Ohio 15th Congressional District (OH) — Elections 1876–2024

Ohio 15th Congressional District, Ohio: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+9%. Republican peak: R+35 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+9MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population: 1,063,6372024 5-year
Median household income: $74,4032024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 66.2%2024 5-year
Black: 18.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 6.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+16 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+35 in 1928MIT Election Lab

CAREY, MikeCongress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: STIVERS, Steve (2021–2023), STIVERS, Steve (2019–2021), STIVERS, Steve (2017–2019), STIVERS, Steve (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

6 counties · 1 D · 5 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+9.0%	263,641	219,513	492,613
2020	D	+13.0%	282,195	216,529	506,915
2016	D	+9.4%	244,127	199,100	476,655
2012	D	+11.2%	253,819	201,505	466,012
2008	D	+9.9%	249,172	203,461	460,354
2004	D	+0.7%	219,928	216,847	438,954
2000	R	−3.9%	163,008	176,746	351,444
1996	D	+1.7%	157,552	151,868	339,827
1992	R	−4.2%	142,464	158,064	374,328
1988	R	−23.6%	120,718	196,065	319,755
1984	R	−32.9%	107,317	215,503	328,903
1980	R	−15.9%	120,415	170,340	314,226
1976	R	−12.7%	124,449	161,679	294,052
1972	R	−31.4%	97,526	189,873	294,280
1968	R	−14.0%	95,715	132,218	261,547
1964	D	+12.9%	146,250	112,828	259,078
1960	R	−20.2%	100,819	151,894	252,714
1956	R	−31.4%	74,446	142,581	217,026
1952	R	−21.4%	86,244	133,332	219,577
1948	R	−7.6%	80,021	93,303	174,406
1944	R	−7.3%	86,449	100,076	186,525
1940	D	+0.6%	96,628	95,386	192,014
1936	D	+16.0%	95,830	68,742	169,164
1932	R	−3.5%	68,427	73,503	145,205
1928	R	−35.0%	47,316	98,761	146,799
1924	R	−31.9%	33,135	71,094	118,933
1920	R	−13.6%	54,754	72,311	129,143
1916	D	+8.9%	37,569	31,257	70,836
1912	D	+8.6%	25,022	19,592	63,326
1908	R	−10.0%	29,015	35,733	67,250
1904	R	−25.5%	20,562	35,495	58,457
1900	R	−8.4%	26,580	31,518	58,993
1896	R	−5.2%	26,573	29,537	56,687
1892	R	−2.3%	21,786	22,884	46,974
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	R	46.5%	50.1%	5,704,620
2022	R	46.9%	53.0%	4,133,342
2018	D	53.4%	46.6%	4,410,898
2016	R	37.2%	58.0%	5,374,164
2012	D	50.7%	44.7%	5,449,018
2010	R	39.4%	56.8%	3,815,098
2006	D	56.2%	43.8%	4,019,236
2004	R	36.1%	63.8%	5,425,823
2000	R	35.9%	59.9%	4,448,801
1998	R	43.5%	56.5%	3,404,351
1994	R	39.2%	53.4%	3,436,884
1992	D	51.0%	42.3%	4,793,953
1988	D	57.0%	43.0%	4,352,905
1986	D	62.5%	37.5%	3,121,189
1982	D	56.7%	41.1%	3,395,463
1980	D	68.8%	28.2%	4,027,303
1976	D	49.5%	46.5%	3,920,613

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

19.1%

Irish

11.6%

English

10.7%

American

5.2%

Italian

4.5%

Scottish

1.9%

Polish

1.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 36.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.5%

85+

0.9%

1.7%

75–84

2.4%

4.1%

65–74

4.8%

5.7%

55–64

5.9%

45–54

5.9%

7.0%

35–44

6.8%

8.1%

25–34

8.0%

4.5%

18–24

4.5%

8.5%

5–17

8.2%

3.2%

3.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$74,403

Congressional District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 15$74,403

Ohio$71,389

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

14.0%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1819.1%

Working age (18–64)12.6%

Seniors (65+)10.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

86.6%

speak English only

Spanish4.3%

Other languages3.7%

Other Indo-European3.4%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Other Christian

16.1%

Catholic & Orthodox

11.4%

Mainline Protestant

4.0%

Baptist

3.9%

Non-Christian

3.5%

Pentecostal & Holiness

3.5%

Methodist

2.9%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Ohio's 15th stretches from the southwestern fringe of Franklin County into reliably Republican rural territory, producing a 16-point presidential margin in 2024 that reflects the broader realignment of working-class and small-town Ohio away from its historic swing-state identity.

The Democratic margin in Ohio 15th Congressional District reached its widest at sixteen points in 1936. The margin in 2024 was nine points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $74,403, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 1,063,637 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 15, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3915/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 15, Ohio vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 15, Ohio voted Democratic by 9.0 points (D+9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 492,613 votes cast, 263,641 went Democratic and 219,513 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 15, Ohio's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 15, Ohio as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 15, Ohio last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 15, Ohio voted Republican was 2000.

How many people live in Congressional District 15, Ohio?

Congressional District 15, Ohio has a population of 1,063,637 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 15, Ohio?

Median household income in Congressional District 15, Ohio is $74,403 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.

What is the political history of Congressional District 15, Ohio?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 15, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Ohio 15th Congressional District has voted Democratic in six straight presidential cycles.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions