Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District (PA) — Elections 1876–2024

Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District, Pennsylvania: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+37%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+37MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: PopulistAkashic typology
Population: 816,2872024 5-year
Median household income: $65,6312024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 91.3%2024 5-year
Black: 2.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+20 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+51 in 1928MIT Election Lab

THOMPSON, GlennCongress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: DENT, Charles W. (2017–2019), WILD, Susan (2017–2019), DENT, Charles W. (2015–2017), DENT, Charles W. (2013–2015)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

18 counties · 1 D · 17 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−37.1%	131,920	290,490	427,351
2020	R	−36.3%	129,623	280,644	416,015
2016	R	−35.5%	111,309	244,046	373,880
2012	R	−23.8%	127,391	209,021	343,531
2008	R	−12.0%	157,433	201,175	363,684
2004	R	−22.5%	136,170	216,122	354,745
2000	R	−21.1%	115,397	179,849	305,547
1996	R	−6.6%	115,087	134,078	287,959
1992	R	−4.2%	114,826	127,812	312,627
1988	R	−16.9%	114,420	161,515	278,272
1984	R	−27.3%	107,616	188,800	297,832
1980	R	−18.2%	106,451	158,169	284,457
1976	R	−8.6%	128,555	153,395	287,325
1972	R	−34.2%	87,924	181,791	274,278
1968	R	−16.5%	107,755	153,821	279,718
1964	D	+20.4%	173,722	114,663	289,217
1960	R	−26.3%	114,627	196,547	311,720
1956	R	−34.5%	92,311	189,794	282,527
1952	R	−30.0%	96,235	179,487	277,178
1948	R	−22.7%	82,387	131,444	216,408
1944	R	−21.5%	94,666	146,993	243,385
1940	R	−16.6%	117,213	164,112	282,314
1936	R	−2.9%	145,381	154,198	305,536
1932	R	−15.2%	86,239	118,578	213,016
1928	R	−50.6%	57,477	177,208	236,441
1924	R	−44.5%	38,467	121,141	185,597
1920	R	−37.2%	42,246	101,255	158,542
1916	R	−9.1%	46,915	57,326	114,633
1912	O	+15.9%	37,644	19,401	114,676
1908	R	−22.0%	44,557	72,504	127,192
1904	R	−35.9%	34,457	78,519	122,711
1900	R	−19.9%	49,543	75,753	131,679
1896	R	−15.4%	52,830	72,989	131,026
1892	R	−4.9%	49,312	54,756	111,852
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	R	48.6%	48.8%	6,963,137
2022	D	51.2%	46.3%	5,368,021
2018	D	55.6%	42.7%	4,994,643
2016	R	47.3%	48.8%	6,051,856
2012	D	53.7%	44.6%	5,627,422
2010	R	49.0%	51.0%	3,977,661
2006	D	58.6%	41.3%	4,081,043
2004	R	42.0%	52.6%	5,559,105
2000	R	45.5%	52.4%	4,735,116
1998	R	34.8%	61.3%	2,957,499
1994	R	46.9%	49.4%	3,513,361
1992	R	46.3%	49.1%	4,802,410
1988	R	32.4%	66.5%	4,366,598
1986	R	42.9%	56.4%	3,378,226
1982	R	39.2%	59.3%	3,604,108
1980	R	48.0%	50.5%	4,418,042
1976	R	46.8%	52.4%	4,546,353

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

27.9%

Irish

12.9%

English

10.3%

Italian

8.1%

American

6.6%

Polish

4.2%

Scottish

1.3%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 42.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

1.0%

85+

1.6%

2.8%

75–84

3.4%

6.1%

65–74

6.1%

7.2%

55–64

6.9%

6.1%

45–54

5.7%

6.1%

35–44

5.3%

6.2%

25–34

5.3%

6.3%

18–24

5.7%

7.1%

5–17

6.6%

2.3%

2.2%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$65,631

Congressional District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 15$65,631

Pennsylvania$77,971

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

13.2%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1815.4%

Working age (18–64)12.8%

Seniors (65+)10.2%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

94.1%

speak English only

Other Indo-European3.0%

Spanish1.4%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%

Other languages0.4%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

11.6%

Other Christian

9.9%

Methodist

8.3%

Mainline Protestant

6.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.2%

Baptist

1.5%

Non-Christian

0.2%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in the rural south-central corridor of Pennsylvania, the district delivered a 44.8-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it an outlier even within a competitive swing state.

The Democratic margin in Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District peaked at twenty points in 1964. By 1968 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $65,631 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4215/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 37.1 points (R+37), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 427,351 votes cast, 131,920 went Democratic and 290,490 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 1 times, Republican 32 times, and other 1 times.

When did Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania?

Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania has a population of 816,287 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania is $65,631 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 15, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Pennsylvania 15th Congressional District was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions