HarrisDemocratic23.1%4,562TrumpRepublican76.2%15,036OliverLibertarian0.5%91
R+53.1- Lead
- 10,474
- Total
- 19,733
- vs nation
- R+51.6
- Turnout
- 66.1%
Akashiccounty
Clarion County, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 66.1% of 29,980 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic24.0%4,678TrumpRepublican74.8%14,578JorgensenLibertarian1.2%237
R+50.8- Lead
- 9,900
- Total
- 19,493
- vs nation
- R+55.2
- Turnout
- 62.7%
ClintonDemocratic24.2%4,273TrumpRepublican71.2%12,576JohnsonLibertarian2.7%469
R+47.0- Lead
- 8,303
- Total
- 17,660
- vs nation
- R+49.1
- Turnout
- 56.8%
ObamaDemocratic31.1%5,056RomneyRepublican66.6%10,828JohnsonLibertarian1.3%208
R+35.5- Lead
- 5,772
- Total
- 16,270
- vs nation
- R+39.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic38.0%6,756McCainRepublican60.4%10,737OtherAll other candidates1.5%273
R+22.4- Lead
- 3,981
- Total
- 17,766
- vs nation
- R+29.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic35.2%6,049BushRepublican64.4%11,063OtherAll other candidates0.4%72
R+29.2- Lead
- 5,014
- Total
- 17,184
- vs nation
- R+26.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic35.4%5,605BushRepublican61.8%9,796NaderGreen1.8%293
R+26.4- Lead
- 4,191
- Total
- 15,849
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic39.5%5,954DoleRepublican45.9%6,916PerotReform13.7%2,064
R+6.4- Lead
- 962
- Total
- 15,071
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,1792024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,6492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jefferson County, PA · twin score 89.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 66.1%19,828 participants ÷ 29,980 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 54.6%–54.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 17,820 | 31,394 | 56.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,235 | 31,290 | 45.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,570 | 31,221 | 62.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 15,513 | 30,324 | 51.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 19,828 | 29,980 | 66.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
82 precincts · 19,733 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0230420310230 | 203 | 899 | 7 | 1,109 | 18.3% | 81.1% | R+62.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0060420310060 | 248 | 801 | 7 | 1,056 | 23.5% | 75.9% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct 0310420310310 | 280 | 664 | 10 | 954 | 29.4% | 69.6% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct 0020420310020 | 154 | 753 | 9 | 916 | 16.8% | 82.2% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct 0500420310500 | 186 | 713 | 5 | 904 | 20.6% | 78.9% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct 0280420310280 | 245 | 631 | 5 | 881 | 27.8% | 71.6% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct 0152420310152 | 219 | 655 | 4 | 878 | 24.9% | 74.6% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct 0130420310130 | 163 | 668 | 4 | 835 | 19.5% | 80.0% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct 0090420310090 | 366 | 428 | 7 | 801 | 45.7% | 53.4% | R+7.7 |
| Precinct 0010420310010 | 80 | 567 | 7 | 654 | 12.2% | 86.7% | R+74.5 |
| Precinct 0250420310250 | 121 | 526 | 2 | 649 | 18.6% | 81.0% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct 0200420310200 | 182 | 434 | 2 | 618 | 29.4% | 70.2% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct 0210420310210 | 165 | 389 | 6 | 560 | 29.5% | 69.5% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct 0070420310070 | 258 | 277 | 6 | 541 | 47.7% | 51.2% | R+3.5 |
| Precinct 0320420310320 | 86 | 449 | 4 | 539 | 16.0% | 83.3% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct 0480420310480 | 64 | 444 | 2 | 510 | 12.5% | 87.1% | R+74.5 |
| Precinct 0370420310370 | 63 | 436 | 4 | 503 | 12.5% | 86.7% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct 0430420310430 | 90 | 409 | 1 | 500 | 18.0% | 81.8% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct 0110420310110 | 139 | 343 | 7 | 489 | 28.4% | 70.1% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct 0290420310290 | 91 | 359 | 5 | 455 | 20.0% | 78.9% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct 0410420310410 | 104 | 342 | 2 | 448 | 23.2% | 76.3% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct 0050420310050 | 135 | 296 | 4 | 435 | 31.0% | 68.0% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct 0390420310390 | 54 | 331 | 2 | 387 | 14.0% | 85.5% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct 0190420310190 | 85 | 286 | 1 | 372 | 22.8% | 76.9% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct 0380420310380 | 54 | 310 | 3 | 367 | 14.7% | 84.5% | R+69.8 |
| Precinct 0350420310350 | 33 | 296 | 2 | 331 | 10.0% | 89.4% | R+79.5 |
| Precinct 0450420310450 | 58 | 261 | 2 | 321 | 18.1% | 81.3% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct 0080420310080 | 146 | 171 | 2 | 319 | 45.8% | 53.6% | R+7.8 |
| Precinct 0140420310140 | 70 | 217 | 1 | 288 | 24.3% | 75.3% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct 0470420310470 | 54 | 220 | 3 | 277 | 19.5% | 79.4% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct 0400420310400 | 33 | 241 | 2 | 276 | 12.0% | 87.3% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct 0440420310440 | 68 | 186 | 1 | 255 | 26.7% | 72.9% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct 0270420310270 | 55 | 195 | 1 | 251 | 21.9% | 77.7% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct 0220420310220 | 35 | 207 | 3 | 245 | 14.3% | 84.5% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct 0180420310180 | 34 | 198 | 0 | 232 | 14.7% | 85.3% | R+70.7 |
| Precinct 0340420310340 | 45 | 137 | 0 | 182 | 24.7% | 75.3% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct 0460420310460 | 38 | 131 | 2 | 171 | 22.2% | 76.6% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct 0170420310170 | 39 | 67 | 0 | 106 | 36.8% | 63.2% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct 0040420310040 | 15 | 66 | 0 | 81 | 18.5% | 81.5% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct 0030420310030 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 37 | 10.8% | 89.2% | R+78.4 |
