HarrisDemocratic24.7%1,946TrumpRepublican72.7%5,736KennedyOther2.1%162
R+48.0- Lead
- 3,790
- Total
- 7,892
- vs nation
- R+46.6
- Turnout
- 65.5%
Akashiccounty
Osage County, KS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.5% of 12,050 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.6%2,136TrumpRepublican71.0%5,705JorgensenLibertarian2.4%194
R+44.4- Lead
- 3,569
- Total
- 8,035
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- 68.1%
ClintonDemocratic24.5%1,753TrumpRepublican67.5%4,826JohnsonLibertarian4.2%302
R+43.0- Lead
- 3,073
- Total
- 7,153
- vs nation
- R+45.1
- Turnout
- 61.3%
ObamaDemocratic32.8%2,268RomneyRepublican64.1%4,427JohnsonLibertarian2.4%167
R+31.3- Lead
- 2,159
- Total
- 6,906
- vs nation
- R+35.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic33.6%2,534McCainRepublican63.9%4,820OtherAll other candidates2.5%190
R+30.3- Lead
- 2,286
- Total
- 7,544
- vs nation
- R+37.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.0%2,537BushRepublican64.3%4,800OtherAll other candidates1.7%126
R+30.3- Lead
- 2,263
- Total
- 7,463
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic38.3%2,530BushRepublican57.0%3,770NaderGreen2.6%171
R+18.8- Lead
- 1,240
- Total
- 6,613
- vs nation
- R+19.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic35.0%2,502DoleRepublican48.8%3,487PerotReform15.4%1,101
R+13.8- Lead
- 985
- Total
- 7,146
- vs nation
- R+22.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,7442024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,4672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Preble County, OH · twin score 85.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.5%7,892 participants ÷ 12,050 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.1%–54.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,398 | 12,067 | 61.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,524 | 12,126 | 53.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,248 | 12,104 | 68.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,464 | 12,023 | 53.8% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,892 | 12,050 | 65.5% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
52 precincts · 7,892 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS139000050KS139000050 | 306 | 809 | 27 | 1,142 | 26.8% | 70.8% | R+44.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS139000120KS139000120 | 164 | 494 | 14 | 672 | 24.4% | 73.5% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -KS139000210KS139000210 | 193 | 426 | 16 | 635 | 30.4% | 67.1% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -KS139000190KS139000190 | 151 | 413 | 23 | 587 | 25.7% | 70.4% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -KS139000130KS139000130 | 147 | 419 | 16 | 582 | 25.3% | 72.0% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -KS139000110KS139000110 | 124 | 400 | 10 | 534 | 23.2% | 74.9% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -KS139000200KS139000200 | 76 | 363 | 9 | 448 | 17.0% | 81.0% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -KS139000240KS139000240 | 93 | 324 | 8 | 425 | 21.9% | 76.2% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -KS139000170KS139000170 | 113 | 274 | 15 | 402 | 28.1% | 68.2% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -KS139000090KS139000090 | 72 | 309 | 9 | 390 | 18.5% | 79.2% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -KS139000150KS139000150 | 101 | 236 | 16 | 353 | 28.6% | 66.9% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -KS139000180KS139000180 | 99 | 240 | 7 | 346 | 28.6% | 69.4% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -KS139000160KS139000160 | 76 | 202 | 8 | 286 | 26.6% | 70.6% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -KS139000220KS139000220 | 68 | 195 | 12 | 275 | 24.7% | 70.9% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -KS139000010KS139000010 | 32 | 176 | 6 | 214 | 15.0% | 82.2% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -KS139000140KS139000140 | 28 | 129 | 3 | 160 | 17.5% | 80.6% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -KS139000040KS139000040 | 24 | 105 | 3 | 132 | 18.2% | 79.5% | R+61.4 |
| Precinct -KS139000030KS139000030 | 32 | 84 | 2 | 118 | 27.1% | 71.2% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -KS139000080KS139000080 | 27 | 75 | 3 | 105 | 25.7% | 71.4% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -KS139000020KS139000020 | 20 | 63 | 3 | 86 | 23.3% | 73.3% | R+50.0 |
| Agency Township Voting District20_20139000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arvonia Township Voting District20_20139000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barclay Township Voting District20_20139000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dragoon Township Voting District20_20139000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk Township Voting District20_20139000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairfax Township Voting District20_20139000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant Township Enclave 1 Voting District20_20139900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant Township Enclave 2 Voting District20_20139900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant Township Voting District20_20139000007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Township Voting District20_20139000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Melvern Township Voting