Akashic

county

Dawson County, NE

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German25.0%31.0%12.5%

Irish7.5%11.7%9.4%

English6.8%9.4%9.5%

Swedish3.6%3.1%—

American2.6%3.5%5.3%

Scottish1.7%—1.3%

French1.5%—1.6%

Danish1.3%——

Mexican19.4%8.7%11.3%

Guatemalan9.1%1.0%0.5%

Salvadoran2.8%0.6%0.7%

Honduran2.3%0.2%0.3%

Cuban0.9%0.4%0.7%

Argentinean0.3%——

Colombian0.2%—0.4%

Spaniard0.2%——

African American†4.7%3.7%9.9%

Somali0.9%——

African0.7%0.3%0.5%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Median age	35.6	37.3	39.1
Age 18–24	8.3%	9.8%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	16.5%	16.8%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Median household income	$69,880	$76,475	$84,427
Poverty rate	10.8%	10.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	17.6%	34.7%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	37.2%	12.8%	22.3%
Spanish	31.3%	8.5%	13.6%
Other languages	4.8%	0.6%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	Dawson County	Nebraska	United States
Catholic	21.9%	19.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	11.7%	14.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	45.4%	50.8%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	18.6%	12.1%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 57.4% of 15,264 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic24.7%2,101TrumpRepublican74.1%6,312OliverNonpartisan0.5%40

R+49.4

Lead: 4,211
Total: 8,522
vs nation: R+47.9
Turnout: 57.4%

BidenDemocratic27.2%2,497TrumpRepublican71.0%6,524JorgensenLibertarian1.7%157

R+43.8

Lead: 4,027
Total: 9,191
vs nation: R+48.3
Turnout: 63.4%

ClintonDemocratic24.7%2,136TrumpRepublican69.3%5,984JohnsonLibertarian4.4%381

R+44.6

Lead: 3,848
Total: 8,635
vs nation: R+46.7
Turnout: 58.2%

ObamaDemocratic28.0%2,199RomneyRepublican69.5%5,460GrayLibertarian1.4%113

R+41.5

Lead: 3,261
Total: 7,859
vs nation: R+45.3
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic30.0%2,399McCainRepublican68.4%5,460OtherAll other candidates1.6%127

R+38.3

Lead: 3,061
Total: 7,986
vs nation: R+45.6
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic21.7%1,728BushRepublican77.3%6,149OtherAll other candidates1.0%79

R+55.6

Lead: 4,421
Total: 7,956
vs nation: R+53.1
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic23.2%1,740BushRepublican73.4%5,511NaderGreen1.9%143

R+50.2

Lead: 3,771
Total: 7,507
vs nation: R+50.8
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic27.0%2,180DoleRepublican59.4%4,794PerotReform12.9%1,044

R+32.4

Lead: 2,614
Total: 8,065
vs nation: R+40.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+49.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 24,2022024 5-year
Median household income: $69,8802024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 52.8%2024 5-year
Black: 6.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 37.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+34.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+64.2 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Grant County, KS · twin score 86.3

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 57.4%8,754 participants ÷ 15,264 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +25.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: +4.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 31.6%–36.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	8,861	15,220	58.2%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	6,384	14,898	42.9%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	9,334	14,721	63.4%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	5,779	15,353	37.6%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	8,754	15,264	57.4%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

