Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
2024 total turnout
83.5%288 participants ÷ 345 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+11.1 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state
-10.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario
69.5%–72.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Election
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Quality
2016 · Presidential
280
299
93.6%
A/A
2018 · Midterm
236
307
76.9%
A/D
2020 · Presidential
289
323
89.5%
A/D
2022 · Midterm
257
328
78.4%
A/D
2024 · Presidential
288
345
83.5%
A/D
Sources and methods
2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
1 precincts · 282 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Arthur County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -ARTHURARTHUR
17
264
1
282
6.0%
93.6%
R+87.6
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1916–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1916
+32.1%
1920
−24.9%
1924
−10.2%
1928
−40.2%
1932
+16.9%
1936
−14.0%
1940
−28.4%
1944
−27.3%
1948
−15.0%
1952
−66.4%
1956
−57.0%
1960
−61.3%
1964
−31.7%
1968
−61.1%
1972
−68.0%
1976
−49.2%
1980
−58.9%
1984
−76.5%
1988
−56.5%
1992
−49.2%
1996
−62.8%
2000
−76.8%
2004
−81.2%
2008
−67.7%
2012
−75.2%
2016
−83.2%
2020
−83.9%
2024
−87.3%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
6.0%Harris17
93.3%Trump264
0.4%Oliver1 +1
R+87.3
R+3.4
R+85.8
283
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican93.3%264
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic6.0%17
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.4%1
OtherAll other candidates0.4%1
R
7.4%Biden21
91.2%Trump260
1.1%Jorgensen3
R+83.9
R+0.7
R+88.3
285
R
6.2%Clinton17
89.4%Trump244
4.0%Johnson11
R+83.2
R+8.0
R+85.2
273
R
11.5%Obama30
86.6%Romney227
1.5%Gray4
R+75.2
R+7.5
R+79.0
262
R
14.8%Obama39
82.5%McCain217
2.7%
R+67.7
D+13.5
R+75.0
263
R
9.0%Kerry24
90.2%Bush240
0.8%
R+81.2
R+4.4
R+78.7
266
R
9.6%Gore26
86.4%Bush235
2.2%Nader6
R+76.8
R+14.0
R+77.4
272
R
9.7%Clinton25
72.5%Dole187
17.8%Perot46
R+62.8
R+13.5
R+71.3
258
R
6.8%Clinton18
56.1%Bush148
37.1%Perot98
R+49.2
D+7.3
R+54.8
264
R
21.6%Dukakis58
78.1%Bush210
0.4%
R+56.5
D+20.0
R+48.8
269
R
11.7%Mondale33
88.3%Reagan248
0.0%
R+76.5
R+17.6
R+58.3
281
R
17.9%Carter57
76.8%Reagan245
5.3%
R+58.9
R+9.7
R+49.2
319
R
24.4%Carter64
73.7%Ford193
1.9%
R+49.2
D+18.7
R+51.3
262
R
16.0%McGovern45
84.0%Nixon236
0.0%
R+68.0
R+6.9
R+44.8
281
R
16.8%Humphrey47
77.9%Nixon218
5.4%
R+61.1
R+29.4
R+60.4
280
R
34.1%Johnson126
65.9%Goldwater243
0.0%
R+31.7
D+29.5
R+54.3
369
R
19.4%Kennedy68
80.6%Nixon283
0.0%
R+61.3
R+4.3
R+61.4
351
R
21.5%Stevenson68
78.5%Eisenhower248
0.0%
R+57.0
D+9.4
R+41.6
316
R
16.8%Stevenson62
83.2%Eisenhower307
0.0%
R+66.4
R+51.4
R+55.6
369
R
42.5%Truman147
57.5%Dewey199
0.0%
R+15.0
D+12.3
R+19.5
346
R
36.3%Roosevelt153
63.7%Dewey268
0.0%
R+27.3
D+1.1
R+34.8
421
R
35.8%Roosevelt194
64.2%Willkie348
0.0%
R+28.4
R+14.4
R+38.4
542
R
42.7%Roosevelt235
56.7%Landon312
0.5%
R+14.0
R+30.9
R+38.3
550
D
56.7%Roosevelt338
39.8%Hoover237
3.5%
D+16.9
D+57.2
R+0.8
596
R
29.2%Smith169
69.4%Hoover402
1.4%
R+40.2
R+30.0
R+22.8
579
O
24.6%Davis101
34.9%Coolidge143
40.0%La Follette164
La Follette +5.6
D+14.7
D+14.9
410
R
32.1%Cox94
57.0%Harding167
10.9%
R+24.9
R+57.0
D+1.3
293
D
64.3%Wilson286
32.1%Hughes143
3.6%
D+32.1
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D+29.0
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Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Domestic migration in Arthur County, NE in Arthur County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+1
2012
+9
2013
−23
2014
0
2015
+2
2016
+15
2017
−11
2018
+7
2019
+3
2021
+6
2022
−5
2023
−14
2024
+7
2025
−18
Arthur County's 444 residents make it among the smallest counties by population in the United States, and its 2024 presidential margin of R+87.6 reflects the lopsided partisanship typical of Nebraska's remote Sandhills ranching communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.1 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 87.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 87.3 points.
A population of 484, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,250 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Billings County and Stafford County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Arthur County, Nebraska voted Republican by 87.3 points (R+87.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 283 votes cast, 17 went Democratic and 264 went Republican.
When did Arthur County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arthur County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1932.
How many people live in Arthur County, Nebraska?
Arthur County, Nebraska has a population of 484 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arthur County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Arthur County, Nebraska is $76,250 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Arthur County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arthur County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.