Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District
presidential margin
2008R+2.02012R+7.92016R+22.12020R+20.62024R+22.8
full record · 20082024
R+22.8
2024
median income$67,764U.S. $80,734 · PA $77,971
median age42.9U.S. 39.1 · PA 41.2
poverty rate12.4%U.S. 12.5% · PA 11.7%
bachelor’s+ (25+)30.0%U.S. 35.6% · PA 35.2%
non-english5.1%U.S. 22.3% · PA 12.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German26.2%
Irish15.7%
Italian12.0%
African American3.9%
African0.4%
Puerto Rican1.3%
Mexican0.7%
Asian Indian0.3%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Lawrence County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionPennsylvania 16th Congressional DistrictTrumpR+22.8
Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District premium atlas map: Trump R+22.8, 487 precincts, 10 city labels.
2024
487 precincts by 2024 margin · 10 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −22.8% in 2024.−22.8%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−2.0%
2012−7.9%
2016−22.1%
2020−20.6%
2024−22.8%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RMike KellyU.S. House · PA-16+0.38
DJohn FettermanU.S. Senate-0.18
RDave McCormickU.S. Senate+0.61

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
202416R
36.3%146,709
63.7%256,923
403,632
202216R
40.6%130,443
59.4%190,546
320,989
202016R
40.7%143,962
59.3%210,088
354,050
201816R
47.3%124,109
51.6%135,348
262,396
201616R
42.9%134,586
53.8%168,669
313,773
201416R
42.3%74,513
57.7%101,722
176,235
201216R
39.0%111,185
54.8%156,192
284,781
201016R
34.6%70,994
65.4%134,113
205,107
200816R
39.4%120,193
55.8%170,329
305,167
200616R
39.5%80,915
56.6%115,741
204,669
200416R
34.5%98,410
64.4%183,620
285,299
200216R
0.0%0
88.4%119,046
134,597
200016R
33.1%80,177
66.9%162,403
242,580
199816R
29.5%40,092
70.5%95,979
136,085
199616R
37.5%78,598
59.4%124,511
209,602
199416R
30.3%47,680
69.7%109,759
157,455
199216R
35.2%74,741
64.8%137,823
212,564
199016R
33.9%43,849
66.1%85,596
129,445
198816R
26.0%48,169
74.0%136,944
185,113
198616R
25.4%34,399
74.6%100,784
135,183
198416R
22.2%39,515
77.8%138,477
177,992
198216R
28.7%37,364
71.3%93,034
130,398
198016R
23.1%38,891
76.9%129,765
168,656
197816R
23.0%27,386
77.0%91,910
119,296
197616R
37.0%57,836
62.3%97,527
156,455

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
48.6%3,384,180
48.8%3,399,295
6,963,137
2022D
51.2%2,751,012
46.3%2,487,260
5,368,021
2018D
55.6%2,777,680
42.7%2,134,848
4,994,643
2016R
47.3%2,865,012
48.8%2,951,702
6,051,856
2012D
53.7%3,021,364
44.6%2,509,132
5,627,422
2010R
49.0%1,948,716
51.0%2,028,945
3,977,661
2006D
58.7%2,392,984
41.3%1,684,778
4,077,762
2004R
42.0%2,334,126
52.6%2,925,080
5,558,525
2000R
45.5%2,154,908
52.4%2,481,962
4,735,116
1998R
34.8%1,028,839
61.3%1,814,180
2,957,499
1994R
46.9%1,648,481
49.4%1,735,691
3,513,112
1992R
46.3%2,224,966
49.1%2,358,125
4,802,410
1988R
32.4%1,416,764
66.5%2,901,715
4,366,598
1986R
42.9%1,448,219
56.4%1,906,537
3,378,226
1982R
39.2%1,412,965
59.3%2,136,418
3,604,108
1980R
48.0%2,122,391
50.5%2,230,404
4,418,042
1976R
46.8%2,126,977
52.4%2,381,891
4,546,353

PA-16 spans the counties south and west of Pittsburgh, where a working-class electorate has shifted decisively toward Republican candidates over the past decade, delivering a 21-point presidential margin in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 22.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.8 points.

A population of 764,852, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,764 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 14 and Congressional District 9.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4216/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Embed & data: CC BY 4.0 · Akashic Intelligence
Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →

Places within Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

How did Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District voted Republican by 22.8 points (R+22.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 416,264 votes cast, 158,915 went Democratic and 253,844 went Republican.
How many people live in Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District?
Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District has a population of 764,852 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District?
Median household income in Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District is $67,764 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.