20 precincts · 8,491 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Dawson County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -GOTH EAST 008GOTH EAST 008	224	811	11	1,046	21.4%	77.5%	R+56.1
Precinct -COZAD EAST 002COZAD EAST 002	174	679	3	856	20.3%	79.3%	R+59.0
Precinct -GOTH WEST 009GOTH WEST 009	179	662	9	850	21.1%	77.9%	R+56.8
Precinct -COZAD WEST 003COZAD WEST 003	157	620	12	789	19.9%	78.6%	R+58.7
Precinct -LEX 3RD 014LEX 3RD 014	267	511	4	782	34.1%	65.3%	R+31.2
Precinct -LEX 2ND 013LEX 2ND 013	240	433	5	678	35.4%	63.9%	R+28.5
Precinct -OVERTON 017OVERTON 017	87	445	6	538	16.2%	82.7%	R+66.5
Precinct -LEX 5TH 016LEX 5TH 016	221	280	8	509	43.4%	55.0%	R+11.6
Precinct -LEX 1ST 012LEX 1ST 012	149	235	3	387	38.5%	60.7%	R+22.2
Precinct -PLATTE 018PLATTE 018	74	264	2	340	21.8%	77.6%	R+55.9
Precinct -GRANT 010GRANT 010	39	195	2	236	16.5%	82.6%	R+66.1
Precinct -WOODRIVER 020WOODRIVER 020	23	210	1	234	9.8%	89.7%	R+79.9
Precinct -GILLAN 007GILLAN 007	35	181	3	219	16.0%	82.6%	R+66.7
Precinct -LEX 4TH 015LEX 4TH 015	89	106	2	197	45.2%	53.8%	R+8.6
Precinct -RINGGOLD 019RINGGOLD 019	40	151	2	193	20.7%	78.2%	R+57.5
Precinct -GERMAN 006GERMAN 006	13	135	1	149	8.7%	90.6%	R+81.9
Precinct -FAIRVIEW 004FAIRVIEW 004	28	115	2	145	19.3%	79.3%	R+60.0
Precinct -COYOTE 001COYOTE 001	30	102	1	133	22.6%	76.7%	R+54.1
Precinct -FARNAM 005FARNAM 005	19	108	0	127	15.0%	85.0%	R+70.1
Precinct -KENNEBEC 011KENNEBEC 011	13	69	1	83	15.7%	83.1%	R+67.5

