- Lead
- 2,437
- Total
- 4,377
- vs nation
- R+54.2
- Turnout
- 68.0%
Coffey County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.0% of 6,502 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,525
- Total
- 4,565
- vs nation
- R+59.8
- Turnout
- 71.2%
- Lead
- 2,323
- Total
- 4,068
- vs nation
- R+59.2
- Turnout
- 64.5%
- Lead
- 2,005
- Total
- 3,906
- vs nation
- R+55.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,933
- Total
- 4,232
- vs nation
- R+52.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,166
- Total
- 4,408
- vs nation
- R+46.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,504
- Total
- 4,040
- vs nation
- R+37.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,251
- Total
- 4,090
- vs nation
- R+39.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,3082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,3462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.1 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ottawa County, KS · twin score 93.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.0%4,421 participants ÷ 6,502 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.8%–54.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,186 | 6,492 | 64.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,522 | 6,465 | 54.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,601 | 6,463 | 71.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,567 | 6,489 | 55.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,421 | 6,502 | 68.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
40 precincts · 4,377 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS031000100KS031000100 | 161 | 528 | 9 | 698 | 23.1% | 75.6% | R+52.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS031000150KS031000150 | 130 | 317 | 8 | 455 | 28.6% | 69.7% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -KS031000120KS031000120 | 81 | 336 | 4 | 421 | 19.2% | 79.8% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct -KS031000030KS031000030 | 121 | 275 | 7 | 403 | 30.0% | 68.2% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -KS03100005AKS03100005A | 89 | 301 | 10 | 400 | 22.3% | 75.3% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -KS03100004AKS03100004A | 73 | 282 | 8 | 363 | 20.1% | 77.7% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -KS031000090KS031000090 | 49 | 236 | 6 | 291 | 16.8% | 81.1% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -KS031000080KS031000080 | 53 | 230 | 3 | 286 | 18.5% | 80.4% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -KS031000020KS031000020 | 38 | 191 | 5 | 234 | 16.2% | 81.6% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -KS031000070KS031000070 | 32 | 119 | 2 | 153 | 20.9% | 77.8% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -KS031000130KS031000130 | 27 | 110 | 2 | 139 | 19.4% | 79.1% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -KS031000140KS031000140 | 12 | 97 | 1 | 110 | 10.9% | 88.2% | R+77.3 |
| Precinct -KS031000010KS031000010 | 19 | 81 | 0 | 100 | 19.0% | 81.0% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -KS031000060KS031000060 | 19 | 71 | 5 | 95 | 20.0% | 74.7% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -KS031000170KS031000170 | 13 | 75 | 0 | 88 | 14.8% | 85.2% | R+70.5 |
| Precinct -KS031000160KS031000160 | 5 | 71 | 1 | 77 | 6.5% | 92.2% | R+85.7 |
| Precinct -KS031000110KS031000110 | 12 | 51 | 1 | 64 | 18.8% | 79.7% | R+60.9 |
| Avon Township Voting District20_20031000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burlington Township Enclave 1 Voting District20_20031900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burlington Township Enclave 2 Voting District20_20031900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burlington Township Voting District20_20031000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burlington Ward 120_20031000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burlington Ward 220_2003100004A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burlington Ward 2 Country Club Heights20_2003100004B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burlington Ward 2 Exclave 220_20031900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burlington Ward 320_2003100005A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burlington Ward 3 Exclave Caldwell's Add.20_2003100005B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burlington Ward 3 Exclave Indust. Park #2 & 320_2003100005C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hampden Township Voting District20_20031000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Key West Township Voting District20_20031000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Leroy Township Voting District20_20031000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberty Township Voting District20_20031000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Township Voting District20_20031000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Neosho Township Voting District20_20031000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ottumwa Township Voting District20_20031000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Township Voting District20_20031000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pottawatomie Township Voting District20_20031000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rock Creek Township Voting District20_20031000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spring Creek Township Voting District20_20031000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Star Township Voting District20_20031000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −47.5% |
| 1896 | +4.5% |
| 1900 | −2.2% |
| 1904 | −24.3% |
| 1908 | −9.3% |
| 1912 | +24.8% |
| 1916 | +5.2% |
| 1920 | −30.2% |
| 1924 | −33.8% |
| 1928 | −48.1% |
| 1932 | +11.0% |
| 1936 | −18.8% |
| 1940 | −29.2% |
| 1944 | −35.0% |
| 1948 | −23.9% |
| 1952 | −49.9% |
| 1956 | −44.8% |
| 1960 | −39.6% |
| 1964 | −11.2% |
| 1968 | −36.6% |
| 1972 | −53.5% |
| 1976 | −15.8% |
| 1980 | −43.1% |
| 1984 | −48.9% |
| 1988 | −34.5% |
| 1992 | −18.7% |
| 1996 | −30.6% |
| 2000 | −37.2% |
| 2004 | −49.1% |
| 2008 | −45.7% |
| 2012 | −51.3% |
| 2016 | −57.1% |
| 2020 | −55.3% |
| 2024 | −55.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.3 points.
6,190 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+129 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −203 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $64,090 in average income, against $77,444 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.7 on average — 41 points more Democratic-leaning than Coffey County, KS itself (R+55.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lyon County, KS27R+14.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lyon County, KS44
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −82 |
| 2012 | −9 |
| 2013 | −68 |
| 2014 | +11 |
| 2015 | −82 |
| 2016 | +67 |
| 2017 | −121 |
| 2018 | −4 |
| 2019 | −67 |
| 2021 | +6 |
| 2022 | −47 |
| 2023 | +28 |
| 2024 | +36 |
| 2025 | +129 |
Coffey County, a rural stretch of east-central Kansas anchored by Burlington, delivered over 77% of its 2024 presidential vote to the Republican nominee — a margin consistent with decades of lopsided results in sparsely populated Great Plains counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.1 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 55.7 points.
A population of 8,308, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,346 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ottawa County and Osborne County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Coffey County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.