HarrisDemocratic26.0%5,115TrumpRepublican73.2%14,401OliverLibertarian0.5%108
R+47.2- Lead
- 9,286
- Total
- 19,682
- vs nation
- R+45.7
- Turnout
- 62.2%
Akashiccounty
McKean County, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.2% of 31,899 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.2%5,098TrumpRepublican72.3%14,083JorgensenLibertarian1.5%285
R+46.2- Lead
- 8,985
- Total
- 19,466
- vs nation
- R+50.6
- Turnout
- 60.2%
ClintonDemocratic24.4%4,025TrumpRepublican70.7%11,635JohnsonLibertarian2.5%408
R+46.2- Lead
- 7,610
- Total
- 16,464
- vs nation
- R+48.3
- Turnout
- 49.3%
ObamaDemocratic35.0%5,297RomneyRepublican63.0%9,545JohnsonLibertarian1.2%178
R+28.0- Lead
- 4,248
- Total
- 15,154
- vs nation
- R+31.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic40.5%6,465McCainRepublican57.8%9,224OtherAll other candidates1.6%258
R+17.3- Lead
- 2,759
- Total
- 15,947
- vs nation
- R+24.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic36.1%6,294BushRepublican62.8%10,941OtherAll other candidates1.1%191
R+26.7- Lead
- 4,647
- Total
- 17,426
- vs nation
- R+24.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic34.9%5,510BushRepublican61.1%9,661NaderGreen2.5%403
R+26.3- Lead
- 4,151
- Total
- 15,806
- vs nation
- R+26.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic37.1%5,509DoleRepublican46.0%6,838PerotReform15.8%2,350
R+8.9- Lead
- 1,329
- Total
- 14,869
- vs nation
- R+17.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 39,9042024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,9052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.9 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Warren County, PA · twin score 83.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.2%19,830 participants ÷ 31,899 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 48.2%–49.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,641 | 33,722 | 49.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,673 | 33,106 | 38.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,615 | 32,575 | 60.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,839 | 32,114 | 46.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 19,830 | 31,899 | 62.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
84 precincts · 19,682 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0200420830200 | 336 | 852 | 8 | 1,196 | 28.1% | 71.2% | R+43.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0120420830120 | 389 | 791 | 6 | 1,186 | 32.8% | 66.7% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct 0430420830430 | 271 | 814 | 11 | 1,096 | 24.7% | 74.3% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct 0170420830170 | 141 | 678 | 8 | 827 | 17.0% | 82.0% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct 0340420830340 | 158 | 635 | 3 | 796 | 19.8% | 79.8% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct 0420420830420 | 223 | 532 | 10 | 765 | 29.2% | 69.5% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct 0110420830110 | 187 | 528 | 4 | 719 | 26.0% | 73.4% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct 0290420830290 | 101 | 544 | 4 | 649 | 15.6% | 83.8% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct 0250420830250 | 205 | 377 | 14 | 596 | 34.4% | 63.3% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct 0390420830390 | 178 | 405 | 12 | 595 | 29.9% | 68.1% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct 0320420830320 | 137 | 446 | 1 | 584 | 23.5% | 76.4% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct 0270420830270 | 154 | 352 | 8 | 514 | 30.0% | 68.5% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct 0140420830140 | 55 | 437 | 5 | 497 | 11.1% | 87.9% | R+76.9 |
| Precinct 0100420830100 | 171 | 305 | 4 | 480 | 35.6% | 63.5% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct 0090420830090 | 175 | 303 | 1 | 479 | 36.5% | 63.3% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct 0180420830180 | 130 | 343 | 1 | 474 | 27.4% | 72.4% | R+44.9 |
| Precinct 0065420830065 | 188 | 264 | 6 | 458 | 41.0% | 57.6% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct 0350420830350 | 110 | 331 | 5 | 446 | 24.7% | 74.2% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct 0370420830370 | 70 | 368 | 3 | 441 | 15.9% | 83.4% | R+67.6 |
| Precinct 0030420830030 | 169 | 268 | 3 | 440 | 38.4% | 60.9% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct 0050420830050 | 162 | 270 | 4 | 436 | 37.2% | 61.9% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct 0130420830130 | 162 | 264 | 3 | 429 | 37.8% | 61.5% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct 0400420830400 | 106 | 288 | 2 | 396 | 26.8% | 72.7% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct 0310420830310 | 56 | 337 | 0 | 393 | 14.2% | 85.8% | R+71.5 |
| Precinct 0380420830380 | 49 | 336 | 0 | 385 | 12.7% | 87.3% | R+74.5 |
| Precinct 0300420830300 | 58 | 318 | 2 | 378 | 15.3% | 84.1% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct 0010420830010 | 61 | 300 | 3 | 364 | 16.8% | 82.4% | R+65.7 |
| Precinct 0280420830280 | 120 | 215 | 3 | 338 | 35.5% | 63.6% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct 0160420830160 | 66 | 270 | 1 | 337 | 19.6% | 80.1% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct 0190420830190 | 56 | 274 | 5 | 335 | 16.7% | 81.8% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct 0220420830220 | 74 | 255 | 2 | 331 | 22.4% | 77.0% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct 0330420830330 | 51 | 259 | 0 | 310 | 16.5% | 83.5% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct 0040420830040 | 126 | 174 | 9 | 309 | 40.8% | 56.3% | R+15.5 |
| Precinct 0360420830360 | 53 | 254 | 2 | 309 | 17.2% | 82.2% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct 0260420830260 | 93 | 156 | 0 | 249 | 37.3% | 62.7% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct 0230420830230 | 25 | 180 | 2 | 207 | 12.1% | 87.0% | R+74.9 |
| Precinct 0240420830240 | 55 | 139 | 1 | 195 | 28.2% | 71.3% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct 0150420830150 | 44 | 135 | 3 | 182 | 24.2% | 74.2% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct 0080420830080 | 51 | 126 | 1 | 178 | 28.7% | 70.8% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct 0210420830210 | 27 | 129 | 1 | 157 | 17.2% | 82.2% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct 0020420830020 | 54 | 87 | 5 | 146 | 37.0% | 59.6% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct 0410420830410 | 18 | 62 | 0 | 80 | 22.5% | 77.5% | R+55.0 |