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−40.8%
1896	+9.0%
1900	+4.3%
1904	−45.1%
1908	+5.0%
1912	+34.3%
1916	+15.4%
1920	−37.8%
1924	−25.0%
1928	−49.4%
1932	+22.0%
1936	+5.8%
1940	−32.0%
1944	−37.7%
1948	−23.5%
1952	−59.3%
1956	−52.3%
1960	−46.1%
1964	−9.4%
1968	−49.7%
1972	−62.7%
1976	−37.8%
1980	−60.7%
1984	−64.2%
1988	−43.1%
1992	−33.8%
1996	−32.4%
2000	−50.2%
2004	−55.6%
2008	−38.3%
2012	−41.5%
2016	−44.6%
2020	−43.8%
2024	−49.4%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	24.7%Harris2,101	74.1%Trump6,312	0.5%Oliver40 +3	R+49.4	R+5.6	R+47.9	8,522
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican74.1%6,312 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic24.7%2,101 Chase OliverNonpartisan0.5%40 OtherAll other candidates0.4%31 Jill SteinNonpartisan0.3%22 Cornel WestNonpartisan0.2%16
2020	R	27.2%Biden2,497	71.0%Trump6,524	1.7%Jorgensen157	R+43.8	D+0.7	R+48.3	9,191
2016	R	24.7%Clinton2,136	69.3%Trump5,984	4.4%Johnson381	R+44.6	R+3.1	R+46.7	8,635
2012	R	28.0%Obama2,199	69.5%Romney5,460	1.4%Gray113	R+41.5	R+3.2	R+45.3	7,859
2008	R	30.0%Obama2,399	68.4%McCain5,460	1.6%	R+38.3	D+17.2	R+45.6	7,986
2004	R	21.7%Kerry1,728	77.3%Bush6,149	1.0%	R+55.6	R+5.3	R+53.1	7,956
2000	R	23.2%Gore1,740	73.4%Bush5,511	1.9%Nader143	R+50.2	R+17.8	R+50.8	7,507
1996	R	27.0%Clinton2,180	59.4%Dole4,794	12.9%Perot1,044	R+32.4	D+1.4	R+40.9	8,065
1992	R	19.8%Clinton1,741	53.6%Bush4,714	26.2%Perot2,307	R+33.8	D+9.3	R+39.4	8,789
1988	R	28.2%Dukakis2,184	71.3%Bush5,529	0.5%	R+43.1	D+21.1	R+35.4	7,755
1984	R	17.7%Mondale1,487	81.9%Reagan6,887	0.4%	R+64.2	R+3.5	R+46.0	8,407
1980	R	17.0%Carter1,463	77.7%Reagan6,689	5.3%	R+60.7	R+22.9	R+51.0	8,609
1976	R	30.0%Carter2,395	67.8%Ford5,413	2.2%	R+37.8	D+24.9	R+39.9	7,985
1972	R	18.7%McGovern1,424	81.3%Nixon6,211	0.0%	R+62.7	R+13.0	R+39.5	7,635
1968	R	22.2%Humphrey1,614	72.0%Nixon5,221	5.8%	R+49.7	R+40.3	R+49.0	7,254
1964	R	45.3%Johnson3,790	54.7%Goldwater4,577	0.0%	R+9.4	D+36.7	R+32.0	8,367
1960	R	26.9%Kennedy2,388	73.1%Nixon6,480	0.0%	R+46.1	D+6.1	R+46.3	8,868
1956	R	23.9%Stevenson2,039	76.1%Eisenhower6,503	0.0%	R+52.3	D+7.1	R+36.9	8,542
1952	R	20.3%Stevenson1,820	79.7%Eisenhower7,130	0.0%	R+59.3	R+35.8	R+48.6	8,950
1948	R	38.2%Truman2,603	61.8%Dewey4,203	0.0%	R+23.5	D+14.2	R+28.0	6,806
1944	R	31.2%Roosevelt2,270	68.8%Dewey5,017	0.0%	R+37.7	R+5.7	R+45.2	7,287
1940	R	34.0%Roosevelt2,803	66.0%Willkie5,445	0.0%	R+32.0	R+37.8	R+42.0	8,248
1936	D	52.2%Roosevelt4,021	46.4%Landon3,573	1.4%	D+5.8	R+16.2	R+18.4	7,702
1932	D	60.1%Roosevelt4,513	38.1%Hoover2,859	1.8%	D+22.0	D+71.4	D+4.2	7,505
1928	R	24.9%Smith1,718	74.3%Hoover5,125	0.9%	R+49.4	R+24.3	R+31.9	6,902
1924	R	25.6%Davis1,526	50.7%Coolidge3,016	23.3%La Follette1,386	R+25.0	D+12.8	D+0.1	5,952
1920	R	28.2%Cox1,444	66.0%Harding3,384	5.9%	R+37.8	R+53.2	R+11.6	5,128
1916	D	56.1%Wilson1,989	40.7%Hughes1,444	3.1%	D+15.4	R+18.9	D+12.2	3,544
1912	D	47.5%Wilson1,613	13.2%Taft449	39.3%	D+34.3	D+29.3	D+14.7	3,397
1908	D	51.1%Bryan1,926	46.0%Taft1,737	2.9%	D+5.0	D+50.1	D+14.6	3,772
1904	R	16.4%Parker457	61.5%Roosevelt1,712	22.1%	R+45.1	R+49.4	R+25.4	2,783
1900	D	50.7%Bryan1,399	46.4%McKinley1,280	3.0%	D+4.3	R+4.7	D+11.9	2,761
1896	D	53.3%Bryan1,357	44.3%McKinley1,128	2.4%	D+9.0	D+49.8	D+15.1	2,547
1892	R	7.4%Cleveland182	48.2%Harrison1,188	44.4%	R+40.8	—	R+42.5	2,463
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	21.3%1,781	78.7%6,570	8,351
2020	R	22.3%1,946	77.7%6,783	8,729
2018	R	24.1%1,506	75.9%4,753	6,259

