- Lead
- 9,024
- Total
- 20,669
- vs nation
- R+42.2
- Turnout
- 59.6%
Madison County, OH
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.6% of 35,181 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 8,137
- Total
- 19,855
- vs nation
- R+45.4
- Turnout
- 57.5%
- Lead
- 6,852
- Total
- 17,685
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Turnout
- 52.0%
- Lead
- 3,497
- Total
- 17,719
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,074
- Total
- 17,510
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,914
- Total
- 17,398
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,605
- Total
- 14,667
- vs nation
- R+25.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,799
- Total
- 13,421
- vs nation
- R+21.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 44,4232024 5-year
- Median household income
- $87,0452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+3.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Champaign County, OH · twin score 87.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.6%20,984 participants ÷ 35,181 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 43.6%–46.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 17,685 | 34,017 | 52.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,151 | 34,435 | 41.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,984 | 34,771 | 57.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,368 | 34,673 | 41.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 20,984 | 35,181 | 59.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
67 precincts · 20,668 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PLAIN CITY WESTPLAIN CITY WEST | 518 | 925 | 17 | 1,460 | 35.5% | 63.4% | R+27.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CANAANCANAAN | 293 | 986 | 13 | 1,292 | 22.7% | 76.3% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -LONDON 1-BLONDON 1-B | 415 | 839 | 12 | 1,266 | 32.8% | 66.3% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct -LONDON 2LONDON 2 | 454 | 767 | 12 | 1,233 | 36.8% | 62.2% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON TWP AJEFFERSON TWP A | 287 | 828 | 8 | 1,123 | 25.6% | 73.7% | R+48.2 |
| Precinct -LONDON 4LONDON 4 | 411 | 683 | 13 | 1,107 | 37.1% | 61.7% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -PAINT / RANGE / STOKESPAINT / RANGE / STOKES | 185 | 910 | 9 | 1,104 | 16.8% | 82.4% | R+65.7 |
| Precinct -WEST JEFFERSON AWEST JEFFERSON A | 345 | 676 | 15 | 1,036 | 33.3% | 65.3% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -MONROE / PIKEMONROE / PIKE | 197 | 750 | 16 | 963 | 20.5% | 77.9% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -FAIRFIELDFAIRFIELD | 188 | 692 | 6 | 886 | 21.2% | 78.1% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -WEST JEFFERSON BWEST JEFFERSON B | 229 | 628 | 11 | 868 | 26.4% | 72.4% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -PLAIN CITY EASTPLAIN CITY EAST | 279 | 564 | 14 | 857 | 32.6% | 65.8% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -MT STERLINGMT STERLING | 183 | 652 | 8 | 843 | 21.7% | 77.3% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -UNIONUNION | 201 | 610 | 6 | 817 | 24.6% | 74.7% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -CHOCTAW LAKE WESTCHOCTAW LAKE WEST | 258 | 522 | 5 | 785 | 32.9% | 66.5% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON TWP BJEFFERSON TWP B | 214 | 552 | 8 | 774 | 27.6% | 71.3% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -PLEASANTPLEASANT | 133 | 596 | 5 | 734 | 18.1% | 81.2% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -SOMERFORDSOMERFORD | 155 | 491 | 7 | 653 | 23.7% | 75.2% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -LONDON 3LONDON 3 | 221 | 417 | 5 | 643 | 34.4% | 64.9% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -CHOCTAW LAKE EASTCHOCTAW LAKE EAST | 165 | 453 | 12 | 630 | 26.2% | 71.9% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -DEERCREEKDEERCREEK | 128 | 332 | 5 | 465 | 27.5% | 71.4% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -DARBYDARBY | 69 | 382 | 3 | 454 | 15.2% | 84.1% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct -OAK RUNOAK RUN | 72 | 265 | 2 | 339 | 21.2% | 78.2% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -LONDON 1-ALONDON 1-A | 113 | 217 | 6 | 336 | 33.6% | 64.6% | R+31.0 |
| PRECINCT CANAAN EAST39_39097097AAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CANAAN WEST39_39097097AAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CHOCTAW LAKE EAST39_39097097ABL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CHOCTAW LAKE WEST39_39097097ABM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT DARBY39_39097097AAO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT DEERCREEK39_39097097AAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT FAIRFIELD NORTH39_39097097AAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT FAIRFIELD SOUTH39_39097097AAT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT JEFFERSON TWP 139_39097097AAU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT JEFFERSON TWP 239_39097097AAV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT