- Lead
- 13,319
- Total
- 26,663
- vs nation
- R+48.5
- Turnout
- 67.3%
Ashland County, OH
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.3% of 40,205 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 12,866
- Total
- 26,405
- vs nation
- R+53.2
- Turnout
- 65.2%
- Lead
- 11,753
- Total
- 25,104
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- 61.9%
- Lead
- 7,238
- Total
- 24,578
- vs nation
- R+33.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,858
- Total
- 25,185
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,633
- Total
- 24,979
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,848
- Total
- 21,258
- vs nation
- R+32.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,829
- Total
- 19,773
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 52,2562024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,8602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Morrow County, OH · twin score 85.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.3%27,045 participants ÷ 40,205 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 48.7%–50.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 25,104 | 40,543 | 61.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 19,103 | 40,734 | 46.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 26,771 | 41,070 | 65.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,827 | 40,397 | 46.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 27,045 | 40,205 | 67.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
104 precincts · 26,662 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PRECINCT PERRYPRECINCT PERRY | 164 | 880 | 3 | 1,047 | 15.7% | 84.0% | R+68.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PRECINCT LOUDONVILLE 1PRECINCT LOUDONVILLE 1 | 311 | 715 | 10 | 1,036 | 30.0% | 69.0% | R+39.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CLEAR CREEKPRECINCT CLEAR CREEK | 166 | 851 | 10 | 1,027 | 16.2% | 82.9% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT JACKSON 2PRECINCT JACKSON 2 | 185 | 786 | 7 | 978 | 18.9% | 80.4% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 1-CPRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 1-C | 277 | 620 | 13 | 910 | 30.4% | 68.1% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT LOUDONVILLE 2PRECINCT LOUDONVILLE 2 | 234 | 637 | 6 | 877 | 26.7% | 72.6% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT GREEN 1PRECINCT GREEN 1 | 208 | 647 | 12 | 867 | 24.0% | 74.6% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MOHICANPRECINCT MOHICAN | 161 | 689 | 5 | 855 | 18.8% | 80.6% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ORANGE 1PRECINCT ORANGE 1 | 181 | 662 | 7 | 850 | 21.3% | 77.9% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VERMILLION 2PRECINCT VERMILLION 2 | 156 | 688 | 3 | 847 | 18.4% | 81.2% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MILTON 1PRECINCT MILTON 1 | 159 | 678 | 9 | 846 | 18.8% | 80.1% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT JACKSON 1PRECINCT JACKSON 1 | 222 | 609 | 11 | 842 | 26.4% | 72.3% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 3-CPRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 3-C | 293 | 525 | 7 | 825 | 35.5% | 63.6% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 1-BPRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 1-B | 296 | 486 | 11 | 793 | 37.3% | 61.3% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 2-BPRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 2-B | 243 | 516 | 20 | 779 | 31.2% | 66.2% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 2-CPRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 2-C | 239 | 485 | 13 | 737 | 32.4% | 65.8% | R+33.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MIFFLINPRECINCT MIFFLIN | 148 | 580 | 4 | 732 | 20.2% | 79.2% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 1-APRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 1-A | 254 | 440 | 8 | 702 | 36.2% | 62.7% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 3-BPRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 3-B | 253 | 426 | 8 | 687 | 36.8% | 62.0% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VERMILLION 1PRECINCT VERMILLION 1 | 138 | 536 | 10 | 684 | 20.2% | 78.4% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MONTGOMERY 2PRECINCT MONTGOMERY 2 | 126 | 548 | 3 | 677 | 18.6% | 80.9% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 2-APRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 2-A | 183 | 474 | 9 | 666 | 27.5% | 71.2% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SULLIVAN 1PRECINCT SULLIVAN 1 | 124 | 539 | 2 | 665 | 18.6% | 81.1% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT TROYPRECINCT TROY | 96 | 546 | 4 | 646 | 14.9% | 84.5% | R+69.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SULLIVAN 2PRECINCT SULLIVAN 2 | 109 | 478 | 2 | 589 | 18.5% | 81.2% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 4-CPRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 4-C | 137 | 444 | 5 | 586 | 23.4% | 75.8% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 1-DPRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 1-D | 153 | 423 | 4 | 580 | 26.4% | 72.9% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 4-APRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 4-A | 142 | 387 | 3 | 532 | 26.7% | 72.7% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 3-APRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 3-A | 203 | 318 | 4 | 525 | 38.7% | 60.6% | R+21.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MONTGOMERY 1PRECINCT MONTGOMERY 1 | 121 | 398 | 6 | 525 | 23.0% | 75.8% | R+52.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT GREEN 2PRECINCT GREEN 2 | 125 | 384 | 5 | 514 | 24.3% | 74.7% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ORANGE 2PRECINCT ORANGE 2 | 101 | 402 | 6 | 509 | 19.8% | 79.0% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT RUGGLESPRECINCT RUGGLES | 86 | 414 | 8 | 508 | 16.9% | 81.5% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MONTGOMERY 3PRECINCT MONTGOMERY 3 | 96 | 396 | 4 | 496 | 19.4% | 79.8% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MILTON 3PRECINCT MILTON 3 | 75 | 349 | 2 | 426 | 17.6% | 81.9% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 3-DPRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 3-D | 132 | 235 | 3 | 370 | 35.7% | 63.5% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT LAKEPRECINCT LAKE | 79 | 278 | 2 | 359 | 22.0% | 77.4% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 4-BPRECINCT ASHLAND CITY 4-B | 108 | 211 | 4 | 323 | 33.4% | 65.3% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT JEROMESVILLEPRECINCT JEROMESVILLE | 60 | 183 | 2 | 245 | 24.5% | 74.7% | R+50.2 |