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · Akashic canonical election database — certified Nebraska 2024 U.S. Senate county returns; Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · Source-provenance retained in canonical database / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024Class I	R	0.0%0	65.9%Deb Fischer5,556	8,434
2020Class II	R	20.5%Chis Janicek1,830	72.3%Ben Sasse6,460	8,934
2018Class I	R	26.5%Jane Raybould1,657	69.8%Deb Fischer4,363	6,253
2014Class II	R	17.0%Dave Domina942	76.0%Ben Sasse4,220	5,554
2012Class I	R	30.5%Bob Kerrey2,375	69.5%Deb Fischer5,422	7,797
2008Class II	R	37.9%Scott Kleeb3,026	60.1%Mike Johanns4,801	7,982
2006Class I	D	58.6%Ben Nelson3,967	41.4%Pete Ricketts2,801	6,768
2002Class II	R	9.7%Charlie A. Matulka502	88.1%Chuck Hagel4,582	5,199
2000Class I	R	43.5%Ben Nelson3,261	56.5%Don Stenberg4,229	7,490
1996Class II	R	35.5%Ben Nelson2,856	62.0%Chuck Hagel4,987	8,042
1994Class I	R	48.1%Bob Kerrey3,460	51.9%Jan Stoney3,739	7,199
1990Class II	R	49.8%J.James Exon3,514	50.2%Hal Daub3,538	7,052
1988Class I	R	46.4%Bob Kerrey3,565	53.1%Dave Karnes4,084	7,689
1984Class II	R	43.8%J.James Exon3,786	56.2%Nancy Hoch4,849	8,635
1982Class I	D	60.0%Edward Zorinsky4,396	37.6%Jim Keck2,751	7,325
1978Class II	D	57.8%J.James Exon3,572	42.2%Donald Shasteen2,609	6,181
1976Class I	R	37.7%Edward Zorinsky2,906	62.3%John McCollister4,794	7,700
1972Class II	R	38.3%Terry Carpenter2,906	61.7%Carl T. Curtis4,681	7,587
1970Class I	R	38.6%Frank B. Morrison2,216	61.4%Roman Hruska3,521	5,737
1966Class II	R	28.0%Frank B. Morrison1,798	72.0%Carl T. Curtis4,626	6,424
1964Class I	R	30.4%Raymond W. Arndt2,485	69.6%Roman Hruska5,692	8,177
1960Class II	R	32.3%Robert B. Conrad2,829	67.7%Carl T. Curtis5,934	8,763
1958Class I	R	37.0%Frank B. Morrison1,961	63.0%Roman Hruska3,336	5,297
1954Class II	R	28.5%Keith Neville1,620	71.5%Carl T. Curtis4,065	5,685
1952Class I	R	24.0%Stanley D. Long2,101	74.8%Hugh Butler6,551	8,761
1948Class II	R	33.7%Terry Carpenter2,234	66.3%Kenneth Wherry4,389	6,623
1946Class I	R	17.8%John E. Mekota885	82.2%Hugh Butler4,094	4,979
1942Class II	R	13.5%Foster May688	56.5%Kenneth Wherry2,889	5,112
1940Class I	R	33.5%R.L. Cochran2,610	65.2%Hugh Butler5,078	7,784
1936Class II	R	17.7%Terry Carpenter1,331	43.9%Robert G. Simmons3,311	7,539
1934Class I	R	48.4%Edward R. Burke3,368	49.8%Robert G. Simmons3,463	6,958
1930Class II	R	35.8%Gilbert Hitchcock2,076	59.4%George Norris3,444	5,797
1928Class I	R	28.9%Richard Metcalfe1,910	71.1%Robert B. Howell4,693	6,603
1924Class II	R	29.1%J.J. Thomas1,665	70.9%George Norris4,051	5,716
1922Class I	R	30.3%Gilbert Hitchcock1,518	66.1%Robert B. Howell3,316	5,015
1918Class II	R	42.1%John H. Morehead1,252	57.9%George Norris1,722	2,974
1916Class I	R	47.8%Gilbert Hitchcock1,652	49.5%John L. Kennedy1,710	3,455

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · Akashic canonical election database — certified Nebraska 2024 U.S. Senate county returns; Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · Source-provenance retained in canonical database / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024Special · Class II	R	22.3%Preston Love Jr.1,887	77.7%Pete Ricketts6,579	8,466
1954Special · Class I	R	32.5%James F. Green1,828	67.5%Roman Hruska3,798	5,626

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	18.4%Carol Blood1,035	76.6%Jim Pillen4,303	5,618
2018	R	27.2%Bob Krist And Lynne M Walz1,706	72.8%Pete Ricketts And Mike Foley4,558	6,264
2014	R	30.1%Chuck Hassebrook1,664	66.0%Pete Ricketts3,653	5,536
2010	R	15.4%Mike Meister754	84.6%Dave Heineman4,138	4,892
2006	R	14.2%David Hahn966	83.7%Dave Heineman5,687	6,795
2002	R	20.8%Stormy Dean1,086	74.9%Mike Johanns3,915	5,226
1998	R	42.5%Bill Hoppner2,725	57.5%Mike Johanns3,694	6,419
1994	D	71.3%Ben Nelson5,103	28.5%Gene Spence2,038	7,155
1990	R	40.4%Ben Nelson2,800	59.6%Kay A. Orr4,131	6,933
1986	R	40.1%Helen Boosalis2,956	59.9%Kay Orr4,408	7,364
1982	R	41.6%Bob Kerrey3,020	58.4%Charles Thone4,244	7,264
1978	R	41.7%Gerald T. Whelan2,623	58.3%Charles Thone3,673	6,296

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+37.8

Presidential vote · 2024R+49.4

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 12 points more Democratic.

