Michigan 38th State Senate District, Michigan: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+19%. Republican peak: R+66 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 276,9952024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,2282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 38, MIOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 63,223 | 92,640 | 158,407 | ||
| R | 63,087 | 87,019 | 152,582 | ||
| R | 50,770 | 74,867 | 134,271 | ||
| R | 63,317 | 67,040 | 132,638 | ||
| D | 72,014 | 63,231 | 138,031 | ||
| R | 66,312 | 71,144 | 139,106 | ||
| R | 58,839 | 64,260 | 127,520 | ||
| D | 61,725 | 44,016 | 120,401 | ||
| D | 63,087 | 44,466 | 134,680 | ||
| D | 64,083 | 57,652 | 122,335 | ||
| R | 60,060 | 69,063 | 129,603 | ||
| R | 61,396 | 65,426 | 137,416 | ||
| D | 66,626 | 61,971 | 130,251 | ||
| R | 55,955 | 67,346 | 125,466 | ||
| D | 58,588 | 50,707 | 114,811 | ||
| D | 80,762 | 37,905 | 118,836 | ||
| D | 65,712 | 59,466 | 125,412 | ||
| R | 54,671 | 70,641 | 125,524 | ||
| R | 57,132 | 69,011 | 126,730 | ||
| D | 57,006 | 54,370 | 116,338 | ||
| D | 66,057 | 54,480 | 121,129 | ||
| D | 75,632 | 64,477 | 141,088 | ||
| D | 76,984 | 50,324 | 129,917 | ||
| R | 56,260 | 57,695 | 118,508 | ||
| R | 37,627 | 61,897 | 101,019 | ||
| R | 6,446 | 57,456 | 83,991 | ||
| R | 14,668 | 57,899 | 77,496 | ||
| R | 18,851 | 32,356 | 54,056 | ||
| O | 8,921 | 14,999 | 47,289 | ||
| R | 9,734 | 35,212 | 47,997 | ||
| R | 6,325 | 35,114 | 43,813 | ||
| R | 10,543 | 32,215 | 43,952 | ||
| R | 11,371 | 27,971 | 40,535 | ||
| R | 15,840 | 18,862 | 37,571 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
19.2%
English
10.9%
Irish
9.5%
French
7.3%
Italian
6.2%
Polish
6.1%
American
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 44.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,228
State Senate District 38 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 38$60,228
Michigan$72,875
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.2%
Working age (18–64)14.0%
Seniors (65+)12.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.7%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.3%
Spanish1.0%
Other languages0.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Michigan 38th State Senate District in the Great Lakes delivered a near-tie in 2024, with the Republican candidate carrying the district by nineteen points — well within the historical noise of how the district votes.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty-six points in 1964; the Republican margin reached sixty-six points in 1904. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 276,995, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $60,228 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 38, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/26038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 38, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 38, Michigan voted Republican by 18.6 points (R+19), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 158,407 votes cast, 63,223 went Democratic and 92,640 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 38, Michigan's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 38, Michigan as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 21 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 38, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 38, Michigan voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in State Senate District 38, Michigan?
State Senate District 38, Michigan has a population of 276,995 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 38, Michigan?
Median household income in State Senate District 38, Michigan is $60,228 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of State Senate District 38, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 38, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.