- Lead
- 20,834
- Total
- 40,430
- vs nation
- R+50.1
- Turnout
- 64.1%
Clearfield County, PA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.1% of 63,272 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 19,530
- Total
- 39,422
- vs nation
- R+54.0
- Turnout
- 63.0%
- Lead
- 16,732
- Total
- 34,550
- vs nation
- R+50.5
- Turnout
- 54.1%
- Lead
- 9,226
- Total
- 32,122
- vs nation
- R+32.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,107
- Total
- 33,813
- vs nation
- R+19.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,015
- Total
- 34,233
- vs nation
- R+18.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,301
- Total
- 30,633
- vs nation
- R+21.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 996
- Total
- 28,955
- vs nation
- R+12.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 78,6352024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,1522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Susquehanna County, PA · twin score 84.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.1%40,555 participants ÷ 63,272 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.5%–51.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 34,674 | 64,074 | 54.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 26,952 | 63,486 | 42.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 39,788 | 63,159 | 63.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 31,587 | 64,002 | 49.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 40,555 | 63,272 | 64.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
141 precincts · 40,430 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0635420330635 | 797 | 1,957 | 13 | 2,767 | 28.8% | 70.7% | R+41.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0640420330640 | 352 | 1,081 | 13 | 1,446 | 24.3% | 74.8% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct 0470420330470 | 382 | 983 | 13 | 1,378 | 27.7% | 71.3% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct 0570420330570 | 255 | 1,072 | 10 | 1,337 | 19.1% | 80.2% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct 0230420330230 | 348 | 811 | 9 | 1,168 | 29.8% | 69.4% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct 0480420330480 | 273 | 860 | 9 | 1,142 | 23.9% | 75.3% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct 0510420330510 | 242 | 866 | 7 | 1,115 | 21.7% | 77.7% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct 0280420330280 | 339 | 728 | 10 | 1,077 | 31.5% | 67.6% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct 0060420330060 | 203 | 778 | 6 | 987 | 20.6% | 78.8% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct 0090420330090 | 188 | 767 | 9 | 964 | 19.5% | 79.6% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct 0080420330080 | 173 | 761 | 5 | 939 | 18.4% | 81.0% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct 0270420330270 | 292 | 632 | 11 | 935 | 31.2% | 67.6% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct 0160420330160 | 284 | 613 | 13 | 910 | 31.2% | 67.4% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct 0250420330250 | 227 | 612 | 4 | 843 | 26.9% | 72.6% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct 0620420330620 | 220 | 620 | 3 | 843 | 26.1% | 73.5% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct 0200420330200 | 186 | 640 | 8 | 834 | 22.3% | 76.7% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct 0240420330240 | 141 | 667 | 4 | 812 | 17.4% | 82.1% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct 0350420330350 | 165 | 636 | 6 | 807 | 20.4% | 78.8% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct 0460420330460 | 212 | 546 | 8 | 766 | 27.7% | 71.3% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct 0380420330380 | 171 | 560 | 10 | 741 | 23.1% | 75.6% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct 0560420330560 | 139 | 583 | 3 | 725 | 19.2% | 80.4% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct 0150420330150 | 290 | 422 | 10 | 722 | 40.2% | 58.4% | R+18.3 |
| Precinct 0300420330300 | 210 | 486 | 5 | 701 | 30.0% | 69.3% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct 0040420330040 | 128 | 550 | 4 | 682 | 18.8% | 80.6% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct 0010420330010 | 126 | 543 | 5 | 674 | 18.7% | 80.6% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct 0400420330400 | 134 | 522 | 3 | 659 | 20.3% | 79.2% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct 0170420330170 | 237 | 404 | 13 | 654 | 36.2% | 61.8% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct 0070420330070 | 87 | 526 | 4 | 617 | 14.1% | 85.3% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct 0600420330600 | 158 | 442 | 3 | 603 | 26.2% | 73.3% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct 0180420330180 | 186 | 387 | 3 | 576 | 32.3% | 67.2% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct 0210420330210 | 106 | 468 | 2 | 576 | 18.4% | 81.3% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct 0450420330450 | 143 | 416 | 8 | 567 | 25.2% | 73.4% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct 0260420330260 | 172 | 374 | 5 | 551 | 31.2% | 67.9% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct 0660420330660 | 101 | 439 | 3 | 543 | 18.6% | 80.8% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct 0110420330110 | 74 | 467 | 1 | 542 | 13.7% | 86.2% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct 0550420330550 | 164 | 374 | 3 | 541 | 30.3% | 69.1% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct 0630420330630 | 86 | 436 | 4 | 526 | 16.3% | 82.9% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct 0290420330290 | 135 | 358 | 9 | 502 | 26.9% | 71.3% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct 0700420330700 | 118 | 355 | 4 | 477 | 24.7% | 74.4% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct 0390420330390 | 112 | 341 | 2 | 455 | 24.6% | 74.9% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct 0690420330690 | 98 | 324 | 3 | 425 | 23.1% | 76.2% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct 0520420330520 | 105 | 301 | 3 | 409 | 25.7% | 73.6% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct 0030420330030 | 51 | 341 | 2 | 394 | 12.9% | 86.5% | R+73.6 |