12,827 registered voters · 2026

Democratic21.4%Republican59.2%Unaffiliated17.6%Other1.8%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−406 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −5,124 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $54,094 in average income, against $69,156 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+29.1 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Dawson County, NE itself (R+49.4).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Buffalo County, NE55R+44.7
Lincoln County, NE37R+55.0
Lancaster County, NE36D+4.3
Harris County, TX23D+5.5
Hall County, NE21R+37.6

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Buffalo County, NE96
Lancaster County, NE46
Lincoln County, NE41
Douglas County, NE37
Hall County, NE34

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Dawson County, NE in Dawson County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−275
2012	−476
2013	−164
2014	−336
2015	−420
2016	−508
2017	−471
2018	−262
2019	−474
2021	−317
2022	−335
2023	−199
2024	−481
2025	−406

Dawson County, anchored by Lexington along the Platte River, recorded an R+49.6 presidential margin in 2024. Its meatpacking economy draws a sizable Latino workforce, yet countywide results remain among the state's most Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 64.2 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.4 points.

A population of 24,202, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,880 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grant County and Elko County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Grant County

Kansas

86.3twin score

2000–2008 trajectorymedian age≠ % unaffiliated

Elko County

Nevada

86.1twin score

2000–2008 trajectoryelasticity≠ Swedish ancestry

Malheur County

Oregon

85.8twin score

2000–2008 trajectory% Latino≠ German ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Cities & towns in Dawson County

Nebraska at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Dawson County, Nebraska vote in 2024?

In 2024, Dawson County, Nebraska voted Republican by 49.4 points (R+49.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,522 votes cast, 2,101 went Democratic and 6,312 went Republican.

When did Dawson County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Dawson County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1936.

How many people live in Dawson County, Nebraska?

Dawson County, Nebraska has a population of 24,202 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Dawson County, Nebraska?

Median household income in Dawson County, Nebraska is $69,880 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.

What is the political history of Dawson County, Nebraska?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dawson County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.

Measure

Dawson County

Nebraska

United States

Median age

35.6

37.3

39.1

Age 18–24

8.3%

9.8%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

16.5%

16.8%

17.2%

Measure

Dawson County

Nebraska

United States

Median household income

$69,880

$76,475

$84,427

Poverty rate

10.8%

10.6%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

17.6%

34.7%

35.6%

Measure

Dawson County

Nebraska

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

37.2%

12.8%

22.3%

Spanish

31.3%

8.5%

13.6%

Other languages

4.8%

0.6%

0.8%

Measure

Dawson County

Nebraska

United States

Catholic

21.9%

19.1%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

11.7%

14.2%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

45.4%

50.8%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

18.6%

12.1%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+49.4MIT Election Lab

Population

24,2022024 5-year

Median household income

$69,8802024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

52.8%2024 5-year

Black

6.4%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

37.4%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+34.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+64.2 in 1984MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Grant County, KS · twin score 86.3

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

8,861

15,220

58.2%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

6,384

14,898

42.9%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

9,334

14,721

63.4%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

5,779

15,353

37.6%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

8,754

15,264

57.4%

A/A

Dawson County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -GOTH EAST 008GOTH EAST 008

