- Lead
- 20,406
- Total
- 60,650
- vs nation
- R+32.2
- Turnout
- 73.1%
Adams County, PA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.1% of 83,374 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 19,316
- Total
- 56,540
- vs nation
- R+38.6
- Turnout
- 71.3%
- Lead
- 17,204
- Total
- 47,990
- vs nation
- R+37.9
- Turnout
- 61.3%
- Lead
- 11,676
- Total
- 42,625
- vs nation
- R+31.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,716
- Total
- 44,491
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 14,483
- Total
- 42,228
- vs nation
- R+31.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,166
- Total
- 33,444
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,564
- Total
- 29,508
- vs nation
- R+24.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 106,1152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,0922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.7 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lebanon County, PA · twin score 87.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.1%60,984 participants ÷ 83,374 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 58.6%–60.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 48,057 | 78,369 | 61.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 39,210 | 78,858 | 49.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 56,935 | 79,853 | 71.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 46,679 | 82,223 | 56.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 60,984 | 83,374 | 73.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
100 precincts · 60,650 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0370420010370 | 523 | 1,453 | 11 | 1,987 | 26.3% | 73.1% | R+46.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0450420010450 | 736 | 1,186 | 18 | 1,940 | 37.9% | 61.1% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct 0480420010480 | 459 | 1,460 | 15 | 1,934 | 23.7% | 75.5% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct 0200420010200 | 418 | 1,442 | 10 | 1,870 | 22.4% | 77.1% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct 0425420010425 | 576 | 1,239 | 8 | 1,823 | 31.6% | 68.0% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct 0427420010427 | 648 | 1,055 | 20 | 1,723 | 37.6% | 61.2% | R+23.6 |
| Precinct 0310420010310 | 468 | 1,192 | 16 | 1,676 | 27.9% | 71.1% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct 0390420010390 | 477 | 1,123 | 21 | 1,621 | 29.4% | 69.3% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct 0260420010260 | 382 | 1,199 | 8 | 1,589 | 24.0% | 75.5% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct 0040420010040 | 425 | 1,086 | 10 | 1,521 | 27.9% | 71.4% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct 0170420010170 | 453 | 1,025 | 16 | 1,494 | 30.3% | 68.6% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct 0100420010100 | 420 | 1,051 | 15 | 1,486 | 28.3% | 70.7% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct 0078420010078 | 472 | 993 | 17 | 1,482 | 31.8% | 67.0% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct 0090420010090 | 503 | 957 | 13 | 1,473 | 34.1% | 65.0% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct 0101420010101 | 442 | 1,019 | 10 | 1,471 | 30.0% | 69.3% | R+39.2 |
| Precinct 0070420010070 | 377 | 1,066 | 13 | 1,456 | 25.9% | 73.2% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct 0440420010440 | 644 | 778 | 15 | 1,437 | 44.8% | 54.1% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct 0140420010140 | 738 | 668 | 21 | 1,427 | 51.7% | 46.8% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct 0270420010270 | 340 | 1,044 | 10 | 1,394 | 24.4% | 74.9% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct 0340420010340 | 404 | 968 | 14 | 1,386 | 29.1% | 69.8% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct 0290420010290 | 279 | 1,077 | 7 | 1,363 | 20.5% | 79.0% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct 0385420010385 | 423 | 925 | 11 | 1,359 | 31.1% | 68.1% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct 0110420010110 | 615 | 715 | 15 | 1,345 | 45.7% | 53.2% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct 0180420010180 | 351 | 976 | 18 | 1,345 | 26.1% | 72.6% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct 0230420010230 | 950 | 328 | 10 | 1,288 | 73.8% | 25.5% | D+48.3 |
| Precinct 0436420010436 | 410 | 861 | 11 | 1,282 | 32.0% | 67.2% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct 0082420010082 | 359 | 825 | 11 | 1,195 | 30.0% | 69.0% | R+39.0 |
| Precinct 0380420010380 | 459 | 710 | 20 | 1,189 | 38.6% | 59.7% | R+21.1 |
| Precinct 0130420010130 | 552 | 614 | 8 | 1,174 | 47.0% | 52.3% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct 0330420010330 | 284 | 868 | 14 | 1,166 | 24.4% | 74.4% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct 0460420010460 | 285 | 861 | 13 | 1,159 | 24.6% | 74.3% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct 0434420010434 | 316 | 828 | 4 | 1,148 | 27.5% | 72.1% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct 0432420010432 | 253 | 827 | 14 | 1,094 | 23.1% | 75.6% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct 0210420010210 | 591 | 379 | 10 | 980 | 60.3% | 38.7% | D+21.6 |
| Precinct 0120420010120 | 311 | 658 | 10 | 979 | 31.8% | 67.2% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct 0400420010400 | 231 | 724 | 11 | 966 | 23.9% | 74.9% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct 0320420010320 | 242 | 663 | 10 | 915 | 26.4% | 72.5% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct 0240420010240 | 504 | 374 | 9 | 887 | 56.8% | 42.2% | D+14.7 |
| Precinct 0060420010060 | 262 | 613 | 8 | 883 | 29.7% | 69.4% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct 0150420010150 | 262 | 612 | 9 | 883 | 29.7% | 69.3% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct 0410420010410 | 308 | 507 | 9 | 824 | 37.4% | 61.5% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct 0350420010350 | 285 | 525 | 9 | 819 | 34.8% | 64.1% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct 0280420010280 | 200 | 468 | 3 | 671 | 29.8% | 69.7% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct 0190420010190 | 177 | 411 | 6 | 594 | 29.8% | 69.2% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct 0360420010360 | 190 | 391 | 5 | 586 | 32.4% | 66.7% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct 0050420010050 | 198 | 356 | 7 | 561 | 35.3% | 63.5% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct 0010420010010 | 150 | 350 | 7 | 507 | 29.6% | 69.0% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct 0020420010020 | 164 | 273 | 2 | 439 | 37.4% | 62.2% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct 0160420010160 | 137 | 201 | 2 | 340 | 40.3% | 59.1% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct 0030420010030 | 97 | 197 | 4 | 298 | 32.6% | 66.1% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct 0490420010490 | 92 | 127 | 2 | 221 | 41.6% | 57.5% | R+15.8 |