| Precinct 0020420330020 | 58 | 300 | 1 | 359 | 16.2% | 83.6% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct 0140420330140 | 110 | 248 | 0 | 358 | 30.7% | 69.3% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct 0440420330440 | 48 | 271 | 2 | 321 | 15.0% | 84.4% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct 0220420330220 | 51 | 266 | 3 | 320 | 15.9% | 83.1% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct 0320420330320 | 59 | 231 | 1 | 291 | 20.3% | 79.4% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct 0410420330410 | 47 | 230 | 3 | 280 | 16.8% | 82.1% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct 0130420330130 | 41 | 237 | 1 | 279 | 14.7% | 84.9% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct 0590420330590 | 49 | 226 | 0 | 275 | 17.8% | 82.2% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct 0311420330311 | 43 | 227 | 1 | 271 | 15.9% | 83.8% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct 0430420330430 | 54 | 205 | 0 | 259 | 20.8% | 79.2% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct 0420420330420 | 30 | 221 | 3 | 254 | 11.8% | 87.0% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct 0050420330050 | 40 | 212 | 0 | 252 | 15.9% | 84.1% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct 0340420330340 | 45 | 200 | 5 | 250 | 18.0% | 80.0% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct 0190420330190 | 51 | 172 | 0 | 223 | 22.9% | 77.1% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct 0100420330100 | 38 | 174 | 0 | 212 | 17.9% | 82.1% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct 0370420330370 | 33 | 169 | 0 | 202 | 16.3% | 83.7% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct 0670420330670 | 53 | 110 | 3 | 166 | 31.9% | 66.3% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct 0680420330680 | 25 | 140 | 1 | 166 | 15.1% | 84.3% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct 0360420330360 | 46 | 115 | 3 | 164 | 28.0% | 70.1% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct 0500420330500 | 35 | 122 | 0 | 157 | 22.3% | 77.7% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct 0650420330650 | 18 | 97 | 1 | 116 | 15.5% | 83.6% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct 0120420330120 | 13 | 76 | 0 | 89 | 14.6% | 85.4% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct 0330420330330 | 21 | 57 | 1 | 79 | 26.6% | 72.2% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct 0540420330540 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 52 | 15.4% | 84.6% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct 0580420330580 | 14 | 31 | 0 | 45 | 31.1% | 68.9% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct 0530420330530 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 38 | 10.5% | 89.5% | R+78.9 |
| Precinct 0610420330610 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 20 | 15.0% | 85.0% | R+70.0 |
| BECCARIA TWP PCT 0142_4203310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BECCARIA TWP PCT 0242_4203320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BELL TWP Voting District42_4203330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BIGLER TWP Voting District42_4203340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BLOOM TWP Voting District42_4203350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOGGS TWP Voting District42_4203360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD TWP PCT 0142_4203370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADFORD TWP PCT 0242_4203380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRADY TWP Voting District42_4203390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRISBIN Voting District42_42033100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BURNSIDE TWP Voting District42_42033110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BURNSIDE Voting District42_42033120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHEST TWP Voting District42_42033130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER HILL Voting District42_42033140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLEARFIELD WD 0142_42033150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLEARFIELD WD 0242_42033160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLEARFIELD WD 0342_42033170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLEARFIELD WD 0442_42033180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COALPORT Voting District42_42033190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COOPER TWP PCT 0142_42033200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COOPER TWP PCT 0242_42033210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COVINGTON TWP Voting District42_42033220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CURWENSVILLE Voting District42_42033230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DECATUR TWP PCT 0142_42033240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DECATUR TWP PCT 0242_42033250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUBOIS WD 0142_42033260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUBOIS WD 0242_42033270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUBOIS WD 0342_42033280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUBOIS WD 0442_42033290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUBOIS WD 0542_42033300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FERGUSON TWP Voting District42_42033310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GIRARD