224

811

1,046

21.4%

77.5%

R+56.1

Precinct -COZAD EAST 002COZAD EAST 002

174

679

856

20.3%

79.3%

R+59.0

Precinct -GOTH WEST 009GOTH WEST 009

179

662

850

21.1%

77.9%

R+56.8

Precinct -COZAD WEST 003COZAD WEST 003

157

620

789

19.9%

78.6%

R+58.7

Precinct -LEX 3RD 014LEX 3RD 014

267

511

782

34.1%

65.3%

R+31.2

Precinct -LEX 2ND 013LEX 2ND 013

240

433

678

35.4%

63.9%

R+28.5

Precinct -OVERTON 017OVERTON 017

445

538

16.2%

82.7%

R+66.5

Precinct -LEX 5TH 016LEX 5TH 016

221

280

509

43.4%

55.0%

R+11.6

Precinct -LEX 1ST 012LEX 1ST 012

149

235

387

38.5%

60.7%

R+22.2

Precinct -PLATTE 018PLATTE 018

264

340

21.8%

77.6%

R+55.9

Precinct -GRANT 010GRANT 010

195

236

16.5%

82.6%

R+66.1

Precinct -WOODRIVER 020WOODRIVER 020

210

234

9.8%

89.7%

R+79.9

Precinct -GILLAN 007GILLAN 007

181

219

16.0%

82.6%

R+66.7

Precinct -LEX 4TH 015LEX 4TH 015

106

197

45.2%

53.8%

R+8.6

Precinct -RINGGOLD 019RINGGOLD 019

151

193

20.7%

78.2%

R+57.5

Precinct -GERMAN 006GERMAN 006

135

149

8.7%

90.6%

R+81.9

Precinct -FAIRVIEW 004FAIRVIEW 004

115

145

19.3%

79.3%

R+60.0

Precinct -COYOTE 001COYOTE 001

102

133

22.6%

76.7%

R+54.1

Precinct -FARNAM 005FARNAM 005

108

127

15.0%

85.0%

R+70.1

Precinct -KENNEBEC 011KENNEBEC 011

15.7%

83.1%

R+67.5

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−40.8%
1896	+9.0%
1900	+4.3%
1904	−45.1%
1908	+5.0%
1912	+34.3%
1916	+15.4%
1920	−37.8%
1924	−25.0%
1928	−49.4%
1932	+22.0%
1936	+5.8%
1940	−32.0%
1944	−37.7%
1948	−23.5%
1952	−59.3%
1956	−52.3%
1960	−46.1%
1964	−9.4%
1968	−49.7%
1972	−62.7%
1976	−37.8%
1980	−60.7%
1984	−64.2%
1988	−43.1%
1992	−33.8%
1996	−32.4%
2000	−50.2%
2004	−55.6%
2008	−38.3%
2012	−41.5%
2016	−44.6%
2020	−43.8%
2024	−49.4%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

24.7%Harris2,101

74.1%Trump6,312

0.5%Oliver40 +3

R+49.4

R+5.6

R+47.9

8,522

All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican74.1%6,312
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic24.7%2,101
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.5%40
OtherAll other candidates0.4%31
Jill SteinNonpartisan0.3%22
Cornel WestNonpartisan0.2%16

