HarrisDemocratic20.1%4,343TrumpRepublican79.2%17,146OliverNonpartisan0.5%101
R+59.1- Lead
- 12,803
- Total
- 21,656
- vs nation
- R+57.6
- Turnout
- 69.3%
Akashiccounty
Preble County, OH
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.3% of 31,613 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic20.6%4,493TrumpRepublican78.1%17,022JorgensenLibertarian1.1%243
R+57.4- Lead
- 12,529
- Total
- 21,809
- vs nation
- R+61.9
- Turnout
- 69.4%
ClintonDemocratic20.7%4,325TrumpRepublican74.0%15,446JohnsonLibertarian2.6%553
R+53.2- Lead
- 11,121
- Total
- 20,887
- vs nation
- R+55.3
- Turnout
- 65.9%
ObamaDemocratic30.4%6,211RomneyRepublican66.3%13,535JohnsonLibertarian1.1%230
R+35.9- Lead
- 7,324
- Total
- 20,404
- vs nation
- R+39.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic33.3%6,999McCainRepublican64.4%13,562OtherAll other candidates2.3%488
R+31.2- Lead
- 6,563
- Total
- 21,049
- vs nation
- R+38.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.4%7,274BushRepublican65.0%13,734OtherAll other candidates0.6%119
R+30.6- Lead
- 6,460
- Total
- 21,127
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic35.1%6,375BushRepublican61.5%11,176NaderGreen2.2%404
R+26.4- Lead
- 4,801
- Total
- 18,166
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic38.6%6,611DoleRepublican47.5%8,139PerotReform13.0%2,235
R+8.9- Lead
- 1,528
- Total
- 17,133
- vs nation
- R+17.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+59.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 40,7652024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,2232024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+12.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pleasants County, WV · twin score 89.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 69.3%21,920 participants ÷ 31,613 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.1%–52.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 20,887 | 31,683 | 65.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 16,110 | 31,624 | 50.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 21,982 | 31,655 | 69.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 15,960 | 31,775 | 50.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 21,920 | 31,613 | 69.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
87 precincts · 21,653 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PRECINCT WEST ELKTON-GRATIS SOUTHPRECINCT WEST ELKTON-GRATIS SOUTH | 174 | 929 | 4 | 1,107 | 15.7% | 83.9% | R+68.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PRECINCT GASPER 3PRECINCT GASPER 3 | 233 | 755 | 7 | 995 | 23.4% | 75.9% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT GASPER 2PRECINCT GASPER 2 | 217 | 765 | 11 | 993 | 21.9% | 77.0% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT GRATIS NORTHPRECINCT GRATIS NORTH | 149 | 702 | 1 | 852 | 17.5% | 82.4% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT LANIER SOUTHEASTPRECINCT LANIER SOUTHEAST | 153 | 670 | 8 | 831 | 18.4% | 80.6% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT EATON 4PRECINCT EATON 4 | 179 | 541 | 9 | 729 | 24.6% | 74.2% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT LANIER NORTHWESTPRECINCT LANIER NORTHWEST | 119 | 591 | 2 | 712 | 16.7% | 83.0% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT TWIN WESTPRECINCT TWIN WEST | 95 | 557 | 5 | 657 | 14.5% | 84.8% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT JACKSONPRECINCT JACKSON | 118 | 504 | 6 | 628 | 18.8% | 80.3% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT EATON 7PRECINCT EATON 7 | 173 | 433 | 9 | 615 | 28.1% | 70.4% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WASHINGTON WESTPRECINCT WASHINGTON WEST | 105 | 499 | 5 | 609 | 17.2% | 81.9% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT HARRISON SOUTHEASTPRECINCT HARRISON SOUTHEAST | 117 | 481 | 2 | 600 | 19.5% | 80.2% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SOMERS EASTPRECINCT SOMERS EAST | 87 | 502 | 3 | 592 | 14.7% | 84.8% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MONROEPRECINCT MONROE | 107 | 473 | 1 | 581 | 18.4% | 81.4% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT TWIN EASTPRECINCT TWIN EAST | 99 | 478 | 3 | 580 | 17.1% | 82.4% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT EATON 2PRECINCT EATON 2 | 116 | 447 | 7 | 570 | 20.4% | 78.4% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT JEFFERSON NORTHPRECINCT JEFFERSON NORTH | 91 | 469 | 5 | 565 | 16.1% | 83.0% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT LEWISBURG NORTHPRECINCT LEWISBURG NORTH | 124 | 413 | 1 | 538 | 23.0% | 76.8% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT EATON 8PRECINCT EATON 8 | 143 | 388 | 4 | 535 | 26.7% | 72.5% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT EATON 1PRECINCT EATON 1 | 138 | 367 | 7 | 512 | 27.0% | 71.7% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT HARRISON WESTPRECINCT HARRISON WEST | 79 | 418 | 3 | 500 | 15.8% | 83.6% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SOMERS WESTPRECINCT SOMERS WEST | 93 | 382 | 4 | 479 | 19.4% | 79.7% | R+60.