| ANNIN TWP Voting District42_4208310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD TWP DIST 0142_42083110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD TWP DIST 0242_42083120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD TWP DIST 0342_42083130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD WD 0142_4208320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD WD 0242_4208330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD WD 03 DIST 0142_4208340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD WD 03 DIST 0242_4208350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD WD 0442_4208365 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD WD 0542_4208380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD WD 06 DIST 0142_4208390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD WD 06 DIST 0242_42083100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CERES TWP Voting District42_42083140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CORYDON TWP Voting District42_42083150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELDRED TWP Voting District42_42083170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELDRED Voting District42_42083160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOSTER TWP DIST 0142_42083180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOSTER TWP DIST 0242_42083190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOSTER TWP DIST 0342_42083200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOSTER TWP DIST 0442_42083210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON TWP Voting District42_42083220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMLIN TWP DIST 0142_42083230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMLIN TWP DIST 0242_42083240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KANE WD 0142_42083250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KANE WD 0242_42083260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KANE WD 0342_42083270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KANE WD 0442_42083280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEATING TWP DIST 0142_42083290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEATING TWP DIST 0242_42083300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEATING TWP DIST 0342_42083310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAFAYETTE TWP Voting District42_42083320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWIS RUN Voting District42_42083330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY TWP Voting District42_42083340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT. JEWETT Voting District42_42083350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORWICH TWP Voting District42_42083360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OTTO TWP DIST 0142_42083370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OTTO TWP DIST 0242_42083380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORT ALLEGANY DIST 0142_42083390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORT ALLEGANY DIST 0242_42083400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SERGEANT TWP Voting District42_42083410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SMETHPORT Voting District42_42083420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WETMORE TWP Voting District42_42083430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −10.4% |
| 1896 | −23.5% |
| 1900 | −28.1% |
| 1904 | −48.2% |
| 1908 | −25.2% |
| 1912 | +12.7% |
| 1916 | −13.7% |
| 1920 | −46.7% |
| 1924 | −50.9% |
| 1928 | −47.5% |
| 1932 | −34.6% |
| 1936 | −9.5% |
| 1940 | −35.7% |
| 1944 | −29.5% |
| 1948 | −35.6% |
| 1952 | −47.6% |
| 1956 | −48.0% |
| 1960 | −27.5% |
| 1964 | +15.8% |
| 1968 | −23.7% |
| 1972 | −44.7% |
| 1976 | −22.9% |
| 1980 | −27.5% |
| 1984 | −38.8% |
| 1988 | −27.3% |
| 1992 | −10.0% |
| 1996 | −8.9% |
| 2000 | −26.3% |
| 2004 | −26.7% |
| 2008 | −17.3% |
| 2012 | −28.0% |
| 2016 | −46.2% |
| 2020 | −46.2% |
| 2024 | −47.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+43.2
Presidential vote · 2024R+47.2
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.0 points more Democratic.
25,175 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−94 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,127 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,218 in average income, against $61,932 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.8 on average — 2.4 points more Democratic-leaning than McKean County, PA itself (R+47.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cattaraugus County, NY82R+32.7
- Potter County, PA61R+62.3
- Elk County, PA35R+47.0
- Warren County, PA28R+39.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cattaraugus County, NY71
- Potter County, PA47
- Allegheny County, PA38
- Warren County, PA34
- Elk County, PA26
- Erie County, PA26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −138 |
| 2012 | +64 |
| 2013 | −279 |
| 2014 | −87 |
| 2015 | −144 |
| 2016 | −653 |
| 2017 | −196 |
| 2018 | −255 |
| 2019 | −185 |
| 2021 | +135 |
| 2022 | −193 |
| 2023 | −49 |
| 2024 | −53 |
| 2025 | −94 |
McKean County, tucked in Pennsylvania's northern tier along the New York border, has shifted rightward over the past two decades. Its 2024 presidential margin of R+47.2 reflects a predominantly white, working-class electorate with deep roots in oil-country heritage.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.2 points.
A population of 39,904, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,905 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Warren County and Stevens County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Warren County
Pennsylvania
83.6twin score
% White% Evangelical% unaffiliated≠ Scottish ancestry
Stevens County
Washington
73.7twin score
% unaffiliated2000–2020 trajectory% Evangelical≠ Italian ancestry
Bradford County
Pennsylvania
72.0twin score
% White2016–2020 trajectory% Evangelical≠ Swedish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
McKean County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42083/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in McKean County
Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did McKean County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, McKean County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 47.2 points (R+47.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,682 votes cast, 5,115 went Democratic and 14,401 went Republican.
When did McKean County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which McKean County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in McKean County, Pennsylvania?
McKean County, Pennsylvania has a population of 39,904 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in McKean County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in McKean County, Pennsylvania is $62,905 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of McKean County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in McKean County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.