2020

27.2%Biden2,497

71.0%Trump6,524

1.7%Jorgensen157

R+43.8

D+0.7

R+48.3

9,191

2016

24.7%Clinton2,136

69.3%Trump5,984

4.4%Johnson381

R+44.6

R+3.1

R+46.7

8,635

2012

28.0%Obama2,199

69.5%Romney5,460

1.4%Gray113

R+41.5

R+3.2

R+45.3

7,859

2008

30.0%Obama2,399

68.4%McCain5,460

1.6%

R+38.3

D+17.2

R+45.6

7,986

2004

21.7%Kerry1,728

77.3%Bush6,149

1.0%

R+55.6

R+5.3

R+53.1

7,956

2000

23.2%Gore1,740

73.4%Bush5,511

1.9%Nader143

R+50.2

R+17.8

R+50.8

7,507

1996

27.0%Clinton2,180

59.4%Dole4,794

12.9%Perot1,044

R+32.4

D+1.4

R+40.9

8,065

1992

19.8%Clinton1,741

53.6%Bush4,714

26.2%Perot2,307

R+33.8

D+9.3

R+39.4

8,789

1988

28.2%Dukakis2,184

71.3%Bush5,529

0.5%

R+43.1

D+21.1

R+35.4

7,755

1984

17.7%Mondale1,487

81.9%Reagan6,887

0.4%

R+64.2

R+3.5

R+46.0

8,407

1980

17.0%Carter1,463

77.7%Reagan6,689

5.3%

R+60.7

R+22.9

R+51.0

8,609

1976

30.0%Carter2,395

67.8%Ford5,413

2.2%

R+37.8

D+24.9

R+39.9

7,985

1972

18.7%McGovern1,424

81.3%Nixon6,211

0.0%

R+62.7

R+13.0

R+39.5

7,635

1968

22.2%Humphrey1,614

72.0%Nixon5,221

5.8%

R+49.7

R+40.3

R+49.0

7,254

1964

45.3%Johnson3,790

54.7%Goldwater4,577

0.0%

R+9.4

D+36.7

R+32.0

8,367

1960

26.9%Kennedy2,388

73.1%Nixon6,480

0.0%

R+46.1

D+6.1

R+46.3

8,868

1956

23.9%Stevenson2,039

76.1%Eisenhower6,503

0.0%

R+52.3

D+7.1

R+36.9

8,542

1952

20.3%Stevenson1,820

79.7%Eisenhower7,130

0.0%

R+59.3

R+35.8

R+48.6

8,950

1948

38.2%Truman2,603

61.8%Dewey4,203

0.0%

R+23.5

D+14.2

R+28.0

6,806

1944

31.2%Roosevelt2,270

68.8%Dewey5,017

0.0%

R+37.7

R+5.7

R+45.2

7,287

1940

34.0%Roosevelt2,803

66.0%Willkie5,445

0.0%

R+32.0

R+37.8

R+42.0

8,248

1936

52.2%Roosevelt4,021

46.4%Landon3,573

1.4%

D+5.8

R+16.2

R+18.4

7,702

1932

60.1%Roosevelt4,513

38.1%Hoover2,859

1.8%

D+22.0

D+71.4

D+4.2

7,505

1928

24.9%Smith1,718

74.3%Hoover5,125

0.9%

R+49.4

R+24.3

R+31.9

6,902

1924

25.6%Davis1,526

50.7%Coolidge3,016

23.3%La Follette1,386

R+25.0

D+12.8

D+0.1

5,952

1920

28.2%Cox1,444

66.0%Harding3,384

5.9%

R+37.8

R+53.2

R+11.6

5,128

1916

56.1%Wilson1,989

40.7%Hughes1,444

3.1%

D+15.4

R+18.9

D+12.2

3,544

1912

47.5%Wilson1,613

13.2%Taft449

39.3%

D+34.3

D+29.3

D+14.7

3,397

1908

51.1%Bryan1,926

46.0%Taft1,737

2.9%

D+5.0

D+50.1

D+14.6

3,772

1904

16.4%Parker457

61.5%Roosevelt1,712

22.1%

R+45.1

R+49.4

R+25.4

2,783

1900

50.7%Bryan1,399

46.4%McKinley1,280

3.0%

D+4.3

R+4.7

D+11.9

2,761

1896

53.3%Bryan1,357

44.3%McKinley1,128

2.4%

D+9.0

D+49.8

D+15.1

2,547

1892

7.4%Cleveland182

48.2%Harrison1,188

44.4%

R+40.8

—

R+42.5

2,463

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

21.3%1,781

78.7%6,570

8,351

2020

22.3%1,946

77.7%6,783

8,729

2018

24.1%1,506

75.9%4,753

6,259

Sources · Akashic canonical election database — certified Nebraska 2024 U.S. Senate county returns; Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · Source-provenance retained in canonical database / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024Class I

