- Lead
- 1,291
- Total
- 4,332
- vs nation
- R+28.3
- Turnout
- 64.2%
Baraga County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.2% of 6,784 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,034
- Total
- 4,038
- vs nation
- R+30.1
- Turnout
- 59.6%
- Lead
- 1,002
- Total
- 3,518
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Turnout
- 50.3%
- Lead
- 292
- Total
- 3,490
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 121
- Total
- 3,644
- vs nation
- R+10.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 317
- Total
- 3,684
- vs nation
- R+6.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 436
- Total
- 3,393
- vs nation
- R+13.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 392
- Total
- 3,294
- vs nation
- D+3.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,1912024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,3272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.1 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Alger County, MI · twin score 84.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.2%4,354 participants ÷ 6,784 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +8.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.5%–58.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,556 | 7,073 | 50.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,321 | 6,910 | 48.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,072 | 6,827 | 59.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,477 | 6,822 | 51.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,354 | 6,784 | 64.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
14 precincts · 4,332 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -L'Anse Township, Precinct 1L'Anse Township, Precinct 1 | 680 | 1,294 | 32 | 2,006 | 33.9% | 64.5% | R+30.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Baraga Township, Precinct 2Baraga Township, Precinct 2 | 219 | 523 | 12 | 754 | 29.0% | 69.4% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -Baraga Township, Precinct 1Baraga Township, Precinct 1 | 290 | 398 | 10 | 698 | 41.5% | 57.0% | R+15.5 |
| Precinct -Arvon Township, Precinct 1Arvon Township, Precinct 1 | 101 | 285 | 4 | 390 | 25.9% | 73.1% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -Covington Township, Precinct 1Covington Township, Precinct 1 | 92 | 173 | 5 | 270 | 34.1% | 64.1% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -Spurr Township, Precinct 1Spurr Township, Precinct 1 | 106 | 106 | 2 | 214 | 49.5% | 49.5% | Exact tie |
| 0130366000001013-03660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0130534000001013-05340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0130534000002013-05340-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0130534000003013-05340-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0130534000004013-05340-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0131860000001013-18600-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0134556000001013-45560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0137600000001013-76000-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +25.0% |
| 1896 | −13.9% |
| 1900 | −28.8% |
| 1904 | −49.3% |
| 1908 | −51.5% |
| 1912 | −1.3% |
| 1916 | −21.9% |
| 1920 | −58.1% |
| 1924 | −63.1% |
| 1928 | −34.3% |
| 1932 | +2.4% |
| 1936 | +4.2% |
| 1940 | −7.7% |
| 1944 | +1.2% |
| 1948 | −5.9% |
| 1952 | −15.3% |
| 1956 | −11.1% |
| 1960 | +2.7% |
| 1964 | +37.7% |
| 1968 | +5.2% |
| 1972 | −11.2% |
| 1976 | −0.3% |
| 1980 | −11.1% |
| 1984 | −3.9% |
| 1988 | +3.6% |
| 1992 | +14.7% |
| 1996 | +11.9% |
| 2000 | −12.8% |
| 2004 | −8.6% |
| 2008 | −3.3% |
| 2012 | −8.4% |
| 2016 | −28.5% |
| 2020 | −25.6% |
| 2024 | −29.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 34.1%1,403 | 65.9%2,706 | 4,109 |
| 2020 | R | 33.9%1,332 | 66.1%2,595 | 3,927 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,428 |
| 2018 | 6,325 |
| 2020 | 6,688 |
| 2022 | 6,775 |
| 2024 | 6,941 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−47 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −211 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,299 in average income, against $59,371 for residents who stayed — 2% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+6.3 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Baraga County, MI itself (R+29.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Houghton County, MI31R+17.0
- Marquette County, MI22D+8.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Marquette County, MI32
- Houghton County, MI24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +2 |
| 2012 | −83 |
| 2013 | +2 |
| 2014 | −38 |
| 2015 | −56 |
| 2016 | −11 |
| 2017 | −62 |
| 2018 | −73 |
| 2019 | −63 |
| 2021 | +148 |
| 2022 | −12 |
| 2023 | +74 |
| 2024 | +8 |
| 2025 | −47 |
Baraga's small population is anchored partly by the Keweenaw Bay Indian Community, one of Michigan's larger tribal nations by land, giving federal Indian policy and sovereignty questions unusual salience in a county that swung heavily Republican in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.1 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.8 points.
A population of 8,191, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,327 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Alger County and Schoolcraft County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Baraga County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.