JEFFERSON TWP 339_39097097AAW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LONDON 1-A39_39097097AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LONDON 1-B39_39097097AAB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LONDON 1-C39_39097097AAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LONDON 1-D39_39097097ABS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LONDON 2-A39_39097097AAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LONDON 2-B39_39097097AAE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LONDON 2-C39_39097097AAG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LONDON 3-A39_39097097AAH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LONDON 4-A39_39097097AAJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LONDON 4-B39_39097097AAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LONDON 4-C39_39097097AAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MIDWAY39_39097097ABJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MONROE39_39097097ABB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MT. STERLING NORTH39_39097097ABH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MT. STERLING SOUTH39_39097097ABI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT OAK RUN39_39097097ABC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PAINT39_39097097ABD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PIKE39_39097097ABE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PLAIN CITY EAST39_39097097AAP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PLAIN CITY WEST39_39097097AAQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PLEASANT EAST39_39097097ABF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PLEASANT WEST39_39097097ABG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT RANGE39_39097097ABK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SOMERFORD39_39097097ABN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SOUTH SOLON39_39097097ABO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT STOKES39_39097097ABP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT UNION EAST39_39097097ABQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT UNION WEST39_39097097ABR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT W JEFFERSON 139_39097097AAX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT W JEFFERSON 239_39097097AAY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT W JEFFERSON 339_39097097AAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT W JEFFERSON 439_39097097ABA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −5.9% |
| 1896 | −9.1% |
| 1900 | −12.2% |
| 1904 | −19.8% |
| 1908 | −11.2% |
| 1912 | −1.9% |
| 1916 | −2.6% |
| 1920 | −17.7% |
| 1924 | −27.5% |
| 1928 | −37.0% |
| 1932 | +1.0% |
| 1936 | +3.4% |
| 1940 | −14.7% |
| 1944 | −24.3% |
| 1948 | −17.0% |
| 1952 | −32.8% |
| 1956 | −38.6% |
| 1960 | −32.7% |
| 1964 | +3.1% |
| 1968 | −30.1% |
| 1972 | −53.2% |
| 1976 | −18.0% |
| 1980 | −31.7% |
| 1984 | −50.5% |
| 1988 | −41.3% |
| 1992 | −20.4% |
| 1996 | −13.4% |
| 2000 | −24.6% |
| 2004 | −28.2% |
| 2008 | −23.3% |
| 2012 | −19.7% |
| 2016 | −38.7% |
| 2020 | −41.0% |
| 2024 | −43.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 24,035 |
| 2018 | 24,921 |
| 2020 | 25,827 |
| 2022 | 25,987 |
| 2024 | 27,191 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,220 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,848 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $78,247 in average income, against $83,558 for residents who stayed — 6% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+11.5 on average — 55 points more Democratic-leaning than Madison County, OH itself (R+43.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Franklin County, OH744D+28.4
- Union County, OH83R+29.6
- Clark County, OH65R+29.5
- Delaware County, OH46R+6.6
- Pickaway County, OH45R+48.5
- Fayette County, OH30R+55.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Franklin County, OH446
- Union County, OH125
- Clark County, OH107
- Pickaway County, OH49
- Fayette County, OH48
- Champaign County, OH40
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −418 |
| 2012 | −232 |
| 2013 | +242 |
| 2014 | +622 |
| 2015 | +90 |
| 2016 | −787 |
| 2017 | +634 |
| 2018 | +314 |
| 2019 | +283 |
| 2021 | +655 |
| 2022 | −891 |
| 2023 | +962 |
| 2024 | +1,154 |
| 2025 | +1,220 |
Madison County's R+43.7 margin in 2024 places it among Ohio's most one-sided presidential battlegrounds, reflecting a largely rural, small-city electorate centered on London that has shifted steadily away from competitive outcomes over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 3.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 53.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.7 points.
A population of 44,423, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,045 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Champaign County and Pickaway County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Madison County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39097/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.