| ASHLAND TWP Voting District42_4203110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEAVER TWP Voting District42_4203120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADY TWP Voting District42_4203130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CALLENSBURG Voting District42_4203140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLARION TWP VTD 0142_4203150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLARION TWP VTD 0242_4203160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLARION VTD 0142_4203170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLARION VTD 0242_4203180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLARION VTD 0342_4203190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST BRADY Voting District42_42031110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELK TWP Voting District42_42031130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FARMINGTON TWP VTD NORTH42_42031140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FARMINGTON TWP VTD SOUTH42_42031150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FARMINGTON TWP VTD WEST42_42031160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOXBURG Voting District42_42031170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAWTHORN Voting District42_42031180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HIGHLAND TWP Voting District42_42031190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KNOX TWP Voting District42_42031200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KNOX Voting District42_42031210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LICKING TWP Voting District42_42031220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIMESTONE TWP Voting District42_42031230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MADISON TWP Voting District42_42031250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLCREEK TWP Voting District42_42031270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONROE TWP Voting District42_42031280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW BETHLEHEM Voting District42_42031290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PAINT TWP Voting District42_42031310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY TWP Voting District42_42031320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINEY TWP Voting District42_42031340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORTER TWP VTD EAST42_42031350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORTER TWP VTD WEST42_42031370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| REDBANK TWP VTD EAST42_42031380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| REDBANK TWP VTD WEST42_42031390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RICHLAND TWP Voting District42_42031400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIMERSBURG Voting District42_42031410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SALEM TWP Voting District42_42031430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHIPPENVILLE Voting District42_42031440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SLIGO Voting District42_42031450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. PETERSBURG Voting District42_42031460 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STRATTANVILLE Voting District42_42031470 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOBY TWP VTD EAST42_42031480 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOBY TWP VTD WEST42_42031490 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON TWP Voting District42_42031500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +18.6% |
| 1896 | +9.9% |
| 1900 | +7.0% |
| 1904 | −8.8% |
| 1908 | +5.5% |
| 1912 | +34.5% |
| 1916 | +10.7% |
| 1920 | −13.0% |
| 1924 | −21.2% |
| 1928 | −41.7% |
| 1932 | +5.1% |
| 1936 | −0.4% |
| 1940 | −15.8% |
| 1944 | −21.1% |
| 1948 | −15.9% |
| 1952 | −28.2% |
| 1956 | −33.9% |
| 1960 | −30.3% |
| 1964 | +20.1% |
| 1968 | −19.0% |
| 1972 | −37.5% |
| 1976 | −11.7% |
| 1980 | −22.1% |
| 1984 | −28.9% |
| 1988 | −17.5% |
| 1992 | −5.7% |
| 1996 | −6.4% |
| 2000 | −26.4% |
| 2004 | −29.2% |
| 2008 | −22.4% |
| 2012 | −35.5% |
| 2016 | −47.0% |
| 2020 | −50.8% |
| 2024 | −53.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 21.1%4,002 | 78.9%14,997 | 18,999 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+44.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+53.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.1 points more Democratic.
23,357 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+55 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,175 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,048 in average income, against $66,942 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+39.3 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Clarion County, PA itself (R+53.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jefferson County, PA85R+58.5
- Armstrong County, PA83R+53.2
- Venango County, PA69R+42.1
- Butler County, PA51R+32.2
- Allegheny County, PA44D+20.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Armstrong County, PA76
- Jefferson County, PA75
- Venango County, PA70
- Butler County, PA51
- Allegheny County, PA47
- Indiana County, PA20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −38 |
| 2012 | −437 |
| 2013 | −418 |
| 2014 | −172 |
| 2015 | −46 |
| 2016 | −299 |
| 2017 | +426 |
| 2018 | −283 |
| 2019 | −175 |
| 2021 | +623 |
| 2022 | −102 |
| 2023 | −203 |
| 2024 | −106 |
| 2025 | +55 |
Clarion County, a rural stretch of the Allegheny Plateau, recorded an R+53.1 margin in 2024, placing it among Pennsylvania's most lopsided counties and reflecting the broader realignment of small-town Appalachian Pennsylvania over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 53.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.1 points.
A population of 37,179, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,649 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jefferson County and Huntingdon County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Jefferson County
Pennsylvania
89.8twin score
% White2020–2024 trajectory% Latino≠ Italian ancestry
Huntingdon County
Pennsylvania
86.3twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Somerset County
Pennsylvania
83.4twin score
% White2016–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Clarion County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Clarion County
Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Clarion County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Clarion County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 53.1 points (R+53.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,733 votes cast, 4,562 went Democratic and 15,036 went Republican.
When did Clarion County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Clarion County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Clarion County, Pennsylvania?
Clarion County, Pennsylvania has a population of 37,179 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Clarion County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Clarion County, Pennsylvania is $62,649 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Clarion County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clarion County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.