akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 14·Ohio

Ohio 14th Congressional District delivered R+18 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A blue-collar exurban corridor where margins have widened each cycle since 2016

18762024·38 elections
OH
Latest
R+18
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
786,244
2024 ACS

Ohio 14th Congressional District, Ohio: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+18%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+18MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
786,2442024 5-year
Median household income
$74,0182024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.9%2024 5-year
Black
5.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+29 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+57 in 1924MIT Election Lab
R
JOYCE, DavidCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: LaTOURETTE, Steven C. (2011–2013), LaTOURETTE, Steven C. (2009–2011), LaTOURETTE, Steven C. (2007–2009), LaTOURETTE, Steven C. (2005–2007)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

5 counties · 0 D · 5 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−17.9%
164,627237,645407,861
R
−15.0%
173,060235,067413,780
R
−13.4%
154,653206,423386,687
D
+5.4%
201,900180,824393,745
D
+7.5%
212,044181,849402,907
D
+5.0%
209,929189,830401,751
D
+3.7%
170,451157,766343,189
D
+13.4%
161,441117,497327,988
D
+9.0%
148,662116,326358,699
R
−0.5%
156,119157,860316,929
R
−9.1%
144,427173,509320,941
R
−6.0%
126,895144,766297,842
D
+9.8%
150,083122,508280,262
R
−17.4%
105,758151,631264,175
D
+1.5%
109,056105,365243,947
D
+29.1%
152,30183,688235,989
R
−0.3%
126,385127,110253,495
R
−21.3%
83,650128,855212,505
R
−12.0%
86,718110,444197,162
D
+3.1%
75,33670,707148,102
D
+1.7%
76,02473,493149,517
D
+2.2%
77,36474,019151,383
D
+17.7%
75,13551,878131,614
R
−13.5%
48,02663,798116,640
R
−50.3%
24,97776,537102,406
R
−57.1%
10,71756,71380,596
R
−39.5%
21,37550,78374,487
R
−2.4%
19,56720,58142,154
O
+10.0%
11,6597,73239,221
R
−26.8%
14,22625,51342,071
R
−51.8%
7,63527,54338,409
R
−33.7%
13,59128,01142,755
R
−29.5%
14,56927,01142,176
R
−28.7%
10,82820,63034,115
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R46.5%50.1%5,704,620
2022R46.9%53.0%4,133,342
2018D53.4%46.6%4,410,898
2016R37.2%58.0%5,374,164
2012D50.7%44.7%5,449,018
2010R39.4%56.8%3,815,098
2006D56.2%43.8%4,019,236
2004R36.1%63.8%5,425,823
2000R35.9%59.9%4,448,801
1998R43.5%56.5%3,404,351
1994R39.2%53.4%3,436,884
1992D51.0%42.3%4,793,953
1988D57.0%43.0%4,352,905
1986D62.5%37.5%3,121,189
1982D56.7%41.1%3,395,463
1980D68.8%28.2%4,027,303
1976D49.5%46.5%3,920,613

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
20.7%
Irish
14.4%
English
11.5%
Italian
11.5%
American
8.8%
Polish
5.0%
Scottish
2.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.0%
speak English only
Other Indo-European4.2%
Spanish1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.1%
Other Christian
13.2%
Methodist
3.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.8%
Baptist
1.3%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stretching from Cleveland's southern suburbs into the rural Western Reserve, Ohio's 14th has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade as working-class white voters without college degrees have realigned away from their historic Democratic leanings.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-nine points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-seven points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 786,244, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $74,018 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 14, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3914/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 14, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 14, Ohio voted Republican by 17.9 points (R+18), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 407,861 votes cast, 164,627 went Democratic and 237,645 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 14, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 14, Ohio as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 20 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 14, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 14, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 14, Ohio?
Congressional District 14, Ohio has a population of 786,244 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 14, Ohio?
Median household income in Congressional District 14, Ohio is $74,018 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Congressional District 14, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 14, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.