| ASHLAND CITY 1-A Voting District39_39005005AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 1-B Voting District39_39005005AAB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 1-C Voting District39_39005005AAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 1-D Voting District39_39005005AAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 1-E Voting District39_39005005AAE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 1-F Voting District39_39005005AAF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 2-A Voting District39_39005005AAG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 2-B Voting District39_39005005AAH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 2-C Voting District39_39005005AAI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 2-D Voting District39_39005005AAJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 2-E Voting District39_39005005AAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 2-F Voting District39_39005005AAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 2-G Voting District39_39005005AAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 2-H Voting District39_39005005AAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 3-A Voting District39_39005005AAQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 3-B Voting District39_39005005AAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 3-C Voting District39_39005005AAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 3-D Voting District39_39005005AAT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 3-E Voting District39_39005005AAU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 3-F Voting District39_39005005AAV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 3-G Voting District39_39005005AAW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 4-A Voting District39_39005005AAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 4-B Voting District39_39005005ABA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 4-C Voting District39_39005005ABB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 4-D Voting District39_39005005ABC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASHLAND CITY 4-E Voting District39_39005005ABD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BAILEY LAKES Voting District39_39005005ABF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLEARCREEK TWP Voting District39_39005005ABG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREEN TWP #1 Voting District39_39005005ABI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREEN TWP #2 Voting District39_39005005ABJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HANOVER TWP Voting District39_39005005ABN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAYESVILLE Voting District39_39005005ACR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON #1 Voting District39_39005005ABS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON #2 Voting District39_39005005ABT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEROMESVILLE Voting District39_39005005ACB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAKE TWP Voting District39_39005005ABV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOUDONVILLE #1 Voting District39_39005005ABO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOUDONVILLE #2 Voting District39_39005005ABP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOUDONVILLE #3 Voting District39_39005005ABQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MIFFLIN TWP #1 Voting District39_39005005ACV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MIFFLIN TWP #2 Voting District39_39005005ACW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILTON TWP #1 Voting District39_39005005ABY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILTON TWP #2 Voting District39_39005005ABZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILTON TWP #3 Voting District39_39005005ACA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOHICAN TWP #1 Voting District39_39005005ACC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOHICAN TWP #2 Voting District39_39005005ACD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTGOMERY TWP #1 Voting District39_39005005ACE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTGOMERY TWP #2 Voting District39_39005005ACF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTGOMERY TWP #3 Voting District39_39005005ACG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTGOMERY TWP #4 Voting District39_39005005ACH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ORANGE TWP #1 Voting District39_39005005ACI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ORANGE TWP #2 Voting District39_39005005ACJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ORANGE TWP #3 Voting District39_39005005ACK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY TWP #1 Voting District39_39005005ACL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY TWP #2 Voting District39_39005005ACM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRYSVILLE Voting District39_39005005ABK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| POLK VILLAGE Voting District39_39005005ABU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUGGLES TWP Voting District39_39005005ACN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SAVANNAH Voting District39_39005005ABH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SULLIVAN TWP #1 Voting District39_39005005ACO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SULLIVAN TWP #2 Voting District39_39005005ACP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TROY TWP Voting District39_39005005ACQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VERMILLION TWP #1 Voting District39_39005005ACS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VERMILLION TWP #2 Voting District39_39005005ACT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VERMILLION TWP #3 Voting District39_39005005ACU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +14.2% |
| 1896 | +13.4% |
| 1900 | +12.4% |
| 1904 | +4.1% |
| 1908 | +12.5% |
| 1912 | +37.3% |
| 1916 | +21.9% |
| 1920 | −2.1% |
| 1924 | −12.8% |
| 1928 | −45.4% |
| 1932 | +5.3% |
| 1936 | +17.4% |
| 1940 | −4.8% |
| 1944 | −18.9% |
| 1948 | −13.6% |
| 1952 | −40.8% |
| 1956 | −46.8% |
| 1960 | −39.4% |
| 1964 | +7.5% |
| 1968 | −33.5% |
| 1972 | −47.8% |
| 1976 | −14.7% |
| 1980 | −35.0% |
| 1984 | −49.6% |
| 1988 | −35.1% |
| 1992 | −18.6% |
| 1996 | −19.4% |
| 2000 | −32.2% |
| 2004 | −30.6% |
| 2008 | −23.3% |
| 2012 | −29.4% |
| 2016 | −46.8% |
| 2020 | −48.7% |
| 2024 | −50.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 35,452 |
| 2018 | 35,529 |
| 2020 | 34,837 |
| 2022 | 34,699 |
| 2024 | 34,756 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+75 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −556 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,423 in average income, against $68,787 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+29.5 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Ashland County, OH itself (R+50.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Richland County, OH267R+42.3
- Wayne County, OH166R+39.3
- Lorain County, OH78R+5.7
- Medina County, OH76R+24.8
- Cuyahoga County, OH58D+31.4
- Huron County, OH57R+44.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Richland County, OH307
- Wayne County, OH132
- Lorain County, OH69
- Franklin County, OH65
- Medina County, OH62
- Cuyahoga County, OH51
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −140 |
| 2012 | −163 |
| 2013 | −239 |
| 2014 | −218 |
| 2015 | −43 |
| 2016 | +87 |
| 2017 | +85 |
| 2018 | −53 |
| 2019 | −285 |
| 2021 | −205 |
| 2022 | −26 |
| 2023 | +272 |
| 2024 | +297 |
| 2025 | +75 |
Ashland County's R+50 margin in 2024 places it among Ohio's most Republican-skewed jurisdictions, reflecting a broader pattern of small-city and agricultural counties drifting sharply toward one-party dominance over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 50.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.0 points.
A population of 52,256, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,860 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morrow County and Huntingdon County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ashland County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.