HarrisDemocratic17.1%326TrumpRepublican81.1%1,548KennedyOther1.2%22
R+64.0- Lead
- 1,222
- Total
- 1,909
- vs nation
- R+62.5
- Turnout
- 67.7%
Akashiccounty
Stafford County, KS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.7% of 2,864 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic17.6%357TrumpRepublican80.9%1,645JorgensenLibertarian1.6%32
R+63.3- Lead
- 1,288
- Total
- 2,034
- vs nation
- R+67.8
- Turnout
- 69.2%
ClintonDemocratic16.0%304TrumpRepublican78.6%1,490JohnsonLibertarian3.3%62
R+62.6- Lead
- 1,186
- Total
- 1,896
- vs nation
- R+64.6
- Turnout
- 62.9%
ObamaDemocratic22.0%404RomneyRepublican75.3%1,385JohnsonLibertarian1.7%31
R+53.3- Lead
- 981
- Total
- 1,839
- vs nation
- R+57.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic26.1%542McCainRepublican72.1%1,495OtherAll other candidates1.8%37
R+45.9- Lead
- 953
- Total
- 2,074
- vs nation
- R+53.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic23.1%506BushRepublican75.4%1,649OtherAll other candidates1.4%31
R+52.3- Lead
- 1,143
- Total
- 2,186
- vs nation
- R+49.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic25.8%567BushRepublican70.3%1,546NaderGreen2.5%54
R+44.5- Lead
- 979
- Total
- 2,200
- vs nation
- R+45.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic25.6%651DoleRepublican63.0%1,604PerotReform10.8%276
R+37.4- Lead
- 953
- Total
- 2,545
- vs nation
- R+46.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,9782024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,2262024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washington County, CO · twin score 94.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.7%1,939 participants ÷ 2,864 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.8%–55.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 1,949 | 3,099 | 62.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,644 | 3,123 | 52.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,066 | 2,985 | 69.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,631 | 2,947 | 55.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,939 | 2,864 | 67.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
48 precincts · 1,909 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS185000130KS185000130 | 46 | 185 | 4 | 235 | 19.6% | 78.7% | R+59.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS185000070KS185000070 | 40 | 184 | 5 | 229 | 17.5% | 80.3% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -KS185000200KS185000200 | 53 | 163 | 6 | 222 | 23.9% | 73.4% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -KS185000230KS185000230 | 45 | 164 | 3 | 212 | 21.2% | 77.4% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -KS185000090KS185000090 | 26 | 155 | 1 | 182 | 14.3% | 85.2% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -KS185000190KS185000190 | 31 | 74 | 3 | 108 | 28.7% | 68.5% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -KS185000100KS185000100 | 11 | 75 | 2 | 88 | 12.5% | 85.2% | R+72.7 |
| Precinct -KS185000120KS185000120 | 7 | 66 | 2 | 75 | 9.3% | 88.0% | R+78.7 |
| Precinct -KS185000050KS185000050 | 13 | 48 | 3 | 64 | 20.3% | 75.0% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -KS185000110KS185000110 | 1 | 54 | 2 | 57 | 1.8% | 94.7% | R+93.0 |
| Precinct -KS185000080KS185000080 | 11 | 37 | 2 | 50 | 22.0% | 74.0% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -KS185000140KS185000140 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 50 | 12.0% | 88.0% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -KS185000220KS185000220 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 45 | 6.7% | 93.3% | R+86.7 |
| Precinct -KS185000040KS185000040 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 41 | 12.2% | 85.4% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -KS185000180KS185000180 | 1 | 34 | 0 | 35 | 2.9% | 97.1% | R+94.3 |
| Precinct -KS185000020KS185000020 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 32 | 12.5% | 87.5% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -KS185000160KS185000160 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 30 | 6.7% | 90.0% | R+83.3 |
| Precinct -KS185000060KS185000060 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 29 | 6.9% | 93.1% | R+86.2 |
| Precinct -KS185000170KS185000170 | 10 | 19 | 0 | 29 | 34.5% | 65.5% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -KS185000240KS185000240 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 27 | 11.1% | 88.9% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -KS185000010KS185000010 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 25 | 12.0% | 88.0% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -KS185000030KS185000030 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 17 | 5.9% | 94.1% | R+88.2 |