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMDEN 1PRECINCT CAMDEN 1 | 99 | 365 | 2 | 466 | 21.2% | 78.3% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WASHINGTON EASTPRECINCT WASHINGTON EAST | 82 | 354 | 2 | 438 | 18.7% | 80.8% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WEST ALEXANDRIA SOUTHPRECINCT WEST ALEXANDRIA SOUTH | 96 | 315 | 4 | 415 | 23.1% | 75.9% | R+52.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VERONA; HARRISON-NORTHEASTPRECINCT VERONA; HARRISON-NORTHEAST | 43 | 362 | 3 | 408 | 10.5% | 88.7% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ISRAEL IIPRECINCT ISRAEL II | 106 | 295 | 3 | 404 | 26.2% | 73.0% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT GRATIS VILLAGEPRECINCT GRATIS VILLAGE | 65 | 329 | 4 | 398 | 16.3% | 82.7% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT EATON 5PRECINCT EATON 5 | 119 | 267 | 5 | 391 | 30.4% | 68.3% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT JEFFERSON SOUTHPRECINCT JEFFERSON SOUTH | 79 | 294 | 3 | 376 | 21.0% | 78.2% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT EATON 6PRECINCT EATON 6 | 86 | 282 | 2 | 370 | 23.2% | 76.2% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT DIXONPRECINCT DIXON | 62 | 286 | 2 | 350 | 17.7% | 81.7% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT EATON 3PRECINCT EATON 3 | 75 | 271 | 2 | 348 | 21.6% | 77.9% | R+56.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT LEWISBURG SOUTHPRECINCT LEWISBURG SOUTH | 69 | 275 | 3 | 347 | 19.9% | 79.3% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMDEN 2PRECINCT CAMDEN 2 | 59 | 278 | 1 | 338 | 17.5% | 82.2% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT NEW PARIS SOUTHPRECINCT NEW PARIS SOUTH | 91 | 243 | 4 | 338 | 26.9% | 71.9% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT GASPER 1PRECINCT GASPER 1 | 54 | 245 | 3 | 302 | 17.9% | 81.1% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ELDORADOPRECINCT ELDORADO | 54 | 206 | 0 | 260 | 20.8% | 79.2% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT NEW PARIS NORTHPRECINCT NEW PARIS NORTH | 58 | 198 | 3 | 259 | 22.4% | 76.4% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WEST ALEXANDRIA NORTHPRECINCT WEST ALEXANDRIA NORTH | 41 | 201 | 4 | 246 | 16.7% | 81.7% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT COLLEGE CORNER-ISRAEL 1PRECINCT COLLEGE CORNER-ISRAEL 1 | 51 | 163 | 4 | 218 | 23.4% | 74.8% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WEST MANCHESTERPRECINCT WEST MANCHESTER | 45 | 153 | 3 | 201 | 22.4% | 76.1% | R+53.7 |
| PRECINCT CAMDEN 139_39135135ABM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMDEN 239_39135135ABN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMDEN 339_39135135ABO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT COLLEGE CORNER-ISRAEL 139_39135135AAV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT DIXON39_39135135AAI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT EATON 139_39135135AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT EATON 239_39135135AAB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT EATON 339_39135135AAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT EATON 439_39135135AAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT EATON 539_39135135AAE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT EATON 639_39135135AAF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT EATON 739_39135135AAG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT EATON 839_39135135AAH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT ELDORADO39_39135135ABH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GASPER 139_39135135AAJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GASPER 239_39135135AAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GASPER 339_39135135AAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GRATIS NORTH39_39135135AAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GRATIS SOUTHEAST39_39135135AAO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GRATIS VILLAGE39_39135135AAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HARRISON SOUTHEAST39_39135135AAQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HARRISON WEST39_39135135AAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT ISRAEL 239_39135135AAW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT JACKSON39_39135135AAX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT JEFFERSON NORTH39_39135135AAY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT JEFFERSON SOUTH39_39135135AAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LANIER EAST39_39135135ABC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LANIER NORTHWEST39_39135135ABD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LANIER SOUTH39_39135135ABE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LEWISBURG NORTH39_39135135AAT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LEWISBURG