- Lead
- 1,999
- Total
- 3,003
- vs nation
- R+65.1
- Turnout
- 68.4%
Ottawa County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.4% of 4,425 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,104
- Total
- 3,191
- vs nation
- R+70.4
- Turnout
- 73.0%
- Lead
- 1,859
- Total
- 2,924
- vs nation
- R+65.7
- Turnout
- 66.0%
- Lead
- 1,737
- Total
- 2,933
- vs nation
- R+63.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,619
- Total
- 3,086
- vs nation
- R+59.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,738
- Total
- 2,971
- vs nation
- R+56.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,346
- Total
- 2,791
- vs nation
- R+48.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,094
- Total
- 2,890
- vs nation
- R+46.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+66.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,8192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,0182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Coffey County, KS · twin score 93.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.4%3,026 participants ÷ 4,425 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.7%–54.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,997 | 4,543 | 66.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,465 | 4,489 | 54.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,248 | 4,452 | 73.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,484 | 4,412 | 56.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,026 | 4,425 | 68.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
47 precincts · 3,003 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS143000010KS143000010 | 134 | 508 | 14 | 656 | 20.4% | 77.4% | R+57.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS143000170KS143000170 | 61 | 303 | 2 | 366 | 16.7% | 82.8% | R+66.1 |
| Precinct -KS143000150KS143000150 | 60 | 250 | 9 | 319 | 18.8% | 78.4% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -KS14300016AKS14300016A | 37 | 180 | 1 | 218 | 17.0% | 82.6% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -KS143000210KS143000210 | 26 | 183 | 4 | 213 | 12.2% | 85.9% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -KS143000180KS143000180 | 32 | 165 | 4 | 201 | 15.9% | 82.1% | R+66.2 |
| Precinct -KS143000060KS143000060 | 16 | 139 | 1 | 156 | 10.3% | 89.1% | R+78.8 |
| Precinct -KS143000200KS143000200 | 13 | 109 | 5 | 127 | 10.2% | 85.8% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -KS143000070KS143000070 | 20 | 93 | 4 | 117 | 17.1% | 79.5% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -KS143000130KS143000130 | 12 | 67 | 1 | 80 | 15.0% | 83.8% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -KS143000020KS143000020 | 9 | 65 | 1 | 75 | 12.0% | 86.7% | R+74.7 |
| Precinct -KS143000090KS143000090 | 10 | 51 | 1 | 62 | 16.1% | 82.3% | R+66.1 |
| Precinct -KS143000110KS143000110 | 4 | 56 | 2 | 62 | 6.5% | 90.3% | R+83.9 |
| Precinct -KS143000100KS143000100 | 7 | 50 | 0 | 57 | 12.3% | 87.7% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct -KS143000030KS143000030 | 10 | 45 | 0 | 55 | 18.2% | 81.8% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -KS143000040KS143000040 | 4 | 47 | 2 | 53 | 7.5% | 88.7% | R+81.1 |
| Precinct -KS143000140KS143000140 | 4 | 45 | 1 | 50 | 8.0% | 90.0% | R+82.0 |
| Precinct -KS143000050KS143000050 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 33 | 3.0% | 97.0% | R+93.9 |
| Precinct -KS143000230KS143000230 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 33 | 15.2% | 84.8% | R+69.7 |
| Precinct -KS143000220KS143000220 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 28 | 10.7% | 89.3% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -KS143000190KS143000190 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 21 | 23.8% | 76.2% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -KS143000120KS143000120 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 21.4% | 78.6% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -KS143000080KS143000080 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Bennington Township Voting District20_20143000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blaine Township Voting District20_20143000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buckeye Township Voting District20_20143000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Center Township Voting District20_20143000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chapman Township Voting District20_20143000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Concord Township Voting District20_20143000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Culver Township Voting District20_20143000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Durham Township Voting District20_20143000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fountain Township Voting District20_20143000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Garfield Township Voting District20_20143000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant Township Voting District20_20143000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Henry Township Voting District20_20143000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Township Voting District20_20143000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Logan Township Voting District20_20143000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Minneapolis Precinct 120_20143000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Minneapolis Precinct 220_2014300016A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Minneapolis Precinct 2 Exclave20_2014300016B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Minneapolis Precinct 320_20143000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morton Township Voting District20_20143000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ottawa Township Voting District20_20143000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richland Township Voting District20_20143000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sheridan Township Voting District20_20143000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sherman Township Voting District20_20143000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stanton Township Voting District20_20143000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −47.5% |
| 1896 | +8.3% |
| 1900 | −4.9% |
| 1904 | −47.5% |
| 1908 | −6.3% |
| 1912 | +26.4% |
| 1916 | +14.1% |
| 1920 | −28.9% |
| 1924 | −39.5% |
| 1928 | −46.6% |
| 1932 | +13.6% |
| 1936 | +11.0% |
| 1940 | −15.1% |
| 1944 | −27.3% |
| 1948 | −20.9% |
| 1952 | −56.3% |
| 1956 | −38.2% |
| 1960 | −34.1% |
| 1964 | +1.4% |
| 1968 | −34.7% |
| 1972 | −48.0% |
| 1976 | −7.7% |
| 1980 | −50.5% |
| 1984 | −53.2% |
| 1988 | −31.2% |
| 1992 | −18.4% |
| 1996 | −37.9% |
| 2000 | −48.2% |
| 2004 | −58.5% |
| 2008 | −52.5% |
| 2012 | −59.2% |
| 2016 | −63.6% |
| 2020 | −65.9% |
| 2024 | −66.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 3.0 points.
3,902 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−37 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −118 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,021 in average income, against $66,689 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+31.6 on average — 35 points more Democratic-leaning than Ottawa County, KS itself (R+66.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Saline County, KS56R+31.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Saline County, KS67
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −26 |
| 2012 | −4 |
| 2013 | +5 |
| 2014 | −10 |
| 2015 | −90 |
| 2016 | −7 |
| 2017 | −63 |
| 2018 | −31 |
| 2019 | −32 |
| 2021 | +137 |
| 2022 | −9 |
| 2023 | +20 |
| 2024 | +29 |
| 2025 | −37 |
Ottawa County's rural, sparsely populated plains have produced Republican presidential margins above 60 points in recent cycles, making it among the most reliably one-sided counties in a state already tilted heavily toward GOP candidates at the federal level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 66.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.6 points.
A population of 5,819, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,018 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Coffey County and Rock County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ottawa County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20143/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.