| Precinct -KS185000150KS185000150 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 14 | 14.3% | 85.7% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -KS185000210KS185000210 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Albano Township Voting District20_20185000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Byron Township Voting District20_20185000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clear Creek Township Voting District20_20185000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cleveland Township Voting District20_20185000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Douglas Township Voting District20_20185000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Cooper Township Voting District20_20185000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East St. John Voting District20_20185000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairview Township Voting District20_20185000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farmington Township Voting District20_20185000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hayes Township Voting District20_20185000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Township Voting District20_20185000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Seward Township20_20185000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Stafford Voting District20_20185000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ohio Township Voting District20_20185000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Putnam Township Voting District20_20185000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richland Township Voting District20_20185000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rose Valley Township Voting District20_20185000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Seward Township20_20185000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South St. John Voting District20_20185000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Stafford Voting District20_20185000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Township Voting District20_20185000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Cooper Township Voting District20_20185000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West St. John Voting District20_20185000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| York Township Voting District20_20185000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −39.3% |
| 1896 | +28.2% |
| 1900 | +3.7% |
| 1904 | −37.1% |
| 1908 | −7.6% |
| 1912 | +25.7% |
| 1916 | +7.8% |
| 1920 | −43.4% |
| 1924 | −47.4% |
| 1928 | −51.7% |
| 1932 | +15.0% |
| 1936 | +24.6% |
| 1940 | −5.3% |
| 1944 | −13.2% |
| 1948 | −5.7% |
| 1952 | −44.8% |
| 1956 | −37.2% |
| 1960 | −31.7% |
| 1964 | +15.7% |
| 1968 | −19.5% |
| 1972 | −43.4% |
| 1976 | +7.2% |
| 1980 | −33.4% |
| 1984 | −41.2% |
| 1988 | −15.0% |
| 1992 | −10.4% |
| 1996 | −37.4% |
| 2000 | −44.5% |
| 2004 | −52.3% |
| 2008 | −45.9% |
| 2012 | −53.3% |
| 2016 | −62.6% |
| 2020 | −63.3% |
| 2024 | −64.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025R+60.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+64.0
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.2 points more Democratic.
2,667 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+81 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −212 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,438 in average income, against $63,286 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −34 |
| 2012 | −20 |
| 2013 | +18 |
| 2014 | −55 |
| 2015 | −50 |
| 2016 | −33 |
| 2017 | +2 |
| 2018 | −28 |
| 2019 | −9 |
| 2021 | −27 |
| 2022 | +4 |
| 2023 | −22 |
| 2024 | −39 |
| 2025 | +81 |
Stafford County's sparse, agriculture-dependent population and R+64 presidential margin in 2024 place it among the state's most heavily one-sided counties, reflecting broader rural Kansas consolidation around a single party over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 64.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.0 points.
A population of 3,978, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,226 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Arthur County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Washington County
Colorado
94.1twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Arthur County
Nebraska
93.7twin score
2008–2020 trajectory≠ 2000 margin
Banner County
Nebraska
91.6twin score
2004–2020 trajectory≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Stafford County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20185/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Stafford County, Kansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Stafford County, Kansas voted Republican by 64.0 points (R+64.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,909 votes cast, 326 went Democratic and 1,548 went Republican.
When did Stafford County, Kansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Stafford County, Kansas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Stafford County, Kansas?
Stafford County, Kansas has a population of 3,978 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Stafford County, Kansas?
Median household income in Stafford County, Kansas is $64,226 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kansas state median is $74,275.
What is the political history of Stafford County, Kansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Stafford County, Kansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.