HarrisDemocratic25.5%5,957TrumpRepublican73.2%17,080KennedyIndependent0.5%114
R+47.7- Lead
- 11,123
- Total
- 23,339
- vs nation
- R+46.2
- Turnout
- 73.8%
Akashiccounty
Sanilac County, MI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.8% of 31,790 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.6%5,966TrumpRepublican72.1%16,194JorgensenLibertarian0.9%213
R+45.6- Lead
- 10,228
- Total
- 22,446
- vs nation
- R+50.0
- Turnout
- 70.4%
ClintonDemocratic25.3%4,873TrumpRepublican69.9%13,446JohnsonLibertarian3.4%662
R+44.5- Lead
- 8,573
- Total
- 19,249
- vs nation
- R+46.6
- Turnout
- 60.5%
ObamaDemocratic39.1%7,212RomneyRepublican59.4%10,963SteinGreen0.5%85
R+20.3- Lead
- 3,751
- Total
- 18,450
- vs nation
- R+24.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic44.9%9,047McCainRepublican52.9%10,679OtherAll other candidates2.2%443
R+8.1- Lead
- 1,632
- Total
- 20,169
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic38.0%7,883BushRepublican60.8%12,632OtherAll other candidates1.2%248
R+22.9- Lead
- 4,749
- Total
- 20,763
- vs nation
- R+20.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic38.5%7,153BushRepublican59.1%10,966NaderGreen1.7%320
R+20.5- Lead
- 3,813
- Total
- 18,566
- vs nation
- R+21.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.0%7,092DoleRepublican45.2%7,821PerotReform13.1%2,265
R+4.2- Lead
- 729
- Total
- 17,314
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 40,4622024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,8632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.8 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lapeer County, MI · twin score 90.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.8%23,473 participants ÷ 31,790 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 62.8%–64.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,520 | 32,241 | 60.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 16,656 | 31,999 | 52.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 22,567 | 32,057 | 70.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,933 | 31,872 | 59.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 23,473 | 31,790 | 73.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
61 precincts · 23,339 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Lexington Township, Precinct 1Lexington Township, Precinct 1 | 837 | 1,466 | 37 | 2,340 | 35.8% | 62.6% | R+26.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Worth Township, Precinct 1Worth Township, Precinct 1 | 758 | 1,550 | 22 | 2,330 | 32.5% | 66.5% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -Sanilac Township, Precinct 1Sanilac Township, Precinct 1 | 512 | 1,044 | 20 | 1,576 | 32.5% | 66.2% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct -City of Sandusky, Precinct 1City of Sandusky, Precinct 1 | 407 | 875 | 19 | 1,301 | 31.3% | 67.3% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -City of Croswell, Precinct 1City of Croswell, Precinct 1 | 401 | 747 | 19 | 1,167 | 34.4% | 64.0% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -Marlette Township, Precinct 1Marlette Township, Precinct 1 | 176 | 801 | 13 | 990 | 17.8% | 80.9% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -City of Marlette, Precinct 1City of Marlette, Precinct 1 | 248 | 617 | 15 | 880 | 28.2% | 70.1% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -Elk Township, Precinct 1Elk Township, Precinct 1 | 191 | 670 | 17 | 878 | 21.8% | 76.3% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -Speaker Township, Precinct 1Speaker Township, Precinct 1 | 177 | 642 | 16 | 835 | 21.2% | 76.9% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -Washington Township, Precinct 1Washington Township, Precinct 1 | 176 | 646 | 10 | 832 | 21.2% | 77.6% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -Watertown Township, Precinct 1Watertown Township, Precinct 1 | 128 | 664 | 8 | 800 | 16.0% | 83.0% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -Marion Township, Precinct 1Marion Township, Precinct 1 | 166 | 616 | 8 | 790 | 21.0% | 78.0% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -City of Brown City, Precinct 1City of Brown City, Precinct 1 | 142 | 536 | 9 | 687 | 20.7% | 78.0% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -Buel Township, Precinct 1Buel Township, Precinct 1 | 141 | 529 | 12 | 682 | 20.7% | 77.6% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -Forester Township, Precinct 1Forester Township, Precinct 1 | 185 | 418 | 4 | 607 | 30.5% | 68.9% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -Maple Valley Township, Precinct 1Maple Valley Township, Precinct 1 | 113 | 489 | 4 | 606 | 18.6% | 80.7% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -Fremont Township, Precinct 1Fremont Township, Precinct 1 | 119 | 453 | 10 | 582 | 20.4% | 77.8% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -Custer Township, Precinct 1Custer Township, Precinct 1 | 136 | 413 | 8 | 557 | 24.4% | 74.1% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -Moore Township, Precinct 1Moore Township, Precinct 1 | 92 | 453 | 8 | 553 | 16.6% | 81.9% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -Delaware Township, Precinct 1Delaware Township, Precinct 1 | 98 | 431 | 6 | 535 | 18.3% | 80.6% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -Flynn Township, Precinct 1Flynn Township, Precinct 1 | 87 | 403 | 9 | 499 | 17.4% | 80.8% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -Lamotte Township, Precinct 1Lamotte Township, Precinct 1 | 82 | 353 | 3 | 438 | 18.7% | 80.6% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -Bridgehampton Township, Precinct 1Bridgehampton Township, Precinct 1 | 67 | 338 | 4 | 409 | 16.4% | 82.6% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -Elmer Township, Precinct 1Elmer Township, Precinct 1 | 78 | 325 | 3 | 406 | 19.2% | 80.0% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -Argyle Township, Precinct 1Argyle Township, Precinct 1 | 67 | 300 | 3 | 370 | 18.1% | 81.1% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -Evergreen Township, Precinct 1Evergreen Township, Precinct 1 | 44 | 322 | 4 | 370 | 11.9% | 87.0% | R+75.1 |
