akashic
1876–2024
Blair County, Pennsylvania
Blair County·Pennsylvania

Blair County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of Pennsylvania's most consistent Republican strongholds by margin

18762024·38 elections
Blair County, Pennsylvania · Pubdog (talk) · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+43
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
121,277
2024 ACS
Most similar
Potter County
PA · similarity 1.00
93 precincts · 65,140 votes cast
Trump · R+43
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−43.3%
18,12746,35265,140
2020R
−43.5%
17,63645,30663,595
2016R
−45.5%
13,95839,13555,341
2012R
−33.8%
16,27633,31950,365
2008R
−24.3%
19,81332,70853,102
2004R
−32.6%
18,10535,75154,178
2000R
−27.9%
15,77428,37645,140
1996R
−15.3%
15,03621,28240,691
1992R
−14.7%
14,85721,44744,758
1988R
−24.1%
15,58825,62341,662
1984R
−31.5%
15,65130,10445,945
1980R
−30.0%
15,01428,93146,359
1976R
−20.9%
18,39728,29047,366
1972R
−52.4%
10,02333,12644,110
1968R
−26.9%
15,80328,78048,296
1964D
+3.7%
26,15724,30150,531
1960R
−28.9%
19,44535,29754,809
1956R
−31.5%
17,50333,62351,191
1952R
−31.1%
16,85132,11349,070
1948R
−22.6%
14,05022,38236,886
1944R
−16.1%
18,00324,92543,106
1940R
−10.5%
21,57326,63948,337
1936D
+4.4%
27,03824,71152,597
1932R
−17.0%
13,70919,55334,335
1928R
−47.6%
12,10434,35646,726
1924R
−52.2%
4,24420,31330,808
1920R
−35.5%
5,66815,03526,392
1916R
−16.1%
7,0029,89317,935
1912D
+5.6%
4,1083,13817,276
1908R
−33.4%
4,98110,58316,796
1904R
−51.8%
3,67512,48216,992
1900R
−35.2%
4,5289,74914,814
1896R
−35.0%
4,84010,38215,851
1892R
−16.4%
5,2657,40713,052
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
0.7%
African American
1.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
12.5%
Other Christian
10.3%
Mainline Protestant
9.2%
Methodist
6.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Baptist
1.1%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Blair County, anchored by Altoona's post-industrial economy in the Allegheny ridges, has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, making it an outlier even within a state full of red-leaning rural counties.

The Democratic margin in Blair County peaked at six points in 1912. By 1968 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Blair County's median household income of $62,382 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Potter County and Daviess County.