%671,511
R+2.1
Lead
748,517
Total
34,956,274
vs nation
R+6.6
ClintonDemocratic44.5%14,183,512TrumpRepublican48.8%15,558,591OtherAll other candidates6.7%2,131,187
R+4.3
Lead
1,375,079
Total
31,873,290
vs nation
R+6.4
ObamaDemocratic50.5%15,791,412RomneyRepublican47.5%14,839,677OtherAll other candidates2.0%622,036
D+3.0
Lead
951,735
Total
31,253,125
vs nation
R+0.8
ObamaDemocratic53.9%17,287,298McCainRepublican44.5%14,293,530OtherAll other candidates1.6%507,227
D+9.3
Lead
2,993,768
Total
32,088,055
vs nation
D+2.1
KerryDemocratic48.4%14,966,845BushRepublican50.8%15,709,950OtherAll other candidates0.9%264,130
R+2.4
Lead
743,105
Total
30,940,925
vs nation
D+0.1
GoreDemocratic47.7%12,853,666BushRepublican48.8%13,162,586OtherAll other candidates3.5%949,862
R+1.1
Lead
308,920
Total
26,966,114
vs nation
R+1.7
ClintonDemocratic48.4%12,076,303DoleRepublican40.7%10,151,279OtherAll other candidates10.9%2,725,741
D+7.7
Lead
1,925,024
Total
24,953,323
vs nation
R+0.8
Certified or directly reported presidential returnsRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+5.8MIT Election Lab
Population
69,108,7362024 5-year
Population density
92 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
750,583 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$77,9452024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
72.6%2024 5-year
Black
10.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+22.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+33.5 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar
South · twin score 16.1

presidential history

Party record book

Midwest · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

61.4%

13,625,671 votes · D+22.9

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 58.1%

Republican

Warren G. Harding1920

64.1%

7,322,376 votes · R+33.5

Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 60.8%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

17,287,298votes

53.9% of the vote · D+9.3

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 16,768,123 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

17,904,033votes

52.0% of the vote · R+5.8

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 17,516,640 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

George McGovern1972

+3.4pts D vs U.S.

Place R+19.8 · U.S. R+23.2

Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +2.2 pts

Republican

Wendell Willkie1940

+9.8pts R vs U.S.

Place D+0.2 · U.S. D+9.9

Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +9.0 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Midwest, 1892–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.
U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
YearVote leadDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
46.1%14,529,762
53.9%17,015,748
31,545,510
2020R
43.6%10,295,827
56.4%13,315,433
23,611,260
2018R
44.8%2,860,210
55.2%3,518,802
6,379,012

presidential primaries

Nominating contests

Midwest · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.

Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.

Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.

Presidential nominating contests in Midwest, by party and cycle.
Party20082012201620202024
Democratic
Clinton501Obama360Edwards29All others68,575,689 votes · 896 of 1055 countiescaucus + primary
Obama991,114 votes · 99 of 1055 countiesprimary
Sanders628Clinton3207,210,555 votes · 948 of 1055 countiescaucus + primary
Biden807Sanders75Buttigieg53Klobuchar14Warren17,400,356 votes · 950 of 1055 countiescaucus + primary
no contest record
Republicannot ingested
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record

no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.

Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.

Where a cell reads All others, no named candidate led — the source’s residual bucket did. That bucket holds every name past the ones the contest itemises, including candidates who had withdrawn but still drew votes. It is a total, not a person, so it carries no candidate colour.

Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.

County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.

Source · official statewide canvasses for each party's presidential nominating contest, aggregated from county returns.Each cell is one party in one cycle. A cell with a result shows the leader and the lead over the runner-up; every other cell shows that Akashic holds no record, which is a statement about this archive rather than about the contest.Presidential nominating contests only. Down-ballot primaries — Senate, governor, U.S. House, state legislative — are not yet ingested, and neither is the nominating-contest calendar that would let an empty cell say which of cancelled, uncontested, or not-yet-ingested it is.
domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net domestic migration over time

+16,040 net domestic migration · 2025

Net domestic migration in Midwest, 2011–2025Yearly net domestic migration (arrivals minus departures). Cumulative −2,090,677 over the window. Sage = net gain, amber = net loss.
20112025

Net −2,090,677 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Domestic migration in Midwest in Midwest: net domestic migration by year
YearNet domestic migration
2011−179,592
2012−184,359
2013−124,956
2014−183,669
2015−234,550
2016−227,445
2017−162,183
2018−157,067
2019−161,549
2021−175,434
2022−180,661
2023−91,566
2024−43,686
2025+16,040
Source: Census Population Estimates (net) · IRS SOI (flows)

Midwest sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.5 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.8 points.

A population of 69,108,736, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,945 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of South and Northeast.

Political twins — regions

The census regions whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

South
16.1twin score
2016–2020 trajectorymedian incomecollege share≠ elasticity
Northeast
0.0twin score
12-yr trendPolish ancestrypopulation scale≠ 2000 margin
West
0.0twin score
elasticityPuerto Rican ancestryItalian ancestry≠ 12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Midwest, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/region/midwest/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Presidentevery cycleUS Senateevery cycleUS Houseevery cycleGovernorevery cycle

Places within Midwest

census divisions2
East North CentralWest North Central
states12
IllinoisIndianaIowaKansasMichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraskaNorth DakotaOhioSouth DakotaWisconsin

Frequently asked questions

How did Midwest, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, Midwest, United States voted Republican by 5.8 points (R+5.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 34,414,449 votes cast, 15,903,810 went Democratic and 17,904,033 went Republican.
When did Midwest, United States last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Midwest, United States voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Midwest, United States?
Midwest, United States has a population of 69,108,736 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Midwest, United States?
Median household income in Midwest, United States is $77,945 — below the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Midwest, United States?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Midwest, United States from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.