- Lead
- 213,949
- Total
- 1,327,591
- vs nation
- R+14.6
- Turnout
- 62.9%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 2,947,1972024 5-year
- Population density
- 36 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 81,759 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,2752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.4 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Nebraska, NE · twin score 81.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.9%1,342,102 participants ÷ 2,134,490 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.0%–49.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 1,223,491 | 2,061,775 | 59.3% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,070,221 | 2,077,566 | 51.5% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 1,379,623 | 2,097,052 | 65.8% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 997,607 | 2,126,123 | 46.9% | E/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,342,102 | 2,134,490 | 62.9% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 284/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Kansas · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
54.1%
464,028 votes · D+9.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 53.7%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
72.0%
513,672 votes · R+45.0
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 68.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
570,323votes
41.5% of the vote · R+14.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 544,853 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
771,406votes
56.1% of the vote · R+14.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 758,802 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+9.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+3.7 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +2.7 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+50.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.4 · U.S. D+1.7 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +28.6 pts
On the ballot
Open seat; Gov. Laura Kelly (D) term-limited. State Sen. Cindy Holscher won the Democratic primary 48.6%-38.8% over Ethan Corson. Senate President Ty Masterson won the GOP primary with 43.2% over Philip Sarnecki (22.4%), Vicki Schmidt (13.7%) and Scott Schwab (10.9%).
Incumbent Roger Marshall won the GOP primary 79.9%-20.1%. Adam Hamilton, senior pastor of the Leawood-based Church of the Resurrection, won an 11-candidate Democratic primary with ~35%.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 1 · R 3 | 40.3% | 57.4% | 1,305,649 | |
| D 1 · R 3 | 42.5% | 56.9% | 1,001,817 | |
| D 1 · R 3 | 41.0% | 57.1% | 1,358,953 | |
| D 1 · R 3 | 44.2% | 53.6% | 1,050,322 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.0 points more Democratic than the rolls.
1,999,608 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−519 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −130,387 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −8,652 |
| 2012 | −4,625 |
| 2013 | −11,900 |
| 2014 | −13,065 |
| 2015 | −12,926 |
| 2016 | −18,161 |
| 2017 | −14,764 |
| 2018 | −11,564 |
| 2019 | −12,357 |
| 2021 | −4,610 |
| 2022 | −7,185 |
| 2023 | −5,284 |
| 2024 | −4,775 |
| 2025 | −519 |
Johnson County backed the Republican by 17.4 points in 2012, then crossed to the Democrat in 2020 and held in 2024 — in the suburbs that cast one in four Kansas votes.
- Statewide margin, 2024
- R+16.1 — Republican every cycle since 1968; R+14.7 in 2020 · MIT Election Lab
- Johnson County flipped
- R+2.6 (2016) → D+8.3 (2020) → D+8.5 (2024); about 1 in 4 of all Kansas votes · MIT Election Lab
- Bluest county
- Douglas County (Lawrence / KU) D+38.0 — 1 of only 5 of 105 counties to vote Democratic · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The urban swing
- Sedgwick County (Wichita) R+13.8, about 1 in 6 Kansas votes; Wyandotte (KC, KS) D+23.9 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Reddest county
- Wallace County R+84.8 — the widest margin in the state, on the Colorado line · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Open governor in 2026
- Kelly (D) term-limited; Masterson, Schmidt, and Schwab (R) head an Aug 4 primary; Sen. Marshall (R) seeks a 2nd term · Akashic 2026 forecast
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/KS/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.