| Precinct -Greenleaf Township, Precinct 1Greenleaf Township, Precinct 1 | 87 | 280 | 2 | 369 | 23.6% | 75.9% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -Austin Township, Precinct 1Austin Township, Precinct 1 | 113 | 243 | 2 | 358 | 31.6% | 67.9% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -Minden Township, Precinct 1Minden Township, Precinct 1 | 75 | 238 | 4 | 317 | 23.7% | 75.1% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct -Wheatland Township, Precinct 1Wheatland Township, Precinct 1 | 54 | 218 | 3 | 275 | 19.6% | 79.3% | R+59.6 |
| 1510346000001151-03460-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1510440000001151-04400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1511042000001151-10420-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1511118000001151-11180-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1511154000001151-11540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1511892000001151-18920-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1511946000001151-19460-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1512138000001151-21380-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1512528000001151-25280-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1512554000001151-25540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1512674000001151-26740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1512924000001151-29240-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1512950000001151-29500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1513074000001151-30740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1513502000001151-35020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1514546000001151-45460-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1514730000001151-47300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1515138000001151-51380-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1515172000001151-51720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1515182000001151-51820-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1515184000001151-51840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1515454000001151-54540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1515532000001151-55320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1517154000001151-71540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1517158000001151-71580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1517550000001151-75500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1518414000001151-84140-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1518444000001151-84440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1518658000001151-86580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1518876000001151-88760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1518876000002151-88760-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −16.6% |
| 1896 | −6.8% |
| 1900 | −32.3% |
| 1904 | −55.0% |
| 1908 | −44.6% |
| 1912 | −14.9% |
| 1916 | −41.6% |
| 1920 | −71.3% |
| 1924 | −73.8% |
| 1928 | −63.6% |
| 1932 | −24.8% |
| 1936 | −33.4% |
| 1940 | −64.6% |
| 1944 | −64.7% |
| 1948 | −57.2% |
| 1952 | −65.5% |
| 1956 | −57.9% |
| 1960 | −45.1% |
| 1964 | −9.5% |
| 1968 | −42.9% |
| 1972 | −47.9% |
| 1976 | −27.0% |
| 1980 | −40.1% |
| 1984 | −50.6% |
| 1988 | −32.1% |
| 1992 | −10.8% |
| 1996 | −4.2% |
| 2000 | −20.5% |
| 2004 | −22.9% |
| 2008 | −8.1% |
| 2012 | −20.3% |
| 2016 | −44.5% |
| 2020 | −45.6% |
| 2024 | −47.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 22.2%4,859 | 77.8%17,000 | 21,859 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%16,092 | 16,092 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 29,510 |
| 2018 | 29,444 |
| 2020 | 31,730 |
| 2022 | 32,529 |
| 2024 | 33,038 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+10 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,129 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,988 in average income, against $61,755 for residents who stayed — 3% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+23.3 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Sanilac County, MI itself (R+47.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Clair County, MI217R+34.6
- Macomb County, MI132R+13.7
- Lapeer County, MI82R+39.8
- Huron County, MI56R+40.6
- Oakland County, MI55D+10.6
- Tuscola County, MI51R+43.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Clair County, MI204
- Macomb County, MI94
- Lapeer County, MI81
- Tuscola County, MI66
- Oakland County, MI42
- Huron County, MI36
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −421 |
| 2012 | −406 |
| 2013 | −391 |
| 2014 | −214 |
| 2015 | −136 |
| 2016 | −30 |
| 2017 | −68 |
| 2018 | +31 |
| 2019 | +42 |
| 2021 | +216 |
| 2022 | +175 |
| 2023 | +55 |
| 2024 | +8 |
| 2025 | +10 |
This rural county at the tip of Michigan's Thumb peninsula recorded an R+47.7 margin in 2024, among the largest in the state, driven by a predominantly white, non-college population spread across small farming communities and shoreline townships.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 73.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.7 points.
A population of 40,462, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,863 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lapeer County and Tuscola County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lapeer County
Michigan
90.6twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% unaffiliated≠ median income
Tuscola County
Michigan
88.4twin score
12-yr trendPolish ancestry% White≠ Scottish ancestry
Montmorency County
Michigan
86.3twin score
12-yr trendelasticityPolish ancestry≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sanilac County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26151/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Sanilac County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Sanilac County, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sanilac County, Michigan voted Republican by 47.7 points (R+47.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,339 votes cast, 5,957 went Democratic and 17,080 went Republican.
How many people live in Sanilac County, Michigan?
Sanilac County, Michigan has a population of 40,462 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sanilac County, Michigan?
Median household income in Sanilac County, Michigan is $58,863 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Sanilac County, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Sanilac County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 33 went Republican.