0.0%0

65.9%Deb Fischer5,556

8,434

2020Class II

20.5%Chis Janicek1,830

72.3%Ben Sasse6,460

8,934

2018Class I

26.5%Jane Raybould1,657

69.8%Deb Fischer4,363

6,253

2014Class II

17.0%Dave Domina942

76.0%Ben Sasse4,220

5,554

2012Class I

30.5%Bob Kerrey2,375

69.5%Deb Fischer5,422

7,797

2008Class II

37.9%Scott Kleeb3,026

60.1%Mike Johanns4,801

7,982

2006Class I

58.6%Ben Nelson3,967

41.4%Pete Ricketts2,801

6,768

2002Class II

9.7%Charlie A. Matulka502

88.1%Chuck Hagel4,582

5,199

2000Class I

43.5%Ben Nelson3,261

56.5%Don Stenberg4,229

7,490

1996Class II

35.5%Ben Nelson2,856

62.0%Chuck Hagel4,987

8,042

1994Class I

48.1%Bob Kerrey3,460

51.9%Jan Stoney3,739

7,199

1990Class II

49.8%J.James Exon3,514

50.2%Hal Daub3,538

7,052

1988Class I

46.4%Bob Kerrey3,565

53.1%Dave Karnes4,084

7,689

1984Class II

43.8%J.James Exon3,786

56.2%Nancy Hoch4,849

8,635

1982Class I

60.0%Edward Zorinsky4,396

37.6%Jim Keck2,751

7,325

1978Class II

57.8%J.James Exon3,572

42.2%Donald Shasteen2,609

6,181

1976Class I

37.7%Edward Zorinsky2,906

62.3%John McCollister4,794

7,700

1972Class II

38.3%Terry Carpenter2,906

61.7%Carl T. Curtis4,681

7,587

1970Class I

38.6%Frank B. Morrison2,216

61.4%Roman Hruska3,521

5,737

1966Class II

28.0%Frank B. Morrison1,798

72.0%Carl T. Curtis4,626

6,424

1964Class I

30.4%Raymond W. Arndt2,485

69.6%Roman Hruska5,692

8,177

1960Class II

32.3%Robert B. Conrad2,829

67.7%Carl T. Curtis5,934

8,763

1958Class I

37.0%Frank B. Morrison1,961

63.0%Roman Hruska3,336

5,297

1954Class II

28.5%Keith Neville1,620

71.5%Carl T. Curtis4,065

5,685

1952Class I

24.0%Stanley D. Long2,101

74.8%Hugh Butler6,551

8,761

1948Class II

33.7%Terry Carpenter2,234

66.3%Kenneth Wherry4,389

6,623

1946Class I

17.8%John E. Mekota885

82.2%Hugh Butler4,094

4,979

1942Class II

13.5%Foster May688

56.5%Kenneth Wherry2,889

5,112

1940Class I

33.5%R.L. Cochran2,610

65.2%Hugh Butler5,078

7,784

1936Class II

17.7%Terry Carpenter1,331

43.9%Robert G. Simmons3,311

7,539

1934Class I

48.4%Edward R. Burke3,368

49.8%Robert G. Simmons3,463

6,958

1930Class II

35.8%Gilbert Hitchcock2,076

59.4%George Norris3,444

5,797

1928Class I

28.9%Richard Metcalfe1,910

71.1%Robert B. Howell4,693

6,603

1924Class II

29.1%J.J. Thomas1,665

70.9%George Norris4,051

5,716

1922Class I

30.3%Gilbert Hitchcock1,518

66.1%Robert B. Howell3,316

5,015

1918Class II

42.1%John H. Morehead1,252

57.9%George Norris1,722

2,974

1916Class I

47.8%Gilbert Hitchcock1,652

49.5%John L. Kennedy1,710

3,455

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024Special · Class II

22.3%Preston Love Jr.1,887

77.7%Pete Ricketts6,579

8,466

1954Special · Class I

32.5%James F. Green1,828

67.5%Roman Hruska3,798

5,626

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

18.4%Carol Blood1,035

76.6%Jim Pillen4,303

5,618

2018

27.2%Bob Krist And Lynne M Walz1,706

72.8%Pete Ricketts And Mike Foley4,558

6,264

2014

30.1%Chuck Hassebrook1,664

66.0%Pete Ricketts3,653

5,536

2010

15.4%Mike Meister754

84.6%Dave Heineman4,138

4,892

2006

14.2%David Hahn966

83.7%Dave Heineman5,687

6,795

2002

20.8%Stormy Dean1,086

74.9%Mike Johanns3,915

5,226

1998

42.5%Bill Hoppner2,725

57.5%Mike Johanns3,694

6,419

1994

71.3%Ben Nelson5,103

28.5%Gene Spence2,038

7,155

1990

40.4%Ben Nelson2,800

59.6%Kay A. Orr4,131

6,933

1986

40.1%Helen Boosalis2,956

59.9%Kay Orr4,408

7,364

1982

41.6%Bob Kerrey3,020

58.4%Charles Thone4,244

7,264

1978

41.7%Gerald T. Whelan2,623

58.3%Charles Thone3,673

6,296

Frequently asked questions

How did Dawson County, Nebraska vote in 2024?

In 2024, Dawson County, Nebraska voted Republican by 49.4 points (R+49.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,522 votes cast, 2,101 went Democratic and 6,312 went Republican.

When did Dawson County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Dawson County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1936.

How many people live in Dawson County, Nebraska?

Dawson County, Nebraska has a population of 24,202 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Dawson County, Nebraska?

Median household income in Dawson County, Nebraska is $69,880 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.

What is the political history of Dawson County, Nebraska?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dawson County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.