HarrisDemocratic40.0%61,033TrumpRepublican58.5%89,423OtherAll other candidates1.5%2,282
R+18.6- Lead
- 28,390
- Total
- 152,738
- vs nation
- R+17.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Michigan 38th State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic41.4%60,946TrumpRepublican57.0%83,984OtherAll other candidates1.6%2,373
R+15.6- Lead
- 23,038
- Total
- 147,303
- vs nation
- R+20.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic37.8%48,977TrumpRepublican55.8%72,240OtherAll other candidates6.4%8,324
R+18.0- Lead
- 23,263
- Total
- 129,541
- vs nation
- R+20.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic47.7%60,955RomneyRepublican50.6%64,677OtherAll other candidates1.7%2,170
R+2.9- Lead
- 3,722
- Total
- 127,802
- vs nation
- R+6.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic52.1%69,339McCainRepublican45.8%60,893OtherAll other candidates2.1%2,806
D+6.3- Lead
- 8,446
- Total
- 133,038
- vs nation
- R+0.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic47.7%63,874BushRepublican51.1%68,524OtherAll other candidates1.2%1,588
R+3.5- Lead
- 4,650
- Total
- 133,986
- vs nation
- R+1.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic46.1%56,669BushRepublican50.5%62,085OtherAll other candidates3.4%4,242
R+4.4- Lead
- 5,416
- Total
- 122,996
- vs nation
- R+4.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic51.2%59,486DoleRepublican36.6%42,548OtherAll other candidates12.1%14,105
D+14.6- Lead
- 16,938
- Total
- 116,139
- vs nation
- D+6.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 265,0342024 5-year
- Population density
- 18 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 14,979 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,2072024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 36, MI · twin score 84.5
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 38th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
68.1%
78,508 votes · D+36.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 59.4%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
80.4%
34,262 votes · R+66.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 74.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
78,508votes
68.1% of the vote · D+36.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 75,160 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
89,423votes
58.5% of the vote · R+18.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 83,984 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+14.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+9.0 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +13.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+61.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+67.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +46.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
REd McBroomState Senate · 38
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 41.1%59,498 | 58.9%85,434 | 144,932 |
| 2020 | R | 39.3%55,850 | 60.7%86,147 | 141,997 |
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+18.6, against D+6.3 in 2008, having changed party at least once across the five cycles. The district had about 277,000 residents, 88.2% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 67.9 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.6 points.
A population of 265,034, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,207 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 36 and State Senate District 25.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 36
Michigan
84.5twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale≠ % Catholic
State Senate District 25
Michigan
83.6twin score
elasticitymedian age% White≠ Polish ancestry
State Senate District 34
Michigan
82.8twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% White≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Michigan 38th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/26038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Michigan at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Michigan 38th State Senate District
Frequently asked questions
How did Michigan 38th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Michigan 38th State Senate District voted Republican by 18.6 points (R+18.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 152,738 votes cast, 61,033 went Democratic and 89,423 went Republican.
When did Michigan 38th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Michigan 38th State Senate District voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Michigan 38th State Senate District?
Michigan 38th State Senate District has a population of 265,034 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Michigan 38th State Senate District?
Median household income in Michigan 38th State Senate District is $60,207 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Michigan 38th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Michigan 38th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.