District20_20139000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Michigan Valley Township Voting District20_20139000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Burlingame Voting District20_20139000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Ridgeway Voting District20_20139000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Valleybrook Voting District20_20139000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Olivet Township Voting District20_20139000140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Osage City Ward 120_20139000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Osage City Ward 220_20139000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Osage City Ward 2 Exclave20_20139900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Osage City Ward 320_20139000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Osage City Ward 420_20139000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS139000007KS139000007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS139000060KS139000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS139000100KS139000100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KS139000230KS139000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Scranton Township Voting District20_20139000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Burlingame Voting District20_20139000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Ridgeway Voting District20_20139000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Valleybrook Voting District20_20139000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Superior Township Enclave 1 Voting District20_20139900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Superior Township Voting District20_20139000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vassar Township Voting District20_20139000240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −43.8% |
| 1896 | +9.0% |
| 1900 | −3.7% |
| 1904 | −38.2% |
| 1908 | −7.2% |
| 1912 | +23.2% |
| 1916 | +6.0% |
| 1920 | −29.2% |
| 1924 | −37.1% |
| 1928 | −47.7% |
| 1932 | +6.0% |
| 1936 | −0.1% |
| 1940 | −21.9% |
| 1944 | −29.7% |
| 1948 | −13.0% |
| 1952 | −38.3% |
| 1956 | −35.1% |
| 1960 | −28.5% |
| 1964 | +1.0% |
| 1968 | −26.6% |
| 1972 | −44.5% |
| 1976 | −3.3% |
| 1980 | −27.3% |
| 1984 | −34.4% |
| 1988 | −10.2% |
| 1992 | −3.6% |
| 1996 | −13.8% |
| 2000 | −18.8% |
| 2004 | −30.3% |
| 2008 | −30.3% |
| 2012 | −31.3% |
| 2016 | −43.0% |
| 2020 | −44.4% |
| 2024 | −48.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025R+39.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+48.0
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.1 points more Democratic.
12,255 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +199 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,598 in average income, against $67,315 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.2 on average — 49 points more Democratic-leaning than Osage County, KS itself (R+48.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Shawnee County, KS135D+0.5
- Douglas County, KS36D+38.0
- Franklin County, KS30R+40.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Shawnee County, KS147
- Douglas County, KS33
- Lyon County, KS32
- Johnson County, KS26
- Franklin County, KS25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +50 |
| 2012 | −157 |
| 2013 | −64 |
| 2014 | −91 |
| 2015 | −52 |
| 2016 | −27 |
| 2017 | +34 |
| 2018 | +136 |
| 2019 | +48 |
| 2021 | +112 |
| 2022 | +37 |
| 2023 | +187 |
| 2024 | −13 |
| 2025 | −1 |
Osage County sits at the eastern edge of the Flint Hills, where a predominantly rural, agriculture-rooted population has produced Republican presidential margins above 45 points in each of the last several cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 48.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.0 points.
A population of 15,744, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,467 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Preble County and Jackson County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Preble County
Ohio
85.9twin score
2008 margin% Whiteelasticity≠ American ancestry
Jackson County
Kansas
84.1twin score
% unaffiliated% Catholic2016 margin
Linn County
Kansas
83.7twin score
% unaffiliated% White2008 margin≠ Swedish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Osage County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20139/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Osage County
Kansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Osage County, Kansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Osage County, Kansas voted Republican by 48.0 points (R+48.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,892 votes cast, 1,946 went Democratic and 5,736 went Republican.
When did Osage County, Kansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Osage County, Kansas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Osage County, Kansas?
Osage County, Kansas has a population of 15,744 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Osage County, Kansas?
Median household income in Osage County, Kansas is $74,467 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kansas state median is $74,275.
What is the political history of Osage County, Kansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Osage County, Kansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.