SOUTH39_39135135AAU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MONROE39_39135135ABG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT NEW PARIS NORTH39_39135135ABA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT NEW PARIS SOUTH39_39135135ABB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SOMERS EAST39_39135135ABK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SOMERS WEST39_39135135ABL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT TWIN EAST39_39135135ABP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT TWIN WEST39_39135135ABQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VERONA; HARRISON-NORTHEAST39_39135135AAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WASHINGTON EAST39_39135135ABS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WASHINGTON WEST39_39135135ABT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WEST ALEXANDRIA NORTH39_39135135ABR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WEST ALEXANDRIA SOUTH39_39135135ABF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WEST ELKTON-GRATIS SOUTH WEST39_39135135AAP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WEST MANCHESTER39_39135135ABI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −4.3% |
| 1896 | −0.7% |
| 1900 | −5.0% |
| 1904 | −12.9% |
| 1908 | −3.9% |
| 1912 | +11.8% |
| 1916 | +7.9% |
| 1920 | −11.8% |
| 1924 | −16.4% |
| 1928 | −31.0% |
| 1932 | +8.7% |
| 1936 | +6.3% |
| 1940 | −6.3% |
| 1944 | −15.1% |
| 1948 | −11.2% |
| 1952 | −27.0% |
| 1956 | −27.8% |
| 1960 | −23.4% |
| 1964 | +12.9% |
| 1968 | −21.9% |
| 1972 | −43.1% |
| 1976 | −6.3% |
| 1980 | −20.1% |
| 1984 | −44.6% |
| 1988 | −34.8% |
| 1992 | −13.6% |
| 1996 | −8.9% |
| 2000 | −26.4% |
| 2004 | −30.6% |
| 2008 | −31.2% |
| 2012 | −35.9% |
| 2016 | −53.2% |
| 2020 | −57.4% |
| 2024 | −59.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 20.0%4,241 | 80.0%16,976 | 21,217 |
| 2020 | R | 19.9%4,194 | 80.1%16,913 | 21,107 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 27,815 |
| 2018 | 28,686 |
| 2020 | 28,654 |
| 2022 | 28,559 |
| 2024 | 28,920 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+76 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −780 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,610 in average income, against $67,206 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+20.0 on average — 39 points more Democratic-leaning than Preble County, OH itself (R+59.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Montgomery County, OH221D+0.5
- Butler County, OH162R+26.3
- Wayne County, IN59R+32.4
- Darke County, OH57R+65.4
- Warren County, OH40R+31.5
- Hamilton County, OH29D+14.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Montgomery County, OH210
- Butler County, OH122
- Darke County, OH78
- Wayne County, IN76
- Miami County, OH37
- Greene County, OH30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −191 |
| 2012 | −166 |
| 2013 | −169 |
| 2014 | −163 |
| 2015 | −225 |
| 2016 | −125 |
| 2017 | +24 |
| 2018 | −97 |
| 2019 | −122 |
| 2021 | +51 |
| 2022 | −89 |
| 2023 | +125 |
| 2024 | +291 |
| 2025 | +76 |
A rural county of roughly 42,000 residents wedged between Dayton and the Indiana border, Preble has drifted steadily toward supermajority Republican margins over the past two decades, reflecting a broader pattern of rural consolidation across southwestern Ohio.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 12.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.1 points.
A population of 40,765, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,223 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pleasants County and Lewis County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Pleasants County
West Virginia
89.2twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ population scale
Lewis County
West Virginia
89.0twin score
2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity
DeKalb County
Missouri
87.4twin score
% unaffiliated2016–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Preble County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39135/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Preble County
Ohio at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Preble County, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Preble County, Ohio voted Republican by 59.1 points (R+59.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,656 votes cast, 4,343 went Democratic and 17,146 went Republican.
When did Preble County, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Preble County, Ohio voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Preble County, Ohio?
Preble County, Ohio has a population of 40,765 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Preble County, Ohio?
Median household income in Preble County, Ohio is $69,223 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Preble County, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Preble County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.