| ABBOTTSTOWN Voting District42_4200110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ARENDTSVILLE Voting District42_4200120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BENDERSVILLE Voting District42_4200130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BERWICK TWP Voting District42_4200140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BIGLERVILLE Voting District42_4200150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BONNEAUVILLE Voting District42_4200160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUTLER TWP Voting District42_4200170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carroll Valley Borough Voting District42_4200180A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARROLL VALLEY Voting District42_4200180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONEWAGO TWP VTD 0142_4200190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONEWAGO TWP VTD 0242_42001100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CUMBERLAND TWP VTD 0142_42001110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CUMBERLAND TWP VTD 0242_42001120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CUMBERLAND TWP VTD 0342_42001130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CUMBERLAND TWP VTD 0442_42001140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST BERLIN Voting District42_42001150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRFIELD Voting District42_42001160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN TWP VTD 0142_42001170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN TWP VTD 0242_42001180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FREEDOM TWP Voting District42_42001190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMANY TWP Voting District42_42001200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GETTYSBURG WD 01 PCT 0242_42001220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GETTYSBURG WD 0242_42001230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GETTYSBURG WD 03 PCT 0142_42001240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTON TWP Voting District42_42001260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAMILTONBAN TWP Voting District42_42001270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HIGHLAND TWP Voting District42_42001280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HUNTINGTON TWP VTD 0142_42001290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LATIMORE TWP Voting District42_42001310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY TWP Voting District42_42001320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LITTLESTOWN WD 0142_42001330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LITTLESTOWN WD 0242_42001340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MC SHERRYSTOWN VTD 0142_42001350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MC SHERRYSTOWN VTD 0242_42001360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MENALLEN TWP Voting District42_42001370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT. JOY TWP VTD 0142_42001380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT. JOY TWP VTD 0242_42001385 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT. PLEASANT TWP VTD 0142_42001390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT. PLEASANT TWP VTD 0242_42001400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW OXFORD Voting District42_42001410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OXFORD TWP DIST 0142_42001425 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OXFORD TWP DIST 0242_42001427 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| READING TWP VTD 0142_42001430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| READING TWP VTD 0242_42001435 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STRABAN TWP VTD 0142_42001440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STRABAN TWP VTD 0242_42001450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TYRONE TWP Voting District42_42001460 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION TWP Voting District42_42001480 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| YORK SPRINGS Voting District42_42001490 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +4.6% |
| 1896 | −4.3% |
| 1900 | +3.2% |
| 1904 | −2.6% |
| 1908 | +4.4% |
| 1912 | +39.7% |
| 1916 | +9.0% |
| 1920 | −15.7% |
| 1924 | −8.6% |
| 1928 | −35.0% |
| 1932 | +8.2% |
| 1936 | +0.1% |
| 1940 | −7.9% |
| 1944 | −19.7% |
| 1948 | −19.1% |
| 1952 | −31.8% |
| 1956 | −32.2% |
| 1960 | −24.2% |
| 1964 | +12.7% |
| 1968 | −28.1% |
| 1972 | −41.6% |
| 1976 | −15.8% |
| 1980 | −29.0% |
| 1984 | −39.3% |
| 1988 | −30.5% |
| 1992 | −13.5% |
| 1996 | −15.5% |
| 2000 | −27.4% |
| 2004 | −34.3% |
| 2008 | −19.6% |
| 2012 | −27.4% |
| 2016 | −35.8% |
| 2020 | −34.2% |
| 2024 | −33.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.2 points.
76,501 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+591 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,580 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $71,898 in average income, against $81,579 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+13.8 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Adams County, PA itself (R+33.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- York County, PA823R+25.3
- Carroll County, MD171R+24.7
- Frederick County, MD153D+8.7
- Franklin County, PA144R+43.0
- Cumberland County, PA137R+9.4
- Baltimore County, MD62D+24.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- York County, PA837
- Franklin County, PA179
- Cumberland County, PA144
- Carroll County, MD91
- Frederick County, MD62
- Dauphin County, PA45
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −144 |
| 2012 | −282 |
| 2013 | −198 |
| 2014 | +72 |
| 2015 | +385 |
| 2016 | −1 |
| 2017 | +637 |
| 2018 | +519 |
| 2019 | −50 |
| 2021 | +2,260 |
| 2022 | +524 |
| 2023 | +995 |
| 2024 | +272 |
| 2025 | +591 |
Adams County, anchored by the borough of Gettysburg and the apple orchards around Biglerville, has voted Republican by a widening margin for two decades — from roughly R+20 in 2008 to a steady mid-30s margin in the 2016–2024 cycles, a profile typical of south-central Pennsylvania's rural and small-town communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 41.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.6 points.
A population of 106,115, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,092 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lebanon County and York County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Adams County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.