- Lead
- 6,933
- Total
- 12,571
- vs nation
- R+53.7
- Turnout
- 58.2%
Fayette County, OH
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.2% of 21,834 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,498
- Total
- 12,612
- vs nation
- R+56.0
- Turnout
- 59.0%
- Lead
- 5,256
- Total
- 11,325
- vs nation
- R+48.5
- Turnout
- 52.3%
- Lead
- 2,371
- Total
- 11,136
- vs nation
- R+25.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,701
- Total
- 11,718
- vs nation
- R+30.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,042
- Total
- 11,757
- vs nation
- R+23.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,322
- Total
- 9,278
- vs nation
- R+25.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,166
- Total
- 9,607
- vs nation
- R+20.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,8762024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,2752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pendleton County, KY · twin score 90.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.2%12,700 participants ÷ 21,834 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.3%–42.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 11,325 | 21,670 | 52.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 8,676 | 21,493 | 40.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 12,704 | 21,516 | 59.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,542 | 21,816 | 39.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 12,700 | 21,834 | 58.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
51 precincts · 12,571 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 3FWASHINGTON 3F | 201 | 651 | 4 | 856 | 23.5% | 76.1% | R+52.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -UNION SOUTH/WESTUNION SOUTH/WEST | 134 | 699 | 4 | 837 | 16.0% | 83.5% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -WAYNEWAYNE | 100 | 628 | 5 | 733 | 13.6% | 85.7% | R+72.0 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 3DWASHINGTON 3D | 174 | 513 | 3 | 690 | 25.2% | 74.3% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -CONCORD/GREENCONCORD/GREEN | 101 | 578 | 3 | 682 | 14.8% | 84.8% | R+69.9 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 4AWASHINGTON 4A | 179 | 486 | 7 | 672 | 26.6% | 72.3% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 1CWASHINGTON 1C | 166 | 437 | 6 | 609 | 27.3% | 71.8% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -PERRYPERRY | 86 | 499 | 4 | 589 | 14.6% | 84.7% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -MADISONMADISON | 95 | 482 | 5 | 582 | 16.3% | 82.8% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 1BWASHINGTON 1B | 179 | 393 | 6 | 578 | 31.0% | 68.0% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 4BWASHINGTON 4B | 142 | 367 | 5 | 514 | 27.6% | 71.4% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -UNION NORTHUNION NORTH | 118 | 358 | 4 | 480 | 24.6% | 74.6% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -PAINTPAINT | 82 | 393 | 3 | 478 | 17.2% | 82.2% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 2DWASHINGTON 2D | 130 | 297 | 3 | 430 | 30.2% | 69.1% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 3AWASHINGTON 3A | 104 | 320 | 0 | 424 | 24.5% | 75.5% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -MARIONMARION | 82 | 331 | 1 | 414 | 19.8% | 80.0% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON SOUTHJEFFERSON SOUTH | 83 | 317 | 2 | 402 | 20.6% | 78.9% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSONVILLEJEFFERSONVILLE | 133 | 262 | 4 | 399 | 33.3% | 65.7% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct -JASPERJASPER | 50 | 300 | 2 | 352 | 14.2% | 85.2% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 4CWASHINGTON 4C | 108 | 238 | 6 | 352 | 30.7% | 67.6% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -UNION EASTUNION EAST | 55 | 275 | 0 | 330 | 16.7% | 83.3% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -BLOOMINGBURGBLOOMINGBURG | 73 | 231 | 4 | 308 | 23.7% | 75.0% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON NORTHJEFFERSON NORTH | 37 | 261 | 4 | 302 | 12.3% | 86.4% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 2AWASHINGTON 2A | 95 | 185 | 4 | 284 | 33.5% | 65.1% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 4DWASHINGTON 4D | 66 | 205 | 3 | 274 | 24.1% | 74.8% | R+50.7 |
| BLOOMINGBURG Voting District39_39047047ABE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD Voting District39_39047047AAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREEN Voting District39_39047047AAT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JASPER Voting District39_39047047AAU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON NORTH Voting District39_39047047AAX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSON SOUTH Voting District39_39047047AAY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JEFFERSONVILLE Voting District39_39047047AAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MADISON Voting District39_39047047ABB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION Voting District39_39047047ABC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PAINT Voting District39_39047047ABG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY Voting District39_39047047ABH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION EAST Voting District39_39047047ABI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION NORTH Voting District39_39047047ABJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION SOUTH/WEST Voting District39_39047047ABK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 1B Voting District39_39047047AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 1C Voting District39_39047047AAB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 2A Voting District39_39047047AAE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 2D Voting District39_39047047AAG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 3A Voting District39_39047047AAH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 3D Voting District39_39047047AAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 3F Voting District39_39047047AAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 4A Voting District39_39047047AAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 4B Voting District39_39047047AAO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 4C Voting District39_39047047AAP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 4D Voting District39_39047047AAQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAYNE Voting District39_39047047ABM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −16.5% |
| 1896 | −9.9% |
| 1900 | −16.0% |
| 1904 | −27.2% |
| 1908 | −15.2% |
| 1912 | +1.4% |
| 1916 | −2.8% |
| 1920 | −17.6% |
| 1924 | −24.5% |
| 1928 | −31.0% |
| 1932 | +9.5% |
| 1936 | +9.0% |
| 1940 | −6.5% |
| 1944 | −20.1% |
| 1948 | −16.1% |
| 1952 | −27.3% |
| 1956 | −32.0% |
| 1960 | −28.2% |
| 1964 | +14.6% |
| 1968 | −23.1% |
| 1972 | −48.6% |
| 1976 | −12.0% |
| 1980 | −33.3% |
| 1984 | −52.2% |
| 1988 | −40.2% |
| 1992 | −19.2% |
| 1996 | −12.1% |
| 2000 | −25.0% |
| 2004 | −25.9% |
| 2008 | −23.1% |
| 2012 | −21.3% |
| 2016 | −46.4% |
| 2020 | −51.5% |
| 2024 | −55.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 20.3%2,461 | 79.7%9,666 | 12,127 |
| 2020 | R | 21.4%2,601 | 78.6%9,559 | 12,160 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 16,247 |
| 2018 | 16,737 |
| 2020 | 17,180 |
| 2022 | 17,035 |
| 2024 | 17,449 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−53 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −440 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,148 in average income, against $63,027 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+28.4 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Fayette County, OH itself (R+55.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Franklin County, OH127D+28.4
- Highland County, OH92R+63.3
- Ross County, OH74R+39.3
- Clinton County, OH63R+54.6
- Pickaway County, OH53R+48.5
- Madison County, OH48R+43.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Highland County, OH116
- Ross County, OH82
- Franklin County, OH79
- Clinton County, OH64
- Greene County, OH43
- Pickaway County, OH42
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −158 |
| 2012 | −141 |
| 2013 | −82 |
| 2014 | −28 |
| 2015 | −44 |
| 2016 | +51 |
| 2017 | +45 |
| 2018 | +22 |
| 2019 | −151 |
| 2021 | −2 |
| 2022 | +12 |
| 2023 | +43 |
| 2024 | +46 |
| 2025 | −53 |
Fayette County's R+55.1 margin in 2024 places it among Ohio's most reliably one-sided rural counties, driven by a predominantly white, working-class population centered on Washington Court House, the county seat.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 55.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.2 points.
A population of 28,876, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,275 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pendleton County and Hart County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Fayette County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.