- Lead
- 2,710
- Total
- 7,255
- vs nation
- R+35.9
- Turnout
- 59.1%
Atchison County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.1% of 12,520 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,547
- Total
- 7,440
- vs nation
- R+38.7
- Turnout
- 60.4%
- Lead
- 2,060
- Total
- 6,575
- vs nation
- R+33.4
- Turnout
- 54.4%
- Lead
- 1,350
- Total
- 6,674
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 550
- Total
- 7,191
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 760
- Total
- 7,118
- vs nation
- R+8.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 207
- Total
- 6,900
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 98
- Total
- 6,538
- vs nation
- R+7.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,2082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,1122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.2 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Dubuque County, IA · twin score 63.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.1%7,400 participants ÷ 12,520 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 43.3%–46.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,861 | 12,619 | 54.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,533 | 12,396 | 44.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 7,462 | 12,348 | 60.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,623 | 12,606 | 44.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,400 | 12,520 | 59.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
44 precincts · 7,255 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS00500005AKS00500005A | 349 | 576 | 22 | 947 | 36.9% | 60.8% | R+24.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS00500016AKS00500016A | 185 | 523 | 16 | 724 | 25.6% | 72.2% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -KS00500007AKS00500007A | 249 | 415 | 18 | 682 | 36.5% | 60.9% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct -KS005000040KS005000040 | 197 | 325 | 11 | 533 | 37.0% | 61.0% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -KS005100050KS005100050 | 103 | 404 | 7 | 514 | 20.0% | 78.6% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -KS00500006AKS00500006A | 203 | 263 | 8 | 474 | 42.8% | 55.5% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -KS00500008AKS00500008A | 142 | 243 | 7 | 392 | 36.2% | 62.0% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct -KS005000030KS005000030 | 150 | 202 | 9 | 361 | 41.6% | 56.0% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -KS005000090KS005000090 | 78 | 273 | 6 | 357 | 21.8% | 76.5% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -KS005000140KS005000140 | 76 | 263 | 4 | 343 | 22.2% | 76.7% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -KS005000100KS005000100 | 74 | 266 | 2 | 342 | 21.6% | 77.8% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -KS005000110KS005000110 | 34 | 277 | 4 | 315 | 10.8% | 87.9% | R+77.1 |
| Precinct -KS005000020KS005000020 | 103 | 193 | 5 | 301 | 34.2% | 64.1% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct -KS005000010KS005000010 | 97 | 189 | 8 | 294 | 33.0% | 64.3% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -KS00500017AKS00500017A | 75 | 184 | 4 | 263 | 28.5% | 70.0% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -KS005000130KS005000130 | 29 | 111 | 4 | 144 | 20.1% | 77.1% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -KS005120030KS005120030 | 37 | 100 | 2 | 139 | 26.6% | 71.9% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct -KS005000120KS005000120 | 20 | 101 | 6 | 127 | 15.7% | 79.5% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -KS00500017BKS00500017B | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Atchison Precinct 120_20005000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 2 East20_20005000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 2 West20_20005000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 3 East20_20005000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 3 West20_2000500005A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 420_2000500006A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 4 Exclave A20_2000500006B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 4 Exclave B20_2000500006C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 5 North20_2000500007A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 5 North Exclave A20_2000500007B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 5 North Exclave B20_2000500007C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 5 South20_2000500008A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 5 South Exclave A20_2000500008B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 5 South Exclave B20_2000500008C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atchison Precinct 5 South Exclave C20_2000500008D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benton Township Voting District20_20005000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Center Township Voting District20_20005000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grasshopper Township Voting District20_20005000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Huron Township Voting District20_20005000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kapioma Township Voting District20_20005000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lancaster Township Voting District20_20005000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mount Pleasant Voting District Township20_20005100050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shannon Township Voting District20_2000500016A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walnut Township Enclave Voting District20_2000500017B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walnut Township Voting District20_2000500017A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −49.2% |
| 1896 | −5.7% |
| 1900 | −11.6% |
| 1904 | −30.6% |
| 1908 | −11.0% |
| 1912 | +16.3% |
| 1916 | +0.1% |
| 1920 | −30.9% |
| 1924 | −41.4% |
| 1928 | −27.7% |
| 1932 | +8.2% |
| 1936 | +4.5% |
| 1940 | −12.9% |
| 1944 | −17.4% |
| 1948 | −2.8% |
| 1952 | −29.3% |
| 1956 | −28.3% |
| 1960 | −5.0% |
| 1964 | +23.0% |
| 1968 | −3.3% |
| 1972 | −38.0% |
| 1976 | +0.9% |
| 1980 | −13.5% |
| 1984 | −26.1% |
| 1988 | −1.0% |
| 1992 | +5.8% |
| 1996 | +1.5% |
| 2000 | −3.0% |
| 2004 | −10.7% |
| 2008 | −7.6% |
| 2012 | −20.2% |
| 2016 | −31.3% |
| 2020 | −34.2% |
| 2024 | −37.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 32.0%2,180 | 68.0%4,640 | 6,820 |
| 2020 | R | 33.5%2,367 | 66.5%4,701 | 7,068 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 13 points more Democratic.
11,037 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,056 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,063 in average income, against $69,026 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.6 on average — 6.7 points more Democratic-leaning than Atchison County, KS itself (R+37.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Leavenworth County, KS36R+22.8
- Buchanan County, MO24R+28.0
- Brown County, KS20R+47.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Leavenworth County, KS43
- Johnson County, KS30
- Buchanan County, MO30
- Douglas County, KS22
- Shawnee County, KS22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −128 |
| 2012 | −5 |
| 2013 | −115 |
| 2014 | −222 |
| 2015 | −114 |
| 2016 | −47 |
| 2017 | −79 |
| 2018 | −130 |
| 2019 | −90 |
| 2021 | −56 |
| 2022 | −142 |
| 2023 | +8 |
| 2024 | +63 |
| 2025 | +1 |
Atchison County sits along the Missouri River in northeastern Kansas, a rural stretch where the 2024 presidential margin reached R+37.4 — reflecting a broader rural realignment that has steadily deepened over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.2 points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.4 points.
A population of 16,208, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,112 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dubuque County and Lawrence County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Atchison County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.