TWP Voting District42_42033320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GLEN HOPE Voting District42_42033330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GOSHEN TWP Voting District42_42033340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRAHAM TWP Voting District42_42033350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRAMPIAN Voting District42_42033360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENWOOD TWP Voting District42_42033370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GULICH TWP Voting District42_42033380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HOUTZDALE Voting District42_42033390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HUSTON TWP Voting District42_42033400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| IRVONA Voting District42_42033410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JORDAN TWP Voting District42_42033420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KARTHAUS TWP Voting District42_42033430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KNOX TWP Voting District42_42033440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE TWP PCT GLEN RICHEY42_42033450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE TWP PCT GOLDEN ROD-HILLSDALE42_42033460 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE TWP PCT HYDE CITY42_42033470 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCE TWP PCT PLYMPTON42_42033480 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LUMBER CITY Voting District42_42033490 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MAHAFFEY Voting District42_42033500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MORRIS TWP PCT 0142_42033510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MORRIS TWP PCT 0242_42033520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW WASHINGTON Voting District42_42033530 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWBURG Voting District42_42033540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OSCEOLA Voting District42_42033550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PENN TWP Voting District42_42033560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PIKE TWP Voting District42_42033570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINE TWP Voting District42_42033580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAMEY Voting District42_42033590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SANDY TWP PCT FALLS CREEK DIST 0142_42033600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SANDY TWP PCT FALLS CREEK DIST 0242_42033610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SANDY TWP PCT OKLAHOMA42_42033620 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SANDY TWP PCT SABULA42_42033630 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SANDY TWP PCT TREASURE LAKE42_42033635 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SANDY TWP PCT WEST SANDY42_42033640 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TROUTVILLE Voting District42_42033650 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION TWP Voting District42_42033660 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALLACETON Voting District42_42033670 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WESTOVER Voting District42_42033680 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WOODWARD TWP PCT 0142_42033690 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WOODWARD TWP PCT 0242_42033700 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +11.5% |
| 1896 | −6.4% |
| 1900 | −12.7% |
| 1904 | −35.3% |
| 1908 | −11.9% |
| 1912 | +24.4% |
| 1916 | +3.8% |
| 1920 | −19.7% |
| 1924 | −38.3% |
| 1928 | −35.6% |
| 1932 | +3.1% |
| 1936 | +17.4% |
| 1940 | +6.9% |
| 1944 | −1.3% |
| 1948 | −2.0% |
| 1952 | −9.0% |
| 1956 | −15.3% |
| 1960 | −14.2% |
| 1964 | +25.7% |
| 1968 | −7.2% |
| 1972 | −28.5% |
| 1976 | +0.3% |
| 1980 | −13.0% |
| 1984 | −21.7% |
| 1988 | −7.7% |
| 1992 | +2.2% |
| 1996 | −3.4% |
| 2000 | −20.6% |
| 2004 | −20.5% |
| 2008 | −12.1% |
| 2012 | −28.7% |
| 2016 | −48.4% |
| 2020 | −49.5% |
| 2024 | −51.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 12 points more Democratic.
49,547 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+273 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,346 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,828 in average income, against $64,125 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+28.8 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Clearfield County, PA itself (R+51.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Centre County, PA181D+2.8
- Jefferson County, PA181R+58.5
- Blair County, PA61R+43.5
- Elk County, PA53R+47.0
- Allegheny County, PA45D+20.3
- Indiana County, PA35R+39.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jefferson County, PA199
- Centre County, PA183
- Blair County, PA78
- Allegheny County, PA55
- Cambria County, PA48
- Indiana County, PA39
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +18 |
| 2012 | +129 |
| 2013 | +131 |
| 2014 | −284 |
| 2015 | −212 |
| 2016 | −457 |
| 2017 | −182 |
| 2018 | −67 |
| 2019 | −161 |
| 2021 | −1,490 |
| 2022 | +43 |
| 2023 | +817 |
| 2024 | +96 |
| 2025 | +273 |
Clearfield County's R+51.5 margin in 2024 reflects a decades-long realignment in Pennsylvania's north-central coalfields, where a shrinking but older, rural white working-class electorate now votes at lopsided rates.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.5 points.
A population of 78,635, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,152 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Susquehanna County and Sanilac County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clearfield County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.