akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 16·Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District has voted Republican in seven straight presidential cycles.

A reliably Republican anchor in southwestern Pennsylvania's rust belt

18762024·38 elections
PA
Latest
R+23
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
758,851
2024 ACS

Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District, Pennsylvania: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+23%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+23MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
758,8512024 5-year
Median household income
$69,2422024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.2%2024 5-year
Black
4.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+31 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+51 in 1924MIT Election Lab
R
KELLY, MikeCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: SMUCKER, Lloyd K. (2017–2019), PITTS, Joseph R. (2015–2017), PITTS, Joseph R. (2013–2015), PITTS, Joseph R. (2011–2013)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

6 counties · 0 D · 6 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−22.6%
158,940253,327417,071
R
−20.6%
158,131241,324404,704
R
−21.8%
132,380211,461362,254
R
−7.7%
154,694180,972341,564
R
−2.0%
173,821180,874359,450
R
−6.8%
163,059187,063352,037
R
−3.9%
144,655156,721311,297
D
+6.1%
136,999119,504288,970
D
+9.6%
138,160108,159311,331
D
+1.5%
138,129134,043274,706
R
−4.7%
141,482155,423298,872
R
−7.0%
119,092138,673279,496
D
+2.7%
143,787136,155285,776
R
−22.5%
103,737165,642275,746
D
+1.4%
128,802125,082272,426
D
+30.9%
183,79396,651281,558
R
−7.6%
134,648156,751292,192
R
−23.5%
98,258158,719257,673
R
−16.6%
105,706148,212255,337
R
−13.7%
79,497105,241188,265
R
−11.0%
90,431112,943204,900
R
−11.4%
93,735117,905212,687
D
+5.3%
107,58796,314213,863
R
−8.5%
59,97071,773138,556
R
−40.7%
48,315115,555165,097
R
−50.7%
16,09074,069114,352
R
−40.8%
22,69263,39799,864
R
−0.7%
31,58532,08271,693
O
+10.6%
20,36113,24767,173
R
−17.7%
25,54738,45872,880
R
−36.4%
18,23644,04570,886
R
−18.2%
27,67040,96973,179
R
−11.7%
32,66941,58476,368
R
−9.9%
26,21032,62864,503
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R48.6%48.8%6,963,137
2022D51.2%46.3%5,368,021
2018D55.6%42.7%4,994,643
2016R47.3%48.8%6,051,856
2012D53.7%44.6%5,627,422
2010R49.0%51.0%3,977,661
2006D58.6%41.3%4,081,043
2004R42.0%52.6%5,559,105
2000R45.5%52.4%4,735,116
1998R34.8%61.3%2,957,499
1994R46.9%49.4%3,513,361
1992R46.3%49.1%4,802,410
1988R32.4%66.5%4,366,598
1986R42.9%56.4%3,378,226
1982R39.2%59.3%3,604,108
1980R48.0%50.5%4,418,042
1976R46.8%52.4%4,546,353

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
26.1%
Irish
15.7%
Italian
12.0%
English
9.9%
Polish
7.5%
American
4.7%
Scottish
2.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.9%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.7%
Spanish1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.3%
Other Christian
9.3%
Mainline Protestant
5.6%
Methodist
5.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Baptist
1.3%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

PA-16 spans the counties south and west of Pittsburgh, where a working-class electorate has shifted decisively toward Republican candidates over the past decade, delivering a 21-point presidential margin in 2024.

The Republican margin in Pennsylvania 16th Congressional District reached its widest at fifty-one points in 1924. The margin in 2024 was twenty-three points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $69,242, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 758,851 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4216/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 22.6 points (R+23), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 417,071 votes cast, 158,940 went Democratic and 253,327 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 26 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania?
Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania has a population of 758,851 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania is $69,242 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 16, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.