HarrisDemocratic38.9%369,995TrumpRepublican59.3%564,816OliverLibertarian0.7%6,399
R+20.5- Lead
- 194,821
- Total
- 952,182
- vs nation
- R+19.0
- Turnout
- 68.3%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,978,7072024 5-year
- Population density
- 26 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 76,815 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,4752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.7 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kansas, KS · twin score 81.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.3%965,145 participants ÷ 1,413,883 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.5%–51.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 869,815 | 1,341,016 | 64.9% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 708,924 | 1,358,786 | 52.2% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 966,786 | 1,373,561 | 70.4% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 682,741 | 1,405,396 | 48.6% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 965,145 | 1,413,883 | 68.3% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Nebraska · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
63.0%
359,082 votes · D+27.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 57.1%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
70.6%
460,054 votes · R+41.7
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 70.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
374,583votes
39.2% of the vote · R+19.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 369,995 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
564,816votes
59.3% of the vote · R+20.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 556,846 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+11.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+5.4 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +11.1 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+32.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+31.1 · U.S. D+1.7 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +30.8 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governor
Jim PillennomineeLynne Walznominee
Incumbent Gov. Jim Pillen (R), first elected 2022, is not term-limited and won the GOP primary (~75-76%). Former state senator Lynne Walz won the Democratic primary (~91%); no relation to Minnesota's Tim Walz. A Legal Marijuana NOW candidate (Rick Beard) also won that party line per Wikipedia but is single-sourced and omitted from the confirmed major-candidate list.
U.S. Senate
Pete RickettsnomineeDan Osbornnominee
No Democratic nominee will appear on Nebraska’s November 2026 U.S. Senate ballot. Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank formally declined the nomination; Independent Dan Osborn is the principal challenger to Sen. Pete Ricketts (R).
U.S. House elections · 75 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R 3 | 36.4% | 63.6% | 929,392 | |
| R 3 | 35.5% | 62.5% | 663,187 | |
| R 3 | 34.6% | 62.2% | 941,298 | |
| R 3 | 38.0% | 62.0% | 696,570 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+23.2
Presidential vote · 2024R+20.5
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.8 points.
1,258,210 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−366 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −33,280 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,013 |
| 2012 | −993 |
| 2013 | −878 |
| 2014 | −1,653 |
| 2015 | −2,297 |
| 2016 | −1,963 |
| 2017 | −3,599 |
| 2018 | −3,334 |
| 2019 | −4,220 |
| 2021 | −5,817 |
| 2022 | −4,533 |
| 2023 | −1,074 |
| 2024 | −1,540 |
| 2025 | −366 |
While Nebraska went to Donald Trump by 20.5 points, Omaha’s Second District handed its single electoral vote to the Democrat — the “blue dot.”
- The split electoral vote
- NE-02 (Omaha) went to the Democrat in 2024 — its 3rd time in 5 cycles (2008, 2020, 2024) — as the state went R+20.5 · MIT Election Lab / Akashic
- Statewide margin, 2024
- R+20.5 (R+19.1 in 2020) — a 1.4-pt move toward Trump · MIT Election Lab
- The two Democratic counties
- Douglas (Omaha) D+10.1 and Lancaster (Lincoln) D+4.3 — the only two of 93 counties Democratic · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Reddest county
- Grant County R+91.8 (351–15) — the widest county margin in the state · MIT Election Lab 2024
- German and Czech roots
- 31% German ancestry; a Czech share among the larger of any state · ACS 2024 5-year
- Open races in 2026
- Gov. Pillen (R) seeks a 2nd term vs Lynne Walz (D); Sen. Ricketts (R) faces independent Dan Osborn · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Kansas
Kansas
81.8twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Idaho
Idaho
75.6twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Wyoming
Wyoming
71.9twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/NE/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Nebraska vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nebraska voted Republican by 20.5 points (R+20.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 952,182 votes cast, 369,995 went Democratic and 564,816 went Republican.
When did Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nebraska voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Nebraska?
Nebraska has a population of 1,978,707 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nebraska?
Median household income in Nebraska is $76,475 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Nebraska from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.