- Lead
- 3,117
- Total
- 7,483
- vs nation
- R+40.2
- Turnout
- 83.2%
Alcona County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 83.2% of 9,051 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,706
- Total
- 7,064
- vs nation
- R+42.8
- Turnout
- 78.8%
- Lead
- 2,469
- Total
- 6,198
- vs nation
- R+41.9
- Turnout
- 69.7%
- Lead
- 1,099
- Total
- 6,104
- vs nation
- R+21.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 508
- Total
- 6,420
- vs nation
- R+15.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 721
- Total
- 6,531
- vs nation
- R+8.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 456
- Total
- 5,997
- vs nation
- R+8.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 392
- Total
- 5,555
- vs nation
- R+1.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+41.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,3972024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,9932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+78.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Roscommon County, MI · twin score 89.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 83.2%7,531 participants ÷ 9,051 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 72.3%–74.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,283 | 9,017 | 69.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,658 | 8,968 | 63.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 7,102 | 9,009 | 78.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,030 | 8,872 | 68.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,531 | 9,051 | 83.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 7,483 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Greenbush Township, Precinct 1Greenbush Township, Precinct 1 | 305 | 592 | 15 | 912 | 33.4% | 64.9% | R+31.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Harrisville Township, Precinct 1Harrisville Township, Precinct 1 | 251 | 597 | 10 | 858 | 29.3% | 69.6% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -Alcona Township, Precinct 1Alcona Township, Precinct 1 | 262 | 578 | 9 | 849 | 30.9% | 68.1% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -Caledonia Township, Precinct 1Caledonia Township, Precinct 1 | 241 | 575 | 3 | 819 | 29.4% | 70.2% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -Curtis Township, Precinct 1Curtis Township, Precinct 1 | 222 | 551 | 4 | 777 | 28.6% | 70.9% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -Hawes Township, Precinct 1Hawes Township, Precinct 1 | 214 | 552 | 8 | 774 | 27.6% | 71.3% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -Mikado Township, Precinct 1Mikado Township, Precinct 1 | 108 | 454 | 11 | 573 | 18.8% | 79.2% | R+60.4 |
| Precinct -Haynes Township, Precinct 1Haynes Township, Precinct 1 | 165 | 383 | 7 | 555 | 29.7% | 69.0% | R+39.3 |
| Precinct -Gustin Township, Precinct 1Gustin Township, Precinct 1 | 104 | 374 | 5 | 483 | 21.5% | 77.4% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -Mitchell Township, Precinct 1Mitchell Township, Precinct 1 | 56 | 247 | 6 | 309 | 18.1% | 79.9% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -City of Harrisville, Precinct 1City of Harrisville, Precinct 1 | 127 | 155 | 6 | 288 | 44.1% | 53.8% | R+9.7 |
| Precinct -Millen Township, Precinct 1Millen Township, Precinct 1 | 85 | 199 | 2 | 286 | 29.7% | 69.6% | R+39.9 |
| 0010104000001001-01040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0011246000001001-12460-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0011932000001001-19320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0013482000001001-34820-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0013574000001001-35740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0013686000001001-36860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0013688000001001-36880-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0013722000001001-37220-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0013738000001001-37380-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0015388000001001-53880-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0015406000001001-54060-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0015474000001001-54740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −18.1% |
| 1896 | −44.7% |
| 1900 | −69.7% |
| 1904 | −78.4% |
| 1908 | −60.1% |
| 1912 | −14.8% |
| 1916 | −11.1% |
| 1920 | −56.7% |
| 1924 | −59.4% |
| 1928 | −58.1% |
| 1932 | +0.2% |
| 1936 | −14.8% |
| 1940 | −32.0% |
| 1944 | −35.3% |
| 1948 | −33.1% |
| 1952 | −30.5% |
| 1956 | −43.2% |
| 1960 | −32.8% |
| 1964 | +14.6% |
| 1968 | −28.4% |
| 1972 | −33.5% |
| 1976 | −6.6% |
| 1980 | −20.7% |
| 1984 | −33.1% |
| 1988 | −21.4% |
| 1992 | +2.4% |
| 1996 | +7.1% |
| 2000 | −7.6% |
| 2004 | −11.0% |
| 2008 | −7.9% |
| 2012 | −18.0% |
| 2016 | −39.8% |
| 2020 | −38.3% |
| 2024 | −41.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.0%1,921 | 73.0%5,181 | 7,102 |
| 2020 | R | 28.1%1,911 | 71.9%4,901 | 6,812 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,347 |
| 2018 | 9,269 |
| 2020 | 9,895 |
| 2022 | 10,353 |
| 2024 | 10,638 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+159 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,676 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,127 in average income, against $60,511 for residents who stayed — 4% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+11.7 on average — 30 points more Democratic-leaning than Alcona County, MI itself (R+41.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Iosco County, MI48R+30.6
- Alpena County, MI41R+28.6
- Oakland County, MI26D+10.6
- Wayne County, MI25D+29.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Iosco County, MI52
- Alpena County, MI49
- Oakland County, MI22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −22 |
| 2012 | −32 |
| 2013 | +91 |
| 2014 | +8 |
| 2015 | +25 |
| 2016 | +149 |
| 2017 | +73 |
| 2018 | +155 |
| 2019 | +150 |
| 2021 | +267 |
| 2022 | +234 |
| 2023 | +230 |
| 2024 | +189 |
| 2025 | +159 |
Alcona's aging, rural population along Michigan's northeastern Lower Peninsula has produced some of the state's widest presidential margins, with the 2024 gap exceeding 40 points in a county of fewer than 12,000 residents.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 78.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.7 points.
A population of 10,397, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,993 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Roscommon County and Oscoda County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Alcona County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.