Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
census regionMidwest

presidential margin

2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican

2004R+2.4
2008D+9.3
2012D+3.0
2016R+4.3
2020R+2.1
2024R+5.8
full record · 1892 → 2024

presidential returns

2024 turnout 67.0% of 51,355,489 citizens 18+

YearDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalCVAPTurnout
202415,903,81017,904,033606,60634,414,44951,355,48967.0%
202016,768,12317,516,640671,51134,956,27450,530,31869.2%
201614,183,51215,558,5912,131,18731,873,29049,693,03564.1%
201215,791,41214,839,677622,03631,253,12548,644,23064.2%
200817,287,29814,293,530507,22732,088,05548,049,44766.8%
200414,966,84515,709,950264,13030,940,92547,454,664†65.2%

† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.

2024 presidential margin for MidwestMidwest: an interactive map of its constituent counties, each colored by its Democratic-vs-Republican presidential margin from deep red through neutral to deep blue. County labels carry each county's own margin. Overall: R+5.8 in 2024.
1,055 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German22.8%12.5%
Irish10.9%9.4%
English9.4%9.5%
American4.6%5.3%
Polish4.2%2.2%
Italian3.7%4.8%
Norwegian2.1%—
French1.6%1.6%
African American†8.7%9.9%
African0.5%0.5%
Mexican6.2%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.9%1.8%
Guatemalan0.2%0.5%
Asian Indian1.0%1.4%
Chinese0.5%1.3%
Filipino0.4%0.9%
Korean0.2%0.4%
Vietnamese0.2%0.6%
Hmong0.2%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

MeasureMidwestUnited States
Median age39.339.1
Age 18–249.2%9.2%
Age 65 and older17.5%17.2%

Household economy

MeasureMidwestUnited States
Median household income$77,945$84,427
Poverty rate12.0%12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)33.9%35.6%

Languages at home

MeasureMidwestUnited States
Speaks a non-English language at home12.2%22.3%
Spanish5.9%13.6%
Other Indo-European1.3%2.0%

Religious landscape

MeasureMidwestUnited States
Catholic17.2%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant15.4%16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted53.2%51.5%
Mainline Protestant7.9%5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

