- Lead
- 1,216
- Total
- 1,774
- vs nation
- R+67.1
- Turnout
- 67.4%
Osborne County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.4% of 2,655 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,348
- Total
- 1,945
- vs nation
- R+73.8
- Turnout
- 71.0%
- Lead
- 1,227
- Total
- 1,788
- vs nation
- R+70.7
- Turnout
- 64.2%
- Lead
- 1,155
- Total
- 1,838
- vs nation
- R+66.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,087
- Total
- 1,930
- vs nation
- R+63.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,133
- Total
- 2,075
- vs nation
- R+52.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 948
- Total
- 2,030
- vs nation
- R+47.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 974
- Total
- 2,392
- vs nation
- R+49.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+68.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,4522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,0112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+9.3 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wallace County, KS · twin score 95.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.4%1,789 participants ÷ 2,655 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.2%–54.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 1,877 | 2,923 | 64.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,519 | 2,830 | 53.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 1,956 | 2,753 | 71.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,500 | 2,732 | 54.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,789 | 2,655 | 67.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
57 precincts · 1,774 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS141000200KS141000200 | 78 | 296 | 4 | 378 | 20.6% | 78.3% | R+57.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS141000170KS141000170 | 52 | 231 | 6 | 289 | 18.0% | 79.9% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -KS141000160KS141000160 | 37 | 171 | 6 | 214 | 17.3% | 79.9% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -KS141000180KS141000180 | 26 | 114 | 4 | 144 | 18.1% | 79.2% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct -KS141000151KS141000151 | 18 | 119 | 0 | 137 | 13.1% | 86.9% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -KS141000190KS141000190 | 4 | 69 | 1 | 74 | 5.4% | 93.2% | R+87.8 |
| Precinct -KS141000210KS141000210 | 6 | 41 | 4 | 51 | 11.8% | 80.4% | R+68.6 |
| Precinct -KS141000011KS141000011 | 2 | 47 | 1 | 50 | 4.0% | 94.0% | R+90.0 |
| Precinct -KS141000231KS141000231 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 46 | 2.2% | 97.8% | R+95.7 |
| Precinct -KS141000020KS141000020 | 7 | 36 | 0 | 43 | 16.3% | 83.7% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -KS141000010KS141000010 | 6 | 31 | 4 | 41 | 14.6% | 75.6% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -KS141000240KS141000240 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 38 | 0.0% | 94.7% | R+94.7 |
| Precinct -KS141000030KS141000030 | 6 | 27 | 1 | 34 | 17.6% | 79.4% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -KS141000230KS141000230 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 34 | 5.9% | 94.1% | R+88.2 |
| Precinct -KS141000220KS141000220 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS141000140KS141000140 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 5.0% | 90.0% | R+85.0 |
| Precinct -KS141000050KS141000050 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 18 | 11.1% | 88.9% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -KS141000060KS141000060 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 17 | 0.0% | 94.1% | R+94.1 |
| Precinct -KS141000250KS141000250 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 17 | 17.6% | 76.5% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct -KS141000100KS141000100 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 6.7% | 93.3% | R+86.7 |
| Precinct -KS141000120KS141000120 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 13 | 38.5% | 61.5% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -KS141000260KS141000260 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 8.3% | 91.7% | R+83.3 |
| Precinct -KS141000270KS141000270 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS141000090KS141000090 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 18.2% | 81.8% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -KS141000130KS141000130 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 9.1% | 90.9% | R+81.8 |
| Precinct -KS141000150KS141000150 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS141000080KS141000080 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS141000070KS141000070 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS141000040KS141000040 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -KS141000110KS141000110 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Bethany Township Voting District20_20141000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bloom Township Voting District20_20141000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Corinth Township Voting District20_20141000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Covert Township Voting District20_20141000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delhi Township Voting District20_20141000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant Township Voting District20_20141000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hancock Township Voting District20_20141000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hawkeye Township Voting District20_20141000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Independence Township Voting District20_20141000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jackson Township Voting District20_20141000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kill Creek Township Voting District20_20141000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lawrence Township Voting District20_20141000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberty Township Voting District20_20141000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mount Ayr Township Voting District20_20141000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Natoma Township Voting District20_20141000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Osborne Ward 120_20141000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Osborne Ward 220_20141000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Osborne Ward 320_20141000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Penn Township Voting District20_20141000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ross 1 Voting District20_20141000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ross 2 Voting District20_20141000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Round Mound Township Voting District20_20141000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sumner Township Voting District20_20141000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tilden Township Voting District20_20141000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Valley Township Voting District20_20141000250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Victor Township Voting District20_20141000260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Township Voting District20_20141000270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −45.4% |
| 1896 | +2.8% |
| 1900 | −11.1% |
| 1904 | −54.1% |
| 1908 | −17.7% |
| 1912 | +8.7% |
| 1916 | +9.3% |
| 1920 | −50.6% |
| 1924 | −52.1% |
| 1928 | −63.2% |
| 1932 | −6.6% |
| 1936 | −11.3% |
| 1940 | −38.8% |
| 1944 | −44.2% |
| 1948 | −28.6% |
| 1952 | −64.1% |
| 1956 | −48.1% |
| 1960 | −40.5% |
| 1964 | −1.2% |
| 1968 | −40.4% |
| 1972 | −49.1% |
| 1976 | −13.5% |
| 1980 | −52.5% |
| 1984 | −51.0% |
| 1988 | −23.5% |
| 1992 | −8.6% |
| 1996 | −40.7% |
| 2000 | −46.7% |
| 2004 | −54.6% |
| 2008 | −56.3% |
| 2012 | −62.8% |
| 2016 | −68.6% |
| 2020 | −69.3% |
| 2024 | −68.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Democratic.
2,601 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−42 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −419 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,522 in average income, against $67,489 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −4 |
| 2012 | −9 |
| 2013 | +7 |
| 2014 | −43 |
| 2015 | −79 |
| 2016 | −29 |
| 2017 | −35 |
| 2018 | −74 |
| 2019 | −45 |
| 2021 | +11 |
| 2022 | +24 |
| 2023 | −35 |
| 2024 | −66 |
| 2025 | −42 |
Osborne County, anchored by its small agricultural seat, recorded an R+68.5 margin in 2024—among the widest in a state already dominated by rural Republican strongholds. Its shrinking population reflects broader depopulation trends across the High Plains.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 9.3 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 69.3 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.5 points.
A population of 3,452, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,011 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wallace County and Smith County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Osborne County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20141/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.