akashic
1876–2024
Ashtabula County, Ohio
Ashtabula County·Ohio

Ashtabula County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

Lake Erie's shoreline county has swung sharply rightward over two decades

18762024·38 elections
Ashtabula County, Ohio · Nyttend · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+28
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
97,167
2024 ACS
Most similar
Henderson County
IL · similarity 1.00
104 precincts · 43,575 votes cast
Trump · R+28
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−28.3%
15,34527,65643,575
2020R
−23.5%
16,49726,89044,147
2016R
−18.5%
15,57723,31841,797
2012D
+12.6%
23,80318,29843,745
2008D
+13.5%
25,02718,94945,076
2004D
+6.7%
24,06021,03845,407
2000D
+4.8%
19,83117,94039,472
1996D
+15.6%
19,34113,28738,722
1992D
+13.0%
18,84313,25443,028
1988D
+7.5%
20,53617,65438,556
1984R
−5.6%
19,34421,66941,397
1980R
−6.1%
17,36319,84740,467
1976D
+10.4%
20,88316,88538,625
1972R
−20.0%
15,05222,76238,608
1968R
−0.9%
16,73817,05836,555
1964D
+29.3%
24,10413,18337,287
1960R
−7.8%
19,15522,40641,561
1956R
−29.4%
13,19524,16537,360
1952R
−22.5%
14,67623,18537,861
1948R
−10.0%
12,56015,38928,326
1944R
−12.7%
13,31917,18130,500
1940R
−12.3%
14,45418,49132,945
1936D
+1.5%
14,46814,02530,010
1932R
−15.1%
11,38615,64428,282
1928R
−51.4%
5,95118,87025,118
1924R
−59.2%
2,13514,76721,337
1920R
−42.9%
5,41314,09920,229
1916R
−10.3%
5,3066,60812,626
1912D
+7.9%
3,1812,21412,308
1908R
−35.8%
3,5728,21312,970
1904R
−61.9%
1,6478,90611,735
1900R
−44.5%
3,4389,27213,115
1896R
−37.3%
3,8408,55712,639
1892R
−36.1%
2,7696,41910,098
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
2.0%
African American
3.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
12.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
10.1%
Methodist
4.2%
Mainline Protestant
3.8%
Baptist
3.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Once a Democratic stronghold anchored by union labor in its steel and chemical industries, Ashtabula County has shifted more than 40 margin points toward Republicans since 2004, tracing a pattern common across deindustrialized Great Lakes communities.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-nine points in 1964; the Republican margin reached sixty-two points in 1904. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Ashtabula County's demographics — a population of 97,167, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $57,728 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Henderson County and Chickasaw County.