Midwest, United States

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −5.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−5.8%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−5.0%
1896−6.9%
1900−9.8%
1904−28.7%
1908−11.7%
1912+14.2%
1916−2.0%
1920−33.5%
1924−32.7%
1928−22.5%
1932+15.7%
1936+19.6%
1940+0.2%
1944−1.2%
1948+2.3%
1952−15.6%
1956−17.4%
1960−4.6%
1964+22.9%
1968−3.1%
1972−19.8%
1976−1.3%
1980−10.1%
1984−16.7%
1988−5.5%
1992+5.3%
1996+7.7%
2000−1.1%
2004−2.4%
2008+9.3%
2012+3.0%
2016−4.3%
2020−2.1%
2024−5.8%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginSwingvs U.S.Total
R
46.2%Harris15,903,810
52.0%Trump17,904,033
1.8%
R+5.8R+3.7R+4.334,414,449
R
48.0%Biden16,768,123
50.1%Trump17,516,640
1.9%
R+2.1D+2.2R+6.634,956,274
R
44.5%Clinton14,183,512
48.8%Trump15,558,591
6.7%
R+4.3R+7.4R+6.431,873,290
D
50.5%Obama15,791,412
47.5%Romney14,839,677
2.0%
D+3.0R+6.3R+0.831,253,125
D
53.9%Obama17,287,298
44.5%McCain14,293,530
1.6%
D+9.3D+11.7D+2.132,088,055
R
48.4%Kerry14,966,845
50.8%Bush15,709,950
0.9%
R+2.4R+1.3D+0.130,940,925
R
47.7%Gore12,853,666
48.8%Bush13,162,586
3.5%
R+1.1R+8.9R+1.726,966,114
D
48.4%Clinton12,076,303
40.7%Dole10,151,279
10.9%
D+7.7D+2.5R+0.824,953,323
D
42.2%Clinton11,692,017
36.9%Bush10,234,726
20.9%
D+5.3D+10.8R+0.327,736,393
R
46.9%Dukakis11,556,017
52.4%Bush12,915,351
0.8%
R+5.5D+11.2D+2.224,657,630
R
41.3%Mondale10,511,025
58.0%Reagan14,761,880
0.7%
R+16.7R+6.6D+1.525,440,746
R
40.9%Carter10,291,213
50.9%Reagan12,826,555
8.2%
R+10.1R+8.7R+0.325,175,416
R
48.3%Carter11,670,593
49.7%Ford11,994,594
2.0%
R+1.3D+18.4R+3.424,148,189
R
39.4%McGovern9,126,844
59.1%Nixon13,711,334
1.5%
R+19.8R+16.7D+3.423,184,782
R
43.7%Humphrey9,701,398
46.8%Nixon10,392,363
9.5%
R+3.1R+26.0R+2.422,203,209
D
61.4%Johnson13,625,671
38.5%Goldwater8,550,624
0.1%
D+22.9D+27.4D+0.322,209,002
R
47.6%Kennedy10,943,013
52.2%Nixon11,994,593
0.2%
R+4.6D+12.8R+4.722,978,764
R
41.2%Stevenson8,697,943
58.6%Eisenhower12,373,338
0.2%
R+17.4R+1.8R+2.021,113,664
R
42.0%Stevenson8,886,923
57.6%Eisenhower12,190,270
0.4%
R+15.6R+17.9R+4.921,153,657
D
50.3%Truman8,828,288
48.0%Dewey8,422,697
1.6%
D+2.3D+3.5R+2.217,540,381
R
49.2%Roosevelt8,804,068
50.4%Dewey9,018,536
0.5%
R+1.2R+1.4R+8.717,905,168
D
49.9%Roosevelt9,560,222
49.7%Willkie9,525,280
0.5%
D+0.2R+19.5R+9.819,177,771
D
58.1%Roosevelt10,351,751
38.4%Landon6,850,894
3.5%
D+19.6D+3.9R+4.617,828,583
D
56.5%Roosevelt8,994,546
40.7%Hoover6,489,604
2.8%
D+15.7D+38.2R+2.115,930,329
R
38.4%Smith5,626,155
60.8%Hoover8,921,644
0.8%
R+22.5D+10.2R+5.014,669,112
R
23.3%Davis2,893,519
56.0%Coolidge6,947,929
20.6%
R+32.7D+0.8R+7.512,398,524
R
30.6%Cox3,494,189
64.1%Harding7,322,376
5.3%
R+33.5R+31.5R+7.311,422,726
R
46.8%Wilson3,749,635
48.7%Hughes3,908,411
4.5%
R+2.0R+16.2R+5.18,018,652
D
38.8%Wilson2,379,866
24.6%Taft1,509,179
36.5%
D+14.2D+25.9R+5.36,129,018
R
41.6%Bryan2,655,278
53.3%Taft3,399,077
5.1%
R+11.7D+17.0R+2.16,382,500
R
32.0%Parker1,881,106
60.7%Roosevelt3,566,456
7.3%
R+28.7R+18.8R+9.05,876,278
R
43.7%Bryan2,668,890
53.6%McKinley3,269,136
2.7%
R+9.8R+3.0R+2.36,100,604
R
45.7%Bryan2,726,881
52.6%McKinley3,136,026
1.6%
R+6.9R+1.9R+0.85,960,612
R
41.4%Cleveland2,070,581
46.4%Harrison2,320,493
12.1%
R+5.0—R+6.74,997,530
domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net domestic migration over time

+16,040 net domestic migration · 2025

Net domestic migration in Midwest, 2011–2025Yearly net domestic migration (arrivals minus departures). Cumulative −2,090,677 over the window. Sage = net gain, amber = net loss.
20112025

Net −2,090,677 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Domestic migration in Midwest in Midwest: net domestic migration by year
YearNet domestic migration
2011−179,592
2012−184,359
2013−124,956
2014−183,669
2015−234,550
2016−227,445
2017−162,183
2018−157,067
2019−161,549
2021−175,434
2022−180,661
2023−91,566
2024−43,686
2025+16,040
Source: Census Population Estimates (net) · IRS SOI (flows)

Midwest sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.5 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.8 points.

A population of 69,108,736, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,945 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of South and Northeast.

Political twins — regions

The census regions whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

South
16.1twin score
2016–2020 trajectorymedian incomecollege share≠ elasticity
Northeast
0.0twin score
12-yr trendPolish ancestrypopulation scale≠ 2000 margin
West
0.0twin score
elasticityPuerto Rican ancestryItalian ancestry≠ 12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Midwest, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/region/midwest/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
U.S. electionsAll elections →
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Places within Midwest

census divisions2
East North CentralWest North Central
states12
IllinoisIndianaIowaKansasMichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraskaNorth DakotaOhioSouth DakotaWisconsin

Frequently asked questions

How did Midwest, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, Midwest, United States voted Republican by 5.8 points (R+5.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 34,414,449 votes cast, 15,903,810 went Democratic and 17,904,033 went Republican.
When did Midwest, United States last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Midwest, United States voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Midwest, United States?
Midwest, United States has a population of 69,108,736 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Midwest, United States?
Median household income in Midwest, United States is $77,945 — below the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Midwest